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UGA

Georgia 26 at Missouri 22

MIZ
2022 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2022 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreUGA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGFGFGFGFGFGFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+3.1MIZ 51.6%Harrison Mevis 52 yd FG GOODAWAY 9 - HOME 19 · Q3 4:31
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:31 · Harrison Mevis 52 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 122Pregame prior−28.1Home team on offense+12.9Garbage-time factor+6.6Score differential+1.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 8:53: Harrison Mevis 49 yd FG GOOD — MIZ win probability +3.8 pts (now 17%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 5:53: Jack Podlesny 28 Yd Field Goal — UGA win probability +4.7 pts (now 61%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 2:15: Jack Podlesny 29 yd FG GOOD — UGA win probability +8.2 pts (now 54%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:39: Kendall Milton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK) — UGA win probability +31.7 pts (now 56%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 4:03: Daijun Edwards run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK) — UGA win probability +38.2 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 8 of 10UGA made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 13:22UGA 4th & 19 at UGA 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:31MIZ 4th & 7 at MIZ 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:30MIZ 4th & 11 at UGA 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:41UGA 4th & 8 at UGA 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:11MIZ 4th & 9 at UGA 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:45UGA 4th & 3 at UGA 46, down 3
    Close callPunted · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.4%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:53MIZ 4th & 18 at UGA 32, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%−1.4
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.7%
    51% to make
    Punt
    15.9%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:36UGA 4th & 10 at MIZ 23, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.7%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    70.5%−3.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:16MIZ 4th & 4 at UGA 4, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.2%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    19.3%−6.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:10UGA 4th & 3 at MIZ 27, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    65.2%−0.2
    62% to make
    Punt
    61.3%−4.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:40MIZ 4th & 3 at MIZ 32, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%−0.6
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:53UGA 4th & 11 at MIZ 11, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−2.6
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.6%
    87% to make
    Punt
    34.5%−13.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:31MIZ 4th & 14 at UGA 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%−2.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.9%
    47% to make
    Punt
    47.5%−1.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:15UGA 4th & 6 at MIZ 11, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.9%
    87% to make
    Punt
    25.6%−14.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:09MIZ 4th & 9 at UGA 38, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.8%−0.5
    38% to make
    Punt
    66.7%−0.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:10UGA 4th & 2 at MIZ 4, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.3%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    20.9%−2.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    11.3%−12.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:15MIZ 4th & 21 at MIZ 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.2%−10.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:39MIZ 4th & 10 at MIZ 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UGA made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 12:43MIZ Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 9:39UGA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.4%−0.8
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.2%
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 4:03UGA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:3897% → 97%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.6%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Marcus Rosemy-JacksaintSimilar
Q1 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
2.7%
Kenny McIntosh run for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 21Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 14
OWN 21
-5
2.9%
Stetson Bennett sacked by Trajan Jeffcoat for a loss of 5 yards to the Geo 16Similar
Q1 13:22
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
3.0%
Brett Thorson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Luther Burden III at the Misso 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:293% → 3%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
3.0%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 4 yds to the Misso 49Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 6
OWN 49
-3
3.1%
Dominic Lovett run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 46Similar
Q1 11:50
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+2
3.3%
Brady Cook run for 2 yds to the Misso 48Similar
Q1 11:31
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
3.3%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ladd McConkey at the Geo 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 3FUMBLE
1 play · 35 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+35
3.3%
Kendall Milton run for 35 yds to the Geo 46 Kendall Milton fumbled, forced by Ty'Ron Hopper, recovered by Misso Ennis Rakestraw Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:404% → 4%
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-6
3.5%
Brady Cook sacked by Kamari Lassiter and Chaz Chambliss for a loss of 6 yards to the Misso 48Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 16
OWN 48
+1
3.5%
Nathaniel Peat run for 1 yd to the Misso 49Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 15
OWN 49
+4
3.6%
Brady Cook pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 4 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q1 9:30
