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UK

Kentucky 19 at Ole Miss 22

MISS
2022 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2022 · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
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Win probability · MISS
modelMISS aheadUK aheadconfidence bandkey playMISS scoreUK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDSAFETYFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:49 · Fraser Masin punt for 44 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for no gain to the Kent 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+23.5+11.80−11.8−23.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 149Home team on offense+17.1Pregame prior+0.3Garbage-time factor+10.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Score differential+1.2Blowout margin−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:59: Quinshon Judkins run for 48 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — MISS win probability +5.9 pts (now 71%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 7:03: Jonathan Cruz 53 yd FG GOOD — MISS win probability +5.5 pts (now 76%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:23: Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 5 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed) — UK win probability +10.8 pts (now 36%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:22: Will Levis pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 17 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK) — UK win probability +15.5 pts (now 48%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 2:19: Jonathan Cruz 26 yd FG GOOD — MISS win probability +4.0 pts (now 67%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MISS made the numbers' call on 6 of 7UK made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 12:42MISS 4th & 6 at UK 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    67.8%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    67.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:49UK 4th & 12 at UK 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:44UK 4th & 9 at MISS 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    28.0%−2.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:31MISS 4th & 4 at MISS 41, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.7%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:03MISS 4th & 20 at UK 35, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%−1.3
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.6%
    45% to make
    Punt
    73.0%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:28UK 4th & 5 at UK 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−1.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:30MISS 4th & 5 at MISS 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:25UK 4th & 1 at MISS 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    24.2%−2.7
    64% to make
    Punt
    17.0%−9.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:19MISS 4th & 5 at UK 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.8%
    90% to make
    Punt
    50.1%−11.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:55UK 4th & 3 at MISS 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.6%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    32.6%−2.0
    51% to make
    Punt
    30.8%−3.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:14MISS 4th & 5 at UK 5, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.3%
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    72.2%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    55.0%−17.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:49MISS 4th & 9 at MISS 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%−5.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MISS made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UK made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 7:09MISS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:59MISS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:00UK Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    29.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:23UK Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    27.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    27.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:22UK Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MISSDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 2:0160% → 60%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
60.2%
Jaxson Dart run for 6 yds to the Miss 29Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+21
60.2%
JJ Henry run for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:09
1ST & 10
50
0
60.3%
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to JJ HenrySimilar
Q1 13:46
2ND & 10
50
-2
60.3%
Zach Evans run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 48Similar
Q1 13:32
3RD & 12
OWN 48
+11
60.2%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Malik Heath for 11 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q1 13:09
4TH & 1
OPP 41
-5
60.3%
OLE MISS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Kent 46Similar
Q1 12:42
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
60.2%
Fraser Masin punt for 41 yds, downed at the Kent 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 3:4640% → 40%
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
60.2%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kent 11Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 4
OWN 11
+3
60.2%
Will Levis run for 3 yds to the Kent 14Similar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 1
OWN 14
+3
60.3%
Will Levis run for 3 yds to the Kent 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
60.1%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Barion BrownSimilar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+6
60.2%
Will Levis pass complete to Brenden Bates for 6 yds to the Kent 23Similar
Q1 9:32
3RD & 4
OWN 23
-8
60.3%
Will Levis sacked by Austin Keys for a loss of 8 yards to the Kent 15Similar
Q1 8:49
4TH & 12
OWN 15
0
60.4%
Colin Goodfellow punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Miss 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 3TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:3460% → 64%
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
60.1%
Zach Evans run for 7 yds to the Miss 42Similar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 3
OWN 42
0
60.7%
Jonathan Mingo run for no gain to the Miss 42Similar
Q1 7:58
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+4
60.5%
Zach Evans run for 4 yds to the Miss 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
60.7%
Jaxson Dart run for 12 yds to the Kent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+38
60.9%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 38 yds to the Kent 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
63.8%
Zach Evans run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 4MISSED FG
10 plays · 54 yds · 4:0937% → 36%
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
63.0%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 5 yds to the Kent 30Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
63.0%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 33Similar
Q1 5:33
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+30
63.3%
Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for 30 yds to the Miss 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
62.7%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 7 yds to the Miss 30Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+8
62.2%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 8 yds to the Miss 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
62.4%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 1 yd to the Miss 21Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 9
OPP 21
0
62.3%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Kavosiey SmokeSimilar
Q1 2:50
3RD & 9
OPP 21
0
63.2%
Will Levis pass incomplete to JuTahn McClainSimilar
Q1 2:44
4TH & 9
OPP 21
+39
63.9%
Matt Ruffolo 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 5TD
