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UGA

Georgia 33 at Alabama 18

ALA
2021 · CFP National Championship · Jan 10, 2022 · Lucas Oil Stadium
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Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreUGA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGFGFGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:46 · Jake Camarda punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Slade Bolden at the Alab 7
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 99Pregame prior−6.4Home team on offense+1.2Score differential+0.6Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 1:20: Zamir White 1 Yd Run (Jack Podlesny Kick) — UGA win probability +23.7 pts (now 71%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 10:14: Cameron Latu 3 Yd pass from Bryce Young (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — ALA win probability +22.5 pts (now 76%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:09: Adonai Mitchell 40 Yd pass from Stetson Bennett (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — UGA win probability +19.2 pts (now 61%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:33: Brock Bowers 15 Yd pass from Stetson Bennett (Jack Podlesny Kick) — UGA win probability +25.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:54: Kelee Ringo 79 Yd Interception Return (Jack Podlesny Kick) — UGA win probability +7.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 5 of 9UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 9:55ALA 4th & 5 at UGA 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.4%
    77% to make
    Punt
    44.6%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:19UGA 4th & 10 at UGA 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:46ALA 4th & 4 at ALA 40, up 3
    Close callPunted · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.7%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:12UGA 4th & 9 at UGA 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.1%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:26ALA 4th & 6 at ALA 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:35UGA 4th & 5 at ALA 5, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.6%
    92% to make
    Punt
    46.8%−3.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:12ALA 4th & 3 at UGA 28, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.0%−0.4
    60% to make
    Punt
    46.8%−2.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:36UGA 4th & 8 at UGA 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:09UGA 4th & 6 at ALA 31, down 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.5%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    40.7%−2.0
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:33ALA 4th & 8 at UGA 41, up 3
    Close callPunted · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    53.3%−0.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.2%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:46UGA 4th & 8 at ALA 43, down 3
    Close callPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    43.4%−1.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:03UGA 4th & 7 at ALA 40, down 3
    Close callPunted · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    43.6%−1.4
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.1%−0.9
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:18ALA 4th & 11 at UGA 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%−1.9
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.8%
    56% to make
    Punt
    57.1%−2.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:59ALA 4th & 3 at UGA 3, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.8%−2.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    25.9%−16.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:10ALA 4th & 12 at ALA 23, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−4.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:00ALA 4th & 11 at UGA 47, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 0 of 1UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q3 1:20UGA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 10:14ALA Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    71.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    70.8%−0.4
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 8:09UGA Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    54.6%−1.5
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    56.2%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:33UGA Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.6%−3.4
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:54UGA Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ALADrive 1FG
15 plays · 56 yds · 4:5837% → 39%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
36.5%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 4 yds to the Alab 29Similar
Q1 14:34
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
36.6%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 4 yds to the Alab 33Similar
Q1 14:03
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+11
36.8%
Bryce Young pass complete to Slade Bolden for 11 yds to the Alab 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
37.2%
Bryce Young pass incomplete, broken up by Jordan DavisSimilar
Q1 13:18
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+11
37.2%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 11 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
37.5%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Cameron LatuSimilar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+9
37.5%
Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 9 yds to the Geo 36Similar
Q1 12:12
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+2
37.9%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Geo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
38.3%
Bryce Young pass complete to Slade Bolden for 9 yds to the Geo 25Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+1
38.5%
Trey Sanders run for 1 yd to the Geo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
38.9%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jahleel Billingsley, broken up by William PooleSimilar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+5
38.9%
Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 5 yds to the Geo 19Similar
Q1 9:58
3RD & 5
OPP 19
0
38.9%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jahleel BillingsleySimilar
Q1 9:55
4TH & 5
OPP 19
+37
39.2%
Will Reichard 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 1:3161% → 60%
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-14
39.0%
Stetson Bennett sacked by Christian Harris for a loss of 14 yards to the Geo 11Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 24
OWN 11
+5
39.2%
ALABAMA Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the Geo 16Similar
Q1 9:38
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+14
39.2%
Stetson Bennett run for 14 yds to the Geo 30 Stetson Bennett fumbled, recovered by Geo Stetson BennettSimilar
Q1 8:54
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
39.6%
GEORGIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Geo 25Similar
Q1 8:26
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
40.1%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Ladd McConkey, broken up by Khyree JacksonSimilar
