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UNM

New Mexico 0 at LSU 38

LSU
2022 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2022 · Tiger Stadium (LA)
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Win probability · LSU
modelLSU aheadUNM aheadconfidence bandkey playLSU scoreUNM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:47 · Aaron Rodriguez punt for 42 yds , Jack Bech returns for 11 yds to the LSU 32 LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the LSU 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 105Pregame prior+19.4Home team on offense+34.4Score differential+29.4Garbage-time factor+10.2Blowout margin+14.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:23: Armoni Goodwin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK) — LSU win probability +1.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 11:11: Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 7 yds to the LSU 27 — LSU win probability +0.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:27: Noah Cain run for 1 yd for a TD NEW MEXICO Penalty, Illegal Formation (A.J. Odums) declined, (Damian Ramos KICK) — LSU win probability +1.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 5:27: Sherod White run for 2 yds to the NMex 37 — UNM win probability +0.6 pts (now 2%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:45: Noah Cain run for 49 yds for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK) — LSU win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UNM made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 12:41UNM 4th & 1 at UNM 32, tied
    Close callPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:34UNM 4th & 2 at UNM 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:23LSU 4th & 6 at UNM 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.2%
    84% to make
    Punt
    94.6%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:00UNM 4th & 8 at UNM 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:12LSU 4th & 21 at UNM 21, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%−0.7
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.0%
    74% to make
    Punt
    92.6%−1.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:07UNM 4th & 6 at LSU 38, down 10
    Close callPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    6.3%−0.2
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:21LSU 4th & 1 at LSU 37, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    93.0%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:40LSU 4th & 6 at UNM 37, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    95.7%−0.3
    40% to make
    Punt
    95.6%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:11UNM 4th & 2 at UNM 45, down 17
    Close callPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:11LSU 4th & 4 at UNM 45, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    96.0%−0.8
    25% to make
    Punt
    96.6%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:11UNM 4th & 18 at UNM 27, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:47UNM 4th & 14 at UNM 21, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:57UNM 4th & 3 at UNM 32, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:22UNM 4th & 6 at UNM 32, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 9:52LSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:23LSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:27LSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:45LSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:14LSU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:122% → 3%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
97.7%
Jaden Hullaby run for 4 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+4
97.7%
Nathaniel Jones run for 4 yds to the NMex 31Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+1
97.7%
Luke Wysong run for 1 yd to the NMex 32Similar
Q1 12:41
4TH & 1
OWN 32
0
97.4%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 25 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 2TD
8 plays · 57 yds · 2:4997% → 97%
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
97.4%
Armoni Goodwin run for 3 yds to the LSU 46Similar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+9
97.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jack Bech for 9 yds to the NMex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
97.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 13 yds Malik Nabers fumbled, recovered by LSU for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
97.4%
Josh Williams run for 5 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+10
97.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Josh Williams for 10 yds to the NMex 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
97.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 8 yds to the NMex 9Similar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+4
97.4%
Armoni Goodwin run for 4 yds to the NMex 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.3%
Armoni Goodwin run for 5 yds for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 4:123% → 3%
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
97.2%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Geordon Porter for 6 yds to the NMex 23Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+2
97.2%
Geordon Porter run for 2 yds to the NMex 25Similar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+3
97.2%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Nathaniel Jones for 3 yds to the NMex 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-4
97.2%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Luke Wysong for a loss of 4 yards to the NMex 24Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 14
OWN 24
+2
97.2%
Nathaniel Jones run for 2 yds to the NMex 26Similar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 12
OWN 26
+10
97.2%
Nathaniel Jones run for 10 yds to the NMex 36Similar
Q1 5:34
4TH & 2
OWN 36
0
96.7%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 49 yds , Jack Bech returns for no gain to the LSU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 4FG
7 plays · 71 yds · 3:1197% → 96%
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+51
96.7%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Chris Hilton Jr. for 51 yds to the NMex 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
96.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jack Bech for 9 yds to the NMex 25Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+7
96.8%
Armoni Goodwin run for 7 yds to the NMex 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
96.8%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Dion Hunter for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 20Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 12
OPP 20
+6
96.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 6 yds to the NMex 14Similar
Q1 5:34
3RD & 6
OPP 14
0
96.8%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:23
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+31
96.3%
Damian Ramos 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 2:234% → 4%
