Try the model
MISS

Ole Miss 42 at Georgia Tech 0

GT
2022 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2022 · Bobby Dodd Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadMISS aheadconfidence bandkey playGT scoreMISS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:55 · Fraser Masin punt for 31 yds, downed at the GTech 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 178Home team on offense−57.1Pregame prior−2.8Score differential−39.1Garbage-time factor−16.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−8.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−9.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:51: Quinshon Judkins run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — MISS win probability +0.7 pts (now 85%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:36: Zach Evans run for 26 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — MISS win probability +6.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:11: Dontae Smith run for 9 yds to the GTech 23 — GT win probability +2.3 pts (now 9%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 12:05: Zach Evans run for no gain to the Miss 37 — MISS win probability +2.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:51: Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — MISS win probability +2.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GT made the numbers' call on 16 of 19MISS made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 11:40GT 4th & 1 at GT 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:15GT 4th & 4 at GT 45, down 14
    Close callPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:09GT 4th & 4 at GT 45, down 14
    Close callPunted · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:11MISS 4th & 3 at GT 34, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    84.6%−0.5
    47% to make
    Punt
    84.3%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:58MISS 4th & 14 at GT 33, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.3%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.8%
    49% to make
    Punt
    84.4%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:40GT 4th & 4 at MISS 4, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    15.8%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    13.4%−2.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:35GT 4th & 4 at MISS 4, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    15.8%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    13.4%−2.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:11MISS 4th & 12 at MISS 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.1%−1.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:37MISS 4th & 12 at MISS 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.3%−1.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:45GT 4th & 9 at GT 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%
    average punt
  11. Q2 7:34GT 4th & 9 at GT 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%
    average punt
  12. Q2 3:45GT 4th & 15 at GT 43, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%
    average punt
  13. Q2 3:10GT 4th & 15 at GT 43, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 12:09GT 4th & 10 at GT 35, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 8:04GT 4th & 7 at GT 28, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  16. Q3 7:32GT 4th & 7 at GT 28, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  17. Q3 4:02GT 4th & 12 at GT 23, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  18. Q3 2:10MISS 4th & 1 at GT 18, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%−0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.6
    average punt
  19. Q3 0:41MISS 4th & 3 at GT 10, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.5
    average punt
  20. Q4 14:48GT 4th & 10 at GT 25, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  21. Q4 14:36GT 4th & 10 at GT 25, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  22. Q4 13:50MISS 4th & 24 at MISS 37, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  23. Q4 13:04MISS 4th & 24 at MISS 37, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  24. Q4 7:22GT 4th & 5 at MISS 36, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  25. Q4 7:16GT 4th & 5 at MISS 36, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  26. Q4 4:42MISS 4th & 16 at GT 43, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  27. Q4 3:55MISS 4th & 16 at GT 43, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  28. Q4 1:36GT 4th & 9 at GT 37, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  29. Q4 1:22GT 4th & 9 at GT 37, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MISS made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 13:34MISS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:51MISS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:36MISS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:51MISS Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:20MISS Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:02MISS Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MISSDrive 1TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 1:1885% → 85%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
14.7%
Zach Evans run for 7 yds to the Miss 33Similar
Q1 14:31
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+18
14.9%
Zach Evans run for 18 yds to the GTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+38
15.1%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 38 yds to the GTech 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
15.1%
Zach Evans run for 8 yds to the GTech 3Similar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 2
OPP 3
+3
15.0%
Zach Evans run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4015% → 16%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
15.2%
Dontae Smith run for 6 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
15.3%
Dontae Smith run for 1 yd to the GTech 32Similar
Q1 12:22
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
15.4%
Jeff Sims run for 2 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q1 11:40
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
15.6%
David Shanahan punt blocked by Cedric Johnson blocked by Cedric Johnson Cedric Johnson return for no gain to the GTech 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 3TD
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:4685% → 85%
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
15.4%
Jaxson Dart pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+3
15.5%
Quinshon Judkins run for 3 yds to the GTech 17Similar
Q1 11:10
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+7
15.5%
Quinshon Judkins run for 7 yds to the GTech 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
15.6%
Jaxson Dart run for 1 yd to the GTech 9Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
15.7%
Quinshon Judkins run for 2 yds to the GTech 7Similar
Q1 9:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
15.0%
Quinshon Judkins run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 2:3415% → 16%
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
15.2%
