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MIZ

Missouri 12 at Kansas State 40

KSU
2022 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2022 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadMIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreMIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:48 · Sean Koetting punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginScoring-chance indexScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+17.5+8.80−8.8−17.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 54Pregame prior+10.1Home team on offense−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1Blowout margin+0.4Scoring-chance index−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q3 10:17: Harrison Mevis 44 Yd Field Goal — KSU win probability +2.8 pts (now 66%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. FG · Q3 6:58: Chris Tennant 35 Yd Field Goal — MIZ win probability +2.4 pts (now 35%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 0:35: Chris Tennant 37 Yd Field Goal — MIZ win probability +3.2 pts (now 34%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:33: DJ Giddens 28 Yd Run (Chris Tennant Kick) — KSU win probability +6.8 pts (now 75%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:00: Cody Schrader 1 Yd Run — MIZ win probability +5.6 pts (now 36%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9MIZ made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 2:51MIZ 4th & 18 at MIZ 17, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%−0.9
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:51KSU 4th & 3 at MIZ 42, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    69.4%−0.5
    30% to make
    Punt
    69.5%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:39MIZ 4th & 7 at MIZ 27, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:48KSU 4th & 18 at KSU 35, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%−1.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:42MIZ 4th & 6 at MIZ 26, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:48MIZ 4th & 6 at KSU 45, down 1
    Close callPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    32.2%−1.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:48MIZ 4th & 6 at KSU 45, down 1
    Close callPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    32.2%−1.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:45KSU 4th & 2 at KSU 19, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%−0.6
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00MIZ 4th & 6 at MIZ 45, down 1
    Close callWent for it · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.1%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    32.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:33KSU 4th & 4 at KSU 40, up 1
    Close callPunted · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.0%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:17MIZ 4th & 11 at KSU 27, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−1.6
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.7%
    62% to make
    Punt
    25.0%−7.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:26KSU 4th & 4 at KSU 31, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−1.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:58KSU 4th & 17 at MIZ 17, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.5%−4.0
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    54.7%−10.8
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:06KSU 4th & 6 at MIZ 13, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.9%
    85% to make
    Punt
    54.3%−12.6
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:35KSU 4th & 10 at MIZ 19, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%−2.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.5%
    77% to make
    Punt
    54.5%−12.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:19MIZ 4th & 16 at MIZ 30, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−4.8
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:19MIZ 4th & 16 at MIZ 30, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−4.8
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.5%
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:18KSU 4th & 4 at MIZ 35, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    64.9%−4.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    60.0%−9.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:22MIZ 4th & 4 at MIZ 31, down 1
    Close callPunted · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.3%−0.8
    average punt
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KSUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:5867% → 67%
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
67.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
67.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Malik Knowles for 8 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
67.3%
Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds to the KanSt 37Similar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
67.4%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:14
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+18
67.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Malik Knowles for 18 yds to the Misso 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
67.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the Misso 42Similar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+3
67.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the Misso 39Similar
Q1 9:14
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+5
67.9%
Adrian Martinez run for 5 yds to the Misso 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
68.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the Misso 29Similar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+28
68.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 28 yds to the Misso 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
66.8%
Deuce Vaughn 1 Yd Run (Chris Tennant Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:2532% → 31%
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
68.3%
Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 21Similar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 14
OWN 21
-4
68.5%
Brady Cook pass complete to Elijah Young for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 17Similar
Q1 4:16
3RD & 18
OWN 17
0
68.8%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:51
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
69.0%
Sean Koetting punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 3TD
10 plays · 49 yds · 4:2270% → 70%
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
69.8%
Phillip Brooks run for 3 yds to the Misso 46Similar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+4
69.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kade Warner for 4 yds to the Misso 42Similar
Q1 2:51
3RD & 3
OPP 42
0
69.7%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:51
4TH & 3
OPP 42
+4
69.2%
Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds to the Misso 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
69.9%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+11
69.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 11 yds to the Misso 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
70.2%
Deuce Vaughn run for 7 yds to the Misso 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+2
70.2%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Misso 18Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+2
69.7%
Kade Warner run for 2 yds to the Misso 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
70.3%
Adrian Martinez 16 Yd Run (Chris Tennant Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:4332% → 31%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
67.7%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+4
67.8%
Brady Cook run for 4 yds to the Misso 28Similar
Q2 13:22
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+4
68.1%
Brady Cook run for 4 yds to the Misso 32Similar
Q2 13:22
4TH & 2
OWN 32
-5
68.3%
MISSOURI Penalty, Delay Of Game (Nathaniel Peat) to the Misso 27Similar
Q2 11:39
4TH & 7
OWN 27
0
68.7%
Sean Koetting punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:5168% → 67%
