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SJSU

San José State 16 at Auburn 24

AUB
2022 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2022 · Jordan-Hare Stadium
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Win probability · AUB
modelAUB aheadSJSU aheadconfidence bandkey playAUB scoreSJSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:14 · Oscar Chapman punt for 38 yds, downed at the SJSt 5
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 144Pregame prior+5.6Home team on offense+22.8Garbage-time factor+13.9Score differential+5.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.4Blowout margin−1.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:58: Kairee Robinson 1 Yd Run (Taren Schive Kick) — SJSU win probability +9.0 pts (now 25%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:45: Tank Bigsby 1 Yd Run (Anders Carlson Kick) — AUB win probability +4.3 pts (now 86%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 14:49: Taren Schive 27 yd FG GOOD — SJSU win probability +5.2 pts (now 22%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:45: T.J. Finley 4 Yd Run (Anders Carlson Kick) — AUB win probability +8.5 pts (now 93%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 2:11: Taren Schive 37 yd FG GOOD — SJSU win probability +3.6 pts (now 9%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AUB made the numbers' call on 5 of 8SJSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 11:41SJSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 35, tied
    Close callPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:28AUB 4th & 30 at AUB 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:28AUB 4th & 30 at AUB 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:21SJSU 4th & 5 at AUB 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    8.1%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:00SJSU 4th & 10 at AUB 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    8.8%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  6. Q1 5:32AUB 4th & 6 at AUB 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.5%
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:10SJSU 4th & 13 at AUB 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    10.4%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:18SJSU 4th & 16 at AUB 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.7%
    81% to make
    Punt
    11.2%−1.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:18AUB 4th & 4 at SJSU 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    86.1%−0.3
    51% to make
    Punt
    85.8%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:55AUB 4th & 3 at SJSU 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    76.9%−2.3
    23% to make
    Punt
    78.3%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:09SJSU 4th & 13 at SJSU 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−1.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:48AUB 4th & 3 at SJSU 28, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.9%−0.8
    60% to make
    Punt
    76.9%−5.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:49SJSU 4th & 8 at AUB 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.5%
    88% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−9.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:28SJSU 4th & 3 at SJSU 42, down 11
    Close callPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:14AUB 4th & 9 at SJSU 43, up 11
    Close callPunted · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    94.0%−0.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:14AUB 4th & 9 at SJSU 43, up 11
    Close callPunted · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    94.0%−0.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:11SJSU 4th & 9 at AUB 19, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.6%−0.5
    77% to make
    Punt
    3.8%−1.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AUB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SJSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 6:31AUB Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:58SJSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:45AUB Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:45AUB Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:146% → 7%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
94.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+8
94.2%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 8 yds to the SJSt 23Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+3
94.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 3 yds to the SJSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-3
94.2%
Shamar Garrett run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 23Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 13
OWN 23
+12
94.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 12 yds to the SJSt 35Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 1
OWN 35
0
94.2%
Chevan Cordeiro run for no gain to the SJSt 35Similar
Q1 11:41
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
93.5%
Travis Benham punt for 40 yds, downed at the Aub 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · -20 yds · 1:1394% → 93%
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.5%
Tank Bigsby run for 2 yds to the Aub 27Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
93.5%
AUBURN Penalty, Block below the waist on SHENKER, John Samuel enforced half the distance from the goal ( Yards) to the Aub 13Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 21
OWN 14
-5
93.5%
FINLEY, TJ pass up the middle incomplete intended for JOHNSON, Ja'Varrius thrown to the AUB27. PENALTY AUB Holding on JOHNSON, Tate declined AUB Illegal Forward Pass on FINLEY, TJ enforced 5 yards from the AUB14 to the AUB9, penalty results in a loss of down [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 26
OWN 9
0
93.5%
T.J. Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:41
4TH & 26
OWN 9
-5
93.4%
AUBURN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Aub 4Similar
Q1 10:28
4TH & 30
OWN 5
0
93.1%
Oscar Chapman punt for 46 yds, downed at the SJSt 49Similar
Q1 10:28
4TH & 30
OWN 5
0
93.1%