Q1 8:19
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
40.4%
Jake Camarda punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Slade Bolden at the Alab 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:2440% → 40%
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
39.7%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 19Similar
Q1 7:49
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+15
39.7%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 15 yds to the Alab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
40.0%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Alab 35Similar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+6
40.2%
Bryce Young pass complete to Slade Bolden for 6 yds to the Alab 41Similar
Q1 6:28
3RD & 3
OWN 41
-1
40.7%
Bryce Young pass complete to Slade Bolden for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 40Similar
Q1 5:46
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
40.4%
James Burnip punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2759% → 57%
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
41.2%
James Cook run for 1 yd to the Geo 26Similar
Q1 5:02
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
41.5%
Kenny McIntosh run for no gain to the Geo 26Similar
Q1 4:18
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
42.2%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Jermaine BurtonSimilar
Q1 4:12
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+29
42.7%
Jake Camarda punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Slade Bolden at the ALABAMA 30 GEORGIA Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Ameer Speed) to the Alab 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4143% → 42%
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
42.5%
Bryce Young pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+4
42.2%
Trey Sanders run for 4 yds to the Alab 49Similar
Q1 3:33
3RD & 6
OWN 49
0
42.4%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jahleel BillingsleySimilar
Q1 3:26
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
41.7%
James Burnip punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6FG
13 plays · 87 yds · 5:4557% → 59%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
42.6%
White, Zamir rush for 4 yards to the GEORGIA12, PENALTY GEORGIA personal foul (Shaffer, Justin) 4 yards to the GEORGIA4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 14
OWN 4
+6
42.8%
Zamir White run for 6 yds to the Geo 10Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+9
42.7%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Darnell Washington for 9 yds to the Geo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+52
42.8%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to George Pickens for 52 yds to the Alab 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+10
41.0%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 10 yds to the Alab 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
41.2%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Jamaree Salyer) to the Alab 24Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 15
OPP 24
+1
41.7%
Zamir White run for 1 yd to the Alab 23Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 14
OPP 23
+5
42.0%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 5 yds to the Alab 18Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+10
42.4%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 10 yds to the Alab 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
41.6%
James Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 9Similar
Q2 13:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
41.9%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Brock BowersSimilar
Q2 13:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
42.8%
Stetson Bennett run for 4 yds to the Alab 5Similar
Q2 12:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+24
41.2%
Jack Podlesny 24 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 7FG
7 plays · 47 yds · 1:1643% → 46%
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+40
43.2%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 40 yds to the Geo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
45.7%
Bryce Young pass complete to Slade Bolden for 9 yds to the Geo 26Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 1
OPP 26
0
45.8%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Agiye HallSimilar
Q2 11:55
3RD & 1
OPP 26
-5
45.1%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Chris Owens) to the Geo 31Similar
Q2 11:46
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+3
45.2%
Bryce Young pass complete to Slade Bolden for 3 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q2 11:12
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+45
45.5%
Will Reichard 45 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:2955% → 52%
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
45.5%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Geo 15Similar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 15
OWN 15
0
45.7%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to George PickensSimilar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+3
45.9%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 3 yds to the Geo 18Similar
Q2 10:16
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+4
47.0%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to James Cook for 4 yds to the Geo 22Similar
Q2 9:36
4TH & 8
OWN 22
-2
47.7%
Jake Camarda punt for 50 yds , Slade Bolden returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 26 Slade Bolden fumbled, recovered by Alab Slade BoldenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 9FG
6 plays · 55 yds · 2:2246% → 54%
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
46.0%
Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 5 yds to the Alab 31Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+61
46.6%
Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 61 yds to the Geo 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
49.2%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Geo 6Similar
Q2 7:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
50.4%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Cameron Latu, broken up by Nakobe DeanSimilar
Q2 7:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-13
49.6%
Bryce Young sacked by Channing Tindall for a loss of 13 yards to the Geo 19Similar
Q2 7:07
4TH & 0
OPP 19
+37
53.9%
Will Reichard 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10FG
10 plays · 34 yds · 3:5049% → 51%
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
50.8%
James Cook run for 4 yds to the Geo 39Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+10
49.8%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for 10 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
49.7%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Adonai MitchellSimilar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
50.5%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 6 yds to the Alab 45Similar
Q2 5:11
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+10
50.2%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Adonai Mitchell for 10 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-4
49.0%
