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UTAH

Utah 45 at Ohio State 48

OSU
2021 · Rose Bowl Game · Jan 1, 2022 · Rose Bowl
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Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:19 · Cameron Peasley punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Smith-Njigba at the OhSt 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+23.0+11.50−11.5−23.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 144Home team on offense−4.4Score differential−4.0Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.6Pregame prior−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:20: C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 8 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK) — OSU win probability +14.5 pts (now 42%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 10:12: C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 5 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK) — OSU win probability +26.1 pts (now 61%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 4:22: C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 30 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK) — OSU win probability +33.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:54: Bryson Barnes pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 15 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +40.8 pts (now 62%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:09: Noah Ruggles 19 yd FG GOOD — OSU win probability +26.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5UTAH made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 12:26UTAH 4th & 4 at OSU 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    58.2%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:06OSU 4th & 7 at OSU 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:15OSU 4th & 2 at OSU 28, down 7
    Close callPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.3%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:17OSU 4th & 1 at UTAH 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    34.1%−1.2
    66% to make
    Punt
    30.6%−4.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:24UTAH 4th & 1 at UTAH 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    63.0%−1.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:35UTAH 4th & 6 at OSU 45, up 14
    Close callPunted · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    75.9%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.8%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:12UTAH 4th & 5 at UTAH 25, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.4%−0.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    78.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:10UTAH 4th & 5 at OSU 6, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    61.1%−8.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:53OSU 4th & 10 at UTAH 14, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−1.7
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.5%
    84% to make
    Punt
    14.3%−9.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:53UTAH 4th & 3 at OSU 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    75.2%−1.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    73.9%−2.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:19UTAH 4th & 4 at UTAH 40, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 48.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.9%−1.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:35OSU 4th & 4 at UTAH 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    52.9%−5.8
    36% to make
    Punt
    52.5%−6.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UTAH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 9:29UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:28UTAH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:17OSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:07UTAH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:32OSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 8:02OSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 6:24UTAH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 11:20OSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:12OSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 4:22OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%−1.7
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 1:54UTAH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.5%−2.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 2:2052% → 51%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
48.4%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Cole Fotheringham for 11 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
48.4%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+10
48.5%
Tavion Thomas run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
50
+6
48.4%
Cameron Rising run for 6 yds to the OhSt 44Similar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 4
OPP 44
0
48.4%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:48
3RD & 4
OPP 44
0
48.5%
Tavion Thomas run for no gain to the OhSt 44Similar
Q1 12:26
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
48.7%
Cameron Peasley punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Smith-Njigba at the OhSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0449% → 49%
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
48.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd to the OhSt 11Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+2
48.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the OhSt 13Similar
Q1 11:14
3RD & 7
OWN 13
0
48.8%
C.J. Stroud pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:06
4TH & 7
OWN 13
0
48.7%
Jesse Mirco punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Britain Covey at the Utah 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3TD
6 plays · 56 yds · 1:2851% → 54%
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
48.6%
TJ Pledger run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 4
50
+11
48.6%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 11 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
48.6%
TJ Pledger run for 2 yds to the OhSt 37Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+15
48.6%
OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the OhSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
48.4%
Cameron Rising run for 3 yds to the OhSt 19Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+19
46.5%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 19 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:5847% → 46%
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
47.1%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 5 yds to the OhSt 25Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+3
46.8%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 3 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
Q1 8:22
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
46.6%
C.J. Stroud pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:15
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
46.4%
Jesse Mirco punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Britain Covey at the Utah 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 4:3254% → 60%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+27
46.2%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 27 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
45.5%
Tavion Thomas run for 5 yds to the OhSt 35Similar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+6
45.2%
TJ Pledger run for 6 yds to the OhSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
44.9%
Britain Covey run for 8 yds to the OhSt 21Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+5
44.7%
Cameron Rising run for 5 yds to the OhSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
44.4%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 3 yds to the OhSt 13Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+1
44.1%
Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the OhSt 12Similar
Q1 3:28
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+12
40.1%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 12 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6TD
12 plays · 76 yds · 3:5240% → 45%
