Try the model
ORE

Oregon 32 at Oklahoma 47

OU
2021 · Valero Alamo Bowl · Dec 29, 2021 · Alamodome
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadORE aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreORE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:20 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:29: Caleb Williams pass complete to Drake Stoops for 6 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) — OU win probability +7.7 pts (now 81%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:00: Caleb Williams pass complete to Marvin Mims for 55 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) — OU win probability +9.5 pts (now 92%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:35: Travis Dye run for 11 yds for a TD, (K. Hutson Run For Two-point Conversion) — ORE win probability +10.9 pts (now 12%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:08: Anthony Brown pass complete to Dont'e Thornton for 66 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +7.1 pts (now 8%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:56: Anthony Brown pass complete to Kris Hutson for 34 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +5.3 pts (now 6%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6ORE made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 13:33OU 4th & 6 at OU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:30OU 4th & 2 at ORE 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    68.6%−0.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    68.8%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:57ORE 4th & 6 at OU 6, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    27.5%−3.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:15OU 4th & 15 at ORE 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    64.2%−2.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:19ORE 4th & 9 at ORE 23, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:00ORE 4th & 3 at midfield, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    21.0%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:20ORE 4th & 7 at OU 41, down 13
    Close callPunted · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    19.9%−0.7
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    20.1%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:53ORE 4th & 2 at OU 34, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    8.3%−1.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    7.4%−2.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:56ORE 4th & 5 at OU 34, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:00OU 4th & 2 at ORE 22, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    97.3%−0.4
    72% to make
    Punt
    95.2%−2.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:56OU 4th & 5 at ORE 12, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.9%
    86% to make
    Punt
    95.7%−2.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:46OU 4th & 20 at OU 46, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−0.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:17ORE 4th & 15 at ORE 2, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6ORE made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 7:56OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    70.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:29OU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:00OU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:36OU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:35ORE Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    5.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    5.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:38OU Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:08ORE Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:55OU Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 0:56ORE Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 6:46ORE Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2168% → 67%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.6%
Caleb Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
67.6%
Eric Gray run for 2 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q1 14:30
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+2
67.5%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Eric Gray for 2 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q1 13:33
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
67.3%
Michael Turk punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Oregn 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 2INT
4 plays · 32 yds · 1:0333% → 33%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
67.4%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 6 yds to the Oregn 25Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+23
67.3%
Travis Dye run for 23 yds to the Oregn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
67.1%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 3 yds to the Okla 49Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 7
OPP 49
-12
67.0%
Anthony Brown pass intercepted Justin Broiles return for 12 yds to the Okla 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3TD
11 plays · 54 yds · 4:2968% → 70%
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
67.5%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Eric Gray for 2 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 8
OWN 48
-5
67.5%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 43Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 13
OWN 43
+4
67.3%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Kennedy Brooks for 4 yds to the Okla 47Similar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+7
67.2%
Caleb Williams run for 7 yds to the Oregn 46Similar
Q1 10:30
4TH & 2
OPP 46
+9
67.5%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 9 yds to the Oregn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
67.7%
Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds to the Oregn 34Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+1
67.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for 1 yd to the Oregn 33Similar
Q1 8:55
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+7
67.8%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Kennedy Brooks for 7 yds to the Oregn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+10
67.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for 10 yds to the Oregn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
69.7%
Kennedy Brooks run for 16 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 4FG
17 plays · 66 yds · 5:4731% → 32%
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
68.9%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Troy FranklinSimilar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+12
69.0%
Travis Dye run for 12 yds to the Oregn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
68.6%
Anthony Brown run for 3 yds to the Oregn 43Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+11
68.5%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Troy Franklin for 11 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
68.3%
Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Okla 42Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+3
68.3%
Anthony Brown run for 3 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+6
68.4%
Travis Dye run for 6 yds to the Okla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
68.0%
Byron Cardwell run for 8 yds to the Okla 25Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 2
OPP 25
0
68.0%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Isaah CrockerSimilar
Q1 4:56
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+21
68.4%
Travis Dye run for 21 yds to the Okla 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:28
