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MICH

Michigan 42 at Iowa 3

IOWA
2021 · Week 14 · Dec 4, 2021 · Lucas Oil Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadMICH aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreMICH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:22 · Gavin Williams run for 4 yds to the Mich 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:38: Blake Corum 67 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick) — MICH win probability +2.3 pts (now 78%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:27: Roman Wilson 75 Yd pass from Donovan Edwards (Jake Moody Kick) — MICH win probability +2.5 pts (now 80%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:23: Hassan Haskins 4 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick) — MICH win probability +9.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 1:04: Blake Corum run for a loss of 6 yards to the Mich 9 — MICH win probability +4.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:16: Hassan Haskins 1 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick) — MICH win probability +2.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 9 of 10MICH made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 13:17MICH 4th & 2 at MICH 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:35IOWA 4th & 8 at MICH 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    25.4%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:37IOWA 4th & 6 at IOWA 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.3%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:31IOWA 4th & 13 at IOWA 47, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%−0.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:53MICH 4th & 5 at MICH 13, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.1%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:08IOWA 4th & 8 at MICH 44, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    22.5%−0.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    23.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:30MICH 4th & 8 at MICH 5, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:00IOWA 4th & 4 at MICH 49, down 11
    Close callPunted · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:21MICH 4th & 16 at MICH 40, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:51IOWA 4th & 13 at IOWA 17, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.9%−1.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:00MICH 4th & 7 at MICH 48, up 11
    Close callWent for it · 79.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.0%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    79.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:27IOWA 4th & 5 at IOWA 41, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:10IOWA 4th & 3 at MICH 8, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    8.6%−1.0
    90% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−8.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:02MICH 4th & 12 at MICH 13, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−1.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:49IOWA 4th & 8 at IOWA 36, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:19IOWA 4th & 5 at IOWA 30, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MICH made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 6:38MICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:27MICH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:23MICH Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:16MICH Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:24MICH Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:25MICH Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MICHDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3779% → 79%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
20.6%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Roman Wilson for 7 yds to the Mich 32Similar
Q1 14:31
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
20.8%
Hassan Haskins run for no gain to the Mich 32Similar
Q1 13:52
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
21.1%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Mike Sainristil for 1 yd to the Mich 33Similar
Q1 13:17
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
21.5%
Brad Robbins punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Charlie Jones at the Iowa 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 2MISSED FG
11 plays · 59 yds · 4:3722% → 24%
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
21.5%
Tyler Goodson run for no gain to the Iowa 26Similar
Q1 12:36
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+15
21.8%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 15 yds to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
22.0%
Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+2
22.4%
Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+15
22.7%
Petras, Spencer pass incomplete to Johnson, Keagan, PENALTY MICHIGAN pass interference (Hill, Daxton) 15 yards to the MICHIGAN40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWA.Similar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
22.9%
Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Mich 38Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+21
23.3%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 21 yds to the Mich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
23.7%
Gavin Williams pass incomplete to Monte PottebaumSimilar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+5
23.8%
Tyler Goodson run for 5 yds to the Mich 12Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 5
OPP 12
-3
24.1%
Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 15Similar
Q1 8:35
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+33
24.0%
Caleb Shudak 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 3TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:5076% → 78%
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
23.8%
Hassan Haskins run for 6 yds to the Mich 26Similar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-5
23.9%
MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Luke Schoonmaker) to the Mich 21Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+6
24.1%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Blake Corum for 6 yds to the Mich 27Similar
Q1 7:05
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+6
24.4%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 6 yds to the Mich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+67
