Try the model
ULM

UL Monroe 7 at Alabama 63

ALA
2022 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2022 · Bryant-Denny Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadULM aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreULM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:01 · Bryce Young pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 48Pregame prior+45.9Home team on offense+14.3Score differential+10.1Blowout margin+3.6Garbage-time factor+3.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:21: Bryce Young 7 Yd Run (Will Reichard Kick) — ALA win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:11: Malik Jackson 11 Yd Run (Calum Sutherland Kick) — ULM win probability +0.3 pts (now 1%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:52: Amari Niblack 15 Yd pass from Bryce Young (Will Reichard Kick) — ALA win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 6 of 8ULM made the numbers' call on 13 of 17
  1. Q1 11:47ULM 4th & 10 at ULM 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:39ULM 4th & 10 at ULM 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:50ULM 4th & 11 at ULM 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:06ULM 4th & 8 at ULM 43, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:52ULM 4th & 14 at ULM 35, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:32ULM 4th & 14 at ULM 35, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:28ALA 4th & 3 at ULM 43, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q1 0:01ALA 4th & 3 at ULM 43, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:35ALA 4th & 16 at ULM 46, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:24ALA 4th & 16 at ULM 46, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:05ULM 4th & 12 at ULM 41, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:57ULM 4th & 12 at ULM 41, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:58ULM 4th & 2 at ULM 33, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 13:24ULM 4th & 2 at ULM 33, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  15. Q3 10:04ULM 4th & 19 at ULM 37, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  16. Q3 6:26ULM 4th & 3 at ULM 19, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q3 2:23ULM 4th & 1 at ULM 34, down 42
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 15:00ALA 4th & 7 at ULM 47, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 14:53ALA 4th & 7 at ULM 47, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 12:36ULM 4th & 2 at ULM 28, down 42
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 10:53ULM 4th & 9 at ULM 36, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  22. Q4 6:00ULM 4th & 13 at ULM 24, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  23. Q4 5:45ULM 4th & 13 at ULM 24, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  24. Q4 1:00ALA 4th & 12 at ULM 12, up 56
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    100.0%
    86% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.4
    average punt
  25. Q4 0:22ALA 4th & 12 at ULM 12, up 56
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    100.0%
    86% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 9 of 9ULM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 13:12ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:52ALA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 8:50ALA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 4:21ALA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:11ULM Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:52ALA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:41ALA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:30ALA Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:36ALA Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 7:36ALA Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ALADrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:43100% → 100%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.7%
ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Alab 20Similar
Q1 14:24
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
99.7%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 1 yd to the Alab 21Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+29
99.7%
Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 29 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
50
+17
99.7%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 17 yds to the LaMon 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
99.7%
Traeshon Holden 33 Yd pass from Bryce Young (Will Reichard Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:190% → 0%
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.7%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Zach Rasmussen for 12 yds to the LaMon 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.6%
Malik Jackson run for no gain to the LaMon 37Similar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
99.6%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:47
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
99.6%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:47
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
99.6%
Devyn McCormick punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 23Similar
Q1 11:39
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
99.6%
Devyn McCormick punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 3INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:12100% → 100%
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.6%
Bryce Young pass intercepted Tristan Driggers return for no gain to the LaMon 35Similar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.6%
Bryce Young pass intercepted Tristan Driggers return for no gain to the LaMon 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 4INT TD
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:190% → 0%
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
99.6%
Chandler Rogers sacked by Will Anderson Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 32Similar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 13
