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WAKE

Wake Forest 38 at Rutgers 10

RUTG
2021 · TaxSlayer Gator Bowl · Dec 31, 2021 · EverBank Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreWAKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:23 · Ivan Mora punt for 52 yds, downed at the Rutgr 46
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 72Pregame prior−24.5Home team on offense−5.3Score differential−2.2Garbage-time factor−1.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:11: Aaron Young run for 12 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) — RUTG win probability +2.8 pts (now 21%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:16: Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 29 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +2.4 pts (now 83%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Nick Sciba 29 yd FG GOOD — WAKE win probability +2.8 pts (now 84%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 6:37: Nick Sciba 23 yd FG GOOD — WAKE win probability +6.0 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:24: Sam Hartman pass complete to Brandon Chapman for 1 yd for a TD, (Sam Hartman pass to A.T. Perry for Two-Point Conversion) — WAKE win probability +5.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 4 of 7WAKE made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q2 12:02RUTG 4th & 11 at WAKE 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%−0.8
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.1%
    87% to make
    Punt
    16.3%−3.8
    average punt
  2. Q2 8:21WAKE 4th & 11 at RUTG 19, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.9%
    77% to make
    Punt
    72.5%−3.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 6:09RUTG 4th & 6 at midfield, down 7
    Close callPunted · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.6%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:23WAKE 4th & 14 at WAKE 2, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%−2.8
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:00WAKE 4th & 1 at RUTG 11, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.1%−1.4
    87% to make
    Punt
    76.2%−6.3
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:34WAKE 4th & 16 at WAKE 30, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%−1.7
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:34RUTG 4th & 18 at RUTG 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−1.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:37WAKE 4th & 5 at RUTG 5, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.0%
    92% to make
    Punt
    73.9%−7.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:54RUTG 4th & 4 at WAKE 38, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    14.4%−1.0
    38% to make
    Punt
    14.3%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:14RUTG 4th & 5 at WAKE 34, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    2.4%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:35WAKE 4th & 4 at RUTG 36, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    98.5%−0.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:06RUTG 4th & 1 at WAKE 37, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:19RUTG 4th & 4 at WAKE 29, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    58% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WAKE made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 11:34WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:11RUTG Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:16WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:24WAKE Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    96.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:15WAKE Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WAKEDrive 1TD
13 plays · 84 yds · 3:1185% → 84%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
15.1%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 4 yds to the WFrst 20Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+5
15.2%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 5 yds to the WFrst 25Similar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+5
15.3%
RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Julius Turner) to the WFrst 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
15.5%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 8 yds to the WFrst 38Similar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+4
15.6%
Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+26
15.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 26 yds to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
15.7%
RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Cam'Ron Stewart) to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 5
OPP 27
+5
15.9%
RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Kyonte Hamilton) to the Rutgr 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
16.0%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for no gain to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+16
16.1%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donald Stewart for 16 yds to the Rutgr 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
16.2%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 4Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
15.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Brandon Chapman for 4 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:1816% → 21%
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
15.9%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
16.0%
Noah Vedral run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q1 10:39
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+17
16.0%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Matt Alaimo for 17 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
16.5%
Aaron Young run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 3
OWN 48
-5
16.9%
Gavin Wimsatt run for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+21
16.7%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Jovani Haskins for 21 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
17.3%
Johnny Langan run for 9 yds to the WFrst 27Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+3
17.8%
Johnny Langan run for 3 yds to the WFrst 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
18.0%
Johnny Langan run for 2 yds to the WFrst 22Similar
Q1 5:53
2ND & 8
OPP 22
0
18.3%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:45
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+10
18.0%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Joshua Youngblood for 10 yds to the WFrst 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
20.8%
Aaron Young run for 12 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 3TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:4780% → 83%
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
19.9%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 3 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
19.9%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:35
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+9
20.3%
Sam Hartman run for 9 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
20.1%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Blake Whiteheart for 9 yds to the WFrst 46Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+16
19.8%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 16 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
19.9%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+10
20.0%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 10 yds to the Rutgr 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
19.8%
Sam Hartman run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 7
OPP 25
-4
19.9%
Christian Beal-Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q1 2:16
