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NIU

Northern Illinois 23 at Kentucky 31

UK
2022 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2022 · Kroger Field
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Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreNIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:50 · Colin Goodfellow punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 45Pregame prior+35.2Home team on offense+0.1Garbage-time factor−0.4Score differential−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:06: Shemar Thornton pass complete to Tristen Tewes for 3 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK) — NIU win probability +8.4 pts (now 20%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 14:02: Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for 70 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK) — UK win probability +5.3 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:46: Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 40 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK) — UK win probability +5.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:47: Justin Lynch run for 2 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — NIU win probability +7.7 pts (now 11%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:47: Timeout NORTHERNIL, clock 02:47 — UK win probability +5.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 5 of 6NIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 7:11UK 4th & 1 at UK 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    92.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:01NIU 4th & 3 at NIU 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:50UK 4th & 17 at UK 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.0%−0.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:47NIU 4th & 8 at NIU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:56NIU 4th & 7 at NIU 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:01NIU 4th & 6 at UK 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:37UK 4th & 7 at UK 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:16NIU 4th & 3 at NIU 17, down 7
    Close callPunted · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:04UK 4th & 3 at NIU 31, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.6%−0.9
    54% to make
    Punt
    86.7%−1.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:30NIU 4th & 1 at NIU 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.7%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:47NIU 4th & 10 at NIU 37, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:14UK 4th & 1 at NIU 40, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    88.6%−2.0
    34% to make
    Punt
    88.9%−1.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:26NIU 4th & 6 at UK 20, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−1.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:14UK 4th & 5 at UK 28, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 4 of 4NIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 8:53NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:48UK Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:08UK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:06NIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:02UK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:46UK Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:47NIU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    6.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    5.5%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NIUDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:575% → 7%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
95.4%
Harrison Waylee run for 6 yds to the NoIll 31Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
95.2%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Tristen Tewes for 4 yds to the NoIll 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
95.1%
Harrison Waylee run for 6 yds to the NoIll 41Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+14
95.0%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Tristen Tewes for 14 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
94.8%
Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the Kent 42Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+6
94.6%
Justin Lynch run for 6 yds to the Kent 36Similar
Q1 11:11
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+7
94.5%
Justin Lynch run for 7 yds to the Kent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
94.4%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Kent 24Similar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 5
OPP 24
+20
94.3%
Antario Brown run for 20 yds to the Kent 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
94.2%
Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the Kent 3Similar
Q1 9:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
94.0%
Justin Lynch run for 1 yd to the Kent 2Similar
Q1 8:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
93.3%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Tristen Tewes for 2 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 7:5493% → 92%
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.4%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Barion BrownSimilar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
93.3%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 3 yds to the Kent 28Similar
Q1 7:47
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
93.0%
Will Levis pass complete to Dane Key for 6 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q1 7:11
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
92.8%
Will Levis run for 1 yd to the Kent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
92.8%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Jordan DingleSimilar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
92.6%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 8 yds to the Kent 43 Kavosiey Smoke fumbled, recovered by KentSimilar
Q1 5:35
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+8
92.4%
Will Levis pass complete to La'Vell Wright for 8 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
92.4%
La'Vell Wright run for 5 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 5
OPP 44
-1
92.1%
La'Vell Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 45Similar
Q1 4:03
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+6
91.8%
Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 6 yds to the NoIll 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
91.7%
Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for 11 yds to the NoIll 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
91.6%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 1 yd to the NoIll 27Similar
Q1 2:12
2ND & 9
OPP 27
0
91.1%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Kavosiey SmokeSimilar
Q1 2:04
3RD & 9
OPP 27
+9
90.9%
Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 9 yds to the NoIll 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
90.8%
La'Vell Wright run for 3 yds to the NoIll 15Similar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+15
92.3%
Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for 15 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:379% → 10%
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
91.4%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the NoIll 26Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
