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VAN

Vanderbilt 3 at Alabama 55

ALA
2022 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2022 · Bryant-Denny Stadium
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Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadVAN aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreVAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:28 · Matt Hayball punt for 43 yds , Kool-Aid McKinstry returns for 27 yds to the Alab 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 159Pregame prior+6.1Home team on offense+36.0Score differential+31.3Blowout margin+19.4Garbage-time factor+8.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:49: Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 21 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) — ALA win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:35: Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 8 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) — ALA win probability +0.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:22: Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 34 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) — ALA win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:43: Bryce Young pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 7 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) — ALA win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 0:00: Will Reichard 40 yd FG GOOD — ALA win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 2 of 5VAN made the numbers' call on 12 of 12
  1. Q1 12:03ALA 4th & 3 at ALA 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:05VAN 4th & 5 at VAN 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:49VAN 4th & 6 at ALA 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:29VAN 4th & 1 at VAN 34, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.5%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:06VAN 4th & 5 at VAN 30, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:54ALA 4th & 12 at VAN 36, up 18
    Close callWent for it · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.0%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    98.1%
    42% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:24VAN 4th & 15 at VAN 31, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:56ALA 4th & 1 at VAN 34, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.5%−0.3
    47% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:50VAN 4th & 14 at VAN 21, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:33VAN 4th & 15 at VAN 36, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:13VAN 4th & 9 at ALA 44, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:55ALA 4th & 2 at VAN 4, up 28
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:10VAN 4th & 9 at VAN 17, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:24VAN 4th & 17 at VAN 18, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:00ALA 4th & 16 at ALA 39, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:36VAN 4th & 7 at VAN 37, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:28VAN 4th & 10 at VAN 37, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 8:49ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:35ALA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:22ALA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:43ALA Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:56ALA Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:11ALA Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:32ALA Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ALADrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:4799% → 99%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.0%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 8 yds to the Alab 33Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
99.0%
Jase McClellan run for 2 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
99.0%
Young, Bryce pass incomplete, PENALTY ALABAMA holding (Dalcourt, Darrian) 10 yards to the ALABAMA25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+8
98.9%
Jase McClellan run for 8 yds to the Alab 33Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+4
98.9%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jase McClellan for 4 yds to the Alab 37Similar
Q1 12:36
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+5
98.8%
Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 5 yds to the Alab 42Similar
Q1 12:03
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
98.8%
James Burnip punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:251% → 1%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
98.8%
AJ Swann pass complete to Ray Davis for 4 yds to the Vandy 22Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+5
98.7%
AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 5 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 1
OWN 27
-4
98.6%
Ray Davis run for a loss of 4 yards to the Vandy 23Similar
Q1 10:05
4TH & 5
OWN 23
0
98.6%
Matt Hayball punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Kool-Aid McKinstry at the Alab 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 3TD
4 plays · 68 yds · 1:1199% → 99%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+16
98.6%
Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 16 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+25
98.6%
Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 25 yds to the Vandy 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
98.6%
Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 6 yds to the Vandy 21Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+21
98.7%
Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 21 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 4FG
12 plays · 52 yds · 4:511% → 2%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.6%
AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 9 yds to the Vandy 34Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
98.5%
AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 5 yds to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
98.5%
AJ Swann pass incomplete to Will SheppardSimilar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+22
98.5%
AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 22 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
