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CIN

Cincinnati 6 at Alabama 27

ALA
2021 · CFP Semifinal at the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic · Dec 31, 2021 · AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadCIN aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreCIN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:28 · Trey Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 14:56: Will Reichard 26 yd FG GOOD — ALA win probability +2.1 pts (now 80%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:36: Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 44 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) — ALA win probability +6.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 9:57: Cole Smith 37 yd FG GOOD — CIN win probability +2.3 pts (now 16%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 4:54: Ford, Jerome rush for 1 yard to the 50 yardline, PENALTY CINCINNATI illegal shift 5 yards to the CINCINNATI44, NO PLAY. — CIN win probability +2.7 pts (now 16%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:52: Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 9 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) — ALA win probability +6.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6CIN made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 4:52CIN 4th & 15 at ALA 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−0.3
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    18.1%−1.0
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:32ALA 4th & 2 at CIN 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    78.4%−0.3
    58% to make
    Punt
    77.2%−1.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:56ALA 4th & 8 at CIN 8, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.8%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    75.9%−2.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:45CIN 4th & 9 at CIN 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.1%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:17ALA 4th & 14 at ALA 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.4%−1.0
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:35CIN 4th & 4 at CIN 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:47ALA 4th & 6 at CIN 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.5%
    64% to make
    Punt
    77.6%−2.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:39CIN 4th & 5 at CIN 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−0.8
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00CIN 4th & 14 at CIN 49, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.1%−1.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:57CIN 4th & 5 at ALA 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.1%
    77% to make
    Punt
    7.8%−4.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:03ALA 4th & 8 at ALA 36, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.6%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:03CIN 4th & 9 at CIN 30, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:54CIN 4th & 26 at CIN 33, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%−1.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:22CIN 4th & 3 at ALA 22, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    3.3%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−2.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:20ALA 4th & 8 at CIN 25, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    96.7%−1.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:10CIN 4th & 5 at ALA 38, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.2
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%
    38% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:51ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:36ALA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 13:52ALA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ALADrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:0981% → 81%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
80.6%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Alab 31Similar
Q1 14:42
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
80.5%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 3 yds to the Alab 34Similar
Q1 14:16
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
80.4%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 5 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
80.3%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 7 yds to the Alab 46Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+1
80.3%
Bryce Young run for 1 yd to the Alab 47Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+18
80.1%
Jameson Williams run for 18 yds to the Cincy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
80.2%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 9 yds to the Cincy 26Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+7
80.2%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 7 yds to the Cincy 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
80.1%
CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive Offside (Marcus Brown) to the Cincy 14Similar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 5
OPP 14
+4
80.0%
Trey Sanders run for 4 yds to the Cincy 10Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+2
79.9%
Trey Sanders run for 2 yds to the Cincy 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
80.9%
Bryce Young pass complete to Slade Bolden for 8 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 2FG
15 plays · 60 yds · 4:5920% → 21%
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
80.4%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jerome Ford for 6 yds to the Cincy 31Similar
Q1 9:24
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
80.3%
Jerome Ford run for 3 yds to the Cincy 34Similar
Q1 9:01
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
80.3%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Young Jr. for 4 yds to the Cincy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
80.2%
Jerome Ford run for 9 yds to the Cincy 47Similar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 1
OWN 47
0
79.9%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Jadon ThompsonSimilar
Q1 7:33
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+3
80.0%
Ryan Montgomery run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
50
+19
79.8%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Young Jr. for 19 yds to the Alab 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