Stetson Bennett sacked by Dallas Turner for a loss of 4 yards to the Alab 39Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 14
OPP 39
0
52.1%
Stetson Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:46
3RD & 14
OPP 39
+8
53.4%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kearis Jackson for 8 yds to the Alab 31Similar
Q2 3:09
4TH & 6
OPP 31
+49
48.7%
Jack Podlesny 49 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 1:3150% → 51%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
50.1%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 3 yds to the Alab 28Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
50.0%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Traeshon HoldenSimilar
Q2 2:39
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
48.7%
GEORGIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jalen Carter) to the Alab 33Similar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+24
50.1%
Bryce Young pass complete to Agiye Hall for 24 yds to the Geo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
53.2%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Geo 41Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 8
OPP 41
0
53.3%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Agiye HallSimilar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 8
OPP 41
0
53.7%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Slade BoldenSimilar
Q2 1:33
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
51.4%
James Burnip punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 15 yds · 1:1249% → 48%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
51.4%
Zamir White run for 4 yds to the Geo 14Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+1
51.8%
Zamir White run for 1 yd to the Geo 15Similar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+10
52.5%
Zamir White run for 10 yds to the Geo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 2:0849% → 48%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
51.3%
Zamir White run for 11 yds to the Geo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
50.6%
Zamir White run for 19 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-9
48.5%
Stetson Bennett sacked by Christian Harris for a loss of 9 yards to the ALABAMA 46 GEORGIA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Stetson Bennett) to the Geo 46Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 19
OWN 46
+11
51.3%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to James Cook for 11 yds to the Alab 43Similar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
49.3%
Stetson Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:46
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
52.2%
Jake Camarda punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Slade Bolden at the Alab 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 14INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:3553% → 53%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
53.2%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 3 yds to the Alab 10Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 7
OWN 10
0
53.2%
Bryce Young pass intercepted Christopher Smith return for no gain to the Alab 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5851% → 48%
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
49.1%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Brock Bowers, broken up by Will Anderson Jr.Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
49.2%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for 3 yds to the Alab 40Similar
Q3 11:12
3RD & 7
OPP 40
0
50.0%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Adonai MitchellSimilar
Q3 11:03
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
52.1%
Jake Camarda punt for 38 yds, downed at the Alab 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 16MISSED FG
17 plays · 68 yds · 7:3754% → 58%
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
53.8%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Alab 3Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+16
53.9%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 16 yds to the Alab 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
55.4%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 8 yds to the Alab 27Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+3
57.1%
Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 3 yds to the Alab 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
56.3%
Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 2 yds to the Alab 32Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+5
56.7%
Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 5 yds to the Alab 37Similar
Q3 7:26
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+3
57.6%
Bryce Young pass complete to Trey Sanders for 3 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
59.4%
Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 2 yds to the Alab 42Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+6
59.6%
Bryce Young pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for 6 yds to the Alab 48Similar
Q3 6:01
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+12
59.8%
Bryce Young pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for 12 yds to the Geo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
61.8%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+3
63.1%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 3 yds to the Geo 31Similar
Q3 4:32
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+2
61.5%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Geo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
63.3%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 30Similar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 11
OPP 30
0
63.5%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Ja'Corey BrooksSimilar
Q3 3:23
3RD & 11
OPP 30
0
61.3%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Agiye HallSimilar
Q3 3:18
4TH & 11
OPP 30
+48
57.5%
Will Reichard 48 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Jalen CarterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:4741% → 71%
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+67
59.1%
James Cook run for 67 yds to the Alab 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
52.4%
Stetson Bennett run for 4 yds to the Alab 9Similar
Q3 1:44
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+8
52.5%
Kenny McIntosh run for 6 yds to the Alab 3 for a 1ST down ALABAMA Penalty, Face Mask (2 yards) (Phidarian Mathis) to the Alab 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
28.8%
Zamir White 1 Yd Run (Jack Podlesny Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 18FG
11 plays · 72 yds · 3:1437% → 48%
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
37.2%
Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 6 yds to the Alab 31Similar
Q3 0:39
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
39.3%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Alab 32Similar
Q3 0:03
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+10
36.7%
Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 10 yds to the Alab 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
40.3%
Bryce Young pass complete to Slade Bolden for 7 yds to the Alab 49Similar
Q4 14:36
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+18