4TH & 11
OPP 47
0
3.8%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Ladd McConkey at the Geo 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:4996% → 96%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
3.8%
Daijun Edwards run for no gain to the Geo 9Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+2
4.0%
Daijun Edwards run for 2 yds to the Geo 11Similar
Q1 7:53
3RD & 8
OWN 11
0
4.2%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Ladd McConkeySimilar
Q1 7:41
4TH & 8
OWN 11
+6
4.3%
Brett Thorson punt for 49 yds , Luther Burden III returns for 6 yds to the Misso 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 6FG
10 plays · 31 yds · 3:194% → 6%
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
4.4%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 13 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-10
4.4%
MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Misso 49Similar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 20
OWN 49
0
4.5%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Dominic LovettSimilar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 20
OWN 49
+27
4.6%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 27 yds to the Geo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
4.7%
MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Geo 29Similar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 15
OPP 29
+6
4.8%
Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 6 yds to the Geo 23Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 9
OPP 23
-4
4.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 27Similar
Q1 4:35
3RD & 13
OPP 27
+4
5.2%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 4 yds to the Geo 23Similar
Q1 4:11
4TH & 9
OPP 23
+41
5.5%
Harrison Mevis 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:0694% → 94%
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
5.7%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Darnell Washington for 14 yds to the Geo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
5.7%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Marcus Rosemy-JacksaintSimilar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
5.8%
Stetson Bennett run for 7 yds to the Geo 46Similar
Q1 3:05
3RD & 3
OWN 46
0
5.7%
Kenny McIntosh run for no gain to the Geo 46Similar
Q1 1:45
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
6.3%
Brett Thorson punt for 35 yds, downed at the Misso 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 8TD
10 plays · 81 yds · 3:526% → 10%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
6.4%
Nathaniel Peat run for 3 yds to the Misso 22Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+1
6.6%
Nathaniel Peat run for 1 yd to the Misso 23Similar
Q1 0:10
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+8
6.8%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 8 yds to the Misso 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
7.1%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Dominic LovettSimilar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+4
7.3%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 4 yds to the Misso 35Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+36
7.5%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 36 yds to the Geo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
8.2%
GEORGIA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Geo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
8.3%
Nathaniel Peat run for 4 yds to the Geo 10Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 6
OPP 10
0
8.7%
Brady Cook run for no gain to the Geo 10Similar
Q2 12:43
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+10
10.3%
Brady Cook pass complete to Tyler Stephens for 10 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9FUMBLE
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:4190% → 89%
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
10.5%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Kenny McIntoshSimilar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
10.6%
Daijun Edwards run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 23Similar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+17
11.3%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 17 yds to the Geo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
10.5%
Stetson Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+8
11.3%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 8 yds to the Geo 48Similar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+6
11.1%
Stetson Bennett run for a loss of 6 yards to the Geo 36 Stetson Bennett fumbled, recovered by Misso Daylan Carnell , return for 6 yds to the Geo 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 10FG
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:4712% → 17%
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
12.4%
Cody Schrader run for 5 yds to the Geo 31Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+7
12.6%
Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 7 yds to the Geo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-10
12.8%
Dominic Lovett run for a loss of 10 yards to the Geo 34Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 20
OPP 34
+2
13.0%
Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 2 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q2 8:58
3RD & 18
OPP 32
0
13.3%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Luther Burden IIISimilar
Q2 8:53
4TH & 18
OPP 32
+49
17.1%
Harrison Mevis 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11FG
9 plays · 52 yds · 2:0983% → 84%
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
16.6%
Kendall Milton run for 1 yd to the Geo 26Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
17.7%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Kenny McIntoshSimilar
Q2 7:45
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+18
18.5%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Dominick Blaylock for 18 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+33
18.1%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 33 yds to the Misso 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
17.3%
Stetson Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
17.6%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Darnell WashingtonSimilar
Q2 6:41
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
18.3%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Marcus Rosemy-JacksaintSimilar
Q2 6:36
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+40
16.4%
Jack Podlesny 40 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 12FG
