Try the model
AKR

Akron 6 at Tennessee 63

TENN
2022 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2022 · Neyland Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:39 · Noah Gettman punt for 48 yds , Trevon Flowers returns for 17 yds to the Tenn 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 36Pregame prior+48.2Home team on offense+1.1Score differential+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:40: Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 57 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) — TENN win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:40: Timeout TENNESSEE, clock 14:40 — AKR win probability +0.2 pts (now 1%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:47: Dylan Sampson run for 11 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) — TENN win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 7:35: Timeout TENNESSEE, clock 07:35 — TENN win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:00: Ramel Keyton 57 Yd pass from Joe Milton III (Chase McGrath Kick) — TENN win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 8 of 10AKR made the numbers' call on 16 of 18
  1. Q1 14:55TENN 4th & 1 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.3%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:59TENN 4th & 4 at AKR 29, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.2%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:31AKR 4th & 3 at AKR 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:39AKR 4th & 10 at AKR 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 8:39AKR 4th & 10 at AKR 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  6. Q1 7:41AKR 4th & 10 at AKR 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  7. Q1 5:52TENN 4th & 2 at AKR 9, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%−0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q1 1:44AKR 4th & 5 at AKR 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  9. Q1 1:44TENN 4th & 1 at TENN 29, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    98.9%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q1 0:00TENN 4th & 1 at TENN 29, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    98.8%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 9:27AKR 4th & 7 at TENN 22, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q2 6:47TENN 4th & 4 at AKR 11, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.3%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    98.3%−<0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    97.9%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:51AKR 4th & 5 at TENN 45, down 22
    Close callPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−<0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q2 0:00AKR 4th & 5 at TENN 45, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  15. Q3 15:00AKR 4th & 22 at AKR 34, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  16. Q3 12:01AKR 4th & 22 at AKR 34, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  17. Q3 7:35AKR 4th & 5 at TENN 17, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.9%
    80% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−1.0
    average punt
  18. Q3 7:28TENN 4th & 2 at TENN 33, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  19. Q3 5:55TENN 4th & 2 at TENN 33, up 22
    Close callPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  20. Q3 5:55AKR 4th & 26 at AKR 28, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  21. Q3 3:14AKR 4th & 26 at AKR 28, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  22. Q3 3:14TENN 4th & 10 at AKR 49, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  23. Q3 1:02TENN 4th & 10 at AKR 49, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  24. Q3 1:02AKR 4th & 12 at AKR 18, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  25. Q3 0:04AKR 4th & 12 at AKR 18, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  26. Q4 14:53AKR 4th & 12 at AKR 30, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  27. Q4 12:30AKR 4th & 12 at AKR 30, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  28. Q4 6:22AKR 4th & 7 at TENN 23, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.7%
    70% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:39TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:47TENN Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TENNDrive 1MISSED FG
15 plays · 41 yds · 2:56100% → 100%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
99.7%
Jabari Small run for 11 yds to the Tenn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
99.7%
Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the Tenn 44Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+5
99.7%
Jaylen Wright run for 5 yds to the Tenn 49Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+1
99.7%
Jaylen Wright run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 14:55
4TH & 1
50
+2
99.7%
Jaylen Wright run for 2 yds to the Akron 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.7%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Bru McCoySimilar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+9
99.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 9 yds to the Akron 39Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+4
99.7%
Jaylen Wright run for 4 yds to the Akron 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.7%
Hendon Hooker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+1
99.7%
Jaylen Wright run for 1 yd to the Akron 34Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 9
OPP 34
0
99.7%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Bru McCoySimilar
Q1 14:55
4TH & 9
OPP 34
+5
99.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hooker,Hendon pass incomplete short right to Tillman,Cedric broken up by Hooks,Jalen PENALTY AKRON Offside (Johnson,Ryan) 5 yards from AKRON34 to AKRON29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:24
4TH & 9
OPP 34
+5
99.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hooker,Hendon pass incomplete short right to Tillman,Cedric broken up by Hooks,Jalen PENALTY AKRON Offside (Johnson,Ryan) 5 yards from AKRON34 to AKRON29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:59
