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USU

Utah State 0 at Alabama 55

ALA
2022 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2022 · Bryant-Denny Stadium
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Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadUSU aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreUSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:44 · James Burnip punt blocked by Ike Larsen blocked by Ike Larsen
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 157Pregame prior+12.1Home team on offense+34.4Score differential+30.1Blowout margin+17.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+12.8Garbage-time factor+13.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:55: Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 5 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) — ALA win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:06: Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 9 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) — ALA win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:19: Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 2 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) — ALA win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 10:14: Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 14 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) — ALA win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:15: Bryce Young pass complete to Jase McClellan for 8 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) — ALA win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 1 of 4USU made the numbers' call on 11 of 14
  1. Q1 12:48USU 4th & 8 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:56ALA 4th & 3 at USU 27, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.5%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:57USU 4th & 9 at USU 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:37USU 4th & 1 at USU 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.8%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:46USU 4th & 4 at USU 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:09USU 4th & 10 at USU 25, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:40USU 4th & 3 at USU 42, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:56ALA 4th & 15 at USU 15, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:05USU 4th & 15 at USU 20, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:12USU 4th & 11 at USU 24, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:48USU 4th & 10 at USU 25, down 55
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:09USU 4th & 1 at ALA 43, down 55
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.1%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:02ALA 4th & 1 at ALA 17, up 55
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:30USU 4th & 1 at ALA 43, down 55
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.1%−0.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:25USU 4th & 15 at ALA 39, down 55
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:44ALA 4th & 3 at ALA 41, up 55
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:08USU 4th & 1 at ALA 22, down 55
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−<0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:25USU 4th & 6 at ALA 16, down 55
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 5:55ALA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:06ALA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:19ALA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:14ALA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:15ALA Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:37ALA Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:18ALA Touchdown, up 54 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:571% → 1%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
99.2%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 23 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
99.2%
Logan Bonner run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 46 Logan Bonner fumbled, recovered by UthSt Calvin Tyler Jr.Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+1
99.2%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd to the UthSt 47Similar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 11
OWN 47
+3
99.1%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:48
4TH & 8
50
0
99.1%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 2FG
8 plays · 44 yds · 2:4499% → 99%
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
99.1%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 3 yds to the Alab 32Similar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+20
99.1%
Bryce Young pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 5 yds to the UthSt 37 for a 1ST down UTAH ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
99.0%
Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 14 yds to the UthSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-3
99.0%
Bryce Young pass complete to Kobe Prentice for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 37Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 13
OPP 37
+5
99.0%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 5 yds to the UthSt 32Similar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 8
OPP 32
+5
98.9%
UTAH ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the UthSt 27Similar
Q1 10:03
3RD & 3
OPP 27
0
98.9%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jermaine BurtonSimilar
Q1 9:56
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+45
98.9%
Will Reichard 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:501% → 1%
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.9%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd to the UthSt 26Similar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
98.9%
Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Kyle Van LeeuwenSimilar
Q1 9:09
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
98.9%
Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Brian CobbsSimilar
Q1 8:57
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+9
98.9%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 43 yds , Kool-Aid McKinstry returns for 9 yds to the Alab 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 4TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 2:5599% → 99%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
98.8%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for no gain to the Alab 40Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+12
98.8%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 12 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+17
98.8%
Bryce Young pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 17 yds to the UthSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+25
98.7%
Bryce Young pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 25 yds to the UthSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.7%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jermaine BurtonSimilar
Q1 6:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
98.7%
Jase McClellan run for 1 yd to the UthSt 5Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.7%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 5 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 5DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:121% → 1%
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Logan Bonner pass incomplete to NyNy DavisSimilar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.7%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the UthSt 28Similar
Q1 5:03
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
98.6%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Justin McGriff for 6 yds to the UthSt 34Similar
Q1 4:37
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
98.6%
Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Justin McGriffSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 6TD
4 plays · 34 yds · 1:2499% → 99%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
98.7%
Young, Bryce pass incomplete to Burton, Jermaine, PENALTY UTAHST pass interference 15 yards to the UTAHST19, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.Similar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
98.7%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 10 yds to the UthSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
98.6%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for no gain to the UthSt 9Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
98.9%
Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 9 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:561% → 1%
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
98.8%
Pailate Makakona run for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 21Similar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+10
98.8%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 10 yds to the UthSt 31Similar
Q1 1:55
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
98.8%
Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Brian CobbsSimilar
Q1 1:46
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
98.8%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 8TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 4:1199% → 99%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+16
98.9%
Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 16 yds to the Alab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+16
98.9%
Bryce Young pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:47
1ST & 10
50
+9
98.9%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 9 yds to the UthSt 41Similar
Q1 0:26
2ND & 1
OPP 41
0
98.9%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Robbie OuztsSimilar
Q1 0:10
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+6
98.8%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 6 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
98.9%
Jase McClellan run for 10 yds to the UthSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
98.9%
Jase McClellan run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 27Similar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 12
OPP 27
0
98.9%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Traeshon HoldenSimilar
Q2 13:13
3RD & 12
OPP 27
+18
98.8%
Bryce Young run for 18 yds to the UthSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
98.8%
Bryce Young pass complete to Roydell Williams for 7 yds to the UthSt 2Similar
Q2 12:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.2%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 2 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:531% → 1%
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for no gain to the UthSt 25Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Brian CobbsSimilar
Q2 11:41
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for no gain to the UthSt 25Similar
Q2 11:09
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Kool-Aid McKinstry at the Alab 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 10TD
5 plays · 77 yds · 0:2899% → 99%
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+63
99.1%
Bryce Young run for 63 yds to the UthSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
99.2%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Ja'Corey BrooksSimilar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
99.2%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Kobe PrenticeSimilar
Q2 10:14
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+14
99.3%
Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 14 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 2:151% → 1%
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.1%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Kyle Van Leeuwen for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 23Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+3
99.1%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Kyle Van Leeuwen for 3 yds to the UthSt 26Similar
Q2 9:05
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+9
99.4%
Cooper Legas run for 9 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
99.4%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 7 yds to the UthSt 42Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 3
OWN 42
0
99.3%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for no gain to the UthSt 42Similar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
99.3%
Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Xavier WilliamsSimilar
Q2 7:40
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
99.5%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 12FG
14 plays · 51 yds · 4:34100% → 100%
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.5%
Roydell Williams run for no gain to the Alab 34Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+13
99.5%
Bryce Young pass complete to Miles Kitselman for 13 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
99.6%
Roydell Williams run for 12 yds to the UthSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
99.6%
Roydell Williams run for 3 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 7
OPP 38
0
99.6%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jermaine BurtonSimilar
Q2 6:02
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+5
99.6%
UTAH ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the UthSt 33Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+3
99.6%
Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the UthSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
99.6%
Young, Bryce pass complete to Williams, Roydell for 5 yards to the UTAHST25, PENALTY UTAHST holding 10 yards to the UTAHST20, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.Similar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+13
99.7%
Bryce Young pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 13 yds to the UthSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
99.7%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 4 yds to the UthSt 3Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.7%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Isaiah BondSimilar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 0
OPP 3
-5
99.7%
ALABAMA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 8Similar
Q2 3:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-7
99.7%
Bryce Young sacked by Daniel Grzesiak for a loss of 7 yards to the UthSt 15Similar
Q2 2:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+33
99.7%
Will Reichard 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · -5 yds · 1:360% → 0%
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for no gain to the UthSt 25Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.8%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 23Similar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-5
99.8%
UTAH ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 18Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+2
99.8%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Calvin Tyler Jr. for 2 yds to the UthSt 20Similar
Q2 1:05
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+9
99.8%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 51 yds , Kool-Aid McKinstry returns for 9 yds to the Alab 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 14TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 0:46100% → 100%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.7%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Ja'Corey BrooksSimilar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+17
99.7%
Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 17 yds to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
99.7%
Young, Bryce pass incomplete to Law, Kendrick, PENALTY UTAHST personal foul 15 yards to the UTAHST30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.Similar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+22
99.7%
Bryce Young run for 22 yds to the UthSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.7%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Traeshon HoldenSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.8%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jase McClellan for 8 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for no gain to the UthSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 16TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 0:53100% → 100%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+58
99.8%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 58 yds to the UthSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
99.8%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 3 yds to the UthSt 4Similar
Q3 13:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.8%
Bryce Young run for 4 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:130% → 0%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.8%
Cooper Legas run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 24Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Justin McGriffSimilar
Q3 12:42
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for no gain to the UthSt 24Similar
Q3 12:12
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UthSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 18TD