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
68.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+13
68.4%
Adrian Martinez run for 13 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
69.5%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
69.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 3 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q2 11:39
3RD & 7
OWN 46
-10
68.8%
BROOKS, Phillip rush to the left for a gain of 7 yards to the MIZ47 (MANUEL, Martez). PENALTY KSU Holding on WARNER, Kade enforced 10 yards from the KSU46 to the KSU36 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:39
3RD & 17
OWN 36
-1
67.7%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 35Similar
Q2 8:48
4TH & 18
OWN 35
0
67.0%
Ty Zentner punt for 43 yds, downed at the Misso 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 6PUNT TD
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:0633% → 31%
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
67.2%
Nathaniel Peat run for no gain to the Misso 22Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-3
67.3%
Elijah Young run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 19Similar
Q2 8:48
3RD & 13
OWN 19
+7
68.1%
Brady Cook run for 7 yds to the Misso 26Similar
Q2 6:42
4TH & 6
OWN 26
+76
68.7%
Phillip Brooks 76 Yd Punt Return (Chris Tennant PAT blocked)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 7PUNT
13 plays · 38 yds · 4:4833% → 34%
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-3
67.4%
Nathaniel Peat run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 14Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 13
OWN 14
+6
67.7%
Brady Cook pass complete to Nathaniel Peat for 6 yds to the Misso 20Similar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+5
68.2%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Offsides (Nate Matlack) to the Misso 25Similar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+3
67.5%
Nathaniel Peat run for 3 yds to the Misso 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
67.2%
Brady Cook sacked by Felix Anudike-Uzomah and Robert Hentz II for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 27Similar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
67.2%
Brady Cook sacked by Felix Anudike-Uzomah and Robert Hentz II for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 27Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+5
67.5%
Nathaniel Peat run for 5 yds to the Misso 32Similar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+19
67.5%
Brady Cook pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 19 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
65.1%
Nathaniel Peat run for 1 yd to the KanSt 48Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+3
65.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 3 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
65.4%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:48
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
65.9%
Sean Koetting punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 11Similar
Q2 1:48
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
65.9%
Sean Koetting punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:0368% → 67%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
68.2%
Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd to the KanSt 12Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+1
68.0%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 13Similar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 8
OWN 13
+6
67.0%
Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds to the KanSt 19Similar
Q2 0:45
4TH & 2
OWN 19
0
66.5%
Ty Zentner punt for 52 yds, downed at the Misso 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9END OF HALF
10 plays · 34 yds · 0:4533% → 32%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
66.7%
Brady Cook pass complete to Nathaniel Peat for 5 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+7
65.7%
Brady Cook pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 7 yds to the Misso 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
64.8%
Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 4 yds to the Misso 45Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+5
63.9%
Brady Cook run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 1
50
0
63.4%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+5
63.9%
Brady Cook run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 1
50
0
63.4%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 1
50
-5
65.3%
MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (Connor Tollison) to the Misso 45Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 6
OWN 45
+18
67.6%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 18 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:2568% → 66%
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
67.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 4 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
Q3 14:58
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+4
69.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q3 14:58
3RD & 2
OWN 42
-15
68.7%
MARTINEZ, Adrian pass to the right complete for 37 yards to VAUGHN, Deuce caught at the MIZ38 and advanced to the MIZ21 (CARLIES, Jaylon), out of bounds. PENALTY KSU Pass Interference on WARNER, Kade enforced 15 yards to the KSU27 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:58
3RD & 17
OWN 27
+13
66.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 13 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q3 12:33
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
66.1%
Ty Zentner punt for 56 yds, downed at the Misso 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 11FG
8 plays · 54 yds · 2:1634% → 34%
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
66.3%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:33
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+8
66.6%
Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 8 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q3 12:33
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+8
66.5%
Brady Cook pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 8 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+39
65.6%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 39 yds to the KanSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-1
61.7%
Nathaniel Peat run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 27Similar
Q3 12:33
2ND & 11
OPP 27
0
62.1%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:33
3RD & 11
OPP 27
0
63.5%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:17
4TH & 11
OPP 27
+44
66.3%
Harrison Mevis 44 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5167% → 65%
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
66.8%
Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds to the KanSt 31Similar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
68.1%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:17
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
66.1%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:26
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
65.4%
Ty Zentner punt for 66 yds, downed at the Misso 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 13INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
66.7%
Brady Cook pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 14FG
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:2271% → 65%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
71.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+15
70.9%
QB Keeper MARTINEZ, Adrian rush up the middle for a loss of 2 yards to the MIZ35 (CARNELL, Daylan). PENALTY MIZ Face mask on ROBINSON, Darius enforced 15 yards from the MIZ33 to the MIZ18 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+10
71.0%
Deuce Vaughn run for 10 yds to the Misso 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-10
71.0%
VAUGHN, Deuce rush to the right for a gain of 4 yards to the MIZ4 (ABRAMS-DRAINE, Kris). PENALTY KSU Illegal Block in the Back on LEVESTON, KT enforced 10 yards from the MIZ8 to the MIZ18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 18
+1
70.9%
Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd to the Misso 17Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
0
70.3%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
0
67.8%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 17
+35
65.4%
Chris Tennant 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15INT
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:1134% → 35%
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
65.8%
Nathaniel Peat run for 6 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
64.4%
Nathaniel Peat run for 3 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q3 6:58
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
64.8%
Brady Cook run for 4 yds to the Misso 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
64.0%
Nathaniel Peat run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 37Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 11
OWN 37
0
64.8%
Brady Cook pass interceptedSimilar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 11
OWN 37
0
64.8%
Brady Cook pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 16MISSED FG
9 plays · 24 yds · 2:4170% → 65%
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
70.0%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the Misso 33Similar
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
70.0%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the Misso 33Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+16
70.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 16 yds to the Misso 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
70.9%
Jax Dineen run for 2 yds to the Misso 15Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 8
OPP 15
-5
70.9%
KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (Christian Duffie) to the Misso 20Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 13
OPP 20
0
70.5%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:47
3RD & 13
OPP 20
+7
67.7%
Deuce Vaughn run for 7 yds to the Misso 13Similar
Q3 2:06
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+31
67.2%
Chris Tennant 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
65.1%
MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (Connor Tollison) to the Misso 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 17INT
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:1135% → 34%
Q3 2:06
1ST & 15
OWN 15
0
65.3%
Jack Abraham pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 15
OWN 15
0
65.7%
Jack Abraham pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 18FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2071% → 66%
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
71.0%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the Misso 15Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 6
OPP 15
-4
71.0%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 19 Adrian Martinez fumbled, recovered by KanSt Adrian MartinezSimilar
Q3 1:55
3RD & 10
OPP 19
0
69.4%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:35
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+37
66.2%
Chris Tennant 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 19INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4135% → 36%
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
64.7%
Cody Schrader run for 8 yds to the Misso 33Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-5
62.2%
MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (Connor Wood) to the Misso 28Similar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
68.4%
MISSOURI Penalty, Offsides (Jalani Williams) to the KanSt 46Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
64.1%
Jack Abraham pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 20TD
4 plays · 59 yds · 2:0270% → 71%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 5
OWN 46
-1
69.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 45Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+29
69.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 29 yds to the Misso 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
71.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Misso 24Similar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+24
71.2%
Deuce Vaughn 24 Yd Run (Chris Tennant Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 3:3336% → 34%
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
64.0%
Luther Burden III run for 6 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
62.1%
Brady Cook run for no gain to the Misso 31Similar
Q4 12:52
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
64.1%
Brady Cook run for 5 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
62.5%
Nathaniel Peat run for 4 yds to the Misso 40Similar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-14
60.4%
Nathaniel Peat run for a loss of 14 yards to the Misso 26Similar
Q4 12:52
3RD & 20
OWN 26
+4
66.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Nathaniel Peat for 4 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q4 9:19
4TH & 16
OWN 30
0
66.5%
Sean Koetting punt for 33 ydsSimilar
Q4 9:19
4TH & 16
OWN 30
0
66.5%
Sean Koetting punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 22TD
11 plays · 63 yds · 6:4667% → 75%
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
66.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 6 yds to the KanSt 43Similar
Q4 9:19
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+5
69.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
69.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for 9 yds to the Misso 43Similar
Q4 9:19
2ND & 1
OPP 43
0
70.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the Misso 43Similar
Q4 9:19
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+2
69.7%
Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds to the Misso 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
70.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the Misso 37Similar
Q4 9:19
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+1
70.4%
DJ Giddens run for 1 yd to the Misso 36Similar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+1
70.9%
Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd to the Misso 35Similar
Q4 3:18
4TH & 4
OPP 35
+7
67.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Seth Porter for 7 yds to the Misso 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
74.8%
DJ Giddens 28 Yd Run (Chris Tennant Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1139% → 31%
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.0%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
61.6%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:33
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+6
63.4%
Brady Cook run for 6 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q4 1:22
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
68.6%
Sean Koetting punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 24FUMBLE
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
76.1%
Anthony Frias II run for 2 yds to the KanSt 20 fumbled, recovered by Misso Arden WalkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 25TD
8 plays · 20 yds · 1:1045% → 36%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
55.4%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 9 yds to the KanSt 11Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+9
55.4%
Cody Schrader run for 9 yds to the KanSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
55.5%
Cody Schrader run for 1 yd to the KanSt 1Similar
Q4 0:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
61.5%
Cody Schrader run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 3Similar
Q4 0:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
62.6%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
69.8%
COOK, Brady pass to the right incomplete intended for BURDEN, Luther thrown to the KSU0. PENALTY KSU Roughing the Passer on PICKLE, Jaylen enforced half the distance from the goal, 2 yards from the KSU3 to the KSU1 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
64.2%
Cody Schrader 1 Yd Run Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+35.8
TD · Q4 2:33
DJ Giddens 28 Yd Run (Chris Tennant Kick)
+6.8
TD · Q4 0:00
Cody Schrader 1 Yd Run
-5.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com