10 plays · 71 yds · 3:0616% → 25%
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
16.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 8 yds to the Misso 33Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
17.2%
Nathaniel Peat run for 3 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+63
17.9%
Cody Schrader run for 63 yds to the Geo 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 0
OPP 1
-5
19.5%
MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Geo 6Similar
Q2 5:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
18.9%
Cody Schrader run for 1 yd to the Geo 5Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
19.7%
Nathaniel Peat run for 1 yd to the Geo 4Similar
Q2 3:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
21.7%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Tauskie DoveSimilar
Q2 3:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
25.2%
Harrison Mevis 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13END OF HALF
18 plays · 54 yds · 3:1676% → 72%
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
24.4%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Geo 25Similar
Q2 3:10
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+10
25.3%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 10 yds to the Geo 35Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+17
25.4%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Dillon Bell for 17 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
25.3%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kearis Jackson for 14 yds to the Misso 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
24.7%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Arian Smith for 7 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 3
OPP 27
0
25.2%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Daijun EdwardsSimilar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 3
OPP 27
0
26.1%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Marcus Rosemy-JacksaintSimilar
Q2 1:10
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+5
27.2%
Stetson Bennett run for 5 yds to the Misso 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
26.8%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Brock BowersSimilar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+10
27.0%
MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Misso 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
26.7%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Marcus Rosemy-JacksaintSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-15
27.5%
GEORGIA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Misso 27Similar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 25
OPP 27
+11
30.5%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 11 yds to the Misso 16Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 14
OPP 16
+34
27.6%
Jack Podlesny 34 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0929% → 30%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
29.0%
Brady Cook pass complete to Nathaniel Peat for 5 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
30.4%
Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the Misso 32Similar
Q3 13:48
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
30.5%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Tauskie DoveSimilar
Q3 13:40
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
29.6%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Ladd McConkey at the Geo 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15FG
17 plays · 66 yds · 7:3669% → 61%
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
31.5%
Kenny McIntosh run for 9 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+1
30.7%
Kenny McIntosh run for 1 yd to the Geo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
33.1%
Kenny McIntosh run for 3 yds to the Geo 36Similar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
33.7%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Ladd McConkeySimilar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+14
35.0%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
50
+8
33.4%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Dillon Bell for 8 yds to the Misso 42Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+11
33.4%
Kendall Milton run for 11 yds to the Misso 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
35.0%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 2 yds to the Misso 29Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+10
35.5%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for 10 yds to the Misso 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
36.6%
Kenny McIntosh run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 20Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+12
38.5%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 12 yds to the Misso 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
38.9%
Kearis Jackson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Misso 13Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 0
OPP 13
+6
37.9%
Bennett, Stetson pass incomplete to Bell, Dillon, PENALTY MISSOURI pass interference (Rakestraw Jr., Ennis) 6 yards to the MISSOURI7, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.Similar
Q3 7:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
40.5%
Kenny McIntosh run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 8Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
41.0%
Stetson Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-3
44.1%
Stetson Bennett sacked by Darius Robinson for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 11Similar
Q3 5:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
39.4%
Jack Podlesny 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 16FG
6 plays · 42 yds · 0:5946% → 52%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+46
46.2%
Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 46 yds to the Geo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
50.6%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Barrett BanisterSimilar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-4
50.6%
Nathaniel Peat run for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 34Similar
Q3 4:36
3RD & 14
OPP 34
0
48.4%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Luther Burden IIISimilar
Q3 4:31
4TH & 14
OPP 34
+52
51.6%
Harrison Mevis 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17FG
8 plays · 64 yds · 2:1647% → 54%
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
52.7%
