Try the model
UGA

Georgia 48 at South Carolina 7

SC
2022 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2022 · Williams-Brice Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreUGA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:02 · Kai Kroeger punt for 42 yds , Kamari Lassiter returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 12 Kamari Lassiter fumbled, recovered by Geo Ladd McConkey
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 103Pregame prior−30.7Home team on offense−38.0Score differential−22.4Garbage-time factor−8.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:20: Brock Bowers run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK) — UGA win probability +0.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:42: Kendall Milton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK) — UGA win probability +0.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:25: Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 6 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK) — UGA win probability +2.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:21: Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 78 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK) — UGA win probability +1.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:13: Stetson Bennett run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK) — UGA win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 11 of 14UGA made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 13:20SC 4th & 3 at SC 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:53SC 4th & 3 at SC 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:21SC 4th & 6 at SC 29, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.9%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00SC 4th & 9 at UGA 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.8%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    8.8%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    8.7%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:52SC 4th & 9 at UGA 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    8.8%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:06SC 4th & 7 at UGA 48, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:28SC 4th & 7 at UGA 48, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:09UGA 4th & 2 at UGA 17, up 21
    Close callPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:56UGA 4th & 2 at UGA 17, up 21
    Close callPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:52SC 4th & 7 at SC 48, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:08SC 4th & 7 at SC 48, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:30UGA 4th & 10 at SC 25, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.8%
    66% to make
    Punt
    94.8%−0.9
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:14SC 4th & 6 at SC 42, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 11:02SC 4th & 6 at SC 42, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:31SC 4th & 1 at SC 44, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:48SC 4th & 18 at SC 37, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  17. Q3 0:34SC 4th & 18 at SC 37, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:57UGA 4th & 3 at SC 3, up 45
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.6
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:20UGA 4th & 9 at UGA 10, up 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:04UGA 4th & 9 at UGA 10, up 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UGA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 8:20UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:42UGA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:25UGA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:21UGA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:13UGA Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:00UGA Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:53SC Touchdown, down 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:025% → 5%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
4.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Austin Stogner for 12 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
4.8%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
4.9%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 4 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+3
5.1%
Dakereon Joyner run for 3 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q1 13:20
4TH & 3
OWN 44
+10
5.1%
Kai Kroeger punt for 48 yds , Ladd McConkey returns for 10 yds to the Geo 18Similar
Q1 12:53
4TH & 3
OWN 44
+10
5.2%
Kai Kroeger punt for 48 yds , Ladd McConkey returns for 10 yds to the Geo 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2TD
10 plays · 82 yds · 4:2795% → 94%
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
5.2%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Kearis JacksonSimilar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+9
5.3%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 9 yds to the Geo 27Similar
Q1 12:24
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+3
5.3%
Kenny McIntosh run for 3 yds to the Geo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
5.5%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 15 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
5.6%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kearis Jackson for 8 yds to the SCaro 47Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+28
5.7%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 28 yds to the SCaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
5.9%
Kendall Milton run for 4 yds to the SCaro 15Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+5
6.0%
Kendall Milton run for 5 yds to the SCaro 10Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+5
6.2%
Kenny McIntosh run for 5 yds to the SCaro 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
5.8%
Brock Bowers run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3INT
7 plays · 47 yds · 1:226% → 7%
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
6.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 1 yd to the SCaro 26Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+46
6.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 46 yds to the Geo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
6.6%
Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-42
6.6%
Similar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
6.6%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Austin StognerSimilar
Q1 6:46
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-42
6.7%
Spencer Rattler pass intercepted Malaki Starks return for 42 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4TD
5 plays · 43 yds · 1:4294% → 94%
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+14
6.2%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for 14 yds to the SCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
6.2%
Stetson Bennett run for 9 yds to the SCaro 20Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 1
OPP 20
+3
6.3%
Kendall Milton run for 3 yds to the SCaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+16
6.5%
Stetson Bennett run for 16 yds to the SCaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
5.7%
Kendall Milton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5DOWNS
11 plays · 42 yds · 4:416% → 7%
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
6.0%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 3 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q1 4:21
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
6.1%
Spencer Rattler run for 1 yd to the SCaro 29Similar
Q1 4:05
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
6.1%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to MarShawn LloydSimilar
Q1 3:21
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+20
