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ALA

Alabama 49 at Tennessee 52

TENN
2022 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2022 · Neyland Stadium
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Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadALA aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreALA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:01 · James Burnip punt for 33 yds, downed at the Alab 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 38Pregame prior−21.4Home team on offense+1.9Score differential+0.4Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Blowout margin+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 14:01: Jalin Hyatt 78 Yd pass from Hendon Hooker (Hendon Hooker Pass to Princeton Fant for Two-Point Conversion) — TENN win probability +35.5 pts (now 80%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 8:38: Cameron Latu 1 Yd pass from Bryce Young (Will Reichard Kick) — ALA win probability +29.1 pts (now 54%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 7:49: Dallas Turner 11 Yd Fumble Return (Will Reichard Kick) — ALA win probability +30.7 pts (now 76%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:26: Jalin Hyatt 13 Yd pass from Hendon Hooker (Chase McGrath Kick) — TENN win probability +42.2 pts (now 66%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Chase McGrath 40 yd FG GOOD — TENN win probability +28.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ALA made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 12:16ALA 4th & 10 at ALA 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:01ALA 4th & 22 at ALA 2, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.5%−0.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:07ALA 4th & 2 at TENN 2, down 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.2%−1.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    45.5%−8.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:42TENN 4th & 3 at TENN 32, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:44TENN 4th & 6 at ALA 35, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    59.3%−0.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    58.1%−1.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:36ALA 4th & 15 at TENN 25, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%−2.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    32.8%−4.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:13TENN 4th & 2 at ALA 42, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    60.4%−3.4
    30% to make
    Punt
    61.4%−2.4
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:51ALA 4th & 10 at TENN 40, up 1
    Close callPunted · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    55.8%−0.8
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    56.4%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 8:38ALA 4th & 1 at TENN 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    21.7%−6.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    4.3%−23.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 0:15ALA 4th & 10 at TENN 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%−9.5
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.3%
    51% to make
    Punt
    36.6%−15.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 6 of 7ALA made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 10:18TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:59ALA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:43TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 3:59TENN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 11:41TENN Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 6:46ALA Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 11:11ALA Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    53.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    53.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 10:16TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    58.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 4:27ALA Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 14:01TENN Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    65.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    64.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 8:38ALA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.9%
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 7:49ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.4%
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 3:26TENN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.1%−1.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ALADrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:4075% → 73%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
25.4%
Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 2 yds to the Alab 10Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+10
25.7%
Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 10 yds to the Alab 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
25.9%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for no gain to the Alab 20Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
26.2%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for no gain to the Alab 20Similar
Q1 12:35
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
26.7%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Cameron LatuSimilar
Q1 12:16
4TH & 10
OWN 20
+12
26.9%
James Burnip punt for 48 yds , Dee Williams returns for 12 yds to the Tenn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 2TD
7 plays · 56 yds · 1:5827% → 30%
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
26.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Bru McCoy for 11 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+20
27.2%
Hendon Hooker run for 20 yds to the Alab 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
27.5%
Jabari Small run for 5 yds to the Alab 20Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 5
OPP 20
0
27.7%
Jabari Small run for no gain to the Alab 20Similar
Q1 10:53
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+12
27.8%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jacob Warren for 12 yds to the Alab 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
28.1%
Jabari Small run for 7 yds to the Alab 1Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
29.6%
Jabari Small 1 Yd Run (Chase McGrath Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 3TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 2:1271% → 72%
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
29.1%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 4 yds to the Alab 33Similar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
29.0%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Ja'Corey BrooksSimilar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+27
29.3%
Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 27 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
29.1%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jase McClellan for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 41Similar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 11
OPP 41
-8
29.7%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 2 yds to the Tenn 39 ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tyler Steen) to the Tenn 49Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 19
OPP 49
+33
30.2%
Bryce Young pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 33 yds to the Tenn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
29.9%
Bryce Young pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 8 yds to the Tenn 8Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+8
27.9%
