Try the model
MIZ

Missouri 14 at Auburn 17

AUB
2022 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2022 · Jordan-Hare Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · AUB
modelAUB aheadMIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playAUB scoreMIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:59 · Oscar Chapman punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dominic Lovett at the Misso 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remainingGarbage-time factor
+21.0+10.50−10.5−21.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 89Pregame prior+9.7Home team on offense+0.9Score differential−0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Time remaining−0.3Garbage-time factor−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:30: Brady Cook 1 Yd Run (Harrison Mevis Kick) — MIZ win probability +13.9 pts (now 41%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:28: Brady Cook run for 13 yds to the Misso 43 for a 1ST down — MIZ win probability +12.1 pts (now 49%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:49: Timeout AUBURN, clock 00:49 — MIZ win probability +10.5 pts (now 66%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · OT 0:00: Robby Ashford run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 27 — AUB win probability +27.9 pts (now 66%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. FG · OT 0:00: Anders Carlson 39 yd FG GOOD — AUB win probability +24.0 pts (now 80%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AUB made the numbers' call on 12 of 12MIZ made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:38MIZ 4th & 20 at MIZ 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:50AUB 4th & 1 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    69.9%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:30AUB 4th & 1 at MIZ 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    68.9%−0.3
    84% to make
    Punt
    67.9%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:00MIZ 4th & 7 at AUB 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:31AUB 4th & 11 at AUB 17, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.0%−1.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:35AUB 4th & 1 at AUB 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    73.4%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:00AUB 4th & 28 at AUB 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%−2.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:30MIZ 4th & 1 at AUB 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    24.9%−2.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    18.9%−8.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:59AUB 4th & 3 at AUB 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%−0.4
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:05MIZ 4th & 2 at MIZ 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.7%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:47AUB 4th & 26 at AUB 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.8%−5.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:20MIZ 4th & 8 at MIZ 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−2.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:03AUB 4th & 16 at AUB 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%−5.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:42MIZ 4th & 8 at MIZ 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.1%−3.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:28AUB 4th & 9 at AUB 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%−4.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:58MIZ 4th & 14 at AUB 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%−5.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    38.5%−5.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:20AUB 4th & 10 at AUB 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.1%−3.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:50MIZ 4th & 3 at MIZ 39, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.7%−1.8
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:41AUB 4th & 10 at AUB 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%−2.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:31MIZ 4th & 11 at MIZ 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.1%−12.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.5%
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:30AUB 4th & 1 at MIZ 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    56.3%−7.8
    58% to make
    Punt
    34.3%−29.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AUB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MIZ made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:01AUB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:55AUB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:34MIZ Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:30MIZ Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIZDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:1229% → 30%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
70.6%
Brady Cook run for 2 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
70.5%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-12
70.5%
Brady Cook sacked by Colby Wooden for a loss of 12 yards to the Misso 15Similar
Q1 13:38
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
70.5%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 2TD
15 plays · 59 yds · 7:2771% → 73%
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
70.5%
Tank Bigsby run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 40Similar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+5
70.4%
Tank Bigsby run for 5 yds to the Aub 45Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+5
70.3%
Robby Ashford run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:50
4TH & 1
50
+2
70.2%
Tank Bigsby run for 2 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
70.4%
Jarquez Hunter run for no gain to the Misso 48Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-2
70.3%
Robby Ashford run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:22
3RD & 12
50
+12
70.0%
Robby Ashford run for 12 yds to the Misso 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
70.4%
AUBURN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Misso 43Similar
Q1 9:24
1ST & 15
OPP 43
+14
70.1%
Tank Bigsby run for 14 yds to the Misso 29Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+6
70.4%