98.4%
AJ Swann pass complete to Gamarion Carter for 7 yds to the Alab 32Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+1
98.3%
Patrick Smith run for 1 yd to the Alab 31Similar
Q1 5:16
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+4
98.3%
Ray Davis run for 4 yds to the Alab 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
98.2%
AJ Swann pass incomplete to Will SheppardSimilar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+4
98.1%
AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 4 yds to the Alab 23Similar
Q1 3:54
3RD & 6
OPP 23
0
98.1%
AJ Swann pass incomplete to Jayden McGowanSimilar
Q1 3:49
4TH & 6
OPP 23
+40
98.0%
Joseph Bulovas 40 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 5TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:0998% → 98%
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
98.0%
Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the Alab 28 ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Javion Cohen) to the Alab 18Similar
Q1 3:07
1ST & 17
OWN 18
+6
97.9%
Jase McClellan run for 6 yds to the Alab 24Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+24
97.8%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 24 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
97.9%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 14 yds to the Vandy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
97.9%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jahmyr GibbsSimilar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
97.8%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Cameron LatuSimilar
Q1 1:45
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+15
97.8%
Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 15 yds to the Vandy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+15
97.8%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jase McClellan for 15 yds to the Vandy 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
97.7%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Traeshon HoldenSimilar
Q1 0:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
98.1%
Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 8 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 6DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:312% → 2%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.9%
AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 1 yd to the Vandy 26Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
97.9%
Ray Davis run for 7 yds to the Vandy 33Similar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
97.8%
Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the Vandy 34Similar
Q2 13:29
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
97.8%
AJ Swann run for no gain to the Vandy 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 7TD
1 play · 34 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
98.6%
Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 34 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:122% → 2%
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.5%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.5%
Ray Davis run for 5 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
98.4%
AJ Swann pass incomplete to Ray DavisSimilar
Q2 12:06
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+15
98.5%
Matt Hayball punt for 43 yds , Kool-Aid McKinstry returns for 15 yds to the Alab 42 Kool-Aid McKinstry fumbled, recovered by Alab Kool-Aid McKinstrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 9DOWNS
5 plays · 22 yds · 1:0199% → 99%
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+24
98.6%
Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 24 yds to the Vandy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
98.6%
Bryce Young pass complete to Kobe Prentice for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 36Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 12
OPP 36
0
98.6%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jase McClellanSimilar
Q2 11:05
3RD & 12
OPP 36
0
98.5%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Kobe PrenticeSimilar
Q2 10:54
4TH & 12
OPP 36
0
98.5%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Cameron LatuSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 2:232% → 2%
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
98.3%
Patrick Smith run for no gain to the Vandy 36Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
98.3%
ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Tim Smith) to the Vandy 41Similar
Q2 9:49
2ND & 5
OWN 41
-1
98.2%
Patrick Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 40Similar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 6
OWN 40
-9
98.3%
AJ Swann sacked by Will Anderson Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the Vandy 31Similar
Q2 8:24
4TH & 15
OWN 31
0
98.3%
Matt Hayball punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Kool-Aid McKinstry at the Alab 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 11TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 3:3198% → 99%
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
98.4%
Jase McClellan run for 8 yds to the Alab 31Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+26
98.4%
Jase McClellan run for 26 yds to the Vandy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
98.4%
Bryce Young pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 8 yds to the Vandy 35Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 2
OPP 35
0
98.3%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Isaiah BondSimilar
Q2 6:43
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+1
98.3%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 1 yd to the Vandy 34Similar
Q2 5:56
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+1
98.2%
Jase McClellan run for 1 yd to the Vandy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+26
98.3%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 26 yds to the Vandy 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
98.3%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Kendrick LawSimilar
Q2 4:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
98.9%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 7 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 12FUMBLE
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:442% → 2%