Jahmyr Gibbs 8 Yd Run (Will Reichard Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 4TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:1629% → 33%
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
28.8%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Jalin HyattSimilar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
28.8%
Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the Tenn 27Similar
Q1 7:33
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+15
28.6%
Hooker, Hendon pass incomplete to Keyton, Ramel, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Arnold, Terrion) 15 yards to the TENNESSEE42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE.Similar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
29.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 11 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
29.8%
Jaylen Wright run for 11 yds to the Alab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
33.0%
Jalin Hyatt 36 Yd pass from Hendon Hooker (Chase McGrath Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 5PUNT
8 plays · -12 yds · 1:3868% → 66%
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-7
32.2%
Young, Bryce pass complete to Brooks, Ja'Corey for 28 yards to the ALABAMA42, PENALTY ALABAMA holding (McClellan, Jase) 7 yards to the ALABAMA7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:03
1ST & 17
OWN 7
-3
32.8%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Jahmyr Gibbs) to the Alab 4Similar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 20
OWN 4
0
33.1%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Traeshon HoldenSimilar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 20
OWN 4
0
33.2%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Ja'Corey BrooksSimilar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 20
OWN 4
-2
33.7%
ALABAMA Penalty, Delay of Game (-2 Yards) to the Alab 2Similar
Q1 5:18
3RD & 22
OWN 2
0
33.9%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jahmyr GibbsSimilar
Q1 5:01
4TH & 22
OWN 2
0
34.3%
James Burnip punt for 33 yds, downed at the Alab 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 6TD
4 plays · 35 yds · 1:0235% → 40%
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+16
34.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 16 yds to the Alab 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
35.0%
Jaylen Wright run for 5 yds to the Alab 14Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+3
35.3%
Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the Alab 11Similar
Q1 3:59
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+11
40.3%
Jalin Hyatt 11 Yd pass from Hendon Hooker (Chase McGrath Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 7FG
14 plays · 73 yds · 4:5262% → 60%
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
38.4%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 2 yds to the Alab 27Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
39.5%
Young, Bryce pass incomplete to Prentice, Kobe, PENALTY TENNESSEE holding (McDonald, Tamarion) 10 yards to the ALABAMA37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.Similar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
39.5%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 9 yds to the Alab 46Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+3
39.3%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 3 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
39.8%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jahmyr GibbsSimilar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+17
40.5%
Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 17 yds to the Tenn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
40.1%
Bryce Young pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 5 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q1 0:53
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+6
40.3%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 6 yds to the Tenn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+15
40.7%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 15 yds to the Tenn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
41.2%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 5 yds to the Tenn 3Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
41.4%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 1 yd to the Tenn 2Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
42.7%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Ja'Corey BrooksSimilar
Q2 14:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+21
39.9%
Will Reichard 21 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 8FUMBLE
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2541% → 43%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
41.2%
Jaylen Wright run for no gain to the Tenn 25Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
41.5%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Bru McCoySimilar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+7
42.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Princeton Fant for 7 yds to the Tenn 32Similar
Q2 12:42
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+3
42.9%
Paxton Brooks punt for 31 yds , Quandarrius Robinson returns for 3 yds to the Alab 40 Quandarrius Robinson fumbled, recovered by Tenn Christian CharlesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 9TD
3 plays · 40 yds · 1:0145% → 56%
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+31
45.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 31 yds to the Alab 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
45.7%
Jabari Small run for 7 yds to the Alab 2Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
55.8%
Princeton Fant 2 Yd Run (Chase McGrath Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 10TD
11 plays · 84 yds · 4:4946% → 53%
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
54.3%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 4 yds to the Alab 20Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+18
55.5%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jase McClellan for 18 yds to the Alab 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
55.5%
Jase McClellan run for 11 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
55.2%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jase McClellan for 5 yds to the Tenn 46Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+1
55.3%
Jase McClellan run for 1 yd to the Tenn 45Similar
Q2 9:04
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+8
56.9%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 8 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+12
57.3%
Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 12 yds to the Tenn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
56.0%
Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 12 yds to the Tenn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
56.5%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 6 yds to the Tenn 7Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+7
46.8%
Ja'Corey Brooks 7 Yd pass from Bryce Young (Will Reichard Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 11DOWNS
14 plays · 40 yds · 4:0252% → 56%
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
51.8%
Hendon Hooker run for 8 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
52.7%
Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
53.1%
Hooker, Hendon pass incomplete to McCoy, Bru, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Branch, Brian) 12 yards to the TENNESSEE49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE.Similar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
