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AUB

Auburn 10 at Georgia 42

UGA
2022 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2022 · Sanford Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadAUB aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreAUB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:29 · Brett Thorson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Keionte Scott at the Aub 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 13Pregame prior+44.8Home team on offense+0.2Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Blowout margin−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:42: Kenny McIntosh 1 Yd Run (Jack Podlesny Kick) — UGA win probability +1.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:45: Daijun Edwards 1 Yd Run (Jack Podlesny Kick) — UGA win probability +1.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 11:51: Anders Carlson 29 Yd Field Goal — AUB win probability +1.4 pts (now 8%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:07: Daijun Edwards 2 Yd Run (Jack Podlesny Kick) — UGA win probability +4.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:49: Stetson Bennett 64 Yd Run (Jack Podlesny Kick) — UGA win probability +2.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 7AUB made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 12:01AUB 4th & 15 at AUB 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:29UGA 4th & 1 at UGA 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:32AUB 4th & 8 at AUB 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:55UGA 4th & 11 at AUB 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    93.6%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:23AUB 4th & 15 at AUB 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:18UGA 4th & 10 at AUB 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.3%
    56% to make
    Punt
    92.2%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:25AUB 4th & 6 at AUB 34, tied
    Close callWent for it · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:35AUB 4th & 11 at AUB 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:34UGA 4th & 1 at UGA 47, up 14
    Close callPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:17AUB 4th & 18 at AUB 6, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−0.9
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:50UGA 4th & 10 at UGA 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:51AUB 4th & 3 at UGA 12, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.4%−0.2
    86% to make
    Punt
    3.9%−2.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:39AUB 4th & 12 at UGA 47, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:30UGA 4th & 5 at UGA 49, up 18
    Close callPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:00AUB 4th & 10 at AUB 8, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:59AUB 4th & 10 at AUB 25, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:50AUB 4th & 4 at AUB 31, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:17UGA 4th & 1 at UGA 43, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6AUB made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q2 11:42UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:45UGA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:07UGA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:49UGA Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:10UGA Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:51AUB Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:45UGA Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AUBDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 5 yds · 2:294% → 4%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.4%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Tank Bigsby for 3 yds to the Aub 28Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
96.4%
Tank Bigsby run for 1 yd to the Aub 29Similar
Q1 13:25
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+6
96.2%
Robby Ashford run for 6 yds to the Aub 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
96.2%
Tank Bigsby run for no gain to the Aub 35Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-5
96.1%
AUBURN Penalty, False Start (Ja'Varrius Johnson) to the Aub 30Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 15
OWN 30
0
96.0%
Robby Ashford pass incomplete to Ja'Varrius JohnsonSimilar
Q1 12:11
3RD & 15
OWN 30
0
96.0%
Robby Ashford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:01
4TH & 15
OWN 30
+5
96.0%
Oscar Chapman punt for 40 yds , Ladd McConkey returns for 5 yds to the Geo 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1696% → 96%
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
95.9%
Kenny McIntosh run for 3 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
95.9%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Brock BowersSimilar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+6
95.8%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 6 yds to the Geo 44Similar
Q1 10:29
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
95.7%
Brett Thorson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Keionte Scott at the Aub 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 3FUMBLE
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:514% → 4%
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
95.6%
Robby Ashford pass incomplete to John Samuel ShenkerSimilar
Q1 10:16
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
95.6%
Robby Ashford pass incomplete to Shedrick JacksonSimilar
Q1 10:16
3RD & 10
OWN 15
-5
95.7%
AUBURN Penalty, False Start (Brandon Council) to the Aub 10Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 15
OWN 10
+7
95.6%
Robby Ashford pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 7 yds to the Aub 17Similar
Q1 9:32
4TH & 8
OWN 17
0
95.6%
Oscar Chapman punt for 40 yds , Ladd McConkey returns for no gain to the Geo 43 Ladd McConkey fumbled, recovered by GeoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:0996% → 95%
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
95.5%
Kendall Milton run for 8 yds to the Aub 49Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+5
95.4%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 5 yds to the Aub 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
95.3%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for no gain to the Aub 44Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-1
95.1%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 45Similar
Q1 7:03
3RD & 11
OPP 45
0
95.0%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Brock BowersSimilar