Kendall Milton run for 15 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Misso 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+30
48.6%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Darnell Washington for 30 yds to the Misso 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
49.0%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Misso 20Similar
Q3 3:08
1ST & 15
OPP 20
0
50.1%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Darnell WashingtonSimilar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 15
OPP 20
0
51.1%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Dillon BellSimilar
Q3 2:52
3RD & 15
OPP 20
+9
54.3%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Dominick Blaylock for 9 yds to the Misso 11Similar
Q3 2:15
4TH & 6
OPP 11
+29
46.2%
Jack Podlesny 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 18FG
9 plays · 37 yds · 2:3656% → 66%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
55.8%
Brady Cook sacked by Nolan Smith for a loss of 7 yards to the Misso 18Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 17
OWN 18
0
55.6%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Barrett BanisterSimilar
Q3 1:30
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+15
54.1%
Cook, Brady pass incomplete to Burden III, Luther, PENALTY GEORGIA pass interference (Ringo, Kelee) 15 yards to the MISSOURI33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MISSOURI.Similar
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+28
60.1%
Nathaniel Peat run for 28 yds to the Geo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
64.1%
Nathaniel Peat run for no gain to the Geo 39Similar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
67.4%
Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for no gain to the Geo 39Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+1
66.2%
Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 1 yd to the Geo 38Similar
Q4 14:09
4TH & 9
OPP 38
+56
66.3%
Harrison Mevis 56 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:2432% → 56%
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
68.2%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Brock BowersSimilar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+27
69.2%
Kenny McIntosh run for 27 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
64.3%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Kearis JacksonSimilar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+16
65.2%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 16 yds to the Misso 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+20
63.6%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Darnell Washington for 20 yds to the Misso 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
64.0%
Daijun Edwards run for 6 yds to the Misso 6Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+3
65.6%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 3 yds to the Misso 3Similar
Q4 10:45
3RD & 1
OPP 3
-1
69.0%
Kendall Milton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 4Similar
Q4 10:10
4TH & 2
OPP 4
+3
75.5%
Kenny McIntosh run for 3 yds to the Misso 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
43.8%
Kendall Milton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:1058% → 58%
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
57.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 10 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
59.3%
Cody Schrader run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
50
+3
63.4%
Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
64.9%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Mookie CooperSimilar
Q4 8:09
3RD & 7
OPP 47
-15
63.2%
MISSOURI Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Misso 38Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 22
OWN 38
+1
59.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 1 yd to the Misso 39Similar
Q4 7:15
4TH & 21
OWN 39
0
58.0%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 2:4544% → 85%
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
55.7%
Kenny McIntosh run for 6 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+22
53.1%
Kenny McIntosh run for 22 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
52.5%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 13 yds to the Misso 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
50.9%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Dominick Blaylock for 15 yds to the Misso 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
51.8%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Daijun Edwards for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 13Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 11
OPP 13
+12
53.4%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 12 yds to the Misso 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
15.2%
Daijun Edwards run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:1828% → 24%
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
27.6%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Luther Burden IIISimilar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
27.0%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Tauskie DoveSimilar
Q4 3:45
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
25.5%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Barrett BanisterSimilar
Q4 3:39
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
24.0%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Ladd McConkey at the Geo 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 23END OF GAME
12 plays · 42 yds · 3:1984% → 96%
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
15.7%
Kendall Milton run for 1 yd to the Geo 37Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+12
14.9%
Daijun Edwards run for 12 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
12.7%
Daijun Edwards run for 9 yds to the Misso 42Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+6
8.4%
Daijun Edwards run for 6 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
8.2%
Daijun Edwards run for 4 yds to the Misso 32Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+4
6.4%
Daijun Edwards run for 4 yds to the Misso 28Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+7
4.5%
Daijun Edwards run for 7 yds to the Misso 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
4.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:03
Daijun Edwards run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)
-38.2
TD · Q4 9:39
Kendall Milton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)
-31.7
FG · Q3 2:15
Jack Podlesny 29 yd FG GOOD
-8.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com