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.3%
AJ Swann pass incomplete to Gavin SchoenwaldSimilar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
98.3%
Ray Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 23Similar
Q2 3:18
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-2
98.3%
AJ Swann sacked by Will Anderson Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 21Similar
Q2 2:50
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+40
98.3%
Matt Hayball punt for 48 yds , Kool-Aid McKinstry returns for 40 yds to the Vandy 29 Kool-Aid McKinstry fumbled, forced by Matt Hayball, recovered by VandySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:102% → 2%
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
98.2%
Rocko Griffin run for 12 yds to the Vandy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-7
98.1%
AJ Swann sacked by DJ Dale for a loss of 7 yards to the Vandy 34Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 17
OWN 34
+1
98.3%
Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the Vandy 35Similar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 16
OWN 35
+1
98.2%
Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the Vandy 36Similar
Q2 0:33
4TH & 15
OWN 36
-3
98.1%
Matt Hayball punt for 41 yds , Brian Branch returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 20 Brian Branch fumbled, recovered by Alab Brian BranchSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 14END OF HALF
5 plays · 58 yds · 0:2699% → 100%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
99.3%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 10 yds to the Alab 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+48
99.2%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 48 yds to the Vandy 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.2%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Traeshon HoldenSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+40
99.7%
Will Reichard 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 2:421% → 0%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
99.0%
AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 17 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
99.6%
AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 13 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
99.7%
Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the Alab 44Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
99.7%
Jayden McGowan run for no gain to the Alab 44Similar
Q3 12:21
3RD & 9
OPP 44
0
99.7%
AJ Swann pass incomplete to Ben BresnahanSimilar
Q3 12:13
4TH & 9
OPP 44
0
99.7%
Matt Hayball punt for 32 yds, downed at the Alab 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 16FG
13 plays · 84 yds · 5:11100% → 100%
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+10
99.7%
Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 10 yds to the Alab 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
99.7%
Roydell Williams run for 3 yds to the Alab 25Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Cameron LatuSimilar
Q3 11:16
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+15
99.8%
Bryce Young pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 15 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
99.8%
Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 13 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
99.8%
Bryce Young run for 6 yds to the Vandy 41Similar
Q3 10:04
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+19
99.8%
Bryce Young pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 19 yds to the Vandy 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+10
99.8%
Roydell Williams run for 10 yds to the Vandy 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
99.8%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Darrian Dalcourt) to the Vandy 17Similar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 15
OPP 17
+13
99.8%
Roydell Williams run for 13 yds to the Vandy 4Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+1
99.8%
Roydell Williams run for 1 yd to the Vandy 3Similar
Q3 7:33
3RD & 1
OPP 3
-1
99.8%
Jase McClellan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 4Similar
Q3 6:55
4TH & 2
OPP 4
+21
99.8%
Will Reichard 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:400% → 0%
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
99.8%
Ray Davis run for no gain to the Vandy 1Similar
Q3 6:17
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+15
99.8%
Swann, AJ pass incomplete to Sheppard, Will, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Ricks, Eli) 15 yards to the VANDERBILT16, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VANDERBILT.Similar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
99.8%
Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the Vandy 17Similar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 9
OWN 17
0
99.8%
AJ Swann pass incomplete to Jayden McGowanSimilar
Q3 5:17
3RD & 9
OWN 17
0
99.8%
AJ Swann pass incomplete to Devin Boddie Jr.Similar
Q3 5:10
4TH & 9
OWN 17
0
99.8%
Matt Hayball punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 18TD
6 plays · 55 yds · 2:04100% → 100%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
99.9%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 3 yds to the Alab 48Similar
Q3 4:26
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+12
99.9%
Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 12 yds to the Vandy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+17
99.9%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 17 yds to the Vandy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.9%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Ja'Corey BrooksSimilar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+11
99.9%
Jase McClellan run for 11 yds to the Vandy 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.9%
Jase McClellan run for 12 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:230% → 0%
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Patrick Smith run for 2 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
AJ Swann pass incomplete to Will SheppardSimilar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-9
99.9%
AJ Swann sacked by Will Anderson Jr. and Chris Braswell for a loss of 9 yards to the Vandy 18Similar
Q3 1:24
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+9