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.3%
Sherod White run for 2 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-8
96.3%
Miles Kendrick sacked by Sai'vion Jones for a loss of 8 yards to the NMex 19Similar
Q1 2:23
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+8
96.4%
Christian Washington run for 8 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
96.1%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 49 yds , Jack Bech returns for no gain LSU Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the LSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 6MISSED FG
14 plays · 59 yds · 5:4896% → 95%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
96.0%
John Emery Jr. run for 4 yds to the LSU 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+3
96.0%
Armoni Goodwin run for 3 yds to the LSU 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+21
95.9%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Josh Williams for 21 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
96.2%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jack Bech for 6 yds to the NMex 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+23
96.2%
Jayden Daniels run for 23 yds to the NMex 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
96.2%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+6
96.2%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 6 yds to the NMex 17Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 17
0
96.1%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Personal Foul (Justin Harris) to the NMex 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-10
96.2%
WILLIAMS, Josh rush up the middle for a gain of 8 yards to the UNM1 (HANNAH, Reco). PENALTY LSU Holding on TAYLOR, Kole enforced 10 yards from the UNM9 to the UNM19 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 19
+10
96.2%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jack Bech for 10 yds to the NMex 9Similar
Q2 10:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-15
95.7%
DANIELS, Jayden pass to the right complete for 9 yards to TAYLOR, Kole caught at the UNM5 and advanced to the UNM0, TOUCHDOWN LSU, score nullified by penalty, clock 10:49. PENALTY LSU Pass Interference on NABERS, Malik enforced 15 yards to the UNM24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 24
-8
95.6%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Justin Harris for a loss of 8 yards to the NMex 32Similar
Q2 10:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 32
+11
95.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kole Taylor for 11 yds to the NMex 21Similar
Q2 9:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 21
+38
94.9%
Damian Ramos 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 41 yds · 3:055% → 5%
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
95.2%
Luke Wysong run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 20Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+38
95.2%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Jaden Hullaby for 38 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
94.8%
Christian Washington run for 5 yds to the LSU 37Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 5
OPP 37
-1
94.8%
Miles Kendrick run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 38Similar
Q2 9:12
3RD & 6
OPP 38
0
94.9%
Miles Kendrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:07
4TH & 6
OPP 38
0
94.6%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Jack Bech at the LSU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 8TD
18 plays · 88 yds · 5:4495% → 96%
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
94.7%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mason Taylor for 4 yds to the LSU 16Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+12
94.7%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 12 yds to the LSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
94.7%
Jayden Daniels run for 4 yds to the LSU 32Similar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+5
94.9%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mason Taylor for 5 yds to the LSU 37Similar
Q2 4:21
3RD & 1
OWN 37
0
94.8%
Armoni Goodwin run for no gain to the LSU 37Similar
Q2 4:21
4TH & 1
OWN 37
+13
94.6%
Josh Williams run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
50
+8
95.1%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mason Taylor for 8 yds to the NMex 42Similar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 2
OPP 42
-2
95.2%
Josh Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 44Similar
Q2 4:21
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+16
95.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 16 yds to the NMex 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
95.3%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+3
95.2%
Josh Williams run for 3 yds to the NMex 25Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+19
94.9%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 19 yds to the NMex 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
94.5%
Jayden Daniels run for 4 yds to the NMex 2Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
94.5%
Armoni Goodwin run for 1 yd to the NMex 1Similar
Q2 0:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.4%
Armoni Goodwin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9END OF HALF
1 play · 5 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
96.2%
Sherod White run for 5 yds to the NMex 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 10DOWNS
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:1297% → 96%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
96.6%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Armoni Goodwin for 5 yds to the LSU 31Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+11
96.6%
John Emery Jr. run for 11 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+17
96.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mason Taylor for 17 yds to the NMex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
96.8%
Jayden Daniels run for 2 yds to the NMex 39Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+2
96.8%
John Emery Jr. run for 2 yds to the NMex 37Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 6
OPP 37
0
96.6%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:40
4TH & 6
OPP 37
0
96.4%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:324% → 4%
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
96.4%
Miles Kendrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
96.5%
Nathaniel Jones run for 6 yds to the NMex 43Similar
Q3 12:43
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+2
96.4%
Nathaniel Jones run for 2 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q3 11:11
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
96.5%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 12TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 5:4497% → 99%
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
97.1%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 7 yds to the LSU 27Similar