Q1 6:55
4TH & 11
OPP 45
0
94.8%
Brett Thorson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Keionte Scott at the Aub 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 1:105% → 5%
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
94.8%
Tank Bigsby run for 5 yds to the Aub 11Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+3
94.7%
Robby Ashford pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 3 yds to the Aub 14Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 2
OWN 14
+15
94.7%
Robby Ashford run for 15 yds to the Aub 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
94.5%
Robby Ashford pass incomplete to Koy MooreSimilar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
94.5%
Robby Ashford pass incomplete to Ja'Varrius JohnsonSimilar
Q1 5:33
3RD & 10
OWN 29
0
94.6%
Robby Ashford pass incomplete to Shedrick JacksonSimilar
Q1 5:30
4TH & 10
OWN 29
-5
94.6%
AUBURN Penalty, False Start (Cam Riley) to the Aub 24Similar
Q1 5:23
4TH & 15
OWN 24
+2
94.6%
Oscar Chapman punt for 45 yds , Ladd McConkey returns for 2 yds to the Geo 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6MISSED FG
8 plays · 36 yds · 2:4294% → 94%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
94.4%
Branson Robinson run for 9 yds to the Geo 42Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+28
94.4%
Daijun Edwards run for 28 yds to the Aub 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
94.5%
Daijun Edwards run for 2 yds to the Aub 28Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+7
94.3%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Darnell Washington for 7 yds to the Aub 21Similar
Q1 2:37
3RD & 1
OPP 21
-15
94.1%
Milton, Kendall rush for 8 yards to the AUBURN13, PENALTY GEORGIA personal foul (Washington, Darnell) 15 yards to the AUBURN36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 16
OPP 36
+5
93.8%
Bennett, Stetson pass incomplete, PENALTY AUBURN offside 5 yards to the AUBURN30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:24
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
94.0%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Kearis JacksonSimilar
Q1 2:18
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+47
93.7%
Jack Podlesny 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 7DOWNS
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:337% → 7%
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
93.3%
Robby Ashford run for 9 yds to the Aub 39Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 1
OWN 39
-10
92.9%
Hunter, Jarquez rush for no gain to the AUBURN39, PENALTY AUBURN holding (Jackson, Alec) 10 yards to the AUBURN29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+5
93.0%
Robby Ashford run for 5 yds to the Aub 34Similar
Q1 0:29
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
92.9%
Robby Ashford pass incomplete to Tyler FrommSimilar
Q1 0:25
4TH & 6
OWN 34
+2
93.1%
John Samuel Shenker run for 2 yds to the Aub 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8TD
8 plays · 36 yds · 3:2093% → 94%
Q1 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
93.4%
Kenny McIntosh run for 9 yds to the Aub 27Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+5
93.5%
Kendall Milton run for 5 yds to the Aub 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
93.3%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 6 yds to the Aub 16Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+10
93.0%
Daijun Edwards run for 10 yds to the Aub 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
92.9%
Daijun Edwards run for 5 yds to the Aub 1Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
92.7%
Daijun Edwards run for no gain to the Aub 1Similar
Q2 11:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.9%
Kenny McIntosh 1 Yd Run (Jack Podlesny Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:077% → 6%
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
93.5%
AUBURN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Aub 20Similar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+4
93.4%
Jarquez Hunter run for 4 yds to the Aub 24Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
93.4%
Robby Ashford pass incomplete to Jarquez HunterSimilar
Q2 10:51
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
93.5%
Robby Ashford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:35
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+38
93.6%
Oscar Chapman punt for 45 yds , Ladd McConkey returns for 38 yds to the Aub 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10TD
3 plays · 31 yds · 1:0594% → 95%
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+23
93.8%
Branson Robinson run for 23 yds to the Aub 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
93.7%
Kenny McIntosh run for 7 yds to the Aub 1Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.3%
Daijun Edwards 1 Yd Run (Jack Podlesny Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 11FUMBLE
9 plays · 36 yds · 3:485% → 6%
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
94.6%
Tank Bigsby run for 2 yds to the Aub 25Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+13
94.6%
Robby Ashford pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 13 yds to the Aub 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-10
94.3%
Ashford, Robby rush for 6 yards to the AUBURN44, PENALTY AUBURN holding (Zierer, Kilian) 10 yards to the AUBURN28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 20
OWN 28
+16
94.4%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Ze'Vian Capers for 16 yds to the Aub 44Similar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+9
94.0%
Robby Ashford pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 9 yds to the Geo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
93.8%
Tank Bigsby run for 4 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+2
93.7%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Jarquez Hunter for 2 yds to the Geo 41Similar
Q2 4:42
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+3
93.7%
Robby Ashford run for 3 yds to the Geo 38 Robby Ashford fumbled, recovered by Geo Zion LogueSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3194% → 94%
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
94.4%
Kenny McIntosh run for 2 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+5
94.4%
Kenny McIntosh run for 5 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q2 3:10
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+2
94.3%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for 2 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q2 2:34
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