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
40.3%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 9 yds to the OhSt 33Similar
Q1 2:33
2ND & 1
OWN 33
-6
40.6%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the OhSt 37 OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Marvin Harrison Jr.) to the OhSt 27Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 27
-1
39.8%
TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 26Similar
Q1 1:22
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+10
39.4%
C.J. Stroud run for 10 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
40.0%
C.J. Stroud pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:53
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+30
39.4%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 30 yds to the Utah 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
40.7%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+6
40.4%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 6 yds to the Utah 25Similar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 1
OPP 25
0
40.0%
TreVeyon Henderson run for no gain to the Utah 25Similar
Q2 14:17
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+25
45.4%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 25 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 4:5456% → 69%
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+23
43.6%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 23 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
41.9%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 8
OWN 46
-2
41.8%
Micah Bernard run for 8 yds to the OHIOST 46 UTAH Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Utah 44Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+8
41.8%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Cole Fotheringham for 8 yds to the OhSt 48Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+7
41.4%
Brant Kuithe run for 7 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
40.9%
Cameron Rising run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 42 Cameron Rising fumbled, recovered by Utah Cameron RisingSimilar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+14
40.6%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Solomon Enis for 14 yds to the OhSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+22
39.2%
Cameron Rising run for 16 yds to the OhSt 12 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Jack Sawyer) to the OhSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
31.4%
Tavion Thomas run for 6 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8TD
3 plays · 60 yds · 0:2335% → 45%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
34.6%
Miyan Williams run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
50
+50
44.6%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 50 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10TD
2 plays · 52 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
43.3%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 52 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 1:2061% → 69%
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
39.4%
Tavion Thomas run for 8 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q2 7:16
2ND & 2
OWN 37
0
38.5%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:07
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+1
38.7%
Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the Utah 38Similar
Q2 6:24
4TH & 1
OWN 38
+62
31.3%
Cameron Rising run for 62 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 12FUMBLE
6 plays · 73 yds · 1:3132% → 32%
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
31.6%
Miyan Williams run for 7 yds to the OhSt 33Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 3
OWN 33
0
31.9%
C.J. Stroud pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:31
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+11
31.5%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 11 yds to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
32.4%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 4
50
+49
32.3%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 49 yds Jaxon Smith-Njigba fumbled, recovered by Utah Cole BishopSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 3:2570% → 74%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
29.8%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 7 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+1
29.1%
TJ Pledger run for 1 yd to the Utah 28Similar
Q2 3:19
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+3
29.7%
Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the Utah 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
28.4%
Cameron Rising run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 28Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+23
28.6%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 23 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
25.6%
Cameron Rising run for 4 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
25.1%
TJ Pledger run for no gain to the OhSt 45Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
25.0%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Dalton KincaidSimilar
Q2 0:35
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
25.9%
Cameron Peasley punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Smith-Njigba at the OhSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 14END OF HALF
6 plays · 58 yds · 0:2727% → 26%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+26
26.8%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 11 yds to the OhSt 21 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, Personal Foul (Vonte Davis) to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
27.9%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 9 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+15
25.6%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 15 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
26.0%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+8
25.6%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 8 yds to the Utah 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15INT
5 plays · 53 yds · 1:0928% → 30%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
27.6%
C.J. Stroud pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+8
27.2%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 8 yds to the OhSt 35Similar
Q3 14:19
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+45
28.0%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 45 yds to the Utah 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
29.9%
C.J. Stroud pass intercepted, touchback. Clark Phillips III return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16FUMBLE
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:2175% → 75%
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
25.4%
Tavion Thomas run for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 15Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+10
25.0%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 10 yds to the Utah 25Similar
Q3 12:18
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
24.6%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:12
4TH & 5
OWN 25
-14
25.2%
Michael Williams run for a loss of 14 yards to the Utah 11 Michael Williams fumbled, recovered by OhSt Bryson ShawSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 17TD
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:2728% → 42%
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-10
28.2%
OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Utah 21Similar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 20
OPP 21
+13
27.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 13 yds to the Utah 8Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
42.4%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 8 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18FG
10 plays · 59 yds · 3:5766% → 71%
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
34.5%
TJ Pledger run for 7 yds to the Utah 42Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 3
OWN 42
-5
33.1%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (Dalton Kincaid) to the Utah 37Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+7
33.9%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 7 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q3 10:02