6 plays · 79 yds · 1:3665% → 71%
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
64.5%
Quinshon Judkins run for 2 yds to the Miss 23Similar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 8
OWN 23
-3
64.5%
Quinshon Judkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the Miss 20Similar
Q1 1:51
3RD & 11
OWN 20
+25
64.1%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Malik Heath for 25 yds to the Miss 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
65.7%
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Malik HeathSimilar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+7
65.5%
Jaxson Dart run for 7 yds to the Kent 48Similar
Q1 0:59
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+48
71.3%
Quinshon Judkins run for 48 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 6TD
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:3932% → 36%
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
68.0%
Tayvion Robinson run for 5 yds to the Miss 10Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+10
64.1%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 10 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:2166% → 66%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
65.9%
Quinshon Judkins run for 9 yds to the Miss 34Similar
Q2 14:38
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
66.5%
Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd to the Miss 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
66.2%
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Malik HeathSimilar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
66.1%
Quinshon Judkins run for 6 yds to the Miss 41Similar
Q2 13:43
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
66.8%
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Jordan WatkinsSimilar
Q2 13:31
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
65.9%
Fraser Masin punt for 58 yds, downed at the Kent 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 8SF
5 plays · -1 yds · 2:5433% → 31%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
67.4%
Will Levis run for 4 yds to the Kent 5Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+8
67.8%
Will Levis pass complete to Chauncey Magwood for 8 yds to the Kent 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-4
67.8%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 9Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 14
OWN 9
+2
68.6%
Will Levis run for 2 yds to the Kent 11Similar
Q2 10:28
3RD & 12
OWN 11
-11
69.2%
Will Levis sacked by Tavius Robinson and Troy Brown for a loss of 11 yards. Intentional Grounding in the endzone for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 9FG
12 plays · 28 yds · 3:1569% → 76%
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
68.9%
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Malik HeathSimilar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
68.7%
Jaxson Dart run for 2 yds to the Miss 39Similar
Q2 9:37
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+26
68.4%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Malik Heath for 26 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
70.2%
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Quinshon JudkinsSimilar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
70.2%
Zach Evans run for 2 yds to the Kent 33Similar
Q2 8:34
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+8
69.7%
Jaxson Dart run for 8 yds to the Kent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
71.4%
Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the Kent 22Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 7
OPP 22
-16
71.5%
Dart, Jaxson pass complete to Heath, Malik for 17 yards to the KENTUCKY5, PENALTY OLEMISS pass interference (Heath, Malik) 16 yards to the KENTUCKY38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 23
OPP 38
0
70.9%
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Jonathan MingoSimilar
Q2 7:15
3RD & 23
OPP 38
+3
70.2%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Casey Kelly for 3 yds to the Kent 35Similar
Q2 7:03
4TH & 20
OPP 35
+53
75.7%
Jonathan Cruz 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 10TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 5:0725% → 36%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
75.0%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 32Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+6
75.2%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kent 38Similar
Q2 5:06
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+7
75.1%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+23
75.6%
Izayah Cummings run for 23 yds to the Miss 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
74.5%
JuTahn McClain run for 6 yds to the Miss 26Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 4
OPP 26
-2
74.5%
JuTahn McClain run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 28Similar
Q2 2:40
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+8
76.1%
Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 8 yds to the Miss 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+15
75.3%
Will Levis pass complete to Chris Rodriguez Jr. for 15 yds to the Miss 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
64.5%
Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 5 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 11INT
6 plays · 38 yds · 0:3371% → 73%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
70.7%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Malik Heath for 6 yds to the Miss 31Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+19
71.6%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Michael Trigg for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
50
+13
72.8%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Malik Heath for 13 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
73.0%
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Michael TriggSimilar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
72.9%
Jaxson Dart pass intercepted Jacquez Jones return for no gain to the Kent 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
69.7%
Will Levis pass complete to Jordan Dingle for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:0130% → 28%
Q3 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
70.1%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 31Similar
Q3 13:57
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+4
69.8%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 35Similar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 2
OWN 35
-3
70.1%
Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 32Similar
Q3 12:28
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
72.2%
Colin Goodfellow punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Jordan Watkins at the Miss 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:3572% → 70%
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
71.9%
Zach Evans run for 2 yds to the Miss 17Similar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+3
72.0%
Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the Miss 20Similar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 5
OWN 20
0
71.1%
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Jordan WatkinsSimilar
Q3 11:30
4TH & 5
OWN 20
0
70.3%
Fraser Masin punt for 29 yds, downed at the Miss 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 15TD
8 plays · 49 yds · 4:5932% → 48%
Q3 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
68.3%
Will Levis pass complete to Dane Key for 14 yds to the Miss 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
67.0%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Miss 35Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
67.2%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Miss 33Similar
Q3 9:16
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+7
69.2%
Will Levis pass complete to JuTahn McClain for 7 yds to the Miss 26Similar
Q3 8:25
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+1
70.1%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Miss 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
67.0%
Will Levis run for 3 yds to the Miss 22Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+5