Jeff Sims run for 1 yd to the GTech 26Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
15.2%
Dylan McDuffie run for 4 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q1 8:37
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
15.1%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 9 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
15.4%
Dylan McDuffie run for 1 yd to the GTech 40Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+5
15.5%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Dylan McDuffie for 5 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
15.6%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Dylan McDuffieSimilar
Q1 7:15
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
15.6%
Similar
Q1 7:09
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
15.6%
David Shanahan punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jordan Watkins at the Miss 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 5MISSED FG
16 plays · 46 yds · 5:0285% → 85%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
14.9%
Zach Evans run for 10 yds to the Miss 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
14.8%
OLE MISS Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the Miss 26Similar
Q1 6:43
1ST & 15
OWN 26
-1
14.9%
Zach Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 25Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 16
OWN 25
0
14.9%
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Zach EvansSimilar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 16
OWN 25
+20
15.1%
Jaxson Dart run for 20 yds to the Miss 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
14.7%
Jaxson Dart run for 14 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
14.6%
Quinshon Judkins run for 4 yds to the GTech 37Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+4
14.6%
Jaxson Dart run for 4 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q1 4:32
3RD & 2
OPP 33
-1
14.7%
Quinshon Judkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 34Similar
Q1 4:11
4TH & 3
OPP 34
+5
15.0%
Quinshon Judkins run for 5 yds to the GTech 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
14.6%
OLE MISS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GTech 34Similar
Q1 3:34
1ST & 15
OPP 34
-2
14.7%
Jaxson Dart run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 36Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 17
OPP 36
0
14.7%
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Jonathan MingoSimilar
Q1 2:41
3RD & 17
OPP 36
-2
14.8%
Jaxson Dart run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 38Similar
Q1 2:03
4TH & 19
OPP 38
+5
15.0%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Illegal Formation (5 Yards) to the GTech 33Similar
Q1 1:58
4TH & 14
OPP 33
+51
15.1%
Jonathan Cruz 51 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by TEAMSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 6DOWNS
11 plays · 54 yds · 3:1915% → 16%
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
15.4%
Hassan Hall run for 4 yds to the GTech 37Similar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+7
15.6%
Jeff Sims run for 7 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+38
16.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 38 yds to the Miss 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
16.3%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:15
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+8
16.3%
Jeff Sims run for 8 yds to the Miss 10Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+3
16.1%
Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the Miss 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
16.6%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Peje' HarrisSimilar
Q2 14:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
16.6%
Jeff Sims run for 3 yds to the Miss 4Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
16.1%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to E.J. JenkinsSimilar
Q2 13:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
-9
15.9%
Similar
Q2 13:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
-9
15.9%
Jeff Sims sacked by Tavius Robinson for a loss of 9 yards to the Miss 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:5185% → 85%
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+20
14.8%
Zach Evans run for 20 yds to the Miss 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
14.6%
Zach Evans run for 10 yds to the Miss 43 OLE MISS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Miss 33Similar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
14.6%
Zach Evans run for 2 yds to the Miss 35Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 8
OWN 35
-11
14.7%
Jaxson Dart sacked by Ayinde Eley for a loss of 11 yards to the Miss 24Similar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 19
OWN 24
+7
15.1%
Zach Evans run for 7 yds to the Miss 31Similar
Q2 12:11
4TH & 12
OWN 31
0
15.2%
Similar
Q2 11:37
4TH & 12
OWN 31
0
15.0%
Fraser Masin punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GTech 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 3:5615% → 15%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
15.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 28Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+5
14.9%
Dontae Smith run for 5 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q2 10:12
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+10
14.9%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 10 yds to the GTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
15.6%
Hassan Hall run for no gain to the GTech 43Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+8
15.6%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Luke Benson for 8 yds to the Miss 49Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 2
OPP 49
-2
15.8%
Jeff Sims run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 49Similar
Q2 7:45
4TH & 4
OWN 49
-5
15.2%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the GTech 44Similar
Q2 7:45
4TH & 9
OWN 44
+9
14.8%
Similar
Q2 7:34
4TH & 9
OWN 44
+9
14.8%
David Shanahan punt for 42 yds , Jordan Watkins returns for 9 yds to the Miss 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 9TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 1:4786% → 93%
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
14.4%
Quinshon Judkins run for 5 yds to the Miss 28Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 5
OWN 28
-3
14.3%
Quinshon Judkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the Miss 25Similar
Q2 6:42
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+10
14.6%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Michael Trigg for 10 yds to the Miss 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+36
14.3%
Quinshon Judkins run for 36 yds to the GTech 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
13.6%
Quinshon Judkins run for 3 yds to the GTech 26Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+26
7.5%
Zach Evans run for 26 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 2:1810% → 9%
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
9.7%
Dylan McDuffie run for no gain to the GTech 25Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
