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WAKE

Wake Forest 45 at Vanderbilt 25

VAN
2022 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2022 · FirstBank Stadium
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Win probability · VAN
modelVAN aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playVAN scoreWAKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:35 · Matt Hayball punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WFrst 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 75Home team on offense−11.0Pregame prior−19.1Score differential−4.2Garbage-time factor−2.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:56: Sam Hartman pass complete to Christian Turner for 2 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK) — WAKE win probability +6.1 pts (now 86%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:06: Re'Mahn Davis run for 2 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK) — VAN win probability +4.4 pts (now 21%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:10: Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 9 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK) — WAKE win probability +9.8 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:28: Sam Hartman pass complete to Cameron Hite for 17 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK) — WAKE win probability +4.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:53: AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 6 yds for a TD, (A. Swann Run For Two-point Conversion) — VAN win probability +11.3 pts (now 12%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VAN made the numbers' call on 7 of 10WAKE made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 12:33VAN 4th & 4 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:33WAKE 4th & 8 at WAKE 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:48VAN 4th & 8 at WAKE 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.3%
    80% to make
    Punt
    22.7%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:10WAKE 4th & 1 at VAN 1, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    72.8%−0.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    70.9%−2.6
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:46VAN 4th & 10 at VAN 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.5%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:27VAN 4th & 5 at VAN 30, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:38WAKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 39, up 11
    Close callPunted · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.1%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:39VAN 4th & 5 at VAN 20, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:08WAKE 4th & 9 at VAN 46, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    78.5%−0.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    79.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:35VAN 4th & 2 at VAN 18, down 11
    Close callPunted · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.7%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:38WAKE 4th & 4 at WAKE 42, up 11
    Close callPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.5%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:51VAN 4th & 1 at VAN 24, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:33VAN 4th & 16 at VAN 32, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−2.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:48WAKE 4th & 6 at WAKE 22, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%−1.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.7%
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:28VAN 4th & 10 at WAKE 24, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    -0.6%−1.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:21VAN 4th & 15 at VAN 20, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:21WAKE 4th & 1 at VAN 19, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.6%−0.4
    77% to make
    Punt
    96.4%−1.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:48WAKE 4th & 3 at VAN 3, up 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.9%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VAN made the numbers' call on 2 of 3WAKE made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 2:11WAKE Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:36WAKE Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:56WAKE Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:06VAN Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:10WAKE Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:28WAKE Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:53VAN Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    4.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:28WAKE Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:09VAN Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VANDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 34 yds · 2:2219% → 21%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+28
19.3%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 28 yds to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
19.3%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 5 yds to the Vandy 49Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+2
19.3%
Mike Wright run for 2 yds to the WFrst 49Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+1
19.3%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line Re'Mahn Davis fumbled, recovered by WFrst Ray Davis , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:33
4TH & 4
50
0
20.5%
Matt Hayball punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WFrst 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
20.5%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to A.T. PerrySimilar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+2
20.5%
Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the WFrst 16Similar
Q1 12:33
3RD & 8
OWN 16
0
20.6%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Taylor MorinSimilar
Q1 12:33
4TH & 8
OWN 16
0
20.6%
Ivan Mora punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 3FG
8 plays · 36 yds · 3:4521% → 23%
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
20.6%
Mike Wright pass complete to Re'Mahn Davis for no gain to the Vandy 47Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+24
21.0%
