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ELON

Elon 31 at Vanderbilt 42

VAN
2022 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2022 · FirstBank Stadium
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Win probability · VAN
modelVAN aheadELON aheadconfidence bandkey playVAN scoreELON score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:04 · Jeff Yurk punt for 36 yds , Will Sheppard returns for 1 yd to the Vandy 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 22Pregame prior+35.9Home team on offense+1.2Score differential+0.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Blowout margin+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:26: Mike Wright run for 44 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK) — VAN win probability +5.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:24: Matthew McKay run for 5 yds for a TD, (Skyler Davis KICK) — ELON win probability +4.1 pts (now 7%) (top driver: ELON has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:00: Matthew McKay pass complete to Jackson Parham for 22 yds for a TD VANDERBILT Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (BJ Anderson) declined, (Skyler Davis KICK) — ELON win probability +5.6 pts (now 11%) (top driver: ELON has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:02: Mike Wright pass complete to Re'Mahn Davis for 9 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK) — VAN win probability +5.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:21: Matthew McKay run for 5 yds for a TD, (Skyler Davis KICK) — ELON win probability +4.8 pts (now 8%) (top driver: ELON has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VAN made the numbers' call on 7 of 10ELON made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 13:13ELON 4th & 3 at ELON 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:05VAN 4th & 13 at VAN 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:11ELON 4th & 5 at ELON 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:04ELON 4th & 17 at ELON 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:40ELON 4th & 2 at ELON 33, down 14
    Close callPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:30VAN 4th & 5 at VAN 49, up 14
    Close callPunted · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:30VAN 4th & 5 at VAN 49, up 14
    Close callPunted · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:04ELON 4th & 7 at ELON 7, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:46ELON 4th & 3 at VAN 46, down 14
    Close callPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    10.4%−1.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:40VAN 4th & 5 at VAN 30, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.9%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.2%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:32ELON 4th & 7 at VAN 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    9.9%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:52VAN 4th & 9 at VAN 26, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:52VAN 4th & 9 at VAN 26, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:50ELON 4th & 13 at ELON 39, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−1.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:05VAN 4th & 3 at VAN 18, up 18
    Close callPunted · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:24VAN 4th & 7 at VAN 28, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:19ELON 4th & 1 at VAN 32, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    4.8%−1.3
    51% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−1.7
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:50VAN 4th & 15 at VAN 30, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:50VAN 4th & 15 at VAN 30, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:49ELON 4th & 1 at VAN 1, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    4.0%−1.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    3.2%−2.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VAN made the numbers' call on 6 of 6ELON made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 10:17VAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:48VAN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:34VAN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:24ELON Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:35VAN Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:26VAN Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:24ELON Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:00ELON Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:02VAN Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 5:21ELON Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.6%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ELONDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4711% → 11%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.2%
Jalen Hampton run for 5 yds to the ElonU 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
89.2%
Jalen Hampton run for 3 yds to the ElonU 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-1
89.2%
Jalen Hampton run for a loss of 1 yard to the ElonU 32Similar
Q1 13:13
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
88.8%
Jeff Yurk punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Will Sheppard at the Vandy 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:0889% → 88%
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
88.8%
Mike Wright pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-3
88.7%
Re'Mahn Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 27Similar
Q1 13:13
3RD & 13
OWN 27
0
88.7%
Mike Wright pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:05
4TH & 13
OWN 27
+4
88.3%
Matt Hayball punt for 57 yds , Tre'Von Jones returns for 4 yds to the ElonU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5412% → 12%
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
88.4%
Matthew McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
88.4%
VANDERBILT Penalty, Offsides (Michael Owusu) to the ElonU 25Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
88.4%
Jalen Hampton run for no gain to the ElonU 25Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
88.4%
Matthew McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:11
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
88.2%
Jeff Yurk punt for 16 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 4TD
3 plays · 41 yds · 0:5488% → 89%
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+34
88.4%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 34 yds to the ElonU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
88.4%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 2 yds to the ElonU 5Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
88.9%
Mike Wright run for 5 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:1311% → 12%
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
88.6%
Wayne Dixie III run for 22 yds to the ElonU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
88.4%
Wayne Dixie III run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 7