41.6%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 3 yds to the ALABAMA 48 for a 1ST down GEORGIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Robert Beal Jr.) to the Geo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+28
44.2%
Bryce Young pass complete to Agiye Hall for 28 yds to the Geo 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
44.2%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Agiye Hall, broken up by Kelee RingoSimilar
Q4 13:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
44.2%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Geo 3Similar
Q4 13:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
41.9%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Traeshon HoldenSimilar
Q4 12:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
47.7%
Will Reichard 21 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19FUMBLE
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:1856% → 55%
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
43.8%
Zamir White run for 5 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-3
42.6%
Ladd McConkey run for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 27Similar
Q4 11:35
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-11
45.5%
Stetson Bennett sacked by Christian Harris for a loss of 11 yards to the Geo 16 Stetson Bennett fumbled, forced by Christian Harris, recovered by Alab Brian Branch , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 20TD
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:1553% → 76%
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
53.2%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 4 yds to the Geo 12Similar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+6
53.4%
Young, Bryce pass incomplete to Holden, Traeshon, PENALTY GEORGIA roughing passer (Wyatt, Devonte) 6 yards to the GEORGIA6, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.Similar
Q4 10:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
53.5%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 3 yds to the Geo 3Similar
Q4 10:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
53.7%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Cameron Latu, broken up by Lewis CineSimilar
Q4 10:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
76.2%
Cameron Latu 3 Yd pass from Bryce Young (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:5834% → 61%
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
65.6%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 18 yds to the Geo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
62.0%
Bennett, Stetson pass incomplete to Burton, Jermaine, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Jackson, Khyree) 15 yards to the ALABAMA42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.Similar
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
59.3%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for 10 yds to the Alab 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-8
57.8%
Stetson Bennett sacked by Dallas Turner for a loss of 8 yards to the Alab 40Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 18
OPP 40
+40
38.6%
Adonai Mitchell 40 Yd pass from Stetson Bennett (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:5247% → 41%
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
46.6%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 23Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
45.6%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Agiye HallSimilar
Q4 7:17
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
43.0%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Slade Bolden, broken up by William PooleSimilar
Q4 7:10
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
41.4%
James Burnip punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 23TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 3:3163% → 92%
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
37.5%
James Cook run for 4 yds to the Geo 42Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+7
35.5%
Zamir White run for 7 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
34.9%
Zamir White run for 5 yds to the Alab 46Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+7
34.1%
Zamir White run for 7 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
34.1%
Bennett, Stetson pass incomplete to Pickens, George, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (McKinstry, Kool-Aid) 15 yards to the ALABAMA24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.Similar
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
32.0%
Zamir White run for 7 yds to the Alab 17Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+2
32.7%
James Cook run for 2 yds to the Alab 15Similar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+15
7.7%
Brock Bowers 15 Yd pass from Stetson Bennett (Jack Podlesny Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 24INT TD
9 plays · 31 yds · 2:3312% → 3%
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
12.0%
Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 5 yds to the Alab 30Similar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
12.7%
Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 1 yd to the Alab 31Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+12
8.9%
Bryce Young pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for 12 yds to the Alab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
9.8%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Alab 44Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+12
9.5%
Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 12 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
10.4%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Ja'Corey Brooks, broken up by Christopher SmithSimilar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
9.9%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Ja'Corey BrooksSimilar
Q4 0:54
3RD & 10
OPP 44
-79
2.8%
Kelee Ringo 79 Yd Interception Return (Jack Podlesny Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 25DOWNS
11 plays · 16 yds · 0:493% → 1%
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
2.7%
Bryce Young pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 23Similar
Q4 0:43
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+20
2.4%
Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 20 yds to the Alab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
2.6%
Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 11 yds to the Geo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-12
2.7%
Bryce Young sacked by Travon Walker for a loss of 12 yards to the ALABAMA 42 ALABAMA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Bryce Young) to the Alab 42Similar
Q4 0:29
2ND & 22
OWN 42
-6
2.2%
Bryce Young sacked by Robert Beal Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the Alab 36Similar
Q4 0:18
3RD & 28
OWN 36
+17
0.9%
Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 17 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 11
OPP 47
-12
0.9%
Bryce Young sacked by Nolan Smith for a loss of 12 yards to the Alab 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:33
Brock Bowers 15 Yd pass from Stetson Bennett (Jack Podlesny Kick)
-25
TD · Q3 1:20
Zamir White 1 Yd Run (Jack Podlesny Kick)
-23.7
TD · Q4 10:14
Cameron Latu 3 Yd pass from Bryce Young (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
+22.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com