54.0%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Gerald Mincey) to the Tenn 44Similar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 15
OWN 44
0
53.4%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Jabari SmallSimilar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 15
OWN 44
+5
53.4%
Hooker, Hendon pass complete to Warren, Jacob for 6 yards to the 50 yardline, PENALTY ALABAMA offside (Young, Byron) 5 yards to the TENNESSEE49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+9
54.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jabari Small for 9 yds to the Alab 42Similar
Q2 5:24
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+3
54.1%
Hendon Hooker run for 3 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-7
55.8%
Hendon Hooker sacked by DJ Dale for a loss of 7 yards to the Alab 46Similar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 17
OPP 46
+5
55.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jaylen Wright for 5 yds to the Alab 41Similar
Q2 3:39
3RD & 12
OPP 41
+6
56.4%
Hendon Hooker run for 6 yds to the Alab 35Similar
Q2 2:44
4TH & 6
OPP 35
0
56.3%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Ramel KeytonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 12FG
7 plays · 39 yds · 2:0845% → 44%
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
55.2%
Bryce Young pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 3 yds to the Alab 39Similar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+14
55.4%
Bryce Young pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 14 yds to the Tenn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+27
54.2%
Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 27 yds to the Tenn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
52.4%
Bryce Young pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-5
53.0%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for a loss of 5 yards to the Tenn 25Similar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 15
OPP 25
0
57.3%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jermaine BurtonSimilar
Q2 0:36
4TH & 15
OPP 25
+43
55.6%
Will Reichard 43 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 13END OF HALF
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:3355% → 59%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
55.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Princeton Fant for 8 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
56.5%
Hendon Hooker run for 4 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
58.0%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Princeton Fant for 9 yds to the Tenn 46Similar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 1
OWN 46
0
59.0%
Joe Milton III pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 14DOWNS
10 plays · 34 yds · 2:4758% → 61%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
58.4%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Jacob WarrenSimilar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
58.2%
Hendon Hooker run for 9 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q3 14:39
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
58.8%
Hendon Hooker run for 5 yds to the Tenn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
60.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jabari Small for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
50
-3
62.4%
Hendon Hooker run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 47Similar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 13
OWN 47
0
61.9%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Ramel KeytonSimilar
Q3 12:44
3RD & 13
OWN 47
+5
60.3%
ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jah-Marien Latham) to the Alab 48Similar
Q3 12:44
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+6
61.6%
Jaylen Wright run for 6 yds to the Alab 42Similar
Q3 12:13
4TH & 2
OPP 42
+1
61.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jacob Warren for 1 yd to the Alab 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 15TD
3 plays · 59 yds · 1:0242% → 65%
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
57.6%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 38Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 13
OWN 38
+36
59.7%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 36 yds to the Tenn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
35.4%
Jahmyr Gibbs 26 Yd Run (Bryce Young Pass to Ja'Corey Brooks for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5543% → 59%
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
43.0%
Hendon Hooker run for 3 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
43.6%
Jaylen Wright run for 12 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
58.9%
Jalin Hyatt 60 Yd pass from Hendon Hooker (Chase McGrath PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 17TD
19 plays · 75 yds · 5:4946% → 65%
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
53.7%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 3 yds to the Alab 28Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
53.9%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Isaiah BondSimilar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
55.6%
Bryce Young pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 8 yds to the Alab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
53.5%
Bryce Young pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 9 yds to the Alab 45Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+3
51.0%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 3 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
52.1%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Kobe PrenticeSimilar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+13
53.1%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 13 yds to the Tenn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
51.8%
Bryce Young pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 6 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+23
50.0%
Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 23 yds to the Tenn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 0
OPP 10
-5
49.3%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (JC Latham) to the Tenn 15Similar
Q3 6:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
+4
51.0%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 4 yds to the Tenn 11Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+9
51.5%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 9 yds to the Tenn 2Similar
Q3 5:19
3RD & 0
OPP 2
+1
52.1%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jeremy Banks) to the Tenn 1Similar
Q3 4:52
3RD & 0
OPP 1
-10
57.7%
McClellan, Jase rush for 1 yard to the TENNESSEE0, PENALTY ALABAMA holding (Brockermeyer, James) 10 yards to the TENNESSEE11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:47
3RD & 0
OPP 11
-5
58.5%
ALABAMA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 16Similar
Q3 4:47
3RD & 0
OPP 16
+14
58.5%
Young, Bryce pass incomplete to Brooks, Ja'Corey, PENALTY TENNESSEE pass interference (Rucker, De'Shawn) 14 yards to the TENNESSEE2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.Similar
Q3 4:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
35.4%
Jahmyr Gibbs 2 Yd Run (Will Reichard Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 18INT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:1243% → 46%
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
43.3%
Jabari Small run for 9 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
46.6%
Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
44.9%
Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
47.7%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Ramel KeytonSimilar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