79.5%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Tyler Scott, broken up by Brian BranchSimilar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+22
79.5%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tyler Scott for 22 yds to the Alab 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
79.1%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Alec Pierce, broken up by Henry To'oTo'oSimilar
Q1 5:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
79.1%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Alec PierceSimilar
Q1 5:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
-6
79.6%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Leonard Taylor for a loss of 6 yards to the Alab 15Similar
Q1 4:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+33
78.8%
Cole Smith 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 3FG
16 plays · 67 yds · 4:5679% → 80%
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
78.7%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Alab 26Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
78.5%
Bryce Young pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:12
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
78.2%
CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive Offside (Myjai Sanders) to the Alab 31Similar
Q1 4:12
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+16
78.4%
Bryce Young pass complete to Slade Bolden for 16 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+16
79.3%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 16 yds to the Cincy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
79.3%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Ja'Corey BrooksSimilar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-4
79.2%
Bryce Young run for 1 yd to the Cincy 36 ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Bryce Young) to the Cincy 41Similar
Q1 2:56
3RD & 14
OPP 41
+12
78.5%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 12 yds to the Cincy 29Similar
Q1 2:32
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+4
78.4%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 4 yds to the Cincy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
79.0%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 15 yds to the Cincy 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
78.9%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Cincy 9Similar
Q1 0:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-6
78.8%
Bryce Young sacked by Darrian Beavers for a loss of 6 yards to the Cincy 15Similar
Q1 0:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+12
77.8%
Bryce Young run for 12 yds to the Cincy 3Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 0
OPP 3
-5
77.9%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Kendall Randolph) to the Cincy 8Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
80.0%
Will Reichard 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:1120% → 20%
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
79.6%
Jerome Ford run for 5 yds to the Cincy 30Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-9
79.1%
Desmond Ridder sacked by DJ Dale for a loss of 9 yards to the Cincy 21Similar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+5
80.1%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tyler Scott for 5 yds to the Cincy 26Similar
Q2 12:45
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+2
80.2%
Mason Fletcher punt for 43 yds , JoJo Earle returns for 2 yds to the Alab 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:2880% → 79%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
79.9%
Sanders, Trey rush for 8 yards to the ALABAMA41, PENALTY ALABAMA illegal formation 5 yards to the ALABAMA28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 15
OWN 28
0
79.7%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Trey SandersSimilar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 15
OWN 28
+1
79.5%
Bryce Young pass complete to Trey Sanders for 1 yd to the Alab 29Similar
Q2 11:33
3RD & 14
OWN 29
0
79.0%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jameson Williams ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Chris Owens) declinedSimilar
Q2 11:17
4TH & 14
OWN 29
0
78.6%
James Burnip punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4221% → 21%
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
79.0%
Jerome Ford run for 1 yd to the Cincy 31Similar
Q2 10:34
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+5
79.0%
Jerome Ford run for 5 yds to the Cincy 36Similar
Q2 9:49
3RD & 4
OWN 36
0
78.9%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Tre Tucker, broken up by Phidarian MathisSimilar
Q2 9:35
4TH & 4
OWN 36
+54
79.5%
Mason Fletcher punt for 54 yds , Slade Bolden returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 7MISSED FG
13 plays · 65 yds · 4:4879% → 81%
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
79.3%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 8Similar
Q2 9:13
2ND & 11
OWN 8
+12
79.1%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jahleel Billingsley for 12 yds to the Alab 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
79.6%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Alab 26Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+13
79.7%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 13 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
81.0%
Trey Sanders run for 6 yds to the Alab 45Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+6
81.3%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 6 yds to the Cincy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
81.5%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 9 yds to the Cincy 40Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+10
81.8%
Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 10 yds to the Cincy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
82.0%
Bryce Young pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+4
82.0%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 4 yds to the Cincy 26Similar
Q2 4:57
3RD & 6
OPP 26
0
81.6%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jahleel BillingsleySimilar
Q2 4:47
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+44
80.6%
Will Reichard 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 8FUMBLE
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0820% → 19%
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