OWN 32
-25
99.6%
Will Anderson Jr. 25 Yd Interception Return (Will Reichard Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 5PUNT TD
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:500% → 0%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
99.6%
Chandler Rogers sacked by Brian Branch for a loss of 6 yards to the LaMon 19Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+1
99.6%
Malik Jackson run for 1 yd to the LaMon 20Similar
Q1 9:23
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+4
99.6%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Zach Jackson for 4 yds to the LaMon 24Similar
Q1 8:50
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+3
99.6%
Malachi Moore 3 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Will Reichard Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:140% → 0%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.6%
Malik Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 22Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+4
99.6%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Zach Jackson for 4 yds to the LaMon 26Similar
Q1 7:19
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+15
99.6%
Chandler Rogers run for no gain to the LaMon 26 for a 1ST down ALABAMA Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (15 Yards) to the LaMon 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.6%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+2
99.6%
Isaiah Phillips run for 2 yds to the LaMon 43Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
99.6%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:06
4TH & 8
OWN 43
+44
99.6%
Devyn McCormick punt for 42 yds , Kool-Aid McKinstry returns for 44 yds to the LaMon 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 7TD
4 plays · 41 yds · 1:34100% → 100%
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
99.6%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 5 yds to the LaMon 36Similar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+13
99.6%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 13 yds to the LaMon 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+16
99.6%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 16 yds to the LaMon 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.7%
Bryce Young 7 Yd Run (Will Reichard Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 2:260% → 0%
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.7%
Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.7%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:33
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+11
99.7%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 11 yds to the LaMon 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.7%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
99.7%
Malik Jackson run for 1 yd to the LaMon 40Similar
Q1 2:52
3RD & 9
OWN 40
-5
99.7%
Chandler Rogers sacked by Byron Young and Malachi Moore for a loss of 5 yards to the LaMon 35Similar
Q1 2:52
4TH & 14
OWN 35
+42
99.8%
Devyn McCormick punt for 57 yds , Kool-Aid McKinstry returns for 42 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:32
4TH & 14
OWN 35
+42
99.8%
Devyn McCormick punt for 57 yds , Kool-Aid McKinstry returns for 42 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 9DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:24100% → 100%
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
50
0
99.7%
Bryce Young pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:11
2ND & 10
50
+4
99.7%
Jase McClellan run for 4 yds to the LaMon 46Similar
Q1 0:28
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+3
99.7%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 3 yds to the LaMon 43Similar
Q1 0:28
4TH & 3
OPP 43
0
99.7%
Bryce Young pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:01
4TH & 3
OPP 43
0
99.7%
Bryce Young pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 10TD
8 plays · 57 yds · 4:440% → 1%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
99.7%
Malik Jackson run for 4 yds to the LaMon 47Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+10
99.7%
Malik Jackson run for 10 yds to the Alab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
99.7%
Isaiah Phillips run for 1 yd to the Alab 42Similar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+13
99.7%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Alred Luke for 13 yds to the Alab 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
99.7%
Chandler Rogers run for 6 yds to the Alab 23Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+1
99.7%
Malik Jackson run for 1 yd to the Alab 22Similar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+11
99.7%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Dariyan Wiley for 11 yds to the Alab 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.4%
Malik Jackson 11 Yd Run (Calum Sutherland Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 11PUNT
7 plays · -6 yds · 1:31100% → 100%
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
99.6%
Jase McClellan run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 41Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+9
99.6%
Jase McClellan run for 9 yds to the LaMon 32Similar
Q2 9:11
3RD & 2
OPP 32
-10
99.5%
Jase McClellan run for no gain to the LaMon 32 ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the LaMon 42Similar
Q2 8:35
3RD & 12
OPP 42
-4
99.5%
Bryce Young sacked by Lu Tillery for a loss of 4 yards to the LaMon 46Similar
Q2 8:35
4TH & 16
OPP 46
0
99.5%
James Burnip punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Boogie Knight at the LaMon 9Similar
Q2 8:24
4TH & 16
OPP 46
0
99.5%
James Burnip punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Boogie Knight at the LaMon 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 12PUNT
15 plays · 32 yds · 6:021% → 1%
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+13
99.4%
Chandler Rogers run for 13 yds to the LaMon 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
