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MIA

Miami 9 at Texas A&M 17

TA&M
2022 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2022 · Kyle Field
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadMIA aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreMIA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDFGFGEnd of GameFG-4.5TA&M 84.9%Andres Borregales 34 Yd Field GoalAWAY 9 - HOME 17 · Q4 8:32
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:32 · Andres Borregales 34 Yd Field Goal
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+28.0+14.00−14.0−28.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 140Pregame prior+2.8Home team on offense+12.6Garbage-time factor+2.9Score differential+4.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.9Time remaining+2.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:30: LJ Johnson Jr. 1 Yd Run (Randy Bond Kick) — TA&M win probability +3.5 pts (now 73%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:29: Devon Achane 25 Yd pass from Max Johnson (Randy Bond Kick) — TA&M win probability +8.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 11:55: Jaylan Knighton run for 3 yds to the TexAM 41 — MIA win probability +3.3 pts (now 13%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 8:32: Andres Borregales 34 Yd Field Goal — MIA win probability +4.5 pts (now 15%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:00: TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 39 — TA&M win probability +3.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 6 of 7MIA made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 11:32TA&M 4th & 7 at MIA 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.9%
    89% to make
    Punt
    67.4%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:34MIA 4th & 4 at TA&M 10, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.2%−0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    30.6%−1.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:44TA&M 4th & 7 at TA&M 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.7%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:11MIA 4th & 9 at TA&M 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.6%
    54% to make
    Punt
    29.1%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:17TA&M 4th & 7 at TA&M 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:26MIA 4th & 16 at TA&M 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%−1.2
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.3%
    79% to make
    Punt
    25.0%−3.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:19TA&M 4th & 12 at MIA 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    72.0%−0.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:07MIA 4th & 7 at MIA 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%−1.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:27MIA 4th & 8 at MIA 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.5%−1.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:04MIA 4th & 4 at TA&M 4, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.3%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    4.9%−8.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:51TA&M 4th & 3 at MIA 41, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    86.4%−1.7
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.8%−1.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:32MIA 4th & 4 at TA&M 16, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−0.1
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.4%
    81% to make
    Punt
    6.4%−4.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:06TA&M 4th & 4 at TA&M 31, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%−0.8
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:09MIA 4th & 24 at MIA 39, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−1.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:16TA&M 4th & 11 at TA&M 17, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%−1.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:50MIA 4th & 4 at TA&M 40, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    5.1%−2.4
    34% to make
    Punt
    4.3%−3.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:30MIA 4th & 4 at TA&M 40, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    6.8%−1.3
    34% to make
    Punt
    5.9%−2.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 3:30TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:29TA&M Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TA&MDrive 1FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 3:1870% → 70%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+18
69.7%
Max Johnson pass complete to Donovan Green for 18 yds to the MiaFl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
69.7%
Devon Achane run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 41Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+13
69.7%
Devon Achane run for 13 yds to the MiaFl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+16
69.7%
Max Johnson pass complete to Ainias Smith for 16 yds to the MiaFl 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
69.7%
Devon Achane run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 9Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
69.7%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Devon AchaneSimilar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
69.6%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:32
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+26
69.7%
Randy Bond 26 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 2FG
15 plays · 65 yds · 4:4630% → 32%
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
69.6%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Will Mallory for 2 yds to the MiaFl 27Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
69.5%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Michael Redding III for 7 yds to the MiaFl 34Similar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
69.4%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
69.4%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
50
0
69.0%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 10
50
+20
69.1%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 20 yds to the TexAM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
68.9%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete to Elijah ArroyoSimilar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+9
68.7%
Jaylan Knighton run for 9 yds to the TexAM 21Similar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+5
68.8%
Jaylan Knighton run for 5 yds to the TexAM 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
68.6%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for no gain to the TexAM 16Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-5
68.6%
MIAMI FL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 21Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 15
OPP 21
0
68.7%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete to Henry Parrish Jr.Similar
Q1 7:08
3RD & 15
OPP 21
+11
69.1%
Jaylan Knighton run for 11 yds to the TexAM 10Similar
Q1 6:34
4TH & 4
OPP 10
+28
67.9%
Andres Borregales 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 3FUMBLE
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1668% → 67%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
68.2%
Max Johnson sacked by Keontra Smith and Darrell Jackson Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the TexAM 13Similar
Q1 5:38
2ND & 15
OWN 13
+8
68.1%
Max Johnson run for 8 yds to the TexAM 21Similar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 7
OWN 21
0
67.6%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:44
4TH & 7
OWN 21
-3
67.2%
Nik Constantinou punt for 48 yds , Tyrique Stevenson returns for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaFl 28 Tyrique Stevenson fumbled, recovered by TexAM Chris Russell Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4TD
3 plays · 28 yds · 0:5069% → 73%
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
69.3%
Devon Achane run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 25Similar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+24
69.2%
Devon Achane run for 22 yds to the MiaFl 3 for a 1ST down MIAMI FL Penalty, Face Mask (2 yards) (2 Yards) to the MiaFl 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
72.8%