6.0%
Kai Kroeger pass complete to Traevon Kenion for 20 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
6.5%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 13 yds to the Geo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
6.6%
MarShawn Lloyd run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 39Similar
Q1 1:02
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+3
6.7%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 3 yds to the Geo 36Similar
Q1 0:24
3RD & 8
OPP 36
-1
6.8%
Christian Beal-Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 37Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 37
+4
6.8%
Similar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 9
OPP 37
+4
6.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 4 yds to the Geo 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6TD
10 plays · 67 yds · 3:2394% → 96%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
6.3%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Kearis JacksonSimilar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+15
6.4%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Darnell Washington for 15 yds to the Geo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
6.3%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
6.2%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 5 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 5
OPP 32
0
6.2%
Kendall Milton run for no gain to the SCaro 32Similar
Q2 12:52
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+10
6.3%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 10 yds to the SCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+15
6.3%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 15 yds to the SCaro 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
6.3%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Ladd McConkeySimilar
Q2 12:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
6.4%
Kendall Milton run for 1 yd to the SCaro 6Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
3.9%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 6 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 27 yds · 3:505% → 5%
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
4.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Josh Vann for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 24Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+13
4.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Juju McDowell for 13 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
4.8%
Juju McDowell run for 4 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+8
4.9%
Juju McDowell run for 8 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
5.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 9
50
-5
4.9%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Dylan Wonnum) to the SCaro 45Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 14
OWN 45
0
4.8%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:06
3RD & 14
OWN 45
+7
5.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 7 yds to the Geo 48Similar
Q2 8:06
4TH & 7
OPP 48
+2
5.2%
Similar
Q2 7:28
4TH & 7
OPP 48
+2
5.2%
Kai Kroeger punt for 41 yds , Ladd McConkey returns for 2 yds to the Geo 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1596% → 96%
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
4.0%
Daijun Edwards run for 6 yds to the Geo 15Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+2
4.0%
Daijun Edwards run for 2 yds to the Geo 17Similar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 2
OWN 17
0
4.2%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Kenny McIntoshSimilar
Q2 6:09
4TH & 2
OWN 17
+38
4.2%
Similar
Q2 5:56
4TH & 2
OWN 17
+38
4.2%
Brett Thorson punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SOCAROLINA 40 GEORGIA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:315% → 5%
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
5.2%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 3 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q2 5:17
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+3
5.2%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 3 yds to the Geo 49Similar
Q2 4:52
3RD & 4
OPP 49
-3
5.3%
MarShawn Lloyd run for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 48Similar
Q2 4:52
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
5.1%
Similar
Q2 4:08
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
5.1%
Kai Kroeger punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10FG
9 plays · 60 yds · 3:2096% → 97%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
3.9%
Kendall Milton run for 6 yds to the Geo 21Similar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+8
3.8%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 8 yds to the Geo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+19
3.9%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Dominick Blaylock for 19 yds to the Geo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
3.4%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 14 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+13
3.3%
Ladd McConkey run for 13 yds to the SCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
3.1%
Stetson Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
3.2%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Jackson MeeksSimilar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
3.3%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Ladd McConkeySimilar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+42
3.3%
Jack Podlesny 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11END OF HALF
10 plays · 15 yds · 0:234% → 4%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
4.3%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Austin StognerSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
4.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to MarShawn Lloyd for no gain to the SCaro 25Similar
Q2 0:13
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
4.2%
GEORGIA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Kamari Lassiter) to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
4.3%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Austin StognerSimilar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+10
4.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 10 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
4.2%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12TD
4 plays · 90 yds · 1:2197% → 99%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
3.2%
Kenny McIntosh run for 7 yds to the Geo 17Similar
Q3 14:32
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+5
3.2%
Kenny McIntosh run for 5 yds to the Geo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+78
1.5%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 78 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 2:072% → 1%
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
1.8%
MarShawn Lloyd run for a loss of 4 yards to the SCaro 21Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+13
1.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 13 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q3 12:13
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
1.6%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 4 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
1.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to MarShawn Lloyd for 4 yds to the SCaro 42Similar
Q3 11:23
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
1.4%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to MarShawn LloydSimilar
Q3 11:14
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
1.4%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to MarShawn LloydSimilar
Q3 11:14
4TH & 6
OWN 42
-4
1.4%
Similar
Q3 11:02
4TH & 6
OWN 42
-4
1.4%