94.1%
Brett Thorson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Keionte Scott at the Aub 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 0:586% → 6%
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
94.1%
Jarquez Hunter run for 9 yds to the Aub 23Similar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 1
OWN 23
-5
93.9%
AUBURN Penalty, False Start (Brenden Coffey) to the Aub 18Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 6
OWN 18
0
94.2%
Robby Ashford pass incomplete to Ja'Varrius JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 6
OWN 18
-12
94.3%
Robby Ashford run for a loss of 12 yards to the Aub 6 Robby Ashford fumbled, recovered by Aub Kilian ZiererSimilar
Q2 1:17
4TH & 18
OWN 6
+8
94.5%
Oscar Chapman punt for 56 yds , Ladd McConkey returns for 8 yds to the Geo 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2095% → 95%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
95.4%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Brock BowersSimilar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
95.3%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Brock BowersSimilar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
95.1%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Dominick BlaylockSimilar
Q2 0:50
4TH & 10
OWN 46
0
94.8%
Brett Thorson punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Keionte Scott at the Aub 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 15END OF HALF
9 plays · 31 yds · 0:305% → 5%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
94.7%
Robby Ashford run for 7 yds to the Aub 16Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 3
OWN 16
0
94.4%
Robby Ashford pass incomplete to John Samuel ShenkerSimilar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 3
OWN 16
+7
94.5%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Tank Bigsby for 7 yds to the Aub 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
94.3%
Robby Ashford pass incomplete to Shedrick JacksonSimilar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
94.4%
Robby Ashford pass incomplete to Jay FairSimilar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+17
94.8%
Robby Ashford run for 17 yds to the Aub 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
94.6%
Robby Ashford pass incomplete to Shedrick JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16FUMBLE
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:0395% → 95%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.0%
Kenny McIntosh run for no gain to the Geo 25Similar
Q3 13:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.0%
Branson Robinson run for 3 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q3 13:42
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-9
94.8%
Stetson Bennett sacked by Colby Wooden for a loss of 9 yards to the Geo 19 Stetson Bennett fumbled, forced by Colby Wooden, recovered by Aub Colby Wooden , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 17FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:177% → 8%
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
93.4%
Tank Bigsby run for 5 yds to the Geo 14Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 5
OPP 14
0
93.4%
Tank Bigsby run for no gain to the Geo 14Similar
Q3 12:11
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+2
93.8%
Robby Ashford run for 2 yds to the Geo 12Similar
Q3 11:51
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+29
92.4%
Anders Carlson 29 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 4:1393% → 98%
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+16
93.2%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Darnell Washington for 16 yds to the Geo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
93.2%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 1 yd to the Geo 36Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+3
93.2%
Daijun Edwards run for 3 yds to the Geo 39Similar
Q3 9:48
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+21
93.1%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 21 yds to the Aub 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-3
93.7%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for 12 yds to the Aub 28 GEORGIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Darnell Washington) to the Aub 43Similar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 13
OPP 43
+14
93.6%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 14 yds to the Aub 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
93.7%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Jackson MeeksSimilar
Q3 8:38
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+9
93.6%
Stetson Bennett run for 9 yds to the Aub 20Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+10
93.3%
Kenny McIntosh run for 10 yds to the Aub 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
93.5%
Daijun Edwards run for 8 yds to the Aub 2Similar
Q3 7:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.5%
Daijun Edwards 2 Yd Run (Jack Podlesny Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 19PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 3:513% → 3%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
96.7%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Jarquez Hunter for 9 yds to the Aub 34Similar
Q3 6:16
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
96.4%
Tank Bigsby run for 4 yds to the Aub 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
96.6%
AUBURN Penalty, False Start (Camden Brown) to the Aub 33Similar
Q3 5:24
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+2
96.8%
Jarquez Hunter run for 2 yds to the Aub 35Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 13
OWN 35
0
96.9%
Robby Ashford pass incomplete to Tyler FrommSimilar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 13
OWN 35
+20
97.0%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Ja'Varrius Johnson for 20 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
96.6%
Robby Ashford pass incomplete to Koy MooreSimilar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+2
96.6%
Tank Bigsby run for 2 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 8
OPP 43
-4
96.7%
Tank Bigsby run for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 47Similar
Q3 2:39
4TH & 12
OPP 47
0
96.9%
Oscar Chapman punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 1:4897% → 98%
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+24
97.4%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 24 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
97.6%