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+47
99.6%
Chase McGrath 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:280% → 1%
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
99.6%
PENALTY AKRON False Start (Whigan,Anthony) 5 yards from AKRON30 to AKRON25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+6
99.6%
DJ Irons pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 6 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+6
99.6%
DJ Irons pass complete to Tony Grimes Jr. for 6 yds to the Akron 37Similar
Q1 11:59
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
99.6%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Daniel GeorgeSimilar
Q1 10:31
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
99.5%
Noah Gettman punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Trevon Flowers at the Tenn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 3TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 1:52100% → 100%
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
99.5%
Jaylen Wright run for 9 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+6
99.5%
Jaylen Wright run for 6 yds to the Tenn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
99.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Princeton Fant for 4 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
99.5%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Cedric TillmanSimilar
Q1 10:31
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+27
99.5%
Hendon Hooker run for 27 yds to the Akron 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+19
99.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Princeton Fant for 19 yds to the Akron 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
99.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hooker,Hendon pass incomplete short right to Tillman,Cedric broken up by Hooks,Jalen PENALTY AKRON Pass Interference (Hooks,Jalen) 7 yards from AKRON09 to AKRON02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.5%
J. Wright run for 2 yds for a TD, (C. McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 0 yds · 0:581% → 1%
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
DJ Irons pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
AKRON Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 8:39
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
DJ Irons pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:39
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+17
99.5%
Noah Gettman punt for 48 yds , Trevon Flowers returns for 17 yds to the Tenn 44Similar
Q1 8:39
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+17
99.5%
Noah Gettman punt for 48 yds , Trevon Flowers returns for 17 yds to the Tenn 21Similar
Q1 7:41
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+17
99.5%
Noah Gettman punt for 48 yds , Trevon Flowers returns for 17 yds to the Tenn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 5TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 1:4999% → 100%
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+47
99.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Squirrel White for 47 yds to the Akron 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
99.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hooker,Hendon pass incomplete short right to McCoy,Bru broken up by Hooks,Jalen PENALTY AKRON Pass Interference (Hooks,Jalen) 15 yards from AKRON32 to AKRON17, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
99.5%
Dylan Sampson run for 4 yds to the Akron 13Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 6
OPP 13
-3
99.5%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Jaylen Kelly-Powell for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 16Similar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 9
OPP 16
-15
99.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hooker,Hendon pass complete deep left to McCoy,Bru for 16 yards to the AKRON00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 06:23 PENALTY TENN Pass Interference (McCoy,Bru) 15 yards from AKRON16 to AKRON31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 24
OPP 31
+5
99.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hooker,Hendon pass incomplete short left to Hyatt,Jalin PENALTY AKRON Offside (Johnson,Ryan) 5 yards from AKRON31 to AKRON26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 19
OPP 26
+17
99.6%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jacob Warren for 17 yds to the Akron 9Similar
Q1 5:52
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+9
99.5%
Dylan Sampson 9 Yd Run (Chase McGrath Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 11 yds · 4:081% → 1%
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.5%
DJ Irons pass complete to Tony Grimes Jr. for 16 yds to the Akron 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
99.5%
PENALTY AKRON False Start (Whigan,Anthony) 5 yards from AKRON41 to AKRON36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 15
OWN 36
0
99.5%
Clyde Price III run for no gain to the Akron 36Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 15
OWN 36
+5
99.5%
DJ Irons pass complete to Clyde Price III for 5 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.5%
Clyde Price III run for no gain to the Akron 31Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+9
99.5%
DJ Irons pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 9 yds to the Akron 40Similar
Q1 2:28
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+4
99.3%
Cam Wiley run for 4 yds to the Akron 36Similar
Q1 1:44
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
99.3%
Noah Gettman punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Trevon Flowers at the Tenn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 7TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 2:0499% → 99%
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jimmy Calloway for 3 yds to the Tenn 23Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-2