LJ Johnson Jr. 1 Yd Run (Randy Bond Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 5MISSED FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 1:5128% → 29%
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
71.6%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 26 for a 1ST down TEXAS A&M Penalty, Personal Foul (Brian George) to the MiaFl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
70.8%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Michael Redding III for 12 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
70.3%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for no gain to the TexAM 47Similar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+15
70.6%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 15 yds to the TexAM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
69.7%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete to Jacolby GeorgeSimilar
Q1 1:21
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+1
69.8%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Brashard Smith for 1 yd to the TexAM 31Similar
Q1 1:16
3RD & 9
OPP 31
0
70.1%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete to Henry Parrish Jr.Similar
Q1 1:11
4TH & 9
OPP 31
+49
71.2%
Andres Borregales 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4572% → 71%
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
71.8%
Devon Achane run for 3 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q1 0:32
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
71.9%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Devon AchaneSimilar
Q1 0:26
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
71.3%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:17
4TH & 7
OWN 34
0
70.9%
Nik Constantinou punt for 57 yds, downed at the MiaFl 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 7MISSED FG
14 plays · 73 yds · 3:4828% → 28%
Q1 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
71.6%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:09
2ND & 10
OWN 9
0
71.8%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:04
3RD & 10
OWN 9
+15
72.2%
Van Dyke, Tyler pass incomplete, PENALTY TEXASAM personal foul 15 yards to the MIAMI24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MIAMI.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
71.4%
Jaylan Knighton run for 8 yds to the MiaFl 32Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+3
70.6%
Jaylan Knighton run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
71.0%
Jaylan Knighton run for 13 yds to the MiaFl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
70.2%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 7 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+4
69.8%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 4 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+29
70.0%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Elijah Arroyo for 29 yds to the TexAM 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
69.0%
Van Dyke, Tyler pass incomplete, PENALTY MIAMI ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the TEXASAM17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 15
OPP 17
0
69.2%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 15
OPP 17
-1
69.9%
Jaylan Knighton run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 18Similar
Q2 11:29
3RD & 16
OPP 18
0
71.1%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:26
4TH & 16
OPP 18
+36
72.2%
Andres Borregales 36 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Albert RegisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 38 yds · 3:5572% → 73%
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
72.2%
Max Johnson sacked by Mitchell Agude and Darrell Jackson Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 19Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
72.0%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+12
71.5%
Max Johnson pass complete to Ainias Smith for 12 yds to the TexAM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
72.8%
Devon Achane run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 30Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+13
72.4%
Devon Achane run for 13 yds to the TexAM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+17
74.1%
Devon Achane run for 17 yds to the MiaFl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
75.2%
Devon Achane run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 42Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 12
OPP 42
0
74.7%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 12
OPP 42
0
73.9%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:19
4TH & 12
OPP 42
0
72.9%
Nik Constantinou punt for 34 yds, downed at the MiaFl 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 3:0827% → 26%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
73.3%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 15Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 3
OWN 15
+4
73.3%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
73.2%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 11 yds to the MiaFl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
72.8%
Jaylan Knighton run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 29Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 11
OWN 29
0
73.5%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:54
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+4
74.2%
Tyler Van Dyke run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 33Similar
Q2 4:07
4TH & 7
OWN 33
+3
74.5%
Lou Hedley punt for 50 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 3 yds to the TexAM 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10END OF HALF
11 plays · 24 yds · 3:3174% → 75%
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
74.1%
Amari Daniels run for 5 yds to the TexAM 25Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+4
74.4%
Amari Daniels run for 4 yds to the TexAM 29Similar
Q2 2:47
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
73.7%
LJ Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the TexAM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
74.4%
Amari Daniels run for 1 yd to the TexAM 32Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+3
74.2%
Max Johnson pass complete to Devon Achane for 3 yds to the TexAM 35Similar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+12
73.7%
Max Johnson pass complete to Devon Achane for 12 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
76.7%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+2
76.4%
Max Johnson pass complete to Devon Achane for 2 yds to the TexAM 49Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 8
OWN 49
-5
74.8%
Max Johnson sacked by Jahfari Harvey for a loss of 5 yards to the TexAM 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:2926% → 23%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.4%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for no gain to the MiaFl 25Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
74.6%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Michael Redding III for 10 yds to the MiaFl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
74.0%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 36Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+1
75.1%
Tyler Van Dyke run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 37Similar
Q3 12:38
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
75.9%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:27
4TH & 8
OWN 37
+9
77.0%
Lou Hedley punt for 48 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 9 yds to the TexAM 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12TD
4 plays · 76 yds · 1:5476% → 88%
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
76.4%
Max Johnson run for 11 yds to the TexAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+40
77.3%
Max Johnson pass complete to Ainias Smith for 25 yds to the TEXASAM 40 for a 1ST down MIAMI FL Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the MiaFl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
80.1%
Devon Achane run for no gain to the MiaFl 25Similar
Q3 10:29
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+25
88.2%
Devon Achane 25 Yd pass from Max Johnson (Randy Bond Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 13FG
14 plays · 71 yds · 6:1813% → 15%
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
86.6%
Tyler Van Dyke run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 27Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