Oscar Chapman punt for 46 yds, downed at the SJSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:077% → 7%
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
93.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:28
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-1
93.1%
Kairee Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 48Similar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 11
OWN 48
+6
93.2%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 6 yds to the Aub 46Similar
Q1 9:21
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
92.9%
Travis Benham punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Keionte Scott at the Aub 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 4INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:5893% → 92%
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
92.9%
Robby Ashford run for 8 yds to the Aub 24Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 2
OWN 24
-10
93.0%
AUBURN Penalty, Illegal Block (Colby Wooden) to the Aub 15Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 11
OWN 15
+9
92.9%
T.J. Finley pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 9 yds to the Aub 24Similar
Q1 9:21
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+8
92.9%
Robby Ashford run for 8 yds to the Aub 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
92.4%
Robby Ashford pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:238% → 8%
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
92.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:23
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
92.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:23
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
92.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:00
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
92.2%
Travis Benham punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2892% → 92%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
92.2%
Tank Bigsby run for 3 yds to the Aub 23Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+1
92.2%
Tank Bigsby run for 1 yd to the Aub 24Similar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
92.1%
AUBURN Penalty, Illegal Formation (Austin Troxell) declinedSimilar
Q1 5:32
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
91.6%
Oscar Chapman punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Hamilton at the SJSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 7MISSED FG
12 plays · 47 yds · 5:228% → 10%
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
91.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Sam Olson for 13 yds to the SJSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
91.5%
Shamar Garrett run for 1 yd to the SJSt 44Similar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+12
91.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Shamar Garrett for 12 yds to the Aub 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-9
91.5%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Eku Leota for a loss of 9 yards to the SJSt 47Similar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 19
OWN 47
+22
91.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 22 yds to the Aub 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
91.4%
Kairee Robinson run for 9 yds to the Aub 22Similar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+2
91.3%
Kairee Robinson run for 2 yds to the Aub 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-4
91.3%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Keionte Scott for a loss of 4 yards to the Aub 24Similar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 14
OPP 24
0
91.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:32
3RD & 14
OPP 24
+1
91.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 1 yd to the Aub 23Similar
Q1 5:32
3RD & 14
OPP 24
+1
91.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 1 yd to the Aub 23Similar
Q1 0:10
4TH & 13
OPP 23
+40
89.9%
Taren Schive 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 8INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:1090% → 90%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
90.1%
T.J. Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
90.0%
T.J. Finley pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 9FG
10 plays · 12 yds · 3:4211% → 13%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
88.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 7 yds to the Aub 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+4
88.8%
Kairee Robinson run for 4 yds to the Aub 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+16
88.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 16 yds to the Aub 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
88.8%
Chevan Cordeiro run for no gain to the Aub 1Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
87.5%
Kairee Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 2Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
87.8%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, False Start (James McNorton) to the Aub 7Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
87.8%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, False Start (James McNorton) to the Aub 12Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
-4
87.8%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Marcus Harris for a loss of 4 yards to the Aub 16Similar
Q2 11:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 16
+33
87.5%
Taren Schive 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 10TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:4788% → 90%
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
87.6%
Tank Bigsby run for 2 yds to the Aub 27Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+35
87.7%
Damari Alston run for 35 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
88.6%
Damari Alston run for 3 yds to the SJSt 35Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+4
89.0%
Jarquez Hunter run for 4 yds to the SJSt 31Similar
Q2 11:18
3RD & 3
OPP 31
-1
88.5%
Jarquez Hunter run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 32Similar
Q2 11:18
4TH & 4
OPP 32
+10
88.1%
T.J. Finley pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 10 yds to the SJSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
