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ACU

Abilene Christian 17 at Missouri 34

MIZ
2022 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2022 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadACU aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreACU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:24 · H.Mevis 52 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-J.Hoffman, Holder-S.Koetting.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 107Pregame prior+25.3Home team on offense+24.8Score differential+16.6Garbage-time factor+8.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 5:59: B.Zepeda 39 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-ACU, Holder-L.Burke. — ACU win probability +0.1 pts (now 5%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q1 5:01: B.Cook pass complete to MIZ 21. Catch made by D.Lovett at MIZ 21. Gain of 79 yards. D.Lovett for 79 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — MIZ win probability +0.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 3:26: H.Mevis 31 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-J.Hoffman, Holder-S.Koetting. — MIZ win probability +0.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:53: B.Cook pass complete to ACU 6. Catch made by N.Peat at ACU 6. Gain of 6 yards. N.Peat for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — MIZ win probability +3.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:46: M.McIvor pass complete to MIZ 49. Catch made by B.Taylor at MIZ 49. Gain of 49 yards. B.Taylor for 49 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — ACU win probability +1.3 pts (now 2%) (top driver: ACU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 6 of 10ACU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 13:00ACU 4th & 6 at ACU 29, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:20MIZ 4th & 6 at MIZ 49, up 6
    Close callPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:59ACU 4th & 5 at MIZ 22, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.4%
    72% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:24ACU 4th & 6 at ACU 29, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:02MIZ 4th & 5 at ACU 42, up 11
    Close callPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    95.2%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:44ACU 4th & 3 at ACU 44, down 11
    Close callPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:41MIZ 4th & 6 at MIZ 45, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:34ACU 4th & 1 at MIZ 39, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    5.5%−0.4
    36% to make
    Punt
    5.5%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:26MIZ 4th & 10 at ACU 14, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    92.6%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:18ACU 4th & 1 at ACU 34, down 14
    Close callPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:57MIZ 4th & 5 at MIZ 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:32ACU 4th & 1 at ACU 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:03MIZ 4th & 13 at ACU 47, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%−0.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:24MIZ 4th & 5 at ACU 35, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.2%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:12ACU 4th & 3 at MIZ 41, down 21
    Close callPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%−0.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:14MIZ 4th & 2 at ACU 47, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    98.5%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:20ACU 4th & 10 at ACU 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:26MIZ 4th & 9 at ACU 21, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.7
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:26ACU 4th & 5 at ACU 26, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:16MIZ 4th & 3 at ACU 34, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ACU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 5:01MIZ Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:53MIZ Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 1:46ACU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ACUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:533% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.7%
J.Dobbins rushed to ACU 30 for 5 yards. Tackled by K.Williams at ACU 30.Similar