46.1%
Hendon Hooker pass intercepted DeMarcco Hellams return for no gain to the Alab 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 3:2460% → 59%
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
39.8%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 3 yds to the Alab 40Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+20
38.5%
Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 20 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
37.5%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 41Similar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+3
38.2%
Bryce Young pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 3 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
Q3 0:51
3RD & 8
OPP 38
-5
38.6%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Cameron Latu) to the Tenn 43Similar
Q3 0:29
3RD & 13
OPP 43
+3
41.1%
Bryce Young pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 3 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
41.5%
James Burnip punt for 34 yds, downed at the Tenn 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 20TD
3 plays · 94 yds · 0:5043% → 80%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
43.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 9 yds to the Tenn 15Similar
Q4 14:33
2ND & 1
OWN 15
+7
44.1%
Jabari Small run for 7 yds to the Tenn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+78
79.7%
Jalin Hyatt 78 Yd pass from Hendon Hooker (Hendon Hooker Pass to Princeton Fant for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 21TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:2325% → 54%
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
75.1%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 3 yds to the Alab 28Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
75.0%
Bryce Young run for 6 yds to the Alab 34Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
75.1%
Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the Alab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+30
76.1%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 30 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-14
71.8%
Bryce Young sacked by Omari Thomas for a loss of 14 yards to the Tenn 47Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 24
OPP 47
+42
76.2%
Bryce Young pass complete to JoJo Earle for 42 yds to the Tenn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
72.4%
Bryce Young run for 1 yd to the Tenn 4Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
72.6%
Bryce Young run for 3 yds to the Tenn 1Similar
Q4 8:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
75.3%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Cameron LatuSimilar
Q4 8:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
46.3%
Cameron Latu 1 Yd pass from Bryce Young (Will Reichard Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 22FUMBLE RETURN TD
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:4354% → 24%
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+10
53.8%
Hendon Hooker run for 10 yds to the Tenn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
54.6%
Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the Tenn 17Similar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+11
23.9%
Dallas Turner 11 Yd Fumble Return (Will Reichard Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 23TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 4:2324% → 66%
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
24.0%
Jaylen Wright run for 9 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
26.9%
Jaylen Wright run for 4 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
25.3%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 2 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+2
26.3%
Jaylen Wright run for 2 yds to the Tenn 42Similar
Q4 6:40
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+9
23.6%
Hooker, Hendon pass incomplete to Fant, Princeton, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Branch, Brian) 9 yards to the ALABAMA49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE.Similar
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
26.7%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Jalin HyattSimilar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
25.4%
Jaylen Wright run for 5 yds to the Alab 44Similar
Q4 6:05
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+11
26.3%
Jaylen Wright run for 11 yds to the Alab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
28.2%
Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the Alab 30Similar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+5
28.6%
Jabari Small run for 5 yds to the Alab 25Similar
Q4 4:52
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+1
26.1%
Jabari Small run for 1 yd to the Alab 24Similar
Q4 4:27
4TH & 1
OPP 24
-4
25.4%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the Alab 28Similar
Q4 4:08
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+15
23.8%
Hooker, Hendon pass pass intended for Fant, Princeton intercepted by McKinstry, Kool-Aid at the ALABAMA0, McKinstry, Kool-Aid return 82 yards to the TENNESSEE18, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Moore, Malachi) 15 yards to the ALABAMA13, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE.Similar
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
66.0%
Jalin Hyatt 13 Yd pass from Hendon Hooker (Chase McGrath Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 24MISSED FG
14 plays · 43 yds · 3:1150% → 51%
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
49.8%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for no gain to the Alab 25Similar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
50.4%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Traeshon Holden) to the Alab 20Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+13
51.1%
Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 13 yds to the Alab 33Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
48.8%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 4 yds to the Alab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
49.0%
Bryce Young pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
50
0
44.5%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Isaiah BondSimilar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 10
50
0
45.6%
Bryce Young pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:45
3RD & 10
50
+18
48.0%
Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 18 yds to the Tenn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
41.4%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Cameron LatuSimilar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
41.4%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jahmyr GibbsSimilar
Q4 0:25
3RD & 10
OPP 32
0
42.7%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jermaine BurtonSimilar
Q4 0:15
4TH & 10
OPP 32
+50
49.0%
Will Reichard 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 25END OF GAME
6 plays · 45 yds · 0:1558% → 96%
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+18
57.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:09
1ST & 10
50
+27
63.1%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Bru McCoy for 27 yds to the Alab 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+40
95.8%
Chase McGrath 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:26
Jalin Hyatt 13 Yd pass from Hendon Hooker (Chase McGrath Kick)
+42.2
TD · Q4 14:01
Jalin Hyatt 78 Yd pass from Hendon Hooker (Hendon Hooker Pass to Princeton Fant for Two-Point Conversion)
+35.5
TD · Q4 7:49
Dallas Turner 11 Yd Fumble Return (Will Reichard Kick)
-30.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com