99.9%
Matt Hayball punt for 46 yds , Kool-Aid McKinstry returns for 9 yds to the Alab 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:15100% → 100%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
99.9%
Jase McClellan run for 2 yds to the Alab 47Similar
Q3 1:10
2ND & 8
OWN 47
-8
99.9%
Jalen Milroe run for a loss of 8 yards to the Alab 39 Jalen Milroe fumbled, recovered by Alab Jalen MilroeSimilar
Q3 0:14
3RD & 16
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Jalen Milroe pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 16
OWN 39
+9
99.9%
James Burnip punt for 47 yds , Will Sheppard returns for 9 yds to the Vandy 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:140% → 0%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
99.9%
AJ Swann pass complete to Gavin Schoenwald for 8 yds to the Vandy 31Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+3
99.9%
Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the Vandy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.9%
AJ Swann pass incomplete to Ray DavisSimilar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
99.9%
AJ Swann pass incomplete to Will SheppardSimilar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+8
99.9%
AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 8 yds to the Vandy 42Similar
Q4 12:53
4TH & 2
OWN 42
-5
99.9%
VANDERBILT Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 37Similar
Q4 12:36
4TH & 7
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Matt Hayball punt for 50 yds, downed at the Alab 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 22TD
18 plays · 87 yds · 6:59100% → 100%
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
99.9%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Robbie Ouzts for 3 yds to the Alab 16Similar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+15
99.9%
Milroe, Jalen pass incomplete to Brooks, Ja'Corey, PENALTY VANDERBILT pass interference (Sannieniola, Steven) 15 yards to the ALABAMA31, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.Similar
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
99.9%
Trey Sanders run for 8 yds to the Alab 39Similar
Q4 11:22
2ND & 2
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Trey Sanders run for no gain to the Alab 39Similar
Q4 10:40
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+3
99.9%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Trey Sanders for 3 yds to the Alab 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Jalen Milroe pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+6
99.9%
Jamarion Miller run for 6 yds to the Alab 48Similar
Q4 9:36
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+5
99.9%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 5 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
99.9%
Jamarion Miller run for 4 yds to the Vandy 43Similar
Q4 8:34
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+4
99.9%
Jamarion Miller run for 4 yds to the Vandy 39Similar
Q4 8:25
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+19
99.9%
Trey Sanders run for 4 yds to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST down VANDERBILT Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (Darren Agu) to the Vandy 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
99.9%
Trey Sanders run for 1 yd to the Vandy 19Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 9
OPP 19
-10
99.9%
Milroe, Jalen pass incomplete to Bond, Isaiah, PENALTY ALABAMA holding (Latham, JC) 10 yards to the VANDERBILT29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 19
OPP 29
-1
99.9%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jamarion Miller for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 30Similar
Q4 6:17
3RD & 20
OPP 30
+28
99.9%
Jalen Milroe run for 28 yds to the Vandy 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.9%
Jamarion Miller run for no gain to the Vandy 2 for a 1ST down VANDERBILT Penalty, Face Mask (1 yards) (Darren Agu) to the Vandy 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:17
1ST & 0
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Milroe, Jalen pass incomplete to Law, Kendrick, PENALTY VANDERBILT pass interference (Lucien, Jeremy) 0 yards to the VANDERBILT1, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.Similar
Q4 5:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
Jamarion Miller run for 1 yd for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:340% → 0%
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
100.0%
AJ Swann pass complete to Gavin Schoenwald for 12 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
100.0%
Rocko Griffin run for 6 yds to the Vandy 43Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 4
OWN 43
-6
100.0%
AJ Swann sacked by TEAM for a loss of 6 yards to the Vandy 37 VANDERBILT Penalty, Intentional Grounding (AJ Swann) to the Vandy 37Similar
Q4 3:44
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
100.0%
AJ Swann pass incomplete to Ray DavisSimilar
Q4 3:28
4TH & 10
OWN 37
+27
100.0%
Matt Hayball punt for 43 yds , Kool-Aid McKinstry returns for 27 yds to the Alab 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 24TD
5 plays · 53 yds · 2:44100% → 100%
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
100.0%
Jamarion Miller run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 7
50
+3
100.0%
Jamarion Miller run for 3 yds to the Vandy 47Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+5
100.0%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Thaiu Jones-Bell for 5 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
100.0%
Jamarion Miller run for 2 yds to the Vandy 40Similar
Q4 0:32
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+40
100.0%
Jamarion Miller run for 40 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
100.0%
Patrick Smith run for 9 yds to the Vandy 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:22
Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 34 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)
+0.7
TD · Q2 4:43
Bryce Young pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 7 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)
+0.7
TD · Q1 0:35
Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 8 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)
+0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com