Q1 14:43
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
96.7%
J.Dobbins rushed to ACU 32 for 2 yards. Tackled by I.McGuire at ACU 32.Similar
Q1 14:07
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
96.6%
M.McIvor steps back to pass. M.McIvor pass incomplete intended for K.Clark.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:433% → 4%
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.6%
M.McIvor pass complete to ACU 25. Catch made by K.Clark at ACU 25. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by J.Charleston at ACU 29.Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
96.5%
M.McIvor steps back to pass. M.McIvor pass incomplete intended for K.Catalon.Similar
Q1 13:06
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
96.5%
M.McIvor steps back to pass. M.McIvor pass incomplete intended for K.Catalon.Similar
Q1 13:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+46
96.5%
L.Burke punts 46 yards to MIZ 25, Center-ACU. L.Burden returned punt from the MIZ 25. Tackled by I.Kelley at MIZ 35.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:2697% → 96%
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
96.5%
N.Peat rushed to MIZ 38 for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Schultz at MIZ 38.Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+6
96.5%
N.Peat rushed to MIZ 44 for 6 yards. Tackled by E.Moffett; R.Young at MIZ 44.Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+1
96.4%
B.Cook rushed to MIZ 45 for 1 yards. Tackled by A.Dubar at MIZ 45.Similar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
96.4%
L.Burden rushed to MIZ 50 for 5 yards. Pushed out of bounds by T.Anderson at MIZ 50.Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 5
OPP 0
-1
96.3%
B.Cook pass complete to MIZ 50. Catch made by L.Burden at MIZ 50. Gain of -1 yards. Tackled by R.Young at MIZ 49.Similar
Q1 10:29
3RD & 6
OWN 49
0
96.2%
B.Cook steps back to pass. B.Cook pass incomplete intended for M.Cooper.Similar
Q1 10:20
4TH & 6
OWN 49
+50
96.2%
S.Koetting punts 50 yards to ACU 1, Center-J.Hoffman. Fair catch by K.Catalon.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 4FG
12 plays · 77 yds · 4:114% → 5%
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+6
96.1%
J.Dobbins rushed to ACU 7 for 6 yards. Tackled by A.Walker at ACU 7.Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 4
OWN 7
0
96.0%
M.McIvor steps back to pass. M.McIvor pass incomplete intended for K.Clark.Similar
Q1 9:27
3RD & 4
OWN 7
+22
96.1%
J.Dobbins rushed to ACU 29 for 22 yards. Tackled by J.Carlies at ACU 29.Similar
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
96.0%
J.Dobbins rushed to ACU 31 for 2 yards. Tackled by D.Robinson at ACU 31.Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+23
95.8%
M.McIvor pass complete to ACU 31. Catch made by T.Golightly at ACU 31. Gain of 23 yards. Tackled by E.Rakestraw at MIZ 46.Similar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
95.6%
M.McIvor steps back to pass. M.McIvor pass incomplete intended for Z.Scruggs.Similar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+19
95.6%
J.Dobbins rushed to MIZ 27 for 19 yards. Pushed out of bounds by D.Robinson at MIZ 27.Similar
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
95.5%
M.Medlock rushed to MIZ 19 for 8 yards. Tackled by J.Carlies; C.Bailey at MIZ 19.Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 2
OPP 19
0
95.4%
PENALTY on ACU-ACU, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 6:46
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+2
95.3%
M.McIvor pass complete to MIZ 22. Catch made by D.Johnson at MIZ 22. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by MIZ at MIZ 22.Similar
Q1 6:03
3RD & 5
OPP 22
0
95.3%
M.McIvor steps back to pass. M.McIvor pass incomplete intended for B.Taylor.Similar
Q1 5:59
4TH & 5
OPP 22
0
95.2%
B.Zepeda 39 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-ACU, Holder-L.Burke.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 5TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:5395% → 96%
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.2%
N.Peat rushed to MIZ 28 for yards. Pushed out of bounds by A.Egbo at MIZ 28. PENALTY on MIZ-MIZ, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+6
95.1%
B.Cook pass complete to MIZ 15. Catch made by M.Cooper at MIZ 15. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by R.Young at MIZ 21.Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+79