22.1%
Blake Corum 67 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5623% → 22%
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
22.5%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Charlie JonesSimilar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
22.5%
Tyler Goodson run for 4 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q1 5:46
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
22.5%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Keagan JohnsonSimilar
Q1 5:37
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+6
22.3%
Tory Taylor punt for 52 yds , A.J. Henning returns for 6 yds to the Mich 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 5TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
19.8%
Roman Wilson 75 Yd pass from Donovan Edwards (Jake Moody Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 6FG
11 plays · 71 yds · 3:5321% → 22%
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
20.5%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Luke Lachey for 22 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
21.1%
Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:22
2ND & 7
50
0
21.2%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Keagan JohnsonSimilar
Q1 4:17
3RD & 7
50
+10
21.1%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 10 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
20.6%
Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the Mich 37Similar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+28
20.5%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Charlie Jones for 28 yds to the Mich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
20.7%
Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Mich 7Similar
Q1 2:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
20.9%
Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the Mich 4Similar
Q1 1:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
20.7%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Keagan JohnsonSimilar
Q1 1:26
4TH & 0
OPP 4
+22
22.2%
Caleb Shudak 22 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 7INT
4 plays · 32 yds · 1:0278% → 79%
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
22.0%
A.J. Henning run for 29 yds to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
21.5%
J.J. McCarthy run for 3 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
Q1 0:17
2ND & 7
OPP 43
-1
21.3%
Cade McNamara pass intercepted Jack Campbell return for 1 yd to the Iowa 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:4122% → 21%
Q1 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
22.0%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPortaSimilar
Q1 0:05
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+2
21.9%
Arland Bruce IV run for 2 yds to the Iowa 35Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+15
21.7%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPorta for a 1ST down MICHIGAN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Taylor Upshaw) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
50
+2
22.8%
Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Mich 48Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 8
OPP 48
-15
22.9%
Petras, Spencer pass complete to LaPorta, Sam for 1 yard to the MICHIGAN47, PENALTY IOWA personal foul (Richman, Mason) 15 yards to the IOWA37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:51
2ND & 23
OWN 37
+3
21.7%
Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the Iowa 40Similar
Q2 13:10
3RD & 20
OWN 40
+7
21.5%
Gavin Williams run for 7 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q2 12:31
4TH & 13
OWN 47
0
21.3%
Tory Taylor punt for 45 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the Mich 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3178% → 78%
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
21.6%
Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds to the Mich 12Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+1
21.5%
Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Mich 13Similar
Q2 11:03
3RD & 5
OWN 13
0
21.8%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Mike Sainristil, broken up by Kaevon MerriweatherSimilar
Q2 10:53
4TH & 5
OWN 13
-6
22.1%
Brad Robbins punt for 40 yds , Charlie Jones returns for a loss of 6 yards to the Iowa 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:3823% → 22%
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
22.5%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Charlie Jones for 13 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
23.1%
Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 48Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+4
22.6%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 4 yds to the Mich 44Similar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 8
OPP 44
0
22.6%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Keagan Johnson, broken up by Junior ColsonSimilar
Q2 9:08
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
21.7%
Tory Taylor punt for 41 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the Mich 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 11FUMBLE
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2878% → 78%
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
21.9%
Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Mich 5Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 8
OWN 5
0
22.0%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Blake Corum for no gain to the Mich 5Similar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 8
OWN 5
0
21.9%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Donovan EdwardsSimilar
Q2 7:30
4TH & 8
OWN 5
0
21.9%
Brad Robbins punt for 50 yds , Charlie Jones returns for no gain to the Iowa 45 Charlie Jones fumbled, recovered by IowaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:2321% → 21%
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
21.3%
Tyler Goodson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 48Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
21.5%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPortaSimilar
Q2 6:37
3RD & 7
OWN 48
-10
21.0%
Petras, Spencer rush for 10 yards to the MICHIGAN42, PENALTY IOWA holding (Colby, Connor) 10 yards to the IOWA38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:44
3RD & 17
OWN 38
+13
20.1%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 13 yds to the Mich 49Similar
Q2 5:00