3RD & 11
OPP 29
+29
17.5%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 29 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4FG
11 plays · 66 yds · 5:0018% → 23%
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
18.3%
Aaron Young run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 4
OWN 29
0
18.6%
Noah Vedral run for no gain to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+15
18.6%
Langan, Johnny rush for loss of 4 yards to the RUTGERS25, PENALTY WAKEFOREST face mask (Fox, Miles) 15 yards to the RUTGERS44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN RUTGERS.Similar
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+16
19.5%
Noah Vedral run for 16 yds to the WFrst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
20.0%
Johnny Langan run for 3 yds to the WFrst 37Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+27
20.3%
Isaiah Washington pass complete to Johnny Langan for 27 yds to the WFrst 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
21.0%
Aaron Young run for 1 yd to the WFrst 9Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
21.2%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
20.7%
Noah Vedral sacked by Jasheen Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 11Similar
Q2 12:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
22.7%
Valentino Ambrosio 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 5FG
12 plays · 65 yds · 3:2878% → 80%
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
22.2%
RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Mike Tverdov) to the WFrst 21Similar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 5
OWN 21
+10
22.2%
Christian Turner run for 10 yds to the WFrst 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
22.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 8 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+2
21.8%
Christian Turner run for 2 yds to the WFrst 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+27
21.9%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donald Stewart for 27 yds to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
21.3%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+14
21.5%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 14 yds to the Rutgr 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
21.4%
Christian Turner run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 14Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 6
OPP 14
0
21.5%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:01
3RD & 6
OPP 14
-5
22.1%
Sam Hartman sacked by Drew Singleton for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q2 8:21
4TH & 11
OPP 19
+37
19.8%
Nick Sciba 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 1:5820% → 20%
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
20.2%
Evan Simon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
20.1%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+15
19.4%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Joshua Youngblood for 15 yds to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
21.3%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+7
20.8%
Noah Vedral run for 7 yds to the WFrst 47Similar
Q2 7:02
3RD & 3
OPP 47
-3
21.8%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Johnny Langan for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:09
4TH & 6
50
0
20.4%
Adam Korsak punt for 44 yds, downed at the WFrst 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:4280% → 79%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-4
20.2%
Christian Beal-Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 2Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 14
OWN 2
0
20.4%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:35
3RD & 14
OWN 2
0
20.9%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:23
4TH & 14
OWN 2
0
21.4%
Ivan Mora punt for 52 yds, downed at the Rutgr 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8INT
10 plays · 47 yds · 3:3822% → 24%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
22.0%
Noah Vedral run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q2 4:31
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+18
22.4%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Johnny Langan for 18 yds to the WFrst 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
23.9%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 10 yds to the WFrst 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
24.2%
Aaron Young run for 8 yds to the WFrst 16Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+4
24.3%
Noah Vedral run for 4 yds to the WFrst 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
24.5%
Aaron Young run for no gain to the WFrst 12Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+5
25.6%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Shameen Jones for 5 yds to the WFrst 7Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 5
OPP 7
-2
24.4%
Noah Vedral pass intercepted Gavin Holmes return for 2 yds to the WFrst 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 9END OF HALF
15 plays · 87 yds · 1:4080% → 84%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+15
20.4%
RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Kessawn Abraham) to the WFrst 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
20.2%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+18
20.4%
Justice Ellison run for 18 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
19.6%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
19.9%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 9 yds to the WFrst 44Similar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+1
18.4%
Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the WFrst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+26
18.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Blake Whiteheart for 26 yds to the Rutgr 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
17.4%
RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Kessawn Abraham) to the Rutgr 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
17.4%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, False Start (A.T. Perry) to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 15
OPP 25
0
17.8%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 15
OPP 25
0
18.0%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 15
OPP 25
+14
18.5%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 14 yds to the Rutgr 11Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+29
16.4%
Nick Sciba 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10INT
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:3218% → 18%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
18.1%
Aaron Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 11
OWN 23
0
18.1%
Gavin Wimsatt pass intercepted Zion Keith return for no gain to the WFrst 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:4682% → 80%
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
17.9%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 1 yd to the WFrst 37Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
-7
18.1%
Sam Hartman sacked by Mohamed Toure for a loss of 7 yards to the WFrst 30Similar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 16
OWN 30
0
19.3%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:34
4TH & 16
OWN 30
0
19.7%
Ivan Mora punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Joshua Youngblood at the Rutgr 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:5218% → 17%
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
18.1%
Johnny Langan pass complete to Jovani Haskins for 11 yds to the Rutgr 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
18.3%
Johnny Langan run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+4