9.5%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the GTech 15Similar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 20
OWN 15
0
9.5%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Dylan McDuffieSimilar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+33
9.4%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 18 yds to the GTech 33 for a 1ST down OLE MISS Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the GTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
10.4%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Malik RutherfordSimilar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+3
10.3%
Dylan McDuffie run for 3 yds to the Miss 49Similar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 7
OPP 49
-8
10.2%
Jeff Sims sacked by Cedric Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the GTech 43Similar
Q2 3:45
4TH & 15
OWN 43
0
9.5%
Similar
Q2 3:10
4TH & 15
OWN 43
0
9.4%
David Shanahan punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jordan Watkins at the Miss 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 11INT
10 plays · 58 yds · 2:3193% → 94%
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
7.4%
Zach Evans run for no gain to the Miss 11Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+11
7.6%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Malik Heath for 11 yds to the Miss 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
7.5%
Zach Evans run for 2 yds to the Miss 24Similar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+3
7.3%
Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the Miss 27Similar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+8
7.0%
Jaxson Dart run for 8 yds to the Miss 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+33
6.6%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jonathan Mingo for 33 yds to the GTech 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
6.0%
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Zach EvansSimilar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+1
6.0%
Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd to the GTech 31Similar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+4
6.2%
Jaxson Dart pass intercepted Jaylon King return for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 14Similar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+4
6.3%
Jaxson Dart pass intercepted Jaylon King return for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 22 yds · 0:109% → 9%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
8.5%
Dontae Smith run for 9 yds to the GTech 23Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+13
8.7%
Jeff Sims run for 13 yds to the GTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 2:439% → 8%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
8.7%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Dontae Smith for a loss of 5 yards to the GTech 20Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+1
8.5%
Dontae Smith run for 1 yd to the GTech 21Similar
Q3 13:45
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+14
8.3%
Jeff Sims pass complete to E.J. Jenkins for 14 yds to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
8.7%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 4 yds to the GTech 39Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-4
8.7%
Jeff Sims sacked by Austin Keys for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 35Similar
Q3 12:22
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
8.1%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:09
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+22
8.1%
David Shanahan punt for 50 yds , Jordan Watkins returns for 22 yds to the Miss 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 14TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 3:1495% → 98%
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
5.4%
Zach Evans run for no gain to the Miss 37Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
5.1%
Zach Evans run for no gain to the Miss 37Similar
Q3 11:13
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+18
5.1%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Malik Heath for 18 yds to the GTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
4.8%
Jaxson Dart run for no gain to the GTech 45Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+10
4.7%
Zach Evans run for 10 yds to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+25
4.5%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Malik Heath for 25 yds to the GTech 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
4.1%
Zach Evans run for 5 yds to the GTech 1 Zach Evans fumbled, recovered by MissSimilar
Q3 8:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.6%
Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:002% → 2%
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
2.0%
Jeff Sims sacked by Otis Reese for a loss of 7 yards to the GTech 18Similar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 17
OWN 18
0
1.9%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Luke BensonSimilar
Q3 8:04
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+10
1.8%
Jeff Sims run for 10 yds to the GTech 28Similar
Q3 8:04
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
1.8%
Similar
Q3 7:32
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
1.8%
David Shanahan punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jordan Watkins at the Miss 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 16TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 2:0698% → 99%
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
1.7%
Quinshon Judkins run for 5 yds to the Miss 36Similar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+8
1.6%
Quinshon Judkins run for 8 yds to the Miss 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
1.6%
Quinshon Judkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 43Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+7
1.5%
Quinshon Judkins run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:06
3RD & 4
50
+11
1.5%
Quinshon Judkins run for 11 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+24
1.4%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Malik Heath for 24 yds to the GTech 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
0.8%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 15 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:111% → 1%
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.8%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Hassan Hall for 5 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-2
0.8%
Hassan Hall run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 28Similar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
0.7%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Peje' HarrisSimilar
Q3 4:10
4TH & 7
OWN 28
-5
0.7%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GTech 23Similar
Q3 4:02
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
0.7%
David Shanahan punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Isheem Young at the Miss 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 18TD
12 plays · 68 yds · 3:4999% → 100%
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