50
0
88.4%
Joey Baughman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:17
3RD & 7
50
0
88.4%
ELON Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 10:17
4TH & 12
OWN 45
-5
88.7%
ELON Penalty, Delay Of Game (Wayne Dixie III) to the ElonU 40Similar
Q1 8:04
4TH & 17
OWN 40
+1
88.5%
Jeff Yurk punt for 36 yds , Will Sheppard returns for 1 yd to the Vandy 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 6TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 1:1688% → 90%
Q1 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
88.4%
Mike Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 24Similar
Q1 8:04
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+1
88.4%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 1 yd to the Vandy 25Similar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+75
89.7%
Mike Wright pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 75 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0811% → 11%
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.4%
Matthew McKay run for 5 yds to the ElonU 30Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
89.4%
Jalen Hampton run for 3 yds to the ElonU 33Similar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
89.4%
Jalen Hampton run for no gain to the ElonU 33Similar
Q1 4:40
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
89.5%
Jeff Yurk punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Will Sheppard at the Vandy 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 8TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 3:0690% → 93%
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
90.0%
Mike Wright pass complete to Re'Mahn Davis for 5 yds to the Vandy 32Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+18
90.0%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
50
+24
90.2%
Mike Wright pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 24 yds to the ElonU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
90.3%
Mike Wright pass complete to Will Sheppard for 11 yds to the ElonU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
90.3%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 4 yds to the ElonU 11Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+5
90.3%
Mike Wright pass complete to Justin Ball for 5 yds to the ElonU 6Similar
Q1 1:34
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+6
92.5%
Mike Wright pass complete to Will Sheppard for 6 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 9TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
89.3%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Chandler Brayboy for 75 yds for a TD, (Skyler Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:5490% → 90%
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
90.0%
Mike Wright pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 2 yds Jayden McGowan fumbled, recovered by VandySimilar
Q1 1:24
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
90.0%
Chase Gillespie run for 1 yd to the Vandy 28Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+16
89.9%
Mike Wright pass complete to Devin Boddie Jr. for 16 yds to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
90.4%
Mike Wright pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+4
90.3%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 4 yds to the Vandy 48Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+1
90.2%
Mike Wright run for 1 yd to the Vandy 49Similar
Q2 13:30
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
90.0%
Matt Hayball punt for 47 yds, downed at the ElonU 4Similar
Q2 13:30
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
90.0%
Matt Hayball punt for 47 yds, downed at the ElonU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2610% → 10%
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
89.6%
Jalen Hampton run for 1 yd to the ElonU 5Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 9
OWN 5
0
89.7%
Matthew McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 9
OWN 5
+2
89.7%
Jalen Hampton run for 2 yds to the ElonU 7Similar
Q2 12:04
4TH & 7
OWN 7
+1
89.8%
Jeff Yurk punt for 34 yds , Will Sheppard returns for 1 yd to the ElonU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 12DOWNS
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5291% → 90%
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
90.7%
Mike Wright pass complete to Re'Mahn Davis for 3 yds to the ElonU 37Similar
Q2 12:04
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
90.7%
Mike Wright pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:04
3RD & 7
OPP 37
0
90.5%
Mike Wright pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:12
4TH & 7
OPP 37
0
90.2%
VANDERBILT Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Personal Foul on HANSEN, Gunnar ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 2:2611% → 11%
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
89.2%
Joey Baughman pass complete to Chandler Brayboy for 10 yds to the ElonU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
88.9%
Wayne Dixie III run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 7
50
+5
88.8%
Joey Baughman run for 5 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 2
OPP 45
-1
88.8%
Joey Baughman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 46Similar
Q2 8:46
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
89.2%
Jeff Yurk punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Will Sheppard at the Vandy 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:0690% → 90%
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
90.3%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 5 yds to the Vandy 17Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+4
90.3%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 4 yds to the Vandy 21Similar
Q2 8:46
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+4
90.0%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 4 yds to the Vandy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.3%
Mike Wright pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
90.3%
Mike Wright pass complete to Will Sheppard for 5 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q2 8:46
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
90.1%
Mike Wright pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:40
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+34
89.5%
Matt Hayball punt for 57 yds , Tre'Von Jones returns for 34 yds to the ElonU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 15FG
8 plays · 23 yds · 3:0811% → 11%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
89.2%
Jalen Hampton run for 4 yds to the Vandy 49Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 6
OPP 49
-5
89.6%
HAMPTON, Jalen rush to the left for a gain of 1 yard to the VAN48 (CLIFTON, Nate). PENALTY Before the snap, ELO Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the VAN49 to the ELO46. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+21
90.2%
Joey Baughman run for 21 yds to the Vandy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
89.2%
Matthew McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+1
