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LSU

LSU 20 at Kansas State 42

KSU
2021 · TaxAct Texas Bowl · Jan 4, 2022 · NRG Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadLSU aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreLSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:37 · Jontre Kirklin run for 15 yds to the KanSt 18 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 62Home team on offense+16.3Score differential+12.1Pregame prior+10.8Garbage-time factor+3.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.4Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:13: Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 25 yds for a TD (Ty Zentner KICK) — KSU win probability +1.7 pts (now 73%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:39: Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd for a TD (Ty Zentner KICK) — KSU win probability +5.1 pts (now 80%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:01: Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 5 yds for a TD (Ty Zentner KICK) — KSU win probability +9.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:20: Jontre Kirklin pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 23 yds for a TD (Preston Stafford KICK) — LSU win probability +8.8 pts (now 18%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:46: Deuce Vaughn run for 18 yds for a TD (Ty Zentner KICK) — KSU win probability +7.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4LSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 9:50KSU 4th & 3 at LSU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    73.7%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    73.6%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:55LSU 4th & 12 at LSU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:36KSU 4th & 2 at LSU 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    75.2%−0.5
    60% to make
    Punt
    73.4%−2.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:37LSU 4th & 2 at KSU 33, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    7.7%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    6.6%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q3 12:39LSU 4th & 3 at LSU 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%
    average punt
  6. Q3 5:14LSU 4th & 1 at KSU 44, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    2.4%−1.6
    27% to make
    Punt
    2.9%−1.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 2:09KSU 4th & 30 at LSU 40, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    97.2%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
  8. Q4 13:26LSU 4th & 6 at LSU 29, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 3:35LSU 4th & 12 at KSU 15, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 0:48KSU 4th & 5 at KSU 42, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6LSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:13KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:39KSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:01KSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:20LSU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:46KSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:56KSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:15KSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:35LSU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KSUDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:2771% → 73%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
70.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
70.8%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 6 yds to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
70.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 31Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+5
70.6%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Landry Weber for 5 yds to the KanSt 36Similar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+24
70.5%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Landry Weber for 24 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
70.8%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-5
70.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 5 yards to the LSU 45Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 15
OPP 45
+12
70.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Sammy Wheeler for 12 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q1 9:50
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+8
70.4%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 8 yds to the LSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
70.8%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+25
72.5%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 25 yds for a TD (Ty Zentner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 3:0528% → 27%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
71.7%
Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the LSU 31Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+2
71.8%
Jontre Kirklin pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 2 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q1 7:32
3RD & 4
OWN 33
-5
72.0%
LSU Penalty, False Start (Ed Ingram) to the LSU 28Similar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 9
OWN 28
-14
72.4%
Kirklin, Jontre rush for 5 yards to the LSU33, PENALTY LSU personal foul (Ingram, Ed) 14 yards to the LSU14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 23
OWN 14
+11
72.5%
Josh Williams run for 11 yds to the LSU 25Similar
Q1 5:55
4TH & 12
OWN 25
0
72.8%
Avery Atkins punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 3TD
20 plays · 71 yds · 9:1073% → 80%
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
72.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for 10 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
73.0%
Skylar Thompson sacked by BJ Ojulari for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 34Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 15
OWN 34
+2
72.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the KanSt 36Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 13
OWN 36
+15
72.5%
Thompson, Skylar pass incomplete to Warner, Kade, PENALTY LSU pass interference (Cage, Pig) 15 yards to the LSU49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KANSASST.Similar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
73.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 11
50
+2
73.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the LSU 48Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+12
73.1%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 12 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
73.7%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Phillip BrooksSimilar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