0.9%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jonathan Mingo for 14 yds to the Miss 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+27
0.7%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jonathan Mingo for 27 yds to the GTech 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
0.7%
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to JJ HenrySimilar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+1
0.7%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 1 yd to the GTech 26Similar
Q3 2:26
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+8
0.6%
Jaxson Dart run for 8 yds to the GTech 18Similar
Q3 2:10
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+1
0.8%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 1 yd to the GTech 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
0.6%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 7 yds to the GTech 10Similar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+1
0.6%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 1 yd to the GTech 9Similar
Q3 1:15
3RD & 2
OPP 9
-1
0.6%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 10Similar
Q3 0:41
4TH & 3
OPP 10
+7
0.7%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 7 yds to the GTech 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
0.5%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 2 yds to the GTech 1Similar
Q3 0:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.5%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:240% → 0%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.4%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Kalani NorrisSimilar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
0.3%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Kalani NorrisSimilar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
0.3%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to E.J. JenkinsSimilar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+19
0.3%
Similar
Q4 14:36
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+19
0.3%
David Shanahan punt for 43 yds , Jordan Watkins returns for 19 yds to the GTech 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -14 yds · 1:16100% → 100%
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
0.5%
Isaiah Woullard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 49Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 12
OWN 49
-10
0.5%
OLE MISS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Miss 39Similar
Q4 13:54
2ND & 22
OWN 39
0
0.5%
Luke Altmyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:50
3RD & 22
OWN 39
-2
0.5%
Quinshon Judkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 37Similar
Q4 13:50
4TH & 24
OWN 37
0
0.5%
Similar
Q4 13:04
4TH & 24
OWN 37
0
0.5%
Fraser Masin punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Nate McCollum at the GTech 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 21DOWNS
14 plays · 37 yds · 5:390% → 0%
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
0.3%
Dylan McDuffie run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 19Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 12
OWN 19
+7
0.2%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 7 yds to the GTech 26Similar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+9
0.2%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Ryan King for 9 yds to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
0.2%
Jeff Sims run for 1 yd to the GTech 36Similar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+11
0.2%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Luke Benson for 11 yds to the GTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-7
0.2%
Jeff Sims sacked by Demon Clowney for a loss of 7 yards to the GTech 40Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 17
OWN 40
+4
0.2%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 4 yds to the GTech 44Similar
Q4 9:17
3RD & 13
OWN 44
+15
0.2%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 15 yds to the Miss 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
0.2%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:42
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-4
0.2%
Jeff Sims sacked by Isaiah Iton and MJ Daniels for a loss of 4 yards to the Miss 45Similar
Q4 7:52
3RD & 14
OPP 45
+9
0.2%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Dylan Leonard for 9 yds to the Miss 36Similar
Q4 7:22
4TH & 5
OPP 36
-6
0.1%
Similar
Q4 7:16
4TH & 5
OPP 36
-6
0.1%
Jeff Sims sacked by JJ Hawkins for a loss of 6 yards to the Miss 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 3:15100% → 100%
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
0.2%
Isaiah Woullard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 41Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+22
0.2%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to JJ Henry for 22 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-10
0.2%
Altmyer, Luke pass complete to Henry, JJ for no gain to the GATECH37, PENALTY OLEMISS holding 10 yards to the GATECH47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:01
1ST & 20
OPP 47
+5
0.2%
Isaiah Woullard run for 5 yds to the GTech 42Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 15
OPP 42
-6
0.2%
Isaiah Woullard run for a loss of 6 yards to the GTech 48Similar
Q4 4:42
3RD & 21
OPP 48
+5
0.2%
Luke Altmyer run for 5 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q4 4:42
4TH & 16
OPP 43
0
0.2%
Similar
Q4 3:55
4TH & 16
OPP 43
0
0.2%
Fraser Masin punt for 31 yds, downed at the GTech 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:300% → 0%
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
0.1%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 3 yds to the GTech 15Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+9
0.1%
Hassan Hall run for 9 yds to the GTech 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
0.1%
Hassan Hall run for 12 yds to the GTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
0.1%
Hassan Hall run for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 33Similar
Q4 2:03
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+4
0.1%
Hassan Hall run for 4 yds to the GTech 37Similar
Q4 1:36
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
0.1%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Luke BensonSimilar
Q4 1:36
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
0.1%
Similar
Q4 1:22
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
0.1%
David Shanahan punt for 51 yds, downed at the Miss 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · 18 yds · 0:54100% → 100%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
0.1%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to Qua Davis for 2 yds to the Miss 14Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+11
0.1%
Bobo Miller run for 11 yds to the Miss 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.1%
Isaiah Woullard run for 5 yds to the Miss 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:36
Zach Evans run for 26 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)
-6
KEY PLAY · Q3 12:05
Zach Evans run for no gain to the Miss 37
-2.7
TD · Q3 8:51
Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)
-2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com