89.2%
Jalen Hampton run for 1 yd to the Vandy 32Similar
Q2 4:32
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+2
89.7%
DJ Moyer run for 2 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q2 2:32
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+48
88.8%
Skyler Davis 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 16TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:5789% → 93%
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
89.4%
Mike Wright pass complete to Will Sheppard for 1 yd to the Vandy 26Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
89.3%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 5 yds to the Vandy 31Similar
Q2 2:32
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+17
89.1%
Mike Wright pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 17 yds to the Vandy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
89.9%
Mike Wright pass complete to Devin Boddie Jr. for 7 yds to the ElonU 45Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+15
90.0%
Mike Wright run for 15 yds to the ElonU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
90.0%
Mike Wright pass complete to Will Sheppard for 9 yds to the ElonU 21Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 1
OPP 21
-5
90.0%
VANDERBILT Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ElonU 26Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+26
93.1%
Mike Wright pass complete to Will Sheppard for 26 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 17END OF HALF
3 plays · 33 yds · 0:297% → 8%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
92.6%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Malik Griffin for 7 yds to the ElonU 34Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+9
92.2%
Matthew McKay run for 9 yds to the ElonU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+17
92.0%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Bryson Daughtry for 17 yds to the Vandy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:3493% → 98%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
92.7%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 9 yds to the Vandy 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+11
92.8%
Mike Wright pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for 11 yds to the Vandy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
93.0%
Mike Wright run for 10 yds to the ElonU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
93.0%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 1 yd to the ElonU 44Similar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+44
98.3%
Mike Wright run for 44 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 19TD
10 plays · 83 yds · 3:552% → 7%
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+31
97.9%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Jackson Parham for 31 yds to the ElonU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
97.8%
Matthew McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
97.8%
Wayne Dixie III run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:19
3RD & 8
50
+23
97.8%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Bryson Daughtry for 23 yds to the Vandy 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
97.5%
DIXIE III, Wayne rush up the middle for no gain to the VAN27 (CECIL, Myles;BARR, Ethan). PENALTY Before the snap, VAN Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the VAN27 to the VAN22. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 5
OPP 22
+7
97.5%
Wayne Dixie III run for 7 yds to the Vandy 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
97.5%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Johncarlos Miller II for 7 yds to the Vandy 8Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+6
97.5%
Matthew McKay run for 6 yds to the Vandy 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
97.5%
Matthew McKay run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 5Similar
Q3 8:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
93.4%
Matthew McKay run for 5 yds for a TD, (Skyler Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:3296% → 96%
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.7%
Re'Mahn Davis run for no gain to the Vandy 25Similar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.7%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 1 yd to the Vandy 26Similar
Q3 8:24
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
95.6%
Mike Wright pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:52
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+16
95.5%
Matt Hayball punt for 48 yds , Tre'Von Jones returns for 16 yds to the ElonU 42Similar
Q3 6:52
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+16
95.5%
Matt Hayball punt for 48 yds , Tre'Von Jones returns for 16 yds to the ElonU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 2:026% → 4%
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
94.5%
Matthew McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-15
94.6%
HAMPTON, Jalen rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the ELO45 (LANGHAM, Malik). PENALTY ELO Face mask on PURCELL, Michael enforced 15 yards from the ELO42 to the ELO27 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 25
OWN 27
+3
95.0%
Matthew McKay run for 3 yds to the ElonU 30Similar
Q3 6:52
3RD & 22
OWN 30
+9
95.1%
DJ Moyer run for 9 yds to the ElonU 39Similar
Q3 4:50
4TH & 13
OWN 39
0
95.6%
Jeff Yurk punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4596% → 96%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
96.1%
Re'Mahn Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 10Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 11
OWN 10
0
95.1%
Mike Wright pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 11
OWN 10
+3
94.9%
Mike Wright run for 3 yds to the Vandy 13 Mike Wright fumbled, recovered by Vandy Gunnar HansenSimilar
Q3 4:50
4TH & 8
OWN 13
+5
95.1%
ELON Penalty, Offsides (Jamarian Hawkins) to the Vandy 18Similar
Q3 3:05
4TH & 3
OWN 18
+10
96.0%
Matt Hayball punt for 43 yds , Tre'Von Jones returns for 10 yds to the ElonU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 23TD
9 plays · 51 yds · 3:055% → 11%
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
95.3%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Chandler Brayboy for 6 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+11
95.0%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Jackson Parham for 11 yds to the Vandy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
94.8%
Matthew McKay run for 9 yds to the Vandy 25Similar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 1
OPP 25
0
94.9%
Matthew McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:23
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+1
95.4%
Matthew McKay run for 1 yd to the Vandy 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
94.9%
Wayne Dixie III run for 2 yds to the Vandy 22Similar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 8
OPP 22
0
94.9%
Matthew McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+22