Mike Wright pass complete to Re'Mahn Davis for 24 yds to the WFrst 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
21.2%
Mike Wright pass complete to Re'Mahn Davis for 5 yds to the WFrst 24Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+5
21.2%
Mike Wright run for 5 yds to the WFrst 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
21.2%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 2 yds to the WFrst 17Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 8
OPP 17
0
21.2%
Mike Wright pass incomplete to Will SheppardSimilar
Q1 11:54
3RD & 8
OPP 17
0
21.1%
Mike Wright pass incomplete to Gavin SchoenwaldSimilar
Q1 8:48
4TH & 8
OPP 17
+35
23.0%
Joseph Bulovas 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4DOWNS
12 plays · 53 yds · 4:2777% → 75%
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
22.7%
Christian Turner run for 3 yds to the WFrst 49Similar
Q1 8:37
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+7
22.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 7 yds to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
22.6%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to A.T. PerrySimilar
Q1 8:37
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+4
22.6%
Christian Turner run for 4 yds to the Vandy 40Similar
Q1 8:37
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+8
22.6%
Christian Turner run for 8 yds to the Vandy 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+14
22.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 14 yds to the Vandy 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
22.4%
Christian Turner run for 5 yds to the Vandy 2Similar
Q1 8:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
22.4%
Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the Vandy 1Similar
Q1 5:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
24.4%
Justice Ellison run for no gain to the Vandy 1Similar
Q1 4:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
25.2%
Justice Ellison run for no gain to the Vandy 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 5INT TD
3 plays · 16 yds · 1:5925% → 24%
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+13
25.3%
Mike Wright pass complete to Will Sheppard for 13 yds to the Vandy 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+3
25.4%
Mike Wright run for 3 yds to the Vandy 17Similar
Q1 2:11
3RD & 7
OWN 17
-31
23.5%
Coby Davis 31 Yd Interception Return (Matthew Dennis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:2524% → 24%
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
24.0%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 2 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q1 2:11
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
24.0%
Mike Wright pass complete to Re'Mahn Davis for 2 yds to the Vandy 25Similar
Q1 2:11
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
23.5%
Mike Wright pass incomplete to Quincy Skinner Jr.Similar
Q1 0:46
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
23.7%
Matt Hayball punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WFrst 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 7TD
1 play · 68 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+68
20.5%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 68 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 8FUMBLE
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
20.6%
Mike Wright run for 6 yds to the Vandy 32 Mike Wright fumbled, recovered by WFrst Chelen GarnesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 9TD
3 plays · 32 yds · 0:2480% → 86%
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
19.9%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to A.T. PerrySimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+30
20.0%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donavon Greene for 30 yds to the Vandy 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
13.9%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Christian Turner for 2 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:2916% → 16%
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
16.0%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 5 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
16.2%
Mike Wright run for no gain to the Vandy 30Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
15.6%
Mike Wright pass incomplete to Ben BresnahanSimilar
Q2 13:27
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
15.5%
Matt Hayball punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 11TD
5 plays · 24 yds · 2:2117% → 21%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
16.8%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 5 yds to the WFrst 19Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+15
16.8%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 15 yds to the WFrst 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
16.8%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 1 yd to the WFrst 3Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
16.8%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 1 yd to the WFrst 2Similar
Q2 11:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
21.2%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 2 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:2180% → 80%
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
19.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Ellison,Justice rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Wake36 (Orji,Anfernee; Worship,Max) PENALTY Wake Holding (Maginn,Sean) 10 yards from Wake30 to Wake20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:59
1ST & 20
OWN 20
+10
20.1%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donavon Greene for 10 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q2 10:59
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-1
20.0%
Sam Hartman sacked by Christian James for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 29Similar
Q2 10:59
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+10
20.3%
Sam Hartman run for 10 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q2 8:38
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
20.0%
Ivan Mora punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:5920% → 19%
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
19.8%
Chase Gillespie run for 6 yds to the Vandy 21Similar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 4
OWN 21