99.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hooker,Hendon pass complete short left to Calloway,Jimmy for 2 yards to the TENN25 (Thompson,Nate) PENALTY TENN Pass Interference (McCoy,Bru) 11 yard from TENN23 to TENN12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 18
OWN 12
+17
99.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jimmy Calloway for 17 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q1 1:44
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
99.4%
Jaylen Wright run for no gain to the Tenn 29Similar
Q1 1:44
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+2
99.4%
Jaylen Wright run for 2 yds to the Tenn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+2
99.3%
Jaylen Wright run for 2 yds to the Tenn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
99.4%
Jaylen Wright run for 12 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
99.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 57 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 8MISSED FG
13 plays · 54 yds · 5:051% → 1%
Q2 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.2%
Cam Wiley run for no gain to the Akron 24Similar
Q2 14:32
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+15
99.2%
DJ Irons pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 15 yds to the Akron 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
99.2%
Cam Wiley run for 2 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q2 14:32
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+6
99.2%
DJ Irons pass complete to Cam Wiley for 6 yds to the Akron 47Similar
Q2 14:32
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+6
99.1%
DJ Irons pass complete to Cam Wiley for 6 yds to the Tenn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+22
99.2%
DJ Irons pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 22 yds to the Tenn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
99.1%
DJ Irons pass complete to Alex Adams for 1 yd to the Tenn 26Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+4
99.2%
DJ Irons pass complete to Alex Adams for 4 yds to the Tenn 22Similar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 7
OPP 22
0
99.1%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Alex AdamsSimilar
Q2 9:27
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+40
99.1%
Cory Smigel 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 9TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 2:4099% → 100%
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
99.4%
Dylan Sampson run for 3 yds to the Tenn 25Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+8
99.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 8 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
99.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 8 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+27
99.4%
Dylan Sampson run for 27 yds to the Akron 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
99.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hooker,Hendon pass incomplete short right to Keyton,Ramel QB hurried by Arslanian,Bubba PENALTY AKRON Personal Foul (Thomas,Kyle) 15 yards from AKRON32 to AKRON17, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
99.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 5 yds to the Akron 12Similar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+2
99.4%
Dylan Sampson run for 2 yds to the Akron 10Similar
Q2 8:42
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+1
99.4%
Dylan Sampson run for 1 yd to the Akron 11Similar
Q2 6:47
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+11
99.6%
Dylan Sampson run for 11 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 10FUMBLE
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:531% → 1%
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.4%
PENALTY AKRON Delay Of Game 5 yards from AKRON25 to AKRON20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+10
99.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Irons,DJ pass incomplete short middle to Grimes, Jr.,Tony PENALTY TENN Holding (McCollough,Jaylen) 10 yards from AKRON20 to AKRON30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
99.4%
DJ Irons pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 11 yds to the Akron 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
99.4%
DJ Irons pass complete to Daniel George for 15 yds to the Tenn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.3%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Tony Grimes Jr.Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+12
99.4%
DJ Irons run for 12 yds to the Tenn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
99.3%
DJ Irons pass complete to Cam Wiley for 3 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+24
99.3%
DJ Irons pass complete to Alex Adams for 24 yds to the Tenn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.3%
Cam Wiley run for no gain to the Tenn 5Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.3%
Daniel George run for 5 yds Daniel George fumbled, recovered by Akron Latrell BumphusSimilar
Q2 2:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.3%
Daniel George run for 5 yds Daniel George fumbled, recovered by Akron Latrell BumphusSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 11TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:58100% → 100%
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
99.6%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Bru McCoy for 9 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+17
99.6%
Jaylen Wright run for 17 yds to the Tenn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
99.7%
Jaylen Wright run for 9 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 1
OPP 45
-5
99.7%
PENALTY TENN False Start (Keyton,Ramel) 5 yards from AKRON45 to AKRON50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 6
50
+2
99.7%
Jaylen Wright run for 2 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+48
99.6%
Jalin Hyatt 48 Yd pass from Hendon Hooker (Chase McGrath Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 0:511% → 1%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
99.5%
DJ Irons pass complete to Cam Wiley for 4 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+22
99.5%