17.9%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Christian Dremel for 4 yds to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 8
OWN 37
-10
18.0%
Noah Vedral sacked by Dion Bergan Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q3 10:34
4TH & 18
OWN 27
0
16.8%
Adam Korsak punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WFrst 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 13FG
14 plays · 62 yds · 3:5782% → 89%
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
18.0%
RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Cam'Ron Stewart) to the WFrst 38Similar
Q3 10:28
1ST & 5
OWN 38
+6
17.4%
Justice Ellison run for 6 yds to the WFrst 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-14
17.4%
Sam Hartman sacked by Naijee Jones for a loss of 14 yards to the WFrst 30 Sam Hartman fumbled, forced by Naijee Jones, recovered by WFrst Justice Ellison , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 24
OWN 30
-2
18.9%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Justice Ellison for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 28Similar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 26
OWN 28
+28
19.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 28 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
17.5%
Christian Turner run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 8
OPP 42
0
17.6%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:59
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+21
17.9%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 21 yds to the Rutgr 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
17.2%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+14
17.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 14 yds to the Rutgr 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
16.7%
Christian Turner run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 5Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
16.8%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
17.3%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
11.3%
Nick Sciba 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14DOWNS
10 plays · 39 yds · 5:1115% → 15%
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
15.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Jamier Wright-Collins for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+19
15.1%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 25 for a 1ST down WAKE FOREST Penalty, Personal Foul (Ryan Smenda Jr.) to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
16.3%
Jamier Wright-Collins run for no gain to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+6
15.3%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Johnny Langan for 6 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q3 3:55
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+10
15.3%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 10 yds to the WFrst 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
16.6%
Johnny Langan run for 5 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q3 2:27
2ND & 5
OPP 39
-4
16.7%
Noah Vedral sacked by Rondell Bothroyd for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 43Similar
Q3 1:46
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+5
14.8%
Noah Vedral run for 5 yds to the WFrst 38Similar
Q3 0:54
4TH & 4
OPP 38
0
15.0%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 2:4991% → 98%
Q3 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
8.9%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 8 yds to the WFrst 46Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 2
OWN 46
-1
8.6%
Justice Ellison run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 45Similar
Q4 14:30
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+35
9.2%
Sam Hartman run for 35 yds to the Rutgr 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+18
8.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 18 yds to the Rutgr 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
8.1%
Justice Ellison run for no gain to the Rutgr 2Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
7.0%
Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q4 12:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.9%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Brandon Chapman for 1 yd for a TD, (Sam Hartman pass to A.T. Perry for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16DOWNS
6 plays · 40 yds · 0:502% → 3%
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+32
2.3%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 32 yds to the WFrst 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
2.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+5
2.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Jamier Wright-Collins for 5 yds to the WFrst 34Similar
Q4 11:21
3RD & 5
OPP 34
0
2.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:14
4TH & 5
OPP 34
+3
2.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Johnny Langan for 3 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17TD
11 plays · 69 yds · 6:5598% → 100%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
1.8%
Christian Turner run for 1 yd to the WFrst 32Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+10
1.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 10 yds to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
1.5%
Christian Turner run for 4 yds to the WFrst 46Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+12
1.4%
Christian Turner run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
1.3%
Christian Turner run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
1.3%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:18
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+4
1.3%
Christian Turner run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q4 6:35
4TH & 4
OPP 36
+6
1.2%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 6 yds to the Rutgr 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
1.1%
Quinton Cooley run for no gain to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+3
0.9%
Justice Ellison run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q4 4:15
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+27
0.2%
Justice Ellison run for 27 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 17 yds · 1:340% → 0%
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
0.2%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Jamier Wright-Collins for 2 yds to the WFrst 44Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 8
OPP 44
0
0.2%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:32
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+7
0.2%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 7 yds to the WFrst 37Similar
Q4 3:06
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+2
0.2%
Jamier Wright-Collins run for 2 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
0.2%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+6
0.2%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Johnny Langan for 6 yds to the WFrst 29Similar
Q4 2:25
3RD & 4
OPP 29
0
0.2%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:19
4TH & 4
OPP 29
0
0.1%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19END OF GAME
3 plays · 2 yds · 1:35100% → 100%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
0.2%
Quinton Cooley run for 2 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+2
0.1%
Quinton Cooley run for 2 yds to the WFrst 33Similar
Q4 0:40
3RD & 6
OWN 33
-2
0.1%
Quinton Cooley run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q3 6:37
Nick Sciba 23 yd FG GOOD
-6
TD · Q4 12:24
Sam Hartman pass complete to Brandon Chapman for 1 yd for a TD, (Sam Hartman pass to A.T. Perry for Two-Point Conversion)
-5.1
TD · Q1 5:11
Aaron Young run for 12 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)
+2.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com