0
20.0%
Chase Gillespie run for no gain to the Vandy 21Similar
Q2 8:38
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+1
19.6%
Mike Wright run for 1 yd to the Vandy 20Similar
Q2 6:39
4TH & 5
OWN 20
0
18.7%
Matt Hayball punt for 57 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 31 yds · 2:3180% → 80%
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
19.9%
Christian Turner run for 5 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+25
19.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 25 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
19.0%
Sam Hartman run for 4 yds to the Vandy 43Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+2
18.9%
Christian Turner run for 2 yds to the Vandy 41Similar
Q2 6:39
3RD & 4
OPP 41
-5
19.1%
Sam Hartman sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the Vandy 46Similar
Q2 4:08
4TH & 9
OPP 46
0
19.7%
Ivan Mora punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Will Sheppard at the Vandy 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3319% → 18%
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
18.9%
Mike Wright pass incomplete to Will SheppardSimilar
Q2 4:08
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
18.8%
Re'Mahn Davis run for no gain to the Vandy 10Similar
Q2 4:08
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+8
18.5%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 8 yds to the Vandy 18Similar
Q2 2:35
4TH & 2
OWN 18
0
18.2%
Matt Hayball punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WFrst 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5782% → 81%
Q2 2:35
1ST & 5
OWN 41
+1
18.5%
Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the WFrst 42Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 4
OWN 42
0
18.6%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Ke'Shawn WilliamsSimilar
Q2 2:35
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
18.8%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Blake WhiteheartSimilar
Q2 1:38
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
19.4%
Ivan Mora punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Will Sheppard at the Vandy 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:4719% → 18%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
18.8%
Mike Wright pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 6 yds to the Vandy 21Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+1
19.0%
Mike Wright run for 1 yd to the Vandy 22Similar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+2
18.6%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 2 yds to the Vandy 24Similar
Q2 0:51
4TH & 1
OWN 24
+15
18.4%
Matt Hayball punt for 43 yds , Taylor Morin returns for 15 yds to the WFrst 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 18END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:5182% → 83%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
17.6%
Christian Turner run for no gain to the WFrst 48Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+3
17.3%
Christian Turner run for 3 yds to the Vandy 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5080% → 91%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
19.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hartman,Sam pass complete deep middle to Greene,Donavon for 15 yards to the Wake40 (Harris,Justin) PENALTY Wake Holding (Maginn,Sean) 10 yards from Wake25 to Wake15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+4
20.0%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 4 yds to the WFrst 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+7
20.1%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donavon Greene for 7 yds to the WFrst 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+49
20.2%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 49 yds to the Vandy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
18.7%
Justice Ellison run for 11 yds to the Vandy 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
18.6%
Justice Ellison run for 5 yds to the Vandy 9Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 9
0
18.6%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to A.T. PerrySimilar
Q3 12:10
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+9
8.8%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 9 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 7 yds · 3:3711% → 10%
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
11.1%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 5 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
11.5%
Jayden McGowan run for 4 yds to the Vandy 34Similar
Q3 12:10
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
11.6%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 4 yds to the Vandy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
11.8%
Mike Wright pass incomplete to Jayden McGowanSimilar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+3
11.4%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 3 yds to the Vandy 41Similar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 17
OWN 31
+1
10.4%
Mike Wright run for 1 yd to the Vandy 32Similar
Q3 8:33
4TH & 16
OWN 32
0
10.2%
Matt Hayball punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WFrst 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:4591% → 92%
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
8.6%
Christian Turner run for 6 yds to the WFrst 24Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+3
8.6%
Christian Turner run for 3 yds to the WFrst 27Similar
Q3 8:33
3RD & 1
OWN 27
-5
8.8%
PENALTY Wake False Start (Ngassam Nya,Loic) 5 yards from Wake27 to Wake22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:33
3RD & 6
OWN 22
-5
8.8%
PENALTY Wake Delay Of Game 5 yards from Wake22 to Wake17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:33
3RD & 11
OWN 17
+5
9.0%
Christian Turner run for 5 yds to the WFrst 22Similar
Q3 5:48
4TH & 6
OWN 22
0
7.6%
Ivan Mora punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 22FUMBLE
2 plays · -11 yds · 0:4810% → 9%
Q3 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
9.9%
Mike Wright pass complete to Mike Wright for 11 yds to the Vandy 18Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 21
OWN 18
0
9.3%
Re'Mahn Davis run for no gain to the Vandy 18 Re'Mahn Davis fumbled, recovered by WFrst Kobie TurnerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 23TD