89.0%
Robby Ashford run for no gain to the SJSt 22Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-5
88.9%
AUBURN Penalty, False Start (Brandon Council) to the SJSt 27Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 15
OPP 27
+20
88.5%
T.J. Finley pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 20 yds to the SJSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
89.8%
Jarquez Hunter 7 Yd Run (Anders Carlson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 11TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:3311% → 25%
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
88.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Shamar Garrett for 13 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
88.1%
Shamar Garrett run for 4 yds to the SJSt 42Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+5
87.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Skylar Loving-Black for 5 yds to the SJSt 47Similar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+14
87.8%
CORDEIRO, Chevan pass to the right incomplete intended for LOCKHART, Justin thrown to the AUB38. PENALTY AUB Pass Interference on PRITCHETT, Nehemiah enforced at the spot of the foul for 14 yards to the AUB39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
87.6%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 5 yds to the Aub 34Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+6
87.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 6 yds to the Aub 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
87.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+1
87.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 1 yd to the Aub 27Similar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 9
OPP 27
+10
87.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Charles Ross for 10 yds to the Aub 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
84.6%
Kairee Robinson run for no gain to the Aub 17Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+14
84.2%
CORDEIRO, Chevan pass to the left incomplete intended for COOKS, Elijah thrown to the AUB3. PENALTY AUB Pass Interference on SIMPSON, Jaylin enforced at the spot of the foul for 14 yards to the AUB3 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
84.1%
Kairee Robinson run for 2 yds to the Aub 1Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
75.2%
Kairee Robinson 1 Yd Run (Taren Schive Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 12END OF HALF
7 plays · 32 yds · 0:5079% → 81%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
78.9%
T.J. Finley pass complete to Koy Moore for 13 yds to the Aub 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
79.2%
FINLEY, TJ pass to the left incomplete thrown to the AUB47. PENALTY AUB Holding on SHENKER, John Samuel enforced 10 yards from the AUB35 to the AUB25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+9
78.7%
T.J. Finley pass complete to Tank Bigsby for 9 yds to the Aub 34Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+6
79.0%
T.J. Finley run for 6 yds to the Aub 40Similar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+6
80.0%
T.J. Finley run for 6 yds to the Aub 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
80.8%
T.J. Finley pass complete to Tank Bigsby for 8 yds to the SJSt 46Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 46
0
80.7%
T.J. Finley pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 13TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 3:1079% → 86%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+16
79.3%
Tank Bigsby run for 16 yds to the Aub 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
81.0%
T.J. Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+7
80.8%
T.J. Finley pass complete to Brandon Frazier for 7 yds to the SJSt 46Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 3
OPP 46
0
81.0%
T.J. Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 3
OPP 46
+11
80.0%
pass complete to Tank Bigsby for 11 yds to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
82.1%
Jarquez Hunter run for 11 yds to the SJSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
82.1%
Tar'Varish Dawson Jr. run for 4 yds to the SJSt 20Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+19
82.1%
Tank Bigsby run for 19 yds to the SJSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.4%
Tank Bigsby 1 Yd Run (Anders Carlson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:3616% → 15%
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
84.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 23 yds to the SJSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
82.2%
Shamar Garrett run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 8
50
-5
81.8%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Illegal Snap on PARDUE, Anthony enforced (Anthony Pardue) to the SJSt 45Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 13
OWN 45
0
83.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 13
OWN 45
+5
84.1%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:45
4TH & 8
50
-5
84.0%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 45Similar
Q3 9:09
4TH & 13
OWN 45
+22
84.8%
Travis Benham punt for 35 yds , Keionte Scott returns for 22 yds to the Aub 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 15FG
8 plays · 30 yds · 4:2186% → 88%
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
86.0%
Tank Bigsby run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 41Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+11
85.4%
T.J. Finley pass complete to Ja'Varrius Johnson for 11 yds to the SJSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-10
86.6%
AUBURN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Shedrick Jackson) to the Aub 48Similar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 14
OWN 48
+17
85.5%
T.J. Finley pass complete to Shedrick Jackson for 17 yds to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
87.1%
Jarquez Hunter run for 5 yds to the SJSt 30Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 5
OPP 30
-3
87.1%
Robby Ashford run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 33 Robby Ashford fumbled, recovered by AubSimilar
Q3 9:09
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+5
86.3%