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+22
33.0%
Micah Bernard run for 22 yds to the OhSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+23
31.5%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 23 yds to the OhSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
31.0%
Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the OhSt 10Similar
Q3 8:32
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+2
30.9%
Britain Covey run for 2 yds to the OhSt 8Similar
Q3 7:51
3RD & 7
OPP 8
+2
30.5%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the OhSt 6Similar
Q3 7:10
4TH & 5
OPP 6
+24
29.2%
Jadon Redding 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 19FG
14 plays · 76 yds · 3:5629% → 34%
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
29.0%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 6 yds to the OhSt 16Similar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+11
27.5%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 11 yds to the OhSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
27.8%
TreVeyon Henderson run for no gain to the OhSt 27Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+11
27.0%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 11 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
28.0%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 7 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+5
28.6%
UTAH Penalty, Defensive Offside (Mika Tafua) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
50
+20
28.2%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 20 yds to the Utah 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+16
29.9%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 16 yds to the Utah 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
29.7%
C.J. Stroud pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
29.6%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for no gain to the Utah 14Similar
Q3 2:57
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
27.4%
C.J. Stroud pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:53
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+31
34.1%
Noah Ruggles 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20DOWNS
9 plays · 40 yds · 3:1772% → 76%
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
27.6%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 5 yds to the Utah 36Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+13
26.9%
Tavion Thomas run for 13 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
25.4%
Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the OhSt 47Similar
Q3 0:34
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+9
24.9%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 9 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
23.8%
Tavion Thomas run for no gain to the OhSt 38Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+6
24.0%
Cameron Rising run for 6 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
Q4 14:32
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+1
21.8%
Cameron Rising run for 1 yd to the OhSt 31Similar
Q4 13:53
4TH & 3
OPP 31
+2
23.9%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 2 yds to the OhSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 21TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 3:2929% → 61%
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
29.2%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 3 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+30
28.9%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 30 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
33.5%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+22
34.9%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Mitch Rossi for 22 yds to the Utah 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
34.8%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 2 yds to the Utah 10Similar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+5
34.7%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 5 yds to the Utah 5Similar
Q4 10:12
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+5
60.8%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 5 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3751% → 49%
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-7
48.9%
Cameron Rising sacked by Kourt Williams II for a loss of 7 yards to the Utah 27Similar
Q4 9:32
2ND & 17
OWN 27
+1
51.5%
TJ Pledger run for 1 yd to the Utah 28Similar
Q4 8:56
3RD & 16
OWN 28
+12
53.0%
Tavion Thomas run for 12 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q4 8:19
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
51.1%
Cameron Peasley punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Smith-Njigba at the OhSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 23TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 3:3956% → 92%
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
55.7%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 11 yds to the OhSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
56.3%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 10 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
57.6%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OhSt 39Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+16
59.6%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 16 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
62.4%
C.J. Stroud pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:09
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+2
61.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q4 5:26
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+4
60.6%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 4 yds to the Utah 39Similar
Q4 4:35
4TH & 4
OPP 39
+9
58.3%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 9 yds to the Utah 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
92.2%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 30 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 24TD
9 plays · 57 yds · 2:1618% → 62%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
82.3%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+2
82.9%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q4 3:12
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+4
83.3%
OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Cameron Brown) to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
82.2%
Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the OhSt 48Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+8
81.8%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Britain Covey for 8 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+10
82.1%
Bryson Barnes run for 10 yds to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
78.6%
OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Ronnie Hickman) to the OhSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
37.7%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 15 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 25DOWNS
9 plays · 56 yds · 1:2261% → 91%
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
61.3%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 2
50
+6
63.5%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 6 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
64.1%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 9 yds to the Utah 35Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+12
66.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 12 yds to the Utah 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
67.0%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 12 yds to the Utah 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
67.0%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 9 yds to the Utah 2Similar
Q4 0:09
2ND & 1
OPP 2
+19
91.1%
Noah Ruggles 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:54
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 15 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)
-40.8
TD · Q4 4:22
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 30 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK)
+33.9
TD · Q4 10:12
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 5 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK)
+26.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com