2 plays · 18 yds · 0:3294% → 99%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
5.8%
Sam Hartman run for 1 yd to the Vandy 17Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+17
1.1%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Cameron Hite for 17 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 24TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:351% → 12%
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
1.1%
Chase Gillespie run for 1 yd to the Vandy 26Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+50
1.1%
AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 50 yds to the WFrst 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
1.1%
Chase Gillespie run for no gain to the WFrst 24Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
1.1%
AJ Swann pass incomplete to Will SheppardSimilar
Q3 4:28
3RD & 10
OPP 24
0
1.0%
AJ Swann pass incomplete to Jayden McGowanSimilar
Q3 2:28
4TH & 10
OPP 24
+18
0.4%
AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 18 yds to the WFrst 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
0.4%
AJ Swann pass incomplete to Justin BallSimilar
Q3 1:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
11.7%
AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 6 yds for a TD, (A. Swann Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
Q3 1:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
11.7%
Swann,AJ pass attempt failed PENALTY Wake Pass Interference (Carson,Caelen) 1 yard from Wake03 to Wake03. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 25TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:2593% → 98%
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
7.0%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 6 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
6.7%
Quinton Cooley run for 6 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
6.6%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to A.T. PerrySimilar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+14
6.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Blake Whiteheart for 14 yds to the Vandy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
6.3%
Quinton Cooley run for 7 yds to the Vandy 42Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+6
5.5%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donavon Greene for 6 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
5.8%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 12 yds to the Vandy 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
1.8%
Quinton Cooley run for 24 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 2:072% → 2%
Q4 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
2.2%
AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 8 yds to the Vandy 33Similar
Q4 14:28
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-7
2.3%
AJ Swann sacked by Kobie Turner for a loss of 7 yards to the Vandy 26Similar
Q4 14:28
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+6
2.1%
AJ Swann pass complete to Re'Mahn Davis for 6 yds to the Vandy 20Similar
Q4 12:21
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+10
1.7%
Matt Hayball punt for 42 yds , Taylor Morin returns for 10 yds to the WFrst 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 27FG
14 plays · 49 yds · 7:3398% → 100%
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
1.7%
Quinton Cooley run for 4 yds to the Vandy 48Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+6
1.7%
Quinton Cooley run for 6 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+14
1.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 14 yds to the Vandy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
1.6%
Quinton Cooley run for 1 yd to the Vandy 29Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+10
1.6%
Quinton Cooley run for 10 yds to the Vandy 19Similar
Q4 12:21
3RD & 1
OPP 19
0
1.6%
Quinton Cooley run for no gain to the Vandy 19Similar
Q4 12:21
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+1
1.8%
Quinton Cooley run for 1 yd to the Vandy 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
1.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 6 yds to the Vandy 12Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+1
1.6%
Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the Vandy 11Similar
Q4 12:21
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+3
1.6%
Justice Ellison run for 3 yds to the Vandy 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
1.6%
Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the Vandy 4Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
1.6%
Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the Vandy 3Similar
Q4 12:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
1.6%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Taylor MorinSimilar
Q4 4:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
0.2%
Matthew Dennis 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 28TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:330% → 1%
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.1%
Cooper Lutz run for 2 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+27
0.1%
AJ Swann pass complete to Cooper Lutz for 27 yds to the WFrst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+36
0.1%
AJ Swann pass complete to Justin Ball for 36 yds to the WFrst 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
0.1%
Cooper Lutz run for 3 yds to the WFrst 7Similar
Q4 2:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
1.0%
AJ Swann pass complete to Gavin Schoenwald for 7 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 29END OF GAME
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0999% → 99%
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
0.9%
Will Towns run for 12 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
0.8%
Will Towns run for 1 yd to the WFrst 36Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 36
-2
0.6%
Mitch Griffis run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:53
AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 6 yds for a TD, (A. Swann Run For Two-point Conversion)
+11.3
TD · Q3 12:10
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 9 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK)
-9.8
TD · Q2 14:56
Sam Hartman pass complete to Christian Turner for 2 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK)
-6.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com