Branson Robinson run for 1 yd to the Geo 45Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 9
OWN 45
-5
97.6%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Ladd McConkey) to the Geo 40Similar
Q3 1:22
2ND & 14
OWN 40
0
97.6%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Ladd McConkeySimilar
Q3 0:50
3RD & 14
OWN 40
+9
97.7%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Dillon Bell for 9 yds to the Geo 49Similar
Q3 0:30
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
97.5%
Brett Thorson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Keionte Scott at the Aub 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:213% → 3%
Q3 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
97.3%
Robby Ashford pass incomplete to John Samuel ShenkerSimilar
Q3 0:14
2ND & 10
OWN 8
0
97.4%
Robby Ashford pass incomplete to Tank BigsbySimilar
Q3 0:10
3RD & 10
OWN 8
0
97.4%
Robby Ashford pass incomplete to Tank BigsbySimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 10
OWN 8
0
97.4%
Oscar Chapman punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 22TD
1 play · 64 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
99.6%
Stetson Bennett 64 Yd Run (Jack Podlesny Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:411% → 1%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Robby Ashford pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for no gain to the Aub 25Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Robby Ashford pass incomplete to Koy MooreSimilar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Robby Ashford pass incomplete to Koy MooreSimilar
Q4 13:59
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Oscar Chapman punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Ladd McConkey at the Geo 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 24TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 2:25100% → 100%
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+24
99.6%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Dominick Blaylock for 24 yds to the Aub 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
99.6%
Daijun Edwards run for 14 yds to the Aub 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
99.7%
Daijun Edwards run for 3 yds to the Aub 22Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 7
OPP 22
-2
99.7%
Branson Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 24Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+12
99.7%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 12 yds to the Aub 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
99.7%
AUBURN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Aub 7Similar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 5
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Daijun Edwards 7 Yd Run (Jack Podlesny Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 25TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:390% → 0%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
Jarquez Hunter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 24Similar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+14
99.9%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Koy Moore for 14 yds to the Aub 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Robby Ashford pass incomplete to Koy MooreSimilar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+62
99.6%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Jarquez Hunter for 62 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 26TD
13 plays · 65 yds · 4:40100% → 100%
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
99.7%
Branson Robinson run for 7 yds to the Geo 42Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 3
OWN 42
0
99.7%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Jackson MeeksSimilar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+6
99.7%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Oscar Delp for 6 yds to the Geo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
99.7%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Jackson Meeks for 9 yds to the Aub 43Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+3
99.7%
Branson Robinson run for 3 yds to the Aub 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.8%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Branson Robinson for no gain to the Aub 40Similar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+12
99.8%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Dillon Bell for 12 yds to the Aub 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
99.8%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Oscar Delp for 5 yds to the Aub 23Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 5
OPP 23
0
99.8%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Oscar DelpSimilar
Q4 5:21
3RD & 5
OPP 23
-10
99.8%
Bennett, Stetson pass complete to Robinson, Branson for 23 yards to the AUBURN0, PENALTY GEORGIA holding 10 yards to the AUBURN33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 15
OPP 33
+18
99.8%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Oscar Delp for 18 yds to the Aub 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
99.9%
Branson Robinson run for 15 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:200% → 0%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Jarquez Hunter run for 6 yds to the Aub 31Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Robby Ashford pass incomplete to Jay FairSimilar
Q4 3:58
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Robby Ashford pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:50
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Oscar Chapman punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Ladd McConkey at the Geo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 28END OF GAME
6 plays · 36 yds · 2:53100% → 100%
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
99.9%
Branson Robinson run for 2 yds to the Geo 36Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+4
99.9%
Branson Robinson run for 4 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+3
99.9%
Branson Robinson run for 3 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q4 1:17
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+30
99.9%
Branson Robinson run for 30 yds to the Aub 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 28Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 11
OPP 28
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:07
Daijun Edwards 2 Yd Run (Jack Podlesny Kick)
+4
TD · Q4 14:49
Stetson Bennett 64 Yd Run (Jack Podlesny Kick)
+2.2
TD · Q2 8:45
Daijun Edwards 1 Yd Run (Jack Podlesny Kick)
+1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com