Tank Bigsby run for 6 yds to the Misso 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
70.3%
Tank Bigsby run for 1 yd to the Misso 22Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+6
70.2%
Robby Ashford run for 6 yds to the Misso 16Similar
Q1 6:59
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+2
69.8%
Jarquez Hunter run for 2 yds to the Misso 14Similar
Q1 6:30
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+3
69.5%
Tank Bigsby run for 3 yds to the Misso 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
72.8%
Robby Ashford 11 Yd Run (Anders Carlson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3INT
4 plays · 13 yds · 1:0328% → 28%
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
71.9%
Nathaniel Peat run for 10 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
71.8%
Nathaniel Peat run for 3 yds to the Misso 38Similar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-19
71.7%
Brady Cook pass intercepted Derick Hall return for 19 yds to the Misso 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 4TD
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:4973% → 78%
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
73.1%
Tank Bigsby run for 4 yds to the Misso 20Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 6
OPP 20
0
73.3%
Tank Bigsby run for no gain to the Misso 20Similar
Q1 3:33
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+12
73.1%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Omari Kelly for 12 yds to the Misso 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
73.5%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Camden Brown for 5 yds to the Misso 3Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
77.6%
Tank Bigsby 3 Yd Run (Anders Carlson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 2:3824% → 23%
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
75.7%
Brady Cook pass complete to Kibet Chepyator for 7 yds to the Misso 25Similar
Q1 2:22
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+7
75.7%
Brady Cook pass complete to Nathaniel Peat for 7 yds to the Misso 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
75.9%
Nathaniel Peat run for 8 yds to the Misso 40Similar
Q1 1:11
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+8
75.7%
Brady Cook run for 8 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
75.9%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+3
76.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 3 yds to the Aub 49Similar
Q1 0:05
3RD & 7
OPP 49
0
76.3%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Tauskie DoveSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 7
OPP 49
0
76.8%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Keionte Scott at the Aub 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:2478% → 78%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
78.2%
Jarquez Hunter run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 16Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 12
OWN 16
0
78.4%
Robby Ashford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:58
3RD & 12
OWN 16
+1
78.1%
Robby Ashford run for 1 yd to the Aub 17Similar
Q2 13:31
4TH & 11
OWN 17
0
77.9%
Oscar Chapman punt for 37 yds, fair catch by DJ Coleman at the Misso 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 7TD
9 plays · 54 yds · 3:5423% → 29%
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
76.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 17 yds to the AUBURN 37 MISSOURI Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the Aub 47Similar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 3
OPP 47
0
76.6%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+8
76.6%
Nathaniel Peat run for 8 yds to the Aub 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
77.0%
Nathaniel Peat run for 3 yds to the Aub 36Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+5
77.0%
Nathaniel Peat run for 5 yds to the Aub 31Similar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+14
77.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Kibet Chepyator for 14 yds to the Aub 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
76.6%
Nathaniel Peat run for 3 yds to the Aub 14Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+5
76.7%
Cody Schrader run for 5 yds to the Aub 9Similar
Q2 9:34
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+9
71.3%
Cody Schrader 9 Yd Run (Harrison Mevis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · -7 yds · 4:1974% → 73%
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
73.7%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Koy Moore for 9 yds to the Aub 34Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-1
74.5%
Tank Bigsby run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 33Similar
Q2 7:59
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
74.5%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Shedrick Jackson for 1 yd to the Aub 34Similar
Q2 7:35
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
73.2%
Robby Ashford run for 2 yds to the Aub 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
74.8%
Robby Ashford sacked by Jaylon Carlies for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 33Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 13
OWN 33
0
74.0%
Tank Bigsby run for no gain to the Aub 33Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 13
OWN 33
0
73.5%
Robby Ashford sacked by Ty'Ron Hopper and Isaiah McGuire for a loss of 15 yards to the Aub 18 Robby Ashford fumbled, recovered by Aub Jalil Irvin , return for 0 yards , return for 0 yards to the Aub 18Similar
Q2 5:00
4TH & 28
OWN 18
0
72.7%
Oscar Chapman punt for 61 yds, downed at the Misso 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9TD
16 plays · 78 yds · 4:2526% → 41%
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
73.8%
Nathaniel Peat run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 20Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+40
74.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 40 yds to the Aub 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
71.5%
Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the Aub 38Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+7
71.6%
Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 7 yds to the Aub 31Similar
Q2 2:55
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+5
71.2%
AUBURN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Aub 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