4 plays · 44 yds · 1:32100% → 100%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
99.9%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 11 yds to the UthSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
99.9%
Jase McClellan run for 11 yds to the UthSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
99.9%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 5 yds to the UthSt 17Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+17
99.9%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jase McClellan for 17 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:070% → 0%
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Robert Briggs run for 4 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
99.9%
Levi Williams run for 1 yd to the UthSt 30Similar
Q3 9:01
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Levi Williams pass incomplete to NyNy DavisSimilar
Q3 9:01
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-5
99.9%
UTAH ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 25Similar
Q3 8:48
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 60 yds , Kool-Aid McKinstry returns for 2 yds to the Alab 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 20INT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:00100% → 100%
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
99.9%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Alab 12Similar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 15
OWN 12
0
99.9%
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Isaiah BondSimilar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 15
OWN 12
+6
99.9%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Christian Leary for 6 yds to the Alab 18Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+10
99.9%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Trey Sanders for 10 yds to the Alab 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
99.9%
Jalen Milroe run for 7 yds to the Alab 35Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 3
OWN 35
-28
99.9%
Jalen Milroe pass intercepted Ike Larsen return for 18 yds to the ALABAMA 47 UTAH ST Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the UthSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 3:270% → 0%
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
99.9%
NyNy Davis run for 6 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 4
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Robert Briggs run for no gain to the UthSt 38Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+10
99.9%
Terrell Vaughn run for 10 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
99.9%
Robert Briggs run for 4 yds to the Alab 48Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+4
99.9%
Robert Briggs run for 4 yds to the Alab 44Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+1
99.9%
Robert Briggs run for 1 yd to the Alab 43Similar
Q3 3:09
4TH & 1
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 35 yds, downed at the Alab 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:53100% → 100%
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
99.9%
Trey Sanders run for 5 yds to the Alab 13Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 5
OWN 13
-5
99.9%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Alab 8Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+5
99.9%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Miles Kitselman for 5 yds to the Alab 13Similar
Q3 1:10
3RD & 5
OWN 13
+4
99.9%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Kendrick Law for 4 yds to the Alab 17Similar
Q3 1:02
4TH & 1
OWN 17
+61
99.9%
James Burnip punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Cooper Jones at the ALABAMA 32 UTAH ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the UthSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 23PUNT
14 plays · 39 yds · 6:250% → 0%
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
100.0%
Pailate Makakona run for 3 yds to the UthSt 25Similar
Q3 0:17
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Pailate Makakona run for 1 yd to the UthSt 26Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+6
100.0%
Levi Williams pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 6 yds to the UthSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
100.0%
Pailate Makakona run for 7 yds to the UthSt 39Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+9
100.0%
Levi Williams pass complete to NyNy Davis for 9 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
100.0%
Pailate Makakona run for 7 yds to the Alab 45Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+2
100.0%
Levi Williams run for 2 yds to the Alab 43Similar
Q4 11:51
3RD & 1
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Levi Williams pass incomplete to NyNy DavisSimilar
Q4 11:30
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+9
100.0%
Levi Williams run for 9 yds to the Alab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
100.0%
Pailate Makakona run for no gain to the Alab 34Similar
Q4 10:42
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+5
100.0%
ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Alab 29Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 5
OPP 29
0
100.0%
Levi Williams pass incomplete to Xavier WilliamsSimilar
Q4 10:05
3RD & 5
OPP 29
-10
100.0%
Levi Williams run for a loss of 10 yards to the Alab 39 Levi Williams fumbled, recovered by UthSt NyNy DavisSimilar
Q4 9:25
4TH & 15
OPP 39
0
100.0%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Kool-Aid McKinstry at the Alab 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:18100% → 100%
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
100.0%
Jalen Milroe run for 3 yds to the Alab 16Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+18
100.0%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Kendrick Law for 18 yds to the Alab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
100.0%
Jamarion Miller run for 5 yds to the Alab 39Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+2
100.0%
Jamarion Miller run for 2 yds to the Alab 41Similar
Q4 6:51
3RD & 3
OWN 41
0
100.0%
Ty Simpson pass incomplete to Kendrick LawSimilar
Q4 6:44
4TH & 3
OWN 41
+10
100.0%
James Burnip punt blocked by Ike Larsen blocked by Ike LarsenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 25DOWNS
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:550% → 0%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
100.0%
Robert Briggs run for 3 yds to the Alab 28Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+6
100.0%
Robert Briggs run for 6 yds to the Alab 22Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 1
OPP 22
0
100.0%
Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Jalen RoyalsSimilar
Q4 5:08
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+2
100.0%
Robert Briggs run for 2 yds to the Alab 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
100.0%
Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Jalen RoyalsSimilar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
100.0%
Robert Briggs run for no gain to the Alab 20Similar
Q4 3:59
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+4
100.0%
Robert Briggs run for 4 yds to the Alab 16Similar
Q4 3:25
4TH & 6
OPP 16
0
100.0%
Cooper Legas pass incomplete to NyNy DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 26END OF GAME
6 plays · 30 yds · 3:04100% → 100%
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+23
100.0%
Jamarion Miller run for 23 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-8
100.0%
Jamarion Miller run for 2 yds to the Alab 41 ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Alab 31Similar
Q4 1:36
1ST & 18
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 10 yds to the Alab 41 ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the Alab 31Similar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 18
OWN 31
+19
100.0%
Jamarion Miller run for 4 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down UTAH ST Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
50
-2
100.0%
Jamarion Miller run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 48Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 12
OWN 48
-2
100.0%
Jamarion Miller run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 3:06
Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 9 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)
+0.3
TD · Q2 12:19
Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 2 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)
+0.3
TD · Q1 5:55
Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 5 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com