89.4%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Jackson Parham for 22 yds for a TD VANDERBILT Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (BJ Anderson) declined, (Skyler Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3692% → 91%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.8%
Mike Wright run for 4 yds to the Vandy 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-1
91.8%
Chase Gillespie run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
91.4%
Mike Wright pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:24
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+7
91.3%
Matt Hayball punt for 45 yds , Tre'Von Jones returns for 7 yds to the ElonU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 25FUMBLE
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:539% → 9%
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
90.6%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Jackson Parham for 9 yds to the ElonU 43Similar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+6
89.8%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Jackson Parham for 6 yds to the ElonU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
89.4%
Jalen Hampton run for 4 yds to the Vandy 47Similar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 6
OPP 47
0
89.4%
Matthew McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:31
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+4
90.7%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Jackson Parham for 4 yds Jackson Parham fumbled, recovered by Vandy Elijah McAllister ELON Penalty, Chop Block (Jordan Bonner) declinedSimilar
Q4 11:31
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+4
90.7%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Jackson Parham for 4 yds Jackson Parham fumbled, recovered by Vandy Elijah McAllister ELON Penalty, Chop Block (Jordan Bonner) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 26TD
4 plays · 57 yds · 1:2993% → 98%
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
92.6%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 3 yds to the Vandy 46Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+15
92.6%
ELON Penalty, Roughing the Passer on JONES, Tre'Von enforced (Tre'Von Jones) to the ElonU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
92.9%
ELON Penalty, Personal Foul (Tre'Von Jones) to the ElonU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
98.2%
Mike Wright pass complete to Re'Mahn Davis for 9 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 27TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:413% → 8%
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.3%
Wayne Dixie III run for 1 yd to the ElonU 26Similar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+15
97.3%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Johncarlos Miller II for 15 yds to the ElonU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
97.2%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Chandler Brayboy for 14 yds to the Vandy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
97.1%
Matthew McKay run for 4 yds to the Vandy 41Similar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+2
97.0%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Johncarlos Miller II for 2 yds to the Vandy 39Similar
Q4 10:02
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+8
97.1%
Wayne Dixie III run for 8 yds to the Vandy 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+14
96.8%
MCKAY, Matthew pass to the left incomplete intended for PARHAM, Jackson thrown to the VAN6. PENALTY VAN Pass Interference on ANDERSON, BJ enforced at the spot of the foul for 14 yards to the VAN17 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
96.7%
Wayne Dixie III run for 3 yds to the Vandy 14Similar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+11
96.7%
MCKAY, Matthew pass to the right incomplete intended for DA-SILVA, Christian thrown to the VAN0. PENALTY VAN Pass Interference on MAHONEY, Jaylen enforced at the spot of the foul for 11 yards to the VAN3 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
96.7%
Wayne Dixie III run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 5Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
91.9%
Matthew McKay run for 5 yds for a TD, (Skyler Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 28DOWNS
1 play · 26 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q4 3:19
4TH & 1
OPP 32
-3
94.4%
Jalen Hampton run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 29PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:2297% → 97%
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
96.6%
Mike Wright run for 2 yds to the Vandy 37Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
97.0%
Re'Mahn Davis run for no gain to the Vandy 37Similar
Q4 2:50
4TH & 15
OWN 30
0
96.7%
Matt Hayball punt for 49 yds, downed at the ElonU 21Similar
Q4 2:50
4TH & 15
OWN 30
0
96.7%
Matt Hayball punt for 49 yds, downed at the ElonU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 30DOWNS
11 plays · 78 yds · 1:472% → 3%
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+40
97.6%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Jackson Parham for 40 yds to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
96.9%
Matthew McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+23
96.9%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Christian Da-Silva for 23 yds to the Vandy 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
96.4%
Matthew McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+14
96.4%
MCKAY, Matthew pass to the right incomplete intended for PARHAM, Jackson thrown to the VAN1. PENALTY VAN Pass Interference on ANDERSON, BJ enforced at the spot of the foul for 14 yards to the VAN2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 2:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
96.2%
Matthew McKay pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
96.4%
Wayne Dixie III run for 1 yd to the Vandy 1Similar
Q4 0:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
96.4%
Matthew McKay run for no gain to the Vandy 1Similar
Q4 0:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
96.7%
Matthew McKay run for no gain to the Vandy 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 31END OF GAME
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:4999% → 99%
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
99.1%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 1 yd to the Vandy 2Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+3
99.1%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 3 yds to the Vandy 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:00
Matthew McKay pass complete to Jackson Parham for 22 yds for a TD VANDERBILT Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (BJ Anderson) declined, (Skyler Davis KICK)
-5.6
TD · Q3 12:26
Mike Wright run for 44 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)
+5.3
TD · Q4 10:02
Mike Wright pass complete to Re'Mahn Davis for 9 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)
+5.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com