69.8%
Nathaniel Peat run for 5 yds to the Aub 20Similar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+1
69.7%
Nathaniel Peat run for 1 yd to the Aub 19Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+9
70.2%
Brady Cook run for 9 yds to the Aub 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
68.9%
Cody Schrader run for 6 yds to the Aub 4Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
68.9%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
71.3%
Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the Aub 1Similar
Q2 0:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
59.2%
Brady Cook 1 Yd Run (Harrison Mevis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 10DOWNS
7 plays · 47 yds · 0:2565% → 69%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
64.6%
Robby Ashford run for 11 yds to the Aub 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+18
65.4%
Robby Ashford pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 18 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
67.7%
Robby Ashford run for 13 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
68.9%
MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Misso 28Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 5
OPP 28
+45
68.8%
Anders Carlson 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:5165% → 63%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
65.2%
Tank Bigsby run for 2 yds to the Aub 27Similar
Q3 14:34
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
65.3%
Tank Bigsby run for 3 yds to the Aub 30Similar
Q3 13:45
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+2
64.3%
Robby Ashford run for 2 yds to the Aub 32Similar
Q3 12:59
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
63.2%
Oscar Chapman punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dominic Lovett at the Misso 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3339% → 38%
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
61.0%
Brady Cook sacked by Derick Hall for a loss of 5 yards to the Misso 21Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 15
OWN 21
0
61.9%
Nathaniel Peat run for no gain to the Misso 21Similar
Q3 11:41
3RD & 15
OWN 21
+13
62.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 13 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q3 11:05
4TH & 2
OWN 34
0
61.9%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 60 yds, downed at the Aub 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 4:1163% → 61%
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
63.4%
Tank Bigsby run for 4 yds to the Aub 10Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 6
OWN 10
+13
63.3%
Robby Ashford pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 13 yds to the Aub 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
63.7%
Jarquez Hunter run for 8 yds to the Aub 31Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+21
65.5%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Koy Moore for 21 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
67.2%
John Samuel Shenker run for a loss of 5 yards to the Aub 47Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 15
OWN 47
-11
64.4%
Holden Geriner sacked by Martez Manuel for a loss of 11 yards to the Aub 36 Holden Geriner fumbled, forced by Martez Manuel, recovered by Aub John Samuel Shenker , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 26
OWN 36
0
61.7%
Holden Geriner pass complete to Tank Bigsby for no gain to the Aub 36Similar
Q3 6:47
4TH & 26
OWN 36
-4
60.8%
Oscar Chapman punt for 49 yds , Dominic Lovett returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 2:2740% → 38%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-5
60.1%
MISSOURI Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Misso 6Similar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 15
OWN 6
+7
60.4%
Nathaniel Peat run for 7 yds to the Misso 13Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+7
60.2%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 7 yds to the Misso 20Similar
Q3 4:59
3RD & 1
OWN 20
-2
60.0%
Brady Cook run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 18Similar
Q3 4:44
4TH & 3
OWN 18
-5
61.8%
MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Misso 13Similar
Q3 4:20
4TH & 8
OWN 13
+9
61.9%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 52 yds , Keionte Scott returns for 9 yds to the Aub 22 AUBURN Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Aub 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 3:1263% → 59%
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
62.7%
Jarquez Hunter run for 1 yd to the Aub 35Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+4
62.5%
Jarquez Hunter run for 4 yds to the Aub 39Similar
Q3 3:10
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+8
63.2%
Holden Geriner pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 8 yds to the Aub 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
65.5%
Jarquez Hunter run for no gain to the Aub 47Similar
Q3 1:46
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
64.7%
Holden Geriner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:32
3RD & 10
OWN 47
-6
62.2%
Holden Geriner sacked by Ty'Ron Hopper for a loss of 6 yards to the Aub 41Similar
Q3 1:03
4TH & 16
OWN 41
0
58.8%
Oscar Chapman punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Luther Burden III at the Misso 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0342% → 39%
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-10
57.8%
Brady Cook sacked by Eku Leota for a loss of 10 yards to the Misso 5Similar
Q3 0:15
2ND & 20
OWN 5
+12
58.6%
Nathaniel Peat run for 12 yds to the Misso 17Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 8
OWN 17
0
59.7%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:42
4TH & 8
OWN 17
0
61.0%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 68 yds , Keionte Scott returns for no gain to the Aub 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0461% → 57%
Q4 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
60.9%
Robby Ashford run for no gain to the Aub 15Similar
Q4 13:59
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+1
60.4%
Damari Alston run for 1 yd to the Aub 16Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 9
OWN 16
0
58.4%
Robby Ashford pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:28
4TH & 9
OWN 16
0
57.3%