DJ Irons pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
50
+5
99.5%
DJ Irons run for 5 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
99.3%
DJ Irons pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
99.4%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Tristian BrankSimilar
Q2 0:51
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
99.4%
Noah Gettman punt for 41 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
99.4%
Noah Gettman punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 9 yds · 2:591% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.3%
DJ Irons pass complete to Cam Wiley for 9 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.3%
Cam Wiley run for 2 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
99.3%
DJ Irons pass complete to Daniel George for 6 yds to the Akron 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+4
99.3%
DJ Irons pass complete to Cam Wiley for 4 yds to the Akron 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.3%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to TJ BanksSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+12
99.3%
DJ Irons pass complete to Cam Wiley for 12 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 22
OWN 34
0
99.3%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to TJ BanksSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 22
OWN 34
0
99.3%
Noah Gettman punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 45Similar
Q3 12:01
4TH & 22
OWN 34
0
99.3%
Noah Gettman punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 14TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 1:4699% → 99%
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
99.4%
Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the Tenn 48Similar
Q3 12:01
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+47
99.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 47 yds to the Akron 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
99.4%
Jaylen Wright run for 2 yds to the Akron 3Similar
Q3 12:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.4%
Jaylen Wright run for 2 yds to the Akron 1Similar
Q3 10:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.3%
Jaylen Wright 1 Yd Run (Chase McGrath Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 2:401% → 1%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Irons,DJ pass incomplete short middle to Grimes, Jr.,Tony broken up by McCollough,Jaylen PENALTY TENN Roughing The Passer (Beasley,Aaron) 15 yards from AKRON25 to AKRON40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
99.2%
DJ Irons pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 7 yds to the Akron 47Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+3
99.2%
DJ Irons pass complete to Tony Grimes Jr. for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
50
+15
99.2%
DJ Irons pass complete to Tony Grimes Jr. for 15 yds to the Tenn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+13
99.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Irons,DJ pass intercepted by Page III,Solon at TENN20 PENALTY TENN Pass Interference (Flowers,Trevon) 13 yards from TENN35 to TENN22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.0%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Tristian BrankSimilar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+5
99.1%
DJ Irons pass complete to Alex Adams for 5 yds to the Tenn 17Similar
Q3 7:49
3RD & 5
OPP 17
0
99.1%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Daniel GeorgeSimilar
Q3 7:35
4TH & 5
OPP 17
+35
99.1%
Noah Perez 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:33100% → 100%
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.5%
Dylan Sampson run for 2 yds to the Tenn 27Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
99.5%
Jaylen Wright run for 6 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q3 7:28
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
99.5%
Jaylen Wright run for no gain to the Tenn 33Similar
Q3 7:28
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.5%
Paxton Brooks punt for 36 ydsSimilar
Q3 5:55
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.5%
Paxton Brooks punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 2:411% → 1%
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
99.2%
DJ Irons pass complete to Alex Adams for 13 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
99.2%
DJ Irons sacked by Elijah Herring for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 39Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 15
OWN 39
-1
99.3%
DJ Irons sacked by Bryson Eason for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 38Similar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 16
OWN 38
-10
99.3%
DJ Irons sacked by Elijah Herring for a loss of 10 yards to the Akron 28Similar
Q3 5:55
4TH & 26
OWN 28
0
99.3%
Noah Gettman punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Squirrel White at the Tenn 38Similar
Q3 3:14
4TH & 26
OWN 28
0
99.3%
Noah Gettman punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Squirrel White at the Tenn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 2:12100% → 100%
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
99.6%
Jaylen Wright run for 5 yds to the Tenn 43Similar
Q3 3:14
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+8
99.6%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Walker Merrill for 8 yds to the Akron 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.6%
Jaylen Wright run for no gain to the Akron 49Similar
Q3 3:14
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
99.6%
Jaylen Wright run for 5 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q3 3:14
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
99.6%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Ramel KeytonSimilar
Q3 3:14
4TH & 5
OPP 44
-5
99.6%
PENALTY TENN Delay Of Game 5 yards from AKRON44 to AKRON49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:14
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
99.6%
Paxton Brooks punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q3 1:02
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
99.7%