67.0%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Miss 17Similar
Q3 6:22
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+17
51.6%
Will Levis pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 17 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 16FG
13 plays · 57 yds · 3:5460% → 67%
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
59.6%
JJ Henry run for 5 yds to the Miss 40Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+5
62.2%
Jaxson Dart run for 5 yds to the Miss 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
62.3%
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Jonathan MingoSimilar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+14
61.1%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Quinshon Judkins for 14 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
63.4%
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Casey KellySimilar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+14
62.9%
Quinshon Judkins run for 14 yds to the Kent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
64.2%
Quinshon Judkins run for 10 yds to the Kent 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
64.2%
Quinshon Judkins run for 4 yds to the Kent 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
64.3%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Zach Evans for 3 yds to the Kent 10Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+1
64.3%
Zach Evans run for 1 yd to the Kent 9Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+1
62.7%
Jaxson Dart run for 1 yd to the Kent 8Similar
Q3 2:19
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+26
66.7%
Jonathan Cruz 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 17DOWNS
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:1339% → 36%
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
61.3%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Jeremy Flax) to the Miss 44Similar
Q3 2:04
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+3
63.4%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Miss 41Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 12
OPP 41
+3
62.5%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Miss 38Similar
Q3 0:13
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+6
62.0%
Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 6 yds Tayvion Robinson fumbled, recovered by KentSimilar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 3
OPP 32
0
63.9%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Chris Rodriguez Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 18DOWNS
12 plays · 63 yds · 4:3666% → 73%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
66.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Miss 27 TEAM fumbled, recovered by MissSimilar
Q4 14:28
2ND & 15
OWN 27
0
69.3%
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Jonathan MingoSimilar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 15
OWN 27
+18
67.8%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Michael Trigg for 18 yds to the Miss 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
72.6%
Quinshon Judkins run for 3 yds to the Miss 48Similar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+19
73.1%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Malik Heath for 19 yds to the Kent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
74.9%
Quinshon Judkins run for no gain to the Kent 33Similar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+11
74.9%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 11 yds to the Kent 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+18
75.1%
Quinshon Judkins run for 18 yds to the Kent 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
75.3%
Quinshon Judkins run for no gain to the Kent 4Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
75.4%
Quinshon Judkins run for a loss of 5 yards to the Kent 9Similar
Q4 10:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
74.8%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Michael Trigg for 4 yds to the Kent 5Similar
Q4 10:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
0
72.7%
Jaxson Dart pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19FUMBLE
14 plays · 74 yds · 7:1031% → 34%
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+17
68.9%
JuTahn McClain run for 17 yds to the Kent 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
67.6%
JuTahn McClain run for no gain to the Kent 22Similar
Q4 8:39
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
68.1%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Barion BrownSimilar
Q4 8:32
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+10
71.0%
Levis, Will pass incomplete to Key, Dane, PENALTY OLEMISS holding (Young, Isheem) 10 yards to the KENTUCKY32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KENTUCKY.Similar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
68.2%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kent 38Similar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+17
65.1%
Will Levis pass complete to Chris Rodriguez Jr. for 17 yds to the Miss 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
62.1%
JuTahn McClain run for no gain to the Miss 45Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+4
64.0%
Will Levis pass complete to Brenden Bates for 4 yds to the Miss 41Similar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+14
64.7%
Will Levis pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 14 yds to the Miss 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
61.7%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Miss 32Similar
Q4 4:25
1ST & 15
OPP 32
-1
64.1%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 33Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 16
OPP 33
+14
65.5%
Will Levis pass complete to Dane Key for 14 yds to the Miss 19Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 2
OPP 19
-2
66.0%
Will Levis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 21 Will Levis fumbled, forced by Austin Keys, recovered by Miss AJ FinleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:0285% → 86%
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
85.1%
Jaxson Dart run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 20Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 11
OWN 20
0
86.7%
Jordan Watkins run for no gain to the Miss 20Similar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 11
OWN 20
+2
85.9%
Quinshon Judkins run for 2 yds to the Miss 22Similar
Q4 1:49
4TH & 9
OWN 22
0
86.2%
Fraser Masin punt for 44 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for no gain to the Kent 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 21FUMBLE
5 plays · 42 yds · 0:5116% → 20%
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
84.4%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Barion BrownSimilar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+8
84.8%
Will Levis pass complete to Chris Rodriguez Jr. for 8 yds to the Kent 42Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+51
83.0%
Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for 51 yds to the Miss 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & 0
OPP 7
-4
75.0%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Illegal Motion (-4 Yards) to the Miss 12Similar
Q4 0:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
-13
79.7%
Will Levis sacked by Jared Ivey for a loss of 13 yards to the Miss 25 Will Levis fumbled, forced by Jared Ivey, recovered by Miss Tavius Robinson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:3594% → 95%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
93.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Miss 21Similar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 14
OWN 21
-1
94.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:22
Will Levis pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 17 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)
-15.5
TD · Q2 1:23
Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 5 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-10.8
TD · Q1 0:59
Quinshon Judkins run for 48 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)
+5.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com