99.4%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jevin Frett for 9 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 1
OWN 31
-5
99.4%
UL MONROE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LaMon 26Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+5
99.4%
Malik Jackson run for 5 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q2 5:55
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+2
99.4%
Malik Jackson run for 2 yds to the LaMon 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
99.4%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 5 yds to the LaMon 38Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+4
99.3%
Bugs Mortimer run for 4 yds to the LaMon 42Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+1
99.3%
Chandler Rogers run for 1 yd to the LaMon 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.4%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:33
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+6
99.4%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Zach Rasmussen for 6 yds to the LaMon 49Similar
Q2 3:12
3RD & 4
OWN 49
-10
99.3%
UL MONROE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the LaMon 39Similar
Q2 2:39
3RD & 14
OWN 39
+2
99.4%
Chandler Rogers run for 2 yds to the LaMon 41Similar
Q2 2:05
4TH & 12
OWN 41
0
99.4%
Devyn McCormick punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 7Similar
Q2 1:57
4TH & 12
OWN 41
0
99.4%
Devyn McCormick punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 13TD
7 plays · 93 yds · 0:53100% → 100%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+13
99.5%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 13 yds to the Alab 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.5%
Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 5 yds to the Alab 25Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+14
99.5%
Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 14 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
99.5%
Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 8 yds to the Alab 47Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+38
99.5%
Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 38 yds to the LaMon 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
99.8%
Amari Niblack 15 Yd pass from Bryce Young (Will Reichard Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:350% → 0%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Isaiah Phillips run for 3 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
99.8%
Isaiah Phillips run for 5 yds to the LaMon 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:211% → 0%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.0%
Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.8%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:58
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
99.9%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Zach Rasmussen for 5 yds to the LaMon 33Similar
Q3 13:58
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+20
99.8%
Devyn McCormick punt for 43 yds , Kool-Aid McKinstry returns for 20 yds to the Alab 44Similar
Q3 13:24
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+20
99.8%
Devyn McCormick punt for 43 yds , Kool-Aid McKinstry returns for 20 yds to the Alab 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 16INT
4 plays · 16 yds · 0:46100% → 100%
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
99.9%
Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 13 yds to the LaMon 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
99.9%
Bryce Young run for 3 yds to the LaMon 40Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Bryce Young pass intercepted Deuce Mayberry return for no gain to the LaMon 30Similar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Bryce Young pass intercepted Deuce Mayberry return for no gain to the LaMon 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:060% → 0%
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
99.9%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Zach Rasmussen for 16 yds to the LaMon 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Isaiah Phillips run for no gain to the LaMon 46Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:44
3RD & 10
OWN 46
-9
99.9%
Chandler Rogers sacked by Henry To'oTo'o for a loss of 9 yards to the LaMon 37Similar
Q3 10:04
4TH & 19
OWN 37
+29
99.9%
Devyn McCormick punt for 45 yds , Kool-Aid McKinstry returns for 29 yds to the Alab 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 18TD
4 plays · 53 yds · 1:20100% → 100%
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Bryce Young pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
99.9%
Jase McClellan run for 4 yds to the LaMon 49Similar
Q3 9:11
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+12
99.9%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 12 yds to the LaMon 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
99.9%
Jahmyr Gibbs 37 Yd pass from Bryce Young (Will Reichard Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:480% → 0%
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-2
99.9%
Malik Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 10Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 12
OWN 10
+2
99.9%
Andrew Henry run for 2 yds to the LaMon 12Similar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 10
OWN 12
+7
99.9%
Chandler Rogers run for 7 yds to the LaMon 19Similar
Q3 6:26
4TH & 3
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Devyn McCormick punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 20TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 1:25100% → 100%
Q3 5:55
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+18
99.9%
Roydell Williams run for 18 yds to the LaMon 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
99.9%
Roydell Williams run for 7 yds to the LaMon 48Similar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
99.9%
Roydell Williams run for 7 yds to the LaMon 23Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+13