T.J. Finley run for 5 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q3 4:48
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+45
88.2%
Anders Carlson 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 16FG
12 plays · 65 yds · 4:5914% → 22%
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
86.1%
Kairee Robinson run for 2 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+12
85.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 12 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
85.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+16
85.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Charles Ross for 16 yds to the Aub 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
83.9%
Kairee Robinson run for 1 yd to the Aub 44Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+22
84.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Charles Ross for 22 yds to the Aub 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
82.4%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 7 yds to the Aub 15Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+3
82.4%
Kenyon Sims run for 3 yds to the Aub 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
82.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+2
81.4%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 2 yds to the Aub 10Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 10
0
82.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+27
77.7%
Taren Schive 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 17TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 2:0482% → 93%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+30
81.5%
Robby Ashford run for 30 yds to the SJSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
83.7%
BIGSBY, Tank rush to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the SJS42 (HALL, Cade;HARMON, Kyle). PENALTY SJS Offsides on FEHOKO, Viliami enforced 5 yards from the SJS44 to the SJS39. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 5
OPP 39
+11
83.6%
Jarquez Hunter run for 11 yds to the SJSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+24
83.9%
T.J. Finley pass complete to Ja'Varrius Johnson for 24 yds to the SJSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
92.5%
T.J. Finley 4 Yd Run (Anders Carlson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:179% → 9%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
90.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Charles Ross for 1 yd to the SJSt 26Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
90.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Sam Olson for 4 yds to the SJSt 30Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
90.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Skylar Loving-Black for 5 yds to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
89.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
90.1%
Chevan Cordeiro run for no gain to the SJSt 35Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+7
91.2%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 7 yds to the SJSt 42Similar
Q4 9:28
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
91.5%
Travis Benham punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Keionte Scott at the Aub 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 40 yds · 4:1493% → 94%
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
93.2%
Robby Ashford run for 11 yds to the Aub 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
93.4%
Robby Ashford pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+6
93.1%
T.J. Finley pass complete to Ja'Varrius Johnson for 6 yds to the Aub 34Similar
Q4 9:28
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+22
93.3%
T.J. Finley pass complete to Tar'Varish Dawson Jr. for 22 yds to the SJSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
94.1%
Tank Bigsby run for 6 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 4
OPP 38
-2
94.1%
Tank Bigsby run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 40Similar
Q4 9:28
3RD & 6
OPP 40
-3
93.8%
T.J. Finley sacked by Kyle Harmon for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 43Similar
Q4 5:14
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
94.4%
Oscar Chapman punt for 38 yds, downed at the SJSt 5Similar
Q4 5:14
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
94.4%
Oscar Chapman punt for 38 yds, downed at the SJSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 20FG
10 plays · 76 yds · 3:036% → 9%
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+40
93.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Charles Ross for 40 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
92.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 6 yds to the Aub 49Similar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 4
OPP 49
0
91.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:14
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+5
91.7%
Kairee Robinson run for 5 yds to the Aub 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
91.5%
AUBURN Penalty, Defensive Holding (Jaylin Simpson) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
93.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
94.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:03
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+1
94.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 1 yd to the Aub 19Similar
Q4 2:11
4TH & 9
OPP 19
+37
91.1%
Taren Schive 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 21END OF GAME
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:2396% → 98%
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
95.9%
Tank Bigsby run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 42Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+4
96.4%
Jarquez Hunter run for 4 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+7
97.4%
Robby Ashford run for 7 yds to the SJSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
97.6%
Jarquez Hunter run for no gain to the SJSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:58
Kairee Robinson 1 Yd Run (Taren Schive Kick)
-9
TD · Q4 12:45
T.J. Finley 4 Yd Run (Anders Carlson Kick)
+8.5
FG · Q4 14:49
Taren Schive 27 yd FG GOOD
-5.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com