95.7%
B.Cook pass complete to MIZ 21. Catch made by D.Lovett at MIZ 21. Gain of 79 yards. D.Lovett for 79 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:235% → 4%
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.5%
J.Dobbins rushed to ACU 26 for 1 yards. Tackled by D.Robinson at ACU 26.Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
95.4%
M.McIvor steps back to pass. M.McIvor pass incomplete intended for N.Caldwell.Similar
Q1 4:05
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+3
95.5%
J.Dobbins rushed to ACU 29 for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Carnell; T.Hopper at ACU 29.Similar
Q1 3:24
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+40
95.6%
L.Burke punts 40 yards to MIZ 31, Center-ACU. L.Burden returned punt from the MIZ 31. Tackled by L.Burke at ACU 47.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 10 yds · 2:0796% → 95%
Q1 3:09
1ST & 15
OWN 48
+2
95.6%
N.Peat rushed to MIZ 50 for 2 yards. Tackled by C.Coheley at MIZ 50.Similar
Q1 2:27
2ND & 13
OPP 0
+11
95.5%
B.Cook pass complete to MIZ 50. Catch made by D.Lovett at MIZ 50. Gain of 11 yards. Pushed out of bounds by E.Moffett at ACU 39.Similar
Q1 1:45
3RD & 2
OPP 39
-3
95.3%
E.Young rushed to ACU 42 for -3 yards. Tackled by W.Morgan at ACU 42.Similar
Q1 1:02
4TH & 5
OPP 42
+21
95.1%
S.Koetting punts 21 yards to ACU 21, Center-J.Hoffman. Downed by M.Walters.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:065% → 5%
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
95.1%
M.Medlock rushed to ACU 26 for 5 yards. Tackled by T.Hopper at ACU 26.Similar
Q1 0:14
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+11
94.9%
M.McIvor pass complete to ACU 26. Catch made by T.Golightly at ACU 26. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by J.Williams at ACU 37.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
94.9%
M.Medlock rushed to ACU 34 for -3 yards. Tackled by T.Hopper at ACU 34.Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 13
OWN 34
0
94.9%
J.Dobbins rushed to ACU 34 for 0 yards. Tackled by K.Abrams-Draine at ACU 34.Similar
Q2 13:59
3RD & 13
OWN 34
+10
95.0%
M.McIvor pass complete to ACU 34. Catch made by D.Johnson at ACU 34. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by K.Abrams-Draine at ACU 44.Similar
Q2 13:44
4TH & 3
OWN 44
+15
94.9%
L.Burke punts 15 yards to MIZ 41, Center-ACU. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:5795% → 95%
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
95.3%
E.Young rushed to MIZ 45 for 4 yards. Tackled by C.Coheley at MIZ 45.Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+5
95.2%
E.Young rushed to MIZ 50 for 5 yards. Tackled by C.Nwankwo at MIZ 50.Similar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 1
OPP 0
0
95.1%
C.Schrader rushed to MIZ 50 for 0 yards. Tackled by A.Dubar at MIZ 50.Similar
Q2 11:24
4TH & 1
OPP 0
+5
94.8%
PENALTY on MIZ-MIZ, Delay of Game, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 10:41
4TH & 6
OWN 45
+20
94.6%
S.Koetting punts 20 yards to ACU 35, Center-J.Hoffman. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 10DOWNS
7 plays · 26 yds · 3:016% → 6%
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
94.3%
M.McIvor pass complete to ACU 35. Catch made by K.Clark at ACU 35. Gain of 1 yards. Pushed out of bounds by K.Abrams-Draine at ACU 36.Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
94.3%
M.McIvor steps back to pass. M.McIvor pass incomplete intended for T.Golightly.Similar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+16
94.5%
M.McIvor pass complete to ACU 36. Catch made by T.Golightly at ACU 36. Gain of 16 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Charleston at MIZ 48.Similar
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
93.9%
T.White rushed to MIZ 46 for 2 yards. Tackled by D.Coleman at MIZ 46.Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+4
93.8%
T.White rushed to MIZ 42 for 4 yards. Tackled by J.Carlies at MIZ 42.Similar
Q2 7:57
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+3
93.8%
M.McIvor pass complete to MIZ 42. Catch made by Z.Scruggs at MIZ 42. Gain of 3 yards. Pushed out of bounds by E.Rakestraw at MIZ 39.Similar
Q2 7:34
4TH & 1
OPP 39
0
93.9%
M.McIvor rushed to MIZ 39 for 0 yards. Tackled by M.Manuel; D.Robinson at MIZ 39.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 11FG
10 plays · 47 yds · 4:0095% → 95%
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