91.1%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Harrison WayleeSimilar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+16
91.2%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Cole Tucker for 16 yds to the NoIll 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
90.4%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Liam Soraghan for 4 yds to the NoIll 46Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+3
90.2%
Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the NoIll 49Similar
Q2 13:08
3RD & 3
OWN 49
0
89.9%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:01
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
90.2%
Ethan Hampton punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 3:4091% → 89%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
90.6%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 1 yd to the Kent 21Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+8
90.4%
Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 8 yds to the Kent 29Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+4
90.1%
Will Levis run for 4 yds to the Kent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
90.1%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 5 yds to the Kent 38Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 5
OWN 38
-6
90.2%
Will Levis sacked by Javaughn Byrd and Demond Taylor Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the Kent 32Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 11
OWN 32
-6
88.9%
Will Levis sacked by James Ester and Devonte O'Malley for a loss of 6 yards to the Kent 26Similar
Q2 8:50
4TH & 17
OWN 26
0
88.5%
Colin Goodfellow punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:5612% → 13%
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
88.2%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NoIll 25Similar
Q2 7:57
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+12
87.6%
Antario Brown run for 12 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
87.0%
Antario Brown run for no gain to the NoIll 37Similar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
87.0%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:47
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
87.5%
Tom Foley punt for 61 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 6TD
4 plays · 98 yds · 1:1888% → 91%
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+27
87.9%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 27 yds to the Kent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
87.9%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 2 yds to the Kent 31Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
87.7%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Brenden BatesSimilar
Q2 5:08
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+69
91.1%
Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 69 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 7PUNT
17 plays · 24 yds · 4:129% → 10%
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
91.0%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 20Similar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
91.0%
Harrison Waylee run for 5 yds to the NoIll 25Similar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
90.8%
Harrison Waylee run for 5 yds to the NoIll 30Similar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
90.7%
Ethan Hampton run for 6 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
90.2%
Justin Lynch run for 1 yd to the NoIll 37Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+8
89.9%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Tristen Tewes for 8 yds to the NoIll 45Similar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+1
89.0%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the NoIll 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
89.0%
Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the NoIll 49Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+1
89.3%
Mason Blakemore run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 6
50
-5
89.3%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 45Similar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 11
OWN 45
+9
90.1%
Harrison Waylee run for 9 yds to the Kent 46Similar
Q2 0:59
4TH & 2
OPP 46
-5
89.2%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 49Similar
Q2 0:56
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
90.0%
Tom Foley punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the Kent 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 8FUMBLE
2 plays · 23 yds · 0:1290% → 90%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
89.8%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Keaton UpshawSimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+23
89.6%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 23 yds to the Kent 34 Kavosiey Smoke fumbled, forced by Javaughn Byrd, recovered by NoIll Nick RattinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 34 yds · 0:3112% → 20%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+20
87.8%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Cole Tucker for 20 yds to the Kent 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
87.5%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Fabian McCray for 9 yds to the Kent 5Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+2
87.4%
Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the Kent 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
87.2%
Harrison Waylee run for no gain to the Kent 3Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
88.1%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
79.7%
Shemar Thornton pass complete to Tristen Tewes for 3 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 11TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 0:4785% → 89%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
84.7%
La'Vell Wright run for no gain to the Kent 30Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
84.1%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:02
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+70
89.4%
Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for 70 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4112% → 11%
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
88.3%
Antario Brown run for 4 yds to the Kent 48Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 6
OPP 48
0
87.8%
Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Shemar ThorntonSimilar
Q3 13:09
3RD & 6
OPP 48
0
88.0%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:01
4TH & 6
OPP 48
0
89.0%
Tom Foley punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the Kent 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:5789% → 88%
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
89.3%
La'Vell Wright run for 2 yds to the Kent 12Similar
Q3 12:08
2ND & 8
OWN 12
0
89.2%
La'Vell Wright run for no gain to the Kent 12Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 8
OWN 12
+15
88.5%
Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 15 yds to the Kent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-6
89.2%
Will Levis sacked by Michael Kennedy for a loss of 6 yards to the Kent 21Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 16
OWN 21
0
88.7%
Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for no gain to the Kent 21Similar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 16
OWN 21
+9