Oscar Chapman punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Luther Burden III at the Misso 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:1546% → 43%
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
53.7%
Nathaniel Peat run for 18 yds to the Aub 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
51.5%
Nathaniel Peat run for 4 yds to the Aub 38Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 6
OPP 38
-8
50.9%
Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the Aub 36 MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Aub 46Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 14
OPP 46
-5
53.8%
Brady Cook sacked by Derick Hall for a loss of 5 yards to the Misso 49Similar
Q4 11:24
3RD & 19
OWN 49
+5
55.4%
AUBURN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Aub 46Similar
Q4 11:07
3RD & 14
OPP 46
0
55.1%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:58
4TH & 14
OPP 46
0
57.4%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1860% → 56%
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
60.1%
Tank Bigsby run for no gain to the Aub 20Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
59.9%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Tank Bigsby for no gain to the Aub 20Similar
Q4 9:33
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
57.4%
Robby Ashford pass incomplete to John Samuel ShenkerSimilar
Q4 9:20
4TH & 10
OWN 20
+3
56.2%
Oscar Chapman punt for 51 yds , Luther Burden III returns for 3 yds to the Misso 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0546% → 44%
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
54.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Kibet Chepyator for 5 yds to the Misso 37Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+2
51.9%
Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the Misso 39Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 3
OWN 39
0
51.5%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:50
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
55.8%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 37 yds, downed at the Aub 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:5860% → 58%
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+24
59.8%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Koy Moore for 24 yds to the Aub 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-3
64.1%
Tank Bigsby run for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 45Similar
Q4 6:21
2ND & 13
OWN 45
0
61.2%
Robby Ashford pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:01
3RD & 13
OWN 45
+3
58.3%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Camden Brown for 3 yds to the Aub 48Similar
Q4 5:41
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
57.8%
Oscar Chapman punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Luther Burden III at the Misso 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:5147% → 44%
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-6
53.0%
Nathaniel Peat run for a loss of 6 yards to the Misso 7Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 16
OWN 7
+2
53.8%
Nathaniel Peat run for 2 yds to the Misso 9Similar
Q4 4:08
3RD & 14
OWN 9
+3
55.5%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 3 yds to the Misso 12Similar
Q4 3:31
4TH & 11
OWN 12
0
56.4%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 46 yds, downed at the Aub 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 23DOWNS
6 plays · 28 yds · 1:5563% → 64%
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+20
62.7%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Koy Moore for 20 yds to the Misso 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
64.8%
Tank Bigsby run for 3 yds to the Misso 35Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+1
66.3%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Luke Deal for 1 yd to the Misso 34Similar
Q4 1:31
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+5
63.6%
Robby Ashford run for 5 yds to the Misso 29Similar
Q4 1:30
4TH & 1
OPP 29
-1
63.5%
Tank Bigsby run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 24DOWNS
14 plays · 62 yds · 1:2849% → 62%
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
51.4%
Brady Cook run for 13 yds to the Misso 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
45.0%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+8
46.5%
Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 8 yds to the Aub 49Similar
Q4 1:13
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+9
43.4%
Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 9 yds to the Aub 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
42.0%
MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Aub 45Similar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 15
OPP 45
+3
45.0%
Nathaniel Peat run for 3 yds to the Aub 42Similar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 12
OPP 42
+39
44.5%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 39 yds to the Aub 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
37.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Aub 8Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
37.6%
TEAM run for no gain to the Aub 8Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 0
OPP 8
+26
37.7%
Harrison Mevis 26 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 25FG
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0066% → 80%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
65.6%
Robby Ashford run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 27Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 27
0
65.2%
Robby Ashford pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 27
0
61.4%
Robby Ashford pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 12
OPP 27
+5
56.1%
MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Misso 22Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+39
80.1%
Anders Carlson 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 26Uncategorized
2 plays · 24 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
71.4%
Nathaniel Peat run for 5 yds to the Aub 20Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+19
71.4%
Nathaniel Peat run for 19 yds Nathaniel Peat fumbled, recovered by Aub Derick HallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+28.6
KEY PLAY · OT 0:00
Robby Ashford run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 27
+27.9
FG · OT 0:00
Anders Carlson 39 yd FG GOOD
+24
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com