86.6%
Jaylan Knighton run for 10 yds to the MiaFl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
86.4%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete to Key'Shawn SmithSimilar
Q3 9:08
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
86.5%
Jaylan Knighton run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 42Similar
Q3 8:41
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+5
86.4%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the MiaFl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+17
86.1%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Will Mallory for 17 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
85.9%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Romello Brinson for no gain to the TexAM 36Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+2
86.1%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 2 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q3 6:29
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+24
86.7%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Jacolby George for 24 yds to the TexAM 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
85.5%
Jaylan Knighton run for 2 yds to the TexAM 8Similar
Q3 5:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
85.6%
Tyler Van Dyke run for 2 yds to the TexAM 6Similar
Q3 4:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
87.4%
Jaylan Knighton run for 2 yds to the TexAM 4Similar
Q3 4:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
84.8%
Andres Borregales 22 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 4:0387% → 89%
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
86.6%
Max Johnson run for 5 yds to the TexAM 30Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
87.2%
Devon Achane run for 1 yd to the TexAM 31Similar
Q3 2:38
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+21
87.0%
Max Johnson pass complete to Ainias Smith for 21 yds to the MiaFl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
88.7%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 47Similar
Q3 1:41
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+10
88.5%
Max Johnson run for 10 yds to the MiaFl 43Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+3
89.1%
Devon Achane run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 40Similar
Q3 0:37
3RD & 2
OPP 40
-1
88.8%
Devon Achane run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 41Similar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 3
OPP 41
0
89.0%
Nik Constantinou punt for 40 yds, downed at the MiaFl 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 15FG
17 plays · 83 yds · 6:0811% → 15%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+7
89.0%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 8Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 3
OWN 8
+17
89.3%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 17 yds to the MiaFl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.6%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
89.0%
Thaddius Franklin Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 24Similar
Q4 13:01
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+11
89.7%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 11 yds to the MiaFl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
87.7%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
88.8%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+21
90.0%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Will Mallory for 21 yds to the TexAM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
86.7%
Jaylan Knighton run for 3 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+8
87.9%
Jaylan Knighton run for 8 yds to the TexAM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
86.8%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+11
88.2%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Jacolby George for 11 yds to the TexAM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
87.4%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Will Mallory for 3 yds to the TexAM 19Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+1
87.4%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Will Mallory for 1 yd to the TexAM 18Similar
Q4 9:05
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+2
89.4%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Brashard Smith for 2 yds to the TexAM 16Similar
Q4 8:32
4TH & 4
OPP 16
+34
84.9%
Andres Borregales 34 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2089% → 90%
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.0%
Devon Achane run for no gain to the TexAM 25Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
89.8%
Max Johnson pass complete to Chase Lane for 6 yds to the TexAM 31Similar
Q4 7:15
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
90.4%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:06
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
90.0%
Nik Constantinou punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Tyrique Stevenson at the MiaFl 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 17FUMBLE
10 plays · 17 yds · 3:5011% → 8%
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+16
88.6%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 16 yds to the MiaFl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
86.8%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 41Similar
Q4 6:11
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+12
87.2%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Will Mallory for 12 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
86.2%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MiaFl 43Similar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 20
OWN 43
0
89.6%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 20
OWN 43
-10
89.9%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MiaFl 33Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 30
OWN 33
+6
90.6%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Jacolby George for 6 yds to the MiaFl 39Similar
Q4 4:03
3RD & 24
OWN 39
+5
90.9%
Tyler Van Dyke run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 44Similar
Q4 3:20
4TH & 19
OWN 44
-5
91.6%
Hedley, Lou punt 55 yards to the TEXASAM1, downed, PENALTY MIAMI illegal formation 5 yards to the MIAMI39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:09
4TH & 24
OWN 39
-5
91.6%
Lou Hedley punt for 49 yds , Ainias Smith returns for a loss of 5 yards to the TexAM 7 Ainias Smith fumbled, recovered by TexAM Ainias SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 1:4494% → 96%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+11
94.4%
Devon Achane run for 11 yds to the TexAM 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
95.0%
Devon Achane run for 2 yds to the TexAM 20Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 8
OWN 20
-4
96.4%
Devon Achane run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 16Similar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 8
OWN 20
-4
96.9%
Devon Achane run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 16Similar
Q4 1:25
3RD & 12
OWN 16
+1
96.9%
LJ Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the TexAM 17Similar
Q4 1:16
4TH & 11
OWN 17
0
96.4%
Nik Constantinou punt for 40 yds , Tyrique Stevenson returns for no gain to the MiaFl 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 19DOWNS
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:396% → 6%
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
94.0%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Brashard Smith for 11 yds to the TexAM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
93.2%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
93.6%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+6
94.4%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Jaylan Knighton for 6 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q4 0:50
4TH & 4
OPP 40
0
93.6%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:30
4TH & 4
OPP 40
0
93.7%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
97.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:29
Devon Achane 25 Yd pass from Max Johnson (Randy Bond Kick)
+8.1
FG · Q4 8:32
Andres Borregales 34 Yd Field Goal
-4.5
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:00
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 39
+3.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com