88.8%
Will Levis pass complete to Dane Key for 9 yds to the Kent 30Similar
Q3 8:37
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
88.3%
Colin Goodfellow punt for 60 yds, downed at the NoIll 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0912% → 11%
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
88.0%
Antario Brown run for no gain to the NoIll 10Similar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+7
87.9%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 7 yds to the NoIll 17Similar
Q3 7:29
3RD & 3
OWN 17
0
88.2%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:16
4TH & 3
OWN 17
+4
88.6%
Tom Foley punt for 54 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for 4 yds to the Kent 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 15FG
8 plays · 36 yds · 4:0490% → 91%
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
89.7%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Kent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
90.7%
La'Vell Wright run for 5 yds to the NoIll 47Similar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+4
90.7%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 4 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+5
90.2%
Will Levis run for 5 yds to the NoIll 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
90.5%
Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for 6 yds to the NoIll 32Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 4
OPP 32
0
90.4%
Kavosiey Smoke run for no gain to the NoIll 32Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+1
89.7%
Will Levis run for 1 yd to the NoIll 31Similar
Q3 3:04
4TH & 3
OPP 31
+49
90.7%
Matt Ruffolo 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 3:1210% → 8%
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.4%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
90.4%
Harrison Waylee run for 8 yds to the NoIll 33Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
90.0%
Justin Lynch run for 1 yd to the NoIll 34Similar
Q3 1:30
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
90.4%
Justin Lynch run for 3 yds to the NoIll 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
89.6%
Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the NoIll 39Similar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 8
OWN 39
-2
90.0%
Harrison Waylee run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 37Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
91.5%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 10
OWN 37
+2
91.8%
Tom Foley punt for 43 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for 2 yds to the Kent 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 17TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 5:2991% → 98%
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+19
90.7%
Will Levis pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 19 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
91.5%
La'Vell Wright run for no gain to the Kent 41Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
91.6%
Will Levis pass complete to Brenden Bates for 5 yds to the Kent 46Similar
Q4 12:15
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+5
91.4%
Will Levis pass complete to JuTahn McClain for 5 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
92.1%
JuTahn McClain run for 9 yds to the NoIll 40Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 1
OPP 40
0
92.0%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:53
3RD & 1
OPP 40
0
91.5%
La'Vell Wright run for no gain to the NoIll 40Similar
Q4 10:14
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+2
91.0%
Will Levis pass complete to Brenden Bates for 2 yds to the NoIll 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
92.1%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:06
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-2
91.9%
Will Levis sacked by Daveren Rayner for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 40Similar
Q4 8:46
3RD & 12
OPP 40
+40
97.7%
Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 40 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 18FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 3:113% → 5%
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
97.4%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Fabian McCray for 24 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
97.2%
Harrison Waylee run for 8 yds to the Kent 43Similar
Q4 7:19
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+19
97.1%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Cole Tucker for 19 yds to the Kent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
96.8%
Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the Kent 21Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+6
97.0%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Tristen Tewes for 6 yds to the Kent 15Similar
Q4 5:53
3RD & 1
OPP 15
-5
97.3%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Kent 20Similar
Q4 5:31
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
97.3%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:26
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+38
95.0%
John Richardson 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 0:3297% → 98%
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
97.3%
JuTahn McClain run for 2 yds to the Kent 25Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+4
97.3%
JuTahn McClain run for 4 yds to the Kent 29Similar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 4
OWN 29
-1
97.8%
Will Levis sacked by Cade Haberman and Demond Taylor Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 28Similar
Q4 4:14
4TH & 5
OWN 28
0
97.9%
Colin Goodfellow punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 20TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 1:173% → 11%
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+63
97.4%
Ethan Hampton pass complete to Kacper Rutkiewicz for 63 yds to the Kent 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
96.8%
Harrison Waylee run for no gain to the Kent 5Similar
Q4 3:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
96.8%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
97.0%
Ethan Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:53
4TH & 0
OPP 5
+3
96.8%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive Holding (3 Yards) to the Kent 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
89.0%
Justin Lynch run for 2 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 21Uncategorized
5 plays · 10 yds · 2:0796% → 97%
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
96.4%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 3 yds to the Kent 49Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+8
97.5%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 8 yds to the NoIll 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
97.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 44Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 11
OPP 44
0
97.4%
TEAM run for no gain to the NoIll 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:06
Shemar Thornton pass complete to Tristen Tewes for 3 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)
-8.4
TD · Q4 2:47
Justin Lynch run for 2 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-7.7
TD · Q4 8:46
Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 40 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)
+5.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com