Q3 11:11
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+6
97.2%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 6 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+16
97.2%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 16 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
97.3%
John Emery Jr. run for 3 yds to the NMex 48Similar
Q3 11:11
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+4
97.3%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jack Bech for 4 yds to the NMex 44Similar
Q3 11:11
3RD & 3
OPP 44
-1
97.3%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Bryce Santana for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 45Similar
Q3 11:11
4TH & 4
OPP 45
+16
97.1%
Jayden Daniels run for 16 yds to the NMex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
97.5%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Jack Bech for 5 yds to the NMex 24Similar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+17
97.5%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Malik Nabers for 17 yds to the NMex 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
97.5%
Noah Cain run for 6 yds to the NMex 1Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.0%
Noah Cain run for 1 yd for a TD NEW MEXICO Penalty, Illegal Formation (A.J. Odums) declined, (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 2:162% → 1%
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
98.4%
Sherod White run for 2 yds to the NMex 37Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-3
98.4%
Miles Kendrick sacked by Greg Brooks Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 34Similar
Q3 5:27
3RD & 11
OWN 34
-7
98.6%
Miles Kendrick sacked by Ali Gaye for a loss of 7 yards to the NMex 27Similar
Q3 3:11
4TH & 18
OWN 27
0
98.8%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jack Bech at the LSU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 14TD
4 plays · 74 yds · 1:2699% → 100%
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
99.2%
John Emery Jr. run for 2 yds to the LSU 28Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+16
99.2%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 16 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
99.3%
Noah Cain run for 7 yds to the NMex 49Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+49
99.8%
Noah Cain run for 49 yds for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:580% → 0%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.9%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, False Start (J.C. Davis) to the NMex 20Similar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+4
99.9%
Jaden Hullaby run for 4 yds to the NMex 24Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-7
99.9%
run for a loss of 7 yards to the NMex 17 fumbled, recovered by NMex Miles KendrickSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+4
99.9%
Nathaniel Jones run for 4 yds to the NMex 21Similar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+11
99.9%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 42 yds , Jack Bech returns for 11 yds to the LSU 32 LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the LSU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 16TD
4 plays · 73 yds · 1:33100% → 100%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+9
99.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 9 yds to the LSU 36Similar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+7
99.8%
John Emery Jr. run for 7 yds to the LSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
99.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 57 yds for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:170% → 0%
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Geordon Porter run for 5 yds to the NMex 30Similar
Q4 13:14
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
99.9%
Nathaniel Jones run for 3 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q4 13:14
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-1
99.9%
Luke Wysong run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 32Similar
Q4 10:57
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 48 yds , Gregory Clayton Jr. returns for no gain to the LSU 32 LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (Laterrance Welch) to the LSU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 18FUMBLE
11 plays · 62 yds · 6:13100% → 100%
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
99.9%
Noah Cain run for 3 yds to the LSU 13Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+3
99.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 3 yds to the LSU 16Similar
Q4 10:57
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+13
99.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 13 yds to the LSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
99.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 4 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+11
99.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 11 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
99.9%
Noah Cain run for 4 yds to the LSU 48Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+7
99.9%
John Emery Jr. run for 7 yds to the NMex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
99.9%
John Emery Jr. run for 4 yds to the NMex 41Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+1
99.9%
Noah Cain run for 1 yd to the NMex 40Similar
Q4 10:57
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+7
99.9%
Noah Cain run for 7 yds to the NMex 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
99.9%
John Emery Jr. run for 5 yds to the NMex 28 fumbled, recovered by NMex Bryce SantanaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:220% → 0%
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
99.9%
Nathaniel Jones run for 2 yds to the NMex 30Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+4
99.9%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Luke Wysong for 4 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q4 4:44
3RD & 4
OWN 34
-2
99.9%
Miles Kendrick sacked by West Weeks for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 32Similar
Q4 2:22
4TH & 6
OWN 32
+20
100.0%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 48 yds , Gregory Clayton Jr. returns for 20 yds to the LSU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 20END OF GAME
3 plays · 16 yds · 2:22100% → 100%
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
100.0%
Noah Cain run for 7 yds to the LSU 47Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+4
100.0%
Noah Cain run for 4 yds to the NMex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
100.0%
Noah Cain run for 5 yds to the NMex 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:23
Armoni Goodwin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK)
+1.9
TD · Q3 5:27
Noah Cain run for 1 yd for a TD NEW MEXICO Penalty, Illegal Formation (A.J. Odums) declined, (Damian Ramos KICK)
+1.5
KEY PLAY · Q3 11:11
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 7 yds to the LSU 27
+0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com