73.7%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Ben SinnottSimilar
Q1 1:25
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+8
73.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Kade Warner for 8 yds to the LSU 28Similar
Q1 0:36
4TH & 2
OPP 28
+3
73.0%
Skylar Thompson run for 3 yds to the LSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
74.2%
Jax Dineen run for 2 yds to the LSU 23Similar
Q2 14:34
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+7
74.2%
Deuce Vaughn run for 7 yds to the LSU 16Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+5
73.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the LSU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
74.4%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for a loss of 5 yards to the LSU 16Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 15
OPP 16
+6
74.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for 6 yds to the LSU 10Similar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 9
OPP 10
+9
74.0%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 9 yds to the LSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
74.6%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Kade WarnerSimilar
Q2 11:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
79.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd for a TD (Ty Zentner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 4INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1922% → 21%
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
77.9%
Corey Kiner run for no gain to the LSU 9Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 10
OWN 9
0
78.4%
Corey Kiner run for no gain to the LSU 9Similar
Q2 10:01
3RD & 10
OWN 9
0
78.7%
Jontre Kirklin pass intercepted Russ Yeast return for no gain to the LSU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 5TD
6 plays · 43 yds · 2:1981% → 90%
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
80.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the LSU 40Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+3
80.6%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the LSU 37Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+25
80.4%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Kade Warner for 25 yds to the LSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
80.3%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Nick LennersSimilar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+7
80.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for 7 yds to the LSU 5Similar
Q2 7:01
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+5
90.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 5 yds for a TD (Ty Zentner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 6TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 6:4112% → 18%
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
88.3%
LSU Penalty, False Start (Austin Deculus) to the LSU 20Similar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
88.6%
Josh Williams run for 5 yds to the LSU 25Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
89.1%
Jontre Kirklin run for 6 yds to the LSU 31Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
88.7%
Josh Williams run for 5 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
88.9%
Jontre Kirklin run for 1 yd to the LSU 37Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 9
OWN 37
-1
89.9%
Jontre Kirklin run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 36Similar
Q2 3:27
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+10
90.6%
Malik Nabers run for 10 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
90.2%
Jontre Kirklin run for 13 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
89.9%
Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+2
89.7%
Jontre Kirklin pass complete to Jack Mashburn for 2 yds to the KanSt 36Similar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+3
90.1%
Josh Williams run for 3 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+15
90.5%
Jontre Kirklin run for 15 yds to the KanSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
90.2%
Malik Nabers run for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 23Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 15
OPP 23
+23
82.3%
Jontre Kirklin pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 23 yds for a TD (Preston Stafford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 7DOWNS
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:1186% → 88%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
86.0%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 40Similar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+24
86.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Eric Hommel for 24 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+54
87.5%
Ty Zentner 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:0616% → 15%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
84.3%
Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the LSU 27Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
84.5%
Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the LSU 30Similar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+2
84.6%
Jontre Kirklin run for 2 yds to the LSU 32Similar
Q3 12:39
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+19
85.1%
Avery Atkins punt for 48 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for 19 yds to the KanSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 3:1487% → 96%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
86.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the KanSt 44Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+18
87.2%
Skylar Thompson run for 18 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
87.5%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Nick Lenners for 5 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+4
88.2%
Malik Knowles run for 4 yds to the LSU 29Similar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+4
87.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 4 yds to the LSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
88.5%
Skylar Thompson run for 7 yds to the LSU 18Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+18
95.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 18 yds for a TD (Ty Zentner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 10DOWNS
7 plays · 31 yds · 3:065% → 4%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
95.3%
Corey Kiner run for 6 yds to the LSU 31Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+16
95.2%
Jontre Kirklin run for 16 yds to the LSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
95.3%
Corey Kiner run for 5 yds to the KanSt 48Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 5
OPP 48
0
95.5%
Jontre Kirklin run for no gain to the KanSt 48Similar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+4