94.6%
C.Schrader rushed to MIZ 40 for 1 yards. Tackled by R.Young at MIZ 40.Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
94.5%
E.Young rushed to MIZ 43 for yards. Tackled by T.Hargrove at MIZ 43. PENALTY on MIZ-C.Wood, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 19
OWN 30
+19
94.3%
B.Cook pass complete to MIZ 30. Catch made by M.Cooper at MIZ 30. Gain of 19 yards. Tackled by T.Anderson at MIZ 49.Similar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+25
94.5%
B.Cook pass complete to MIZ 49. Catch made by C.Schrader at MIZ 49. Gain of 25 yards. Pushed out of bounds by D.Moore at ACU 26.Similar
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
94.5%
C.Schrader rushed to ACU 21 for 5 yards. Tackled by T.Bradley at ACU 21.Similar
Q2 5:16
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+7
94.5%
C.Schrader rushed to ACU 14 for 7 yards. Tackled by T.Bradley; D.Moore at ACU 14.Similar
Q2 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
94.4%
C.Schrader rushed to ACU 8 for 6 yards. Tackled by T.Bradley at ACU 8.Similar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 4
OPP 8
-6
94.3%
N.Peat rushed to ACU 14 for -6 yards. Tackled by D.Moore at ACU 14.Similar
Q2 3:32
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
94.2%
B.Cook steps back to pass. B.Cook pass incomplete intended for T.Dove.Similar
Q2 3:26
4TH & 10
OPP 14
0
94.9%
H.Mevis 31 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-J.Hoffman, Holder-S.Koetting.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:035% → 5%
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
94.6%
J.Dobbins rushed to ACU 28 for 3 yards. Tackled by K.Williams at ACU 28.Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
94.6%
M.McIvor pass complete to ACU 28. Catch made by K.Catalon at ACU 28. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by K.Abrams-Draine at ACU 34.Similar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
94.5%
M.McIvor rushed to ACU 34 for 0 yards. Tackled by K.Williams at ACU 34.Similar
Q2 2:18
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+45
94.7%
L.Burke punts 45 yards to MIZ 21, Center-ACU. Downed by C.Coheley.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0695% → 95%
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
95.1%
B.Cook pass complete to MIZ 21. Catch made by D.Lovett at MIZ 21. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by P.Jolly at MIZ 22.Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+4
95.2%
B.Cook scrambles to MIZ 26 for 4 yards. Tackled by J.Schultz at MIZ 26.Similar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 5
OWN 26
0
95.0%
B.Cook steps back to pass. B.Cook pass incomplete intended for B.Banister.Similar
Q2 0:57
4TH & 5
OWN 26
+53
94.7%
J.Stonehouse punts 53 yards to ACU 21, Center-J.Hoffman. Fair catch by K.Catalon.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:165% → 5%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
94.6%
M.McIvor steps back to pass. M.McIvor pass incomplete intended for T.Golightly.Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+9
94.7%
M.McIvor pass complete to ACU 21. Catch made by J.Dobbins at ACU 21. Gain of 9 yards. J.Dobbins ran out of bounds.Similar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 1
OWN 30
0
94.8%
J.Dobbins rushed to ACU 30 for 0 yards. Tackled by T.Hopper at ACU 30.Similar
Q2 0:32
4TH & 1
OWN 30
+49
95.0%
L.Burke punts 49 yards to MIZ 21, Center-ACU. L.Burden returned punt from the MIZ 21. Tackled by J.Brannon at MIZ 22.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15END OF HALF
4 plays · 23 yds · 0:1395% → 95%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+18
95.1%
B.Cook pass complete to MIZ 22. Catch made by L.Burden at MIZ 22. Gain of 18 yards. Tackled by P.Jolly at MIZ 40.Similar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
95.3%
B.Cook steps back to pass. B.Cook pass incomplete intended for D.Lovett.Similar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
95.4%
B.Cook pass complete to MIZ 40. Catch made by D.Lovett at MIZ 40. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by C.Nwankwo at MIZ 45.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 1:5795% → 95%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.2%
L.Burden rushed to MIZ 29 for 4 yards. Tackled by E.Moffett at MIZ 29.Similar
Q3 14:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+27
95.2%