Paxton Brooks punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:581% → 1%
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.4%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Anthony Williams Jr.Similar
Q3 1:02
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.4%
DJ Irons pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 2 yds to the Akron 18Similar
Q3 1:02
3RD & 12
OWN 18
0
99.4%
DJ Irons pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:02
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
99.4%
Noah Gettman punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Squirrel White at the Tenn 43Similar
Q3 0:04
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
99.5%
Noah Gettman punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Squirrel White at the Tenn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 20TD
1 play · 57 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
99.8%
Ramel Keyton 57 Yd pass from Joe Milton III (Chase McGrath Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:231% → 1%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+13
99.5%
DJ Irons pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 13 yds to the Akron 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
99.4%
DJ Irons pass complete to Cam Wiley for 3 yds to the Akron 35Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+4
99.4%
Cam Wiley run for 4 yds to the Akron 39Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 3
OWN 39
-9
99.4%
DJ Irons sacked by James Pearce Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the Akron 30Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 12
OWN 30
+23
99.5%
Noah Gettman punt for 40 yds , Squirrel White returns for 23 yds to the Akron 47Similar
Q4 12:30
4TH & 12
OWN 30
+23
99.5%
Noah Gettman punt for 40 yds , Squirrel White returns for 23 yds to the Akron 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 22TD
3 plays · 47 yds · 0:14100% → 100%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
99.9%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Hunter Salmon for 9 yds to the Akron 38Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+38
99.9%
Walker Merrill 38 Yd pass from Joe Milton III (Toby Wilson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 23FG
14 plays · 58 yds · 5:470% → 0%
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
99.6%
Jonzell Norrils run for 8 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+7
99.5%
Jonzell Norrils run for 7 yds to the Akron 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
99.5%
PENALTY TENN Offside (McNeill,Amari) 5 yards from AKRON34 to AKRON39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:09
1ST & 5
OWN 39
+7
99.5%
DJ Irons pass complete to Tony Grimes Jr. for 7 yds to the Akron 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
99.5%
DJ Irons run for 3 yds to the Akron 49Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+8
99.5%
DJ Irons pass complete to Jonzell Norrils for 8 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
99.5%
DJ Irons run for 3 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
99.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Irons,DJ pass incomplete short left to George,Daniel PENALTY TENN Offside declined TENN Pass Interference (Harrison,Christian) 14 yards from TENN40 to TENN26, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
99.5%
DJ Irons run for 6 yds to the Tenn 20Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+2
99.4%
Clyde Price III run for 2 yds to the Tenn 22Similar
Q4 7:14
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+1
99.5%
DJ Irons pass complete to Anthony Williams Jr. for 1 yd to the Tenn 23Similar
Q4 6:22
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+41
99.7%
Noah Perez 41 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 24TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:23100% → 100%
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Justin Williams-Thomas run for 8 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
99.9%
Justin Williams-Thomas run for 1 yd to the Tenn 34Similar
Q4 6:22
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
99.9%
Justin Williams-Thomas run for 7 yds to the Tenn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+22
99.9%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Jack Jancek for 22 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
99.9%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Jimmy Holiday for 6 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+3
99.9%
Justin Williams-Thomas run for 3 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q4 6:22
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+3
99.9%
Justin Williams-Thomas run for 3 yds to the Akron 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
99.9%
Patrick Wilk run for 2 yds to the Akron 23Similar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+11
99.9%
Patrick Wilk run for 11 yds to the Akron 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
99.9%
Patrick Wilk run for 6 yds to the Akron 6Similar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+5
99.9%
Patrick Wilk run for 5 yds to the Akron 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Tayven Jackson 1 Yd Run (Toby Wilson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 25END OF GAME
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:460% → 0%
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
50
+4
99.7%
Clyde Price III run for 4 yds to the Tenn 46Similar
Q4 0:46
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
99.7%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incomplete to Shawn NaimSimilar
Q4 0:46
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+5
99.7%
Clyde Price III run for 5 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+5
99.7%
Clyde Price III run for 5 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q3 7:35
Timeout TENNESSEE, clock 07:35
+0.4
TD · Q2 6:47
Dylan Sampson run for 11 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)
+0.3
TD · Q3 0:00
Ramel Keyton 57 Yd pass from Joe Milton III (Chase McGrath Kick)
+0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com