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
20.7%
Tory Taylor punt for 40 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the Mich 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 3:3379% → 80%
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+11
21.2%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 11 yds to the Mich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
20.9%
Donovan Edwards run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 18Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 12
OWN 18
0
20.8%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Cornelius JohnsonSimilar
Q2 3:49
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+15
21.2%
Cade McNamara run for 15 yds to the Mich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
20.2%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Hassan Haskins for 13 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
19.3%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Donovan EdwardsSimilar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+3
19.4%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 3 yds to the Mich 49Similar
Q2 2:06
3RD & 7
OWN 49
-9
19.5%
Cade McNamara sacked by Seth Benson for a loss of 9 yards to the Mich 40Similar
Q2 1:21
4TH & 16
OWN 40
0
19.7%
Brad Robbins punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:2620% → 18%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
19.7%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Charlie Jones, broken up by Vincent GraySimilar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-10
19.6%
Spencer Petras sacked by Aidan Hutchinson for a loss of 10 yards to the Iowa 10Similar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 20
OWN 10
+7
18.9%
Tyler Goodson run for 7 yds to the Iowa 17Similar
Q2 0:51
4TH & 13
OWN 17
0
18.4%
Tory Taylor punt for 50 yds, downed at the Mich 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 15INT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:4781% → 81%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
19.1%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 6 yds to the Mich 39Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+6
18.5%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Hassan Haskins for 6 yds to the Mich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
18.2%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Hassan Haskins for 3 yds to the Mich 48Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
17.9%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Cornelius JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:06
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
18.0%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to A.J. HenningSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
18.8%
J.J. McCarthy pass intercepted Jermari Harris return for no gain to the Mich 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 1:2720% → 20%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
20.3%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Keagan JohnsonSimilar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
20.2%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Keagan JohnsonSimilar
Q3 14:42
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+11
19.5%
Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 11 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
20.9%
Tyler Goodson run for 5 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q3 13:43
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
21.7%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Luke LacheySimilar
Q3 13:38
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
20.8%
Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Nico RagainiSimilar
Q3 13:27
4TH & 5
OWN 41
+11
20.1%
Tory Taylor punt for 52 yds , A.J. Henning returns for 11 yds to the Mich 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 17TD
10 plays · 82 yds · 4:5780% → 92%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
20.5%
Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Mich 20Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+15
20.5%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 15 yds to the Mich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
20.0%
Hassan Haskins run for 8 yds to the Mich 43Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+12
18.9%
Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Iowa 45 for a 1ST down IOWA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Logan Lee) to the Iowa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
18.9%
Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+6
18.4%
Blake Corum run for 6 yds to the Iowa 37Similar
Q3 10:06
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+5
18.4%
Hassan Haskins run for 5 yds to the Iowa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
17.3%
Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Iowa 31Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+27
17.5%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 27 yds to the Iowa 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 0
OPP 4
+4
7.9%
Hassan Haskins 4 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 18DOWNS
15 plays · 60 yds · 7:0611% → 9%
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
10.6%
Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 27Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
10.4%
Alex Padilla pass incomplete to Sam LaPortaSimilar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+17
10.2%
Alex Padilla pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 17 yds to the Iowa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
11.2%
Tyler Goodson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+6
11.1%
Charlie Jones run for 6 yds to the Mich 47Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+10
11.4%
Tyler Goodson run for 10 yds to the Mich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
11.3%
Gavin Williams run for 4 yds to the Mich 33Similar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
11.6%
Alex Padilla pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for no gain to the Mich 33Similar
Q3 4:14
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+8
10.8%
Alex Padilla pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 8 yds to the Mich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
11.2%
Alex Padilla pass complete to Arland Bruce IV for 10 yds to the Mich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