80.3%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Tyler Scott, broken up by Khyree JacksonSimilar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+5
80.5%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 5 yds to the Cincy 31Similar
Q2 3:57
3RD & 5
OWN 31
0
80.3%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Michael Young Jr.Similar
Q2 3:39
4TH & 5
OWN 31
-9
81.3%
Mason Fletcher punt for 48 yds , JoJo Earle returns for a loss of 9 yards to the Alab 12 JoJo Earle fumbled, recovered by Alab Jameson Williams ALABAMA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jaylen Moody) to the Alab 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 9TD
8 plays · 94 yds · 2:0380% → 88%
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
80.3%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Alab 12Similar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 4
OWN 12
0
80.3%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Ja'Corey BrooksSimilar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 4
OWN 12
+4
79.6%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 4 yds to the Alab 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
80.3%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 3 yds to the Alab 19Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+23
80.1%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 23 yds to the Alab 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
81.4%
Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 14 yds to the Cincy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
81.9%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to JoJo EarleSimilar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+44
88.1%
Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 44 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 10DOWNS
8 plays · 4 yds · 1:2714% → 12%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
86.2%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Young Jr. for 4 yds to the Cincy 44Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+9
85.7%
Desmond Ridder run for 9 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
85.4%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Alec PierceSimilar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
86.1%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Leonard TaylorSimilar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 10
OPP 47
-4
86.5%
Desmond Ridder sacked by Dallas Turner for a loss of 4 yards to the Cincy 49Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 14
OWN 49
-5
87.9%
Desmond Ridder sacked by Will Anderson Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the Cincy 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 11FG
12 plays · 56 yds · 5:0313% → 16%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
87.4%
Desmond Ridder run for 9 yds to the Cincy 34Similar
Q3 14:26
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
86.5%
Jerome Ford run for 2 yds to the Cincy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
87.2%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tyler Scott for 9 yds to the Cincy 45Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+7
86.2%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tyler Scott for 7 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
86.4%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 12 yds to the Alab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
86.5%
Jerome Ford run for 9 yds to the Alab 27Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+3
85.8%
Desmond Ridder run for 3 yds to the Alab 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
85.8%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jerome Ford for 5 yds to the Alab 19Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 5
OPP 19
0
85.9%
Jerome Ford run for no gain to the Alab 19Similar
Q3 10:08
3RD & 5
OPP 19
0
86.7%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Michael Young Jr.Similar
Q3 9:57
4TH & 5
OPP 19
+37
84.4%
Cole Smith 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:4986% → 86%
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
85.9%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Alab 17Similar
Q3 9:31
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+17
86.0%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 17 yds to the Alab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
86.5%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 3 yds to the Alab 37Similar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+1
86.9%
Trey Sanders run for 1 yd to the Alab 38Similar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 6
OWN 38
-2
86.6%
Bryce Young sacked by Wilson Huber for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 36Similar
Q3 7:03
4TH & 8
OWN 36
+12
85.8%
James Burnip punt for 47 yds , Ryan Montgomery returns for 12 yds to the Cincy 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:0015% → 13%
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
85.1%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Tyler ScottSimilar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+6
85.5%
Jerome Ford run for 6 yds to the Cincy 35Similar
Q3 6:18
3RD & 4
OWN 35
0
85.3%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Tre Tucker, broken up by Brian BranchSimilar
Q3 6:11
4TH & 4
OWN 35
-5
86.0%
CINCINNATI Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 30Similar
Q3 6:03
4TH & 9
OWN 30
0
86.9%
Mason Fletcher punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Slade Bolden at the Alab 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 14INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 1:0987% → 87%
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
86.8%
Bryce Young run for 6 yds to the Alab 32Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 4
OWN 32
-2
87.6%
Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 30Similar
Q3 4:54
3RD & 6
OWN 30
0
87.2%
Bryce Young pass intercepted Bryan Cook return for no gain to the Cincy 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -16 yds · 2:0016% → 10%
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
84.4%
Ford, Jerome rush for 1 yard to the 50 yardline, PENALTY CINCINNATI illegal shift 5 yards to the CINCINNATI44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:36
1ST & 15
OWN 44
-1
85.8%
Jerome Ford run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 43Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 16