N.Peat rushed to ACU 44 for 27 yards. Pushed out of bounds by A.Dubar at ACU 44.Similar
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
95.4%
C.Schrader rushed to ACU 36 for 0 yards. C.Schrader FUMBLES, forced by ACU. Fumble RECOVERED by ACU-ACU at ACU 36. Tackled by MIZ at ACU 36. PENALTY on MIZ-MIZ, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, declined. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble and the play was overturned. C.Schrader rushed to ACU 36 for yards. Tackled by ACU at ACU 36. PENALTY on MIZ-C.Tollison, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 13:57
1ST & 20
OWN 46
0
95.3%
B.Cook steps back to pass. B.Cook pass incomplete intended for D.Lovett.Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 20
OWN 46
+7
95.3%
B.Cook pass complete to MIZ 46. Catch made by E.Young at MIZ 46. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by P.Jolly at ACU 47.Similar
Q3 13:12
3RD & 13
OPP 47
0
95.1%
B.Cook steps back to pass. B.Cook pass incomplete intended for B.Banister.Similar
Q3 13:03
4TH & 13
OPP 47
+47
94.8%
J.Stonehouse punts 47 yards to ACU End Zone, Center-J.Hoffman. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 17INT
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:355% → 6%
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
94.8%
J.Dobbins rushed to ACU 35 for 15 yards. Tackled by K.Williams at ACU 35.Similar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
94.5%
M.McIvor pass INTERCEPTED at ACU 32. Intercepted by E.Rakestraw at ACU 32. Tackled by T.Golightly at ACU 32.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 18TD
4 plays · 32 yds · 1:1995% → 98%
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
95.4%
N.Peat rushed to ACU 31 for 1 yards. Tackled by T.Bradley; W.Morgan at ACU 31.Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 9
OPP 31
0
95.4%
B.Cook steps back to pass. B.Cook pass incomplete intended for K.Chepyator.Similar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+25
95.2%
B.Cook pass complete to ACU 31. Catch made by B.Banister at ACU 31. Gain of 25 yards. Tackled by E.Taite at ACU 6.Similar
Q3 10:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
98.3%
B.Cook pass complete to ACU 6. Catch made by N.Peat at ACU 6. Gain of 6 yards. N.Peat for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 19FUMBLE
4 plays · 40 yds · 1:272% → 2%
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.0%
J.Dobbins rushed to ACU 32 for 7 yards. Tackled by R.George at ACU 32.Similar
Q3 10:11
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+25
97.9%
M.McIvor pass complete to ACU 32. Catch made by K.Catalon at ACU 32. Gain of 25 yards. Tackled by K.Abrams-Draine at MIZ 43.Similar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
97.9%
J.Dobbins rushed to MIZ 40 for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Carlies at MIZ 40.Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+5
98.0%
M.McIvor pass complete to MIZ 40. Catch made by N.Caldwell at MIZ 40. Gain of 5 yards. N.Caldwell FUMBLES, forced by C.Bailey. Fumble RECOVERED by MIZ-C.Bailey at MIZ 35. Tackled by ACU at MIZ 35.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 20MISSED FG
5 plays · 30 yds · 1:4898% → 98%
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+25
98.3%
B.Cook pass complete to MIZ 35. Catch made by D.Lovett at MIZ 35. Gain of 25 yards. Tackled by ACU at ACU 40.Similar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
98.4%
L.Burden rushed to ACU 41 for -1 yards. Tackled by R.Young at ACU 41.Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+6
98.3%
B.Cook pass complete to ACU 41. Catch made by L.Burden at ACU 41. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by A.Egbo at ACU 35.Similar
Q3 7:29
3RD & 5
OPP 35
0
98.4%
B.Cook steps back to pass. B.Cook pass incomplete intended for B.Banister.Similar
Q3 7:24
4TH & 5
OPP 35
0
98.2%
H.Mevis 52 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-J.Hoffman, Holder-S.Koetting.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 3:072% → 2%
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
98.1%
J.Dobbins rushed to ACU 39 for 4 yards. Tackled by D.Carnell; J.Williams at ACU 39.Similar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+13
98.1%
M.McIvor pass complete to ACU 39. Catch made by K.Clark at ACU 39. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by J.Williams; C.Bailey at MIZ 48.Similar
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
98.1%