95.8%
Josh Williams run for 4 yds to the KanSt 44Similar
Q3 5:14
4TH & 1
OPP 44
0
95.9%
Josh Williams run for no gain to the KanSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 16 yds · 2:5697% → 97%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
96.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+34
95.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 34 yds to the LSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-13
96.0%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Pig Cage for a loss of 13 yards to the LSU 33 KANSAS ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Skylar Thompson) to the LSU 33Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 23
OPP 33
+9
96.0%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe for 9 yds to the LSU 24Similar
Q3 3:25
3RD & 14
OPP 24
-5
97.0%
KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (Christian Duffie) to the LSU 29Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 19
OPP 29
+9
97.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Kade Warner for 9 yds to the LSU 20Similar
Q3 2:28
4TH & 10
OPP 20
-15
97.1%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the LSU 35Similar
Q3 2:28
4TH & 25
OPP 35
-5
96.9%
KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LSU 40Similar
Q3 2:09
4TH & 30
OPP 40
0
97.3%
Ty Zentner punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 12INT
4 plays · 31 yds · 1:013% → 2%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+13
97.4%
Jontre Kirklin pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 13 yds to the LSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
97.4%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Russ Yeast) to the LSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
97.5%
Jontre Kirklin run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:59
2ND & 6
50
-32
97.6%
Jontre Kirklin pass intercepted Ross Elder return for 32 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13TD
3 plays · 55 yds · 0:4598% → 100%
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+26
98.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe for 26 yds to the LSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+27
98.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for 27 yds to the LSU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.7%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 2 yds for a TD (Ty Zentner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:540% → 0%
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the LSU 27Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
99.8%
Jontre Kirklin pass complete to Malik Nabers for 2 yds to the LSU 29Similar
Q4 13:45
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Jontre Kirklin pass incomplete to Malik NabersSimilar
Q4 13:26
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Avery Atkins punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 3:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
99.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the KanSt 35Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+48
99.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 48 yds to the LSU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
99.8%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Phillip BrooksSimilar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+4
99.8%
Jordan Schippers run for 4 yds to the LSU 13Similar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+12
99.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 12 yds to the LSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd for a TD (Ty Zentner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 16TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:270% → 0%
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Jontre Kirklin run for no gain to the LSU 25Similar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+28
99.9%
Malik Nabers run for 13 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST down KANSAS ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the KanSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
99.9%
Corey Kiner run for 11 yds to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
99.9%
Corey Kiner run for 9 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+4
99.9%
Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the KanSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
99.9%
Jontre Kirklin run for 5 yds to the KanSt 18Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+5
99.9%
Corey Kiner run for 5 yds to the KanSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
99.9%
Hilton Jr., Chris rush for 12 yards to the KANSASST1, PENALTY LSU illegal motion (Thomas Jr., Brian) 5 yards to the KANSASST18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 15
OPP 18
+4
99.9%
Josh Williams run for 4 yds to the KanSt 14Similar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 11
OPP 14
-1
99.9%
Corey Kiner run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 15Similar
Q4 3:41
3RD & 12
OPP 15
0
100.0%
Jontre Kirklin pass incomplete to Brian Thomas Jr.Similar
Q4 3:35
4TH & 12
OPP 15
+15
99.9%
Jontre Kirklin pass complete to Malik Nabers for 15 yds for a TD (Preston Stafford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 17 yds · 2:27100% → 100%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Jax Dineen run for 7 yds to the KanSt 32Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
99.9%
Jax Dineen run for 5 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
100.0%
Jordan Schippers run for no gain to the KanSt 37Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
100.0%
Jordan Schippers run for 1 yd to the KanSt 38Similar
Q4 1:04
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+4
100.0%
Jax Dineen run for 4 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q4 0:48
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Jack Blumer punt for 45 yds, downed at the LSU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 18END OF 4TH QUARTER
3 plays · 87 yds · 0:400% → 0%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
100.0%
Malik Nabers run for 5 yds to the LSU 18Similar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+1
100.0%
Brian Thomas Jr. run for 1 yd to the LSU 19Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 19
+81
99.8%
Jontre Kirklin pass complete to Chris Hilton Jr. for 81 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:01
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 5 yds for a TD (Ty Zentner KICK)
+9.7
TD · Q2 0:20
Jontre Kirklin pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 23 yds for a TD (Preston Stafford KICK)
-8.8
TD · Q3 8:46
Deuce Vaughn run for 18 yds for a TD (Ty Zentner KICK)
+7.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com