OWN 43
0
87.4%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Leonard Taylor, broken up by Phidarian MathisSimilar
Q3 3:48
3RD & 16
OWN 43
-10
89.3%
Desmond Ridder sacked by Will Anderson Jr. and Christian Harris for a loss of 10 yards to the Cincy 33Similar
Q3 2:54
4TH & 26
OWN 33
0
90.1%
Mason Fletcher punt for 37 yds , Slade Bolden returns for no gain to the Alab 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 16TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 4:0289% → 98%
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-3
89.2%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 27Similar
Q3 2:21
2ND & 13
OWN 27
-10
89.3%
Young, Bryce pass complete to Bolden, Slade for 3 yards to the ALABAMA30, PENALTY ALABAMA holding (Owens, Chris) 10 yards to the ALABAMA17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 23
OWN 17
+7
89.2%
Bryce Young pass complete to Slade Bolden for 7 yds to the Alab 24Similar
Q3 1:21
3RD & 16
OWN 24
+20
88.7%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 20 yds to the Alab 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
90.4%
Trey Sanders run for 1 yd to the Alab 45Similar
Q3 0:21
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+11
90.9%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 11 yds to the Cincy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
91.2%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Ja'Corey BrooksSimilar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+31
91.1%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 17 yds to the Cincy 27 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Deshawn Pace) to the Cincy 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
91.2%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 9 yds to the Cincy 4Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 1
OPP 4
-5
91.4%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Chris Owens) to the Cincy 9Similar
Q4 13:52
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+9
97.6%
Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 9 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 17DOWNS
10 plays · 49 yds · 3:304% → 3%
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
96.1%
Jerome Ford run for 6 yds to the Cincy 31Similar
Q4 13:19
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
96.0%
Jerome Ford run for 6 yds to the Cincy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
96.2%
Jerome Ford run for 6 yds to the Cincy 43Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+28
96.3%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Young Jr. for 28 yds to the Alab 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
96.0%
Jerome Ford run for 6 yds to the Alab 23Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 4
OPP 23
0
96.1%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Tre TuckerSimilar
Q4 11:12
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+1
96.4%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tre Tucker for 1 yd to the Alab 22Similar
Q4 10:22
4TH & 3
OPP 22
-4
96.8%
Desmond Ridder sacked by Brian Branch and Will Anderson Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the Alab 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 18FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 4:0298% → 99%
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+19
97.9%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 19 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
98.1%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 8 yds to the Cincy 47Similar
Q4 9:27
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+4
98.2%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 4 yds to the Cincy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
98.2%
Trey Sanders run for 8 yds to the Cincy 35Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+8
98.3%
Trey Sanders run for 8 yds to the Cincy 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
98.4%
Trey Sanders run for no gain to the Cincy 27Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+2
98.5%
Trey Sanders run for 2 yds to the Cincy 25Similar
Q4 6:31
3RD & 8
OPP 25
0
98.6%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Javon BakerSimilar
Q4 6:20
4TH & 8
OPP 25
+43
99.2%
Will Reichard 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 19DOWNS
9 plays · 37 yds · 3:101% → 1%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.4%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tre Tucker for 11 yds to the Cincy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
99.4%
CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (Jake Renfro) to the Cincy 31Similar
Q4 5:28
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+12
99.5%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josh Whyle for 12 yds to the Cincy 43Similar
Q4 5:04
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+14
99.4%
Jerome Ford run for 14 yds to the Alab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-6
99.4%
Desmond Ridder sacked by TEAM for a loss of 6 yards to the Alab 49Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 16
OPP 49
0
99.5%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jerome Ford for no gain to the Alab 49Similar
Q4 3:44
3RD & 16
OPP 49
+11
99.5%
Desmond Ridder run for 11 yds to the Alab 38Similar
Q4 3:10
4TH & 5
OPP 38
0
99.5%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Leonard TaylorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 20END OF GAME
5 plays · 35 yds · 2:42100% → 100%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
99.5%
Trey Sanders run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
50
+18
99.6%
Trey Sanders run for 18 yds to the Cincy 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
99.7%
Trey Sanders run for 6 yds to the Cincy 26Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 4
OPP 26
0
99.7%
Trey Sanders run for no gain to the Cincy 26Similar
Q4 0:28
3RD & 4
OPP 26
-1
99.7%
Trey Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:36
Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 44 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)
+6.2
TD · Q4 13:52
Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 9 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)
+6.2
KEY PLAY · Q3 4:54
Ford, Jerome rush for 1 yard to the 50 yardline, PENALTY CINCINNATI illegal shift 5 yards to the CINCINNATI44, NO PLAY.
-2.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com