M.McIvor pass complete to MIZ 48. Catch made by J.Dobbins at MIZ 48. Gain of 7 yards. Pushed out of bounds by C.Bailey at MIZ 41.Similar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 3
OPP 41
-2
98.1%
J.Dobbins rushed to MIZ 43 for -2 yards. Tackled by T.Hopper at MIZ 43.Similar
Q3 4:54
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+2
98.4%
M.McIvor pass complete to MIZ 43. Catch made by J.Dobbins at MIZ 43. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by D.Carnell at MIZ 41.Similar
Q3 4:12
4TH & 3
OPP 41
+32
98.4%
L.Burke punts 32 yards to MIZ 9, Center-ACU. Fair catch by L.Burden.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 22TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:2698% → 99%
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
98.0%
C.Schrader rushed to MIZ 45 for 20 yards. Tackled by A.Dubar at MIZ 45.Similar
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
98.6%
C.Schrader rushed to MIZ 48 for 3 yards. Tackled by E.Moffett at MIZ 48. PENALTY on MIZ-Z.Powell, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 17
OWN 38
+1
98.6%
E.Young rushed to MIZ 39 for 1 yards. Tackled by A.Duke; E.Moffett at MIZ 39.Similar
Q3 2:44
3RD & 16
OWN 39
+14
98.6%
B.Cook pass complete to MIZ 39. Catch made by L.Burden at MIZ 39. Gain of 14 yards. Pushed out of bounds by ACU at ACU 47.Similar
Q3 2:14
4TH & 2
OPP 47
+29
98.6%
B.Cook rushed to ACU 18 for 29 yards. Tackled by R.Young at ACU 18.Similar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
99.0%
C.Schrader rushed to ACU 16 for 2 yards. Tackled by A.Egbo at ACU 16.Similar
Q3 1:10
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+3
99.0%
E.Young rushed to ACU 13 for 3 yards. Tackled by T.Anderson at ACU 13.Similar
Q3 0:29
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+13
99.0%
B.Cook pass complete to ACU 13. Catch made by D.Lovett at ACU 13. Gain of 13 yards. D.Lovett for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:021% → 1%
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
J.Dobbins rushed to ACU 25 for 0 yards. Tackled by T.Jeffcoat at ACU 25.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
J.Dobbins rushed to ACU 25 for 0 yards. Tackled by M.Manuel at ACU 25.Similar
Q4 14:26
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
M.McIvor steps back to pass. M.McIvor pass incomplete intended for B.Taylor.Similar
Q4 14:20
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+37
99.0%
L.Burke punts 37 yards to MIZ 38, Center-ACU. Downed by R.Stafford.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 24MISSED FG
12 plays · 41 yds · 5:4199% → 99%
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
99.1%
C.Schrader rushed to MIZ 46 for 8 yards. Tackled by C.Nwankwo at MIZ 46.Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+5
99.1%
B.Cook pass complete to MIZ 46. Catch made by B.Banister at MIZ 46. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by T.Anderson at ACU 49.Similar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
99.2%
C.Schrader rushed to ACU 47 for 2 yards. Tackled by T.Bradley at ACU 47.Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+2
99.2%
M.Cox rushed to ACU 45 for 2 yards. Tackled by ACU at ACU 45.Similar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+10
99.2%
B.Cook pass complete to ACU 45. Catch made by B.Banister at ACU 45. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by ACU at ACU 35.Similar
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
99.2%
E.Young rushed to ACU 36 for -1 yards. Tackled by C.Coheley at ACU 36.Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+14
99.2%
B.Cook pass complete to ACU 36. Catch made by L.Burden at ACU 36. Gain of 14 yards. Tackled by ACU at ACU 22.Similar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+10
99.2%
E.Young rushed to ACU 12 for 10 yards. E.Young for yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on MIZ-B.Banister, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-4
99.2%
E.Young rushed to ACU 26 for -4 yards. Tackled by T.Hargrove at ACU 26.Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 14
OPP 26
+7
99.2%
B.Cook pass complete to ACU 26. Catch made by L.Burden at ACU 26. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by P.Jolly at ACU 19.Similar
Q4 9:13
3RD & 7
OPP 19
-2
99.2%
B.Cook pass complete to ACU 19. Catch made by D.Lovett at ACU 19. Gain of -2 yards. Tackled by E.Moffett; J.Paup at ACU 21.Similar
Q4 8:26
4TH & 9