Kai Kroeger punt for 42 yds , Kamari Lassiter returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 12 Kamari Lassiter fumbled, recovered by Geo Ladd McConkeySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14TD
8 plays · 88 yds · 3:3299% → 99%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
1.3%
Kendall Milton run for 5 yds to the Geo 17Similar
Q3 10:19
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+4
1.2%
Kendall Milton run for 4 yds to the Geo 21Similar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+3
1.1%
Kendall Milton run for 3 yds to the Geo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
1.2%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kendall Milton for 5 yds to the Geo 29Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+18
1.2%
Daijun Edwards run for 18 yds to the Geo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+35
1.3%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kendall Milton for 35 yds to the SCaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
1.2%
Daijun Edwards run for 7 yds to the SCaro 11Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+11
0.7%
Stetson Bennett run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:081% → 1%
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
0.6%
Similar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
0.6%
Spencer Rattler pass intercepted Dan Jackson return for no gain to the Geo 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16TD
3 plays · 54 yds · 0:5099% → 99%
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
0.7%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
0.6%
Branson Robinson run for 11 yds to the SCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
0.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to Oscar Delp for 28 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17PUNT
13 plays · 12 yds · 5:170% → 0%
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
0.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 8 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
0.4%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 2 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
0.4%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 2 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
Q3 4:01
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
0.4%
Christian Beal-Smith run for no gain to the SCaro 37Similar
Q3 3:17
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+7
0.3%
Spencer Rattler run for 7 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q3 2:31
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+1
0.3%
Nate Adkins run for 1 yd to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
0.3%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+7
0.3%
Juju McDowell run for 7 yds to the Geo 48Similar
Q3 1:31
3RD & 3
OPP 48
0
0.3%
Juju McDowell run for no gain to the Geo 48Similar
Q3 0:48
4TH & 3
OPP 48
-15
0.3%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the SCaro 37Similar
Q3 0:48
4TH & 18
OWN 37
0
0.3%
Similar
Q3 0:34
4TH & 18
OWN 37
0
0.2%
Kai Kroeger punt for 54 yds, downed at the Geo 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18FG
14 plays · 88 yds · 6:28100% → 100%
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+10
0.5%
Branson Robinson run for 10 yds to the Geo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+20
0.4%
Carson Beck run for 20 yds to the Geo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
0.4%
De'Nylon Morrissette run for 8 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q4 13:54
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+3
0.3%
Branson Robinson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
50
+4
0.3%
Carson Beck pass complete to Oscar Delp for 4 yds to the SCaro 46Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+7
0.3%
Branson Robinson run for 7 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
0.3%
Carson Beck pass complete to Cash Jones for 9 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+8
0.2%
Cash Jones run for 8 yds to the SCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+12
0.2%
Carson Beck pass complete to Cole Speer for 12 yds to the SCaro 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
0.2%
Carson Beck run for 5 yds to the SCaro 5Similar
Q4 9:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
0.2%
Carson Beck pass complete to Cash Jones for 2 yds to the SCaro 3Similar
Q4 9:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
0.2%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to De'Nylon MorrissetteSimilar
Q4 8:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
0.2%
Jared Zirkel 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19INT
12 plays · 64 yds · 4:080% → 0%
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
0.1%
Luke Doty pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 26 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
0.1%
Juju McDowell run for 1 yd to the Geo 48Similar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+8
0.1%
Luke Doty run for 8 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q4 6:47
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+7
0.1%
Juju McDowell run for 7 yds to the Geo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
0.1%
Juju McDowell run for 4 yds to the Geo 29Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 6
OPP 29
-3
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 32 TEAM fumbled, recovered by SCaroSimilar
Q4 5:21
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+19
0.1%
Luke Doty pass complete to Juju McDowell for 19 yds to the Geo 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
0.1%
Juju McDowell run for 2 yds to the Geo 11Similar
Q4 4:41
2ND & 8
OPP 11
0
0.1%
Luke Doty pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:41
3RD & 8
OPP 11
0
0.1%
Similar
Q4 4:33
3RD & 8
OPP 11
0
0.1%
Luke Doty pass intercepted Trezmen Marshall return for no gain to the Geo 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:16100% → 100%
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-2
0.2%
Branson Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 7Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 12
OWN 7
+3
0.2%
Branson Robinson run for 3 yds to the Geo 10Similar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 9
OWN 10
0
0.2%
Brock Vandagriff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:20
4TH & 9
OWN 10
+21
0.2%
Similar
Q4 3:04
4TH & 9
OWN 10
+21
0.2%
Brett Thorson punt for 56 yds , Josh Vann returns for 21 yds to the Geo 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21TD
6 plays · 45 yds · 2:000% → 0%
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
0.1%
Luke Doty run for 10 yds to the Geo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
0.1%
Dante Miller run for 4 yds to the Geo 31Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+19
0.1%
Luke Doty pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 19 yds to the Geo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
0.1%
Luke Doty pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 13Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 11
OPP 13
0
0.1%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Dante MillerSimilar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 11
OPP 13
+13
0.1%
Luke Doty pass complete to Traevon Kenion for 13 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:27100% → 100%
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 23Similar
Q4 0:22
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:25
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 6 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)
-2.5
TD · Q3 13:21
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 78 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)
-1.7
TD · Q1 4:42
Kendall Milton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)
-0.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com