11.1%
Tyler Goodson run for 5 yds to the Mich 10Similar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+1
10.7%
Tyler Goodson run for 1 yd to the Mich 9Similar
Q3 1:46
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+1
9.4%
Alex Padilla pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 1 yd to the Mich 8Similar
Q3 1:10
4TH & 3
OPP 8
-7
9.2%
Alex Padilla pass complete to Tyler Goodson for a loss of 7 yards to the Mich 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 2:0295% → 95%
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-6
4.8%
Blake Corum run for a loss of 6 yards to the Mich 9Similar
Q3 0:26
2ND & 16
OWN 9
+1
4.3%
Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Mich 10Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 15
OWN 10
+3
4.8%
Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Mich 13Similar
Q4 14:02
4TH & 12
OWN 13
0
4.7%
Brad Robbins punt for 64 yds, downed at the Iowa 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:036% → 5%
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
6.0%
Gavin Williams run for 11 yds to the Iowa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
5.7%
Gavin Williams run for 2 yds to the Iowa 36Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
5.7%
Alex Padilla pass incomplete to Gavin WilliamsSimilar
Q4 12:56
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
5.5%
Alex Padilla pass incomplete to Tyler GoodsonSimilar
Q4 12:49
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
5.2%
Tory Taylor punt blocked by Cornelius JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 21TD
4 plays · 36 yds · 1:2596% → 100%
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
3.8%
J.J. McCarthy run for 8 yds to the Iowa 28Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+5
3.7%
J.J. McCarthy run for 5 yds to the Iowa 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+22
3.4%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 22 yds to the Iowa 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:16
1ST & 0
OPP 1
+1
0.5%
Hassan Haskins 1 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:521% → 1%
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.6%
Alex Padilla pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 4 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
0.6%
Alex Padilla pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 1 yd to the Iowa 30Similar
Q4 10:26
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
0.5%
IOWA Penalty, False Start (Mason Richman) to the Iowa 25Similar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.5%
Alex Padilla pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 5 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q4 9:19
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
0.5%
Tory Taylor punt for 51 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the Mich 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 23TD
8 plays · 81 yds · 3:48100% → 100%
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
0.5%
Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Mich 20Similar
Q4 8:38
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+38
0.5%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Erick All for 38 yds to the Iowa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
0.4%
Hassan Haskins run for 11 yds to the Iowa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
0.4%
Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds to the Iowa 27Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+17
0.3%
Cornelius Johnson run for 17 yds to the Iowa 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
0.3%
Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the Iowa 5Similar
Q4 5:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
0.3%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Daylen BaldwinSimilar
Q4 5:24
3RD & 0
OPP 5
+5
0.2%
Erick All 5 Yd pass from Cade McNamara (Jake Moody Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 24INT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:570% → 0%
Q4 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
0.1%
Gavin Williams run for 7 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-1
0.1%
Alex Padilla pass complete to Gavin Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 31Similar
Q4 4:21
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-1
0.1%
Alex Padilla pass intercepted Caden Kolesar return for 1 yd to the Iowa 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 25TD
7 plays · 36 yds · 2:47100% → 100%
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
0.2%
Leon Franklin run for 5 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+7
0.2%
J.J. McCarthy run for 7 yds to the Iowa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
0.1%
J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Carter SelzerSimilar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+6
0.2%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Carter Selzer for 6 yds to the Iowa 18Similar
Q4 2:09
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+15
0.1%
McCarthy, J.J. pass incomplete to Selzer, Carter, PENALTY IOWA pass interference (Koerner, Jack) 15 yards to the IOWA3, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.Similar
Q4 2:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
0.1%
Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the Iowa 1Similar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 0
OPP 1
+1
0.1%
Donovan Edwards 1 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 26END OF 4TH QUARTER
5 plays · 28 yds · 0:550% → 0%
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
0.1%
Gavin Williams run for 8 yds to the Iowa 33 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN Penalty, Personal Foul (Joey George) to the Iowa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
0.1%
Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the Iowa 49Similar
Q4 0:28
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
0.1%
Alex Padilla pass incomplete to Arland Bruce IVSimilar
Q4 0:22
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+4
0.1%
Gavin Williams run for 4 yds to the Mich 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:23
Hassan Haskins 4 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)
-9.7
KEY PLAY · Q3 1:04
Blake Corum run for a loss of 6 yards to the Mich 9
-4.3
TD · Q4 11:16
Hassan Haskins 1 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)
-2.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com