OPP 21
0
99.1%
H.Mevis 39 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-J.Hoffman, Holder-S.Koetting.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:581% → 1%
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.2%
M.McIvor steps back to pass. M.McIvor pass incomplete intended for B.Taylor.Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+5
99.2%
M.McIvor pass complete to ACU 21. Catch made by K.Catalon at ACU 21. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by D.Jackson at ACU 26.Similar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 5
OWN 26
0
99.2%
M.McIvor steps back to pass. M.McIvor pass incomplete intended for K.Clark.Similar
Q4 7:26
4TH & 5
OWN 26
+42
99.3%
L.Burke punts 42 yards to MIZ 32, Center-ACU. Fair catch by L.Burden.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 26FG
11 plays · 34 yds · 4:0099% → 99%
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
99.2%
M.Cox rushed to MIZ 31 for -1 yards. Tackled by T.Bradley at MIZ 31.Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+17
99.2%
M.Cox rushed to MIZ 48 for 17 yards. Tackled by J.Paup at MIZ 48.Similar
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.3%
M.Cox rushed to ACU 46 for yards. Tackled by ACU at ACU 46. PENALTY on MIZ-E.Ndoma-Ogar, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 6:01
1ST & 20
OWN 38
+3
99.3%
B.Cook scrambles to MIZ 41 for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Paup at MIZ 41.Similar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 17
OWN 41
+14
99.3%
B.Cook scrambles to ACU 45 for 14 yards. Tackled by E.Moffett at ACU 45.Similar
Q4 4:51
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+4
99.4%
B.Cook pass complete to ACU 45. Catch made by B.Banister at ACU 45. Gain of 4 yards. Pushed out of bounds by ACU at ACU 41.Similar
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
99.4%
B.Harris rushed to ACU 35 for 6 yards. Tackled by J.Schultz at ACU 35.Similar
Q4 3:54
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+1
99.4%
B.Harris rushed to ACU 34 for 1 yards. Tackled by E.Taite at ACU 34.Similar
Q4 3:21
3RD & 3
OPP 34
0
99.5%
B.Cook steps back to pass. B.Cook pass incomplete intended for B.Banister.Similar
Q4 3:16
4TH & 3
OPP 34
+52
99.4%
H.Mevis 52 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-J.Hoffman, Holder-S.Koetting.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ACUDrive 27TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:251% → 2%
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.5%
J.Dobbins rushed to ACU 23 for -2 yards. Tackled by J.Landry at ACU 23. PENALTY on ACU-ACU, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, declined.Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+7
99.5%
M.McIvor pass complete to ACU 23. Catch made by J.Dobbins at ACU 23. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by W.Norris at ACU 30.Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
99.5%
M.McIvor scrambles to ACU 35 for 5 yards. Tackled by W.Norris at ACU 35.Similar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.5%
M.McIvor pass complete to ACU 35. Catch made by K.Catalon at ACU 35. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by D.Wilson at ACU 36. PENALTY on MIZ-A.Walker, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
98.2%
M.McIvor pass complete to MIZ 49. Catch made by B.Taylor at MIZ 49. Gain of 49 yards. B.Taylor for 49 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 28END OF GAME
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:5299% → 99%
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
98.6%
T.Jones rushed to MIZ 36 for 11 yards. Tackled by R.Williams at MIZ 36.Similar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
98.7%
T.Jones rushed to MIZ 37 for 1 yards. Tackled by I.Kelley at MIZ 37.Similar
Q4 0:41
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+1
98.7%
T.Jones rushed to MIZ 38 for 1 yards. Tackled by E.Moffett; C.Coheley at MIZ 38.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:53
B.Cook pass complete to ACU 6. Catch made by N.Peat at ACU 6. Gain of 6 yards. N.Peat for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+3.1
TD · Q4 1:46
M.McIvor pass complete to MIZ 49. Catch made by B.Taylor at MIZ 49. Gain of 49 yards. B.Taylor for 49 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-1.3
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+1.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com