99.9%
Roydell Williams run for 13 yds to the LaMon 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.9%
Roydell Williams 10 Yd Run (Will Reichard Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:370% → 0%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Isaiah Phillips run for 5 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
99.9%
Isaiah Phillips run for 3 yds to the LaMon 33Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
99.9%
Isaiah Phillips run for 1 yd to the LaMon 34Similar
Q3 2:23
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
99.9%
Devyn McCormick punt for 48 yds , Kool-Aid McKinstry returns for 1 yd to the Alab 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 34 yds · 2:24100% → 100%
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
99.9%
Jase McClellan run for 11 yds to the Alab 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+20
99.9%
Jase McClellan run for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
50
+3
99.9%
Roydell Williams run for 3 yds to the LaMon 47Similar
Q3 0:44
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+3
99.9%
Roydell Williams run for 3 yds to the LaMon 44Similar
Q3 0:05
3RD & 4
OPP 44
-3
99.9%
Roydell Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 47 Roydell Williams fumbled, recovered by Alab Roydell WilliamsSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
99.9%
James Burnip punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
99.9%
James Burnip punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 23PUNT TD
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:490% → 0%
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
Garrett Hable run for 3 yds to the LaMon 23Similar
Q4 13:58
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+6
99.9%
Isaiah Phillips run for 6 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 1
OWN 29
-1
99.9%
Andrew Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 28Similar
Q4 12:36
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+68
100.0%
Brian Branch 68 Yd Punt Return (Will Reichard Kick), (W. Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:270% → 0%
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
100.0%
Garrett Hable run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 34Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+2
100.0%
Andrew Henry run for 2 yds to the LaMon 36Similar
Q4 11:06
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Garrett Hable pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:53
4TH & 9
OWN 36
+34
100.0%
Braxton Guilbeau punt for 47 yds , Isaiah Bond returns for 34 yds to the LaMon 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 25TD
12 plays · 49 yds · 3:01100% → 100%
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
100.0%
Trey Sanders run for 8 yds to the LaMon 41Similar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+10
100.0%
Trey Sanders run for 10 yds to the LaMon 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
100.0%
Trey Sanders run for 11 yds to the LaMon 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-15
100.0%
ALABAMA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the LaMon 35Similar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 25
OPP 35
+15
100.0%
Jalen Milroe run for 25 yds to the LaMon 10 ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the LaMon 20Similar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
100.0%
Jalen Milroe pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+12
100.0%
Jamarion Miller run for 12 yds to the LaMon 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-10
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 10 yards to the LaMon 18 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Alab Jalen MilroeSimilar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 0
OPP 18
0
100.0%
Jalen Milroe pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:54
3RD & 0
OPP 18
+12
100.0%
Jalen Milroe run for 17 yds to the LaMon 1 ALABAMA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the LaMon 6Similar
Q4 7:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
100.0%
Trey Sanders 6 Yd Run (Will Reichard Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:150% → 0%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
100.0%
Zack Martin run for 2 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q4 6:36
2ND & 8
OWN 29
0
100.0%
Garrett Hable pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 8
OWN 29
-5
100.0%
Garrett Hable pass complete to Zack Martin for a loss of 5 yards to the LaMon 24Similar
Q4 6:00
4TH & 13
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Braxton Guilbeau punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 40Similar
Q4 5:45
4TH & 13
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Braxton Guilbeau punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 27DOWNS
10 plays · 47 yds · 4:53100% → 100%
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
100.0%
Jamarion Miller run for 13 yds to the LaMon 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
100.0%
Jamarion Miller run for 1 yd to the LaMon 46Similar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+25
100.0%
Jamarion Miller run for 25 yds to the LaMon 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
100.0%
Jonathan Bennett run for 2 yds to the LaMon 19Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+10
100.0%
Jonathan Bennett run for 10 yds to the LaMon 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 10Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 11Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 12Similar
Q4 1:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 13Similar
Q4 0:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:11
Malik Jackson 11 Yd Run (Calum Sutherland Kick)
-0.3
TD · Q2 0:52
Amari Niblack 15 Yd pass from Bryce Young (Will Reichard Kick)
+0.3
TD · Q1 4:21
Bryce Young 7 Yd Run (Will Reichard Kick)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com