1ST & 0
OPP 4
-5
67.7%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 9Similar
Q1 4:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
68.2%
Travis Dye run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 10Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-6
68.2%
Anthony Brown sacked by Marcus Stripling and Ethan Downs for a loss of 6 yards to the Okla 16Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 0
OPP 16
+10
68.7%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Kris Hutson for 10 yds to the Okla 6Similar
Q1 1:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
67.9%
Camden Lewis 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5FG
13 plays · 52 yds · 3:3568% → 71%
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
67.6%
Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
67.7%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Michael Woods II for 4 yds to the Okla 32Similar
Q1 0:50
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
67.5%
Williams, Caleb pass incomplete, PENALTY OREGON offside 5 yards to the OKLAHOMA37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAHOMA.Similar
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
68.0%
Kennedy Brooks run for 5 yds to the Okla 42Similar
Q1 0:12
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+4
68.6%
Eric Gray run for 4 yds to the Okla 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+3
68.4%
Jeremiah Hall run for 3 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+33
68.7%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 18 yds to the OKLAHOMA 33 for a 1ST down OREGON Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Oregn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-6
69.5%
Caleb Williams run for 4 yds to the Oregn 14 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Oregn 24Similar
Q2 14:05
1ST & 16
OPP 24
0
69.3%
Caleb Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 16
OPP 24
+1
68.9%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Eric Gray for 1 yd to the Oregn 23Similar
Q2 13:19
3RD & 15
OPP 23
0
68.1%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Eric GraySimilar
Q2 13:15
4TH & 15
OPP 23
+40
70.6%
Gabe Brkic 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:3629% → 28%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
70.7%
Byron Cardwell run for 1 yd to the Oregn 23Similar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 9
OWN 23
0
70.7%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Seven McGeeSimilar
Q2 12:36
3RD & 9
OWN 23
0
71.1%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Isaah CrockerSimilar
Q2 12:19
4TH & 9
OWN 23
+24
71.6%
Tom Snee punt for 49 yds , Marvin Mims returns for 24 yds to the Oregn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7TD
4 plays · 48 yds · 1:4173% → 81%
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+40
72.8%
Kennedy Brooks run for 40 yds to the Oregn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
73.2%
Kennedy Brooks run for 4 yds to the Oregn 4Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
73.4%
Caleb Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 6Similar
Q2 10:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
81.1%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Drake Stoops for 6 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 4:0222% → 20%
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
78.0%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 9 yds to the Oregn 40Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+3
77.3%
Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Oregn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
78.4%
Anthony Brown sacked by Jalen Redmond for a loss of 5 yards to the Oregn 38Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 15
OWN 38
+6
79.3%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Isaiah Brevard for 6 yds to the Oregn 44Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+6
79.2%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Seven McGee for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:00
4TH & 3
50
+6
79.0%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Spencer Webb for 6 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
78.2%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Troy FranklinSimilar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-3
78.9%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Kris Hutson for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 47Similar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 13
OPP 47
+6
80.0%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 6 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q2 6:20
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
80.0%
Tom Snee punt for 30 yds, downed at the Okla 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 89 yds · 2:1582% → 92%
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+11
81.8%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 11 yds to the Okla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
82.1%
Marcus Major run for 9 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 1
OWN 31
-7
82.4%
Marcus Major run for 3 yds to the Okla 34 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Okla 24Similar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 8
OWN 24
0
82.3%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Brayden WillisSimilar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+10
82.1%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Michael Woods II for 10 yds to the Okla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
82.7%
Eric Gray run for 11 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
92.1%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Marvin Mims for 55 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 10DOWNS
9 plays · 39 yds · 2:0210% → 10%
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
90.4%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Isaah Crocker for 15 yds to the Oregn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
90.1%
Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Oregn 44Similar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+14
90.0%
Anthony Brown run for 14 yds to the Okla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
89.8%
Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the Okla 40Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
90.3%
Anthony Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:35
3RD & 8
OPP 40
-5
90.5%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 45Similar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 13
OPP 45
+11
91.3%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Troy Franklin for 11 yds to the Okla 34Similar
Q2 1:53
4TH & 2
OPP 34
-2
90.3%
Anthony Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 1:0493% → 98%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
93.3%
Eric Gray run for 9 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 1
OWN 45
0
93.6%
Eric Gray run for no gain to the Okla 45Similar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+10
93.5%
Caleb Williams run for 10 yds to the Oregn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
93.9%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Mario WilliamsSimilar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+16
93.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for 16 yds to the Oregn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
97.5%
Kennedy Brooks run for 29 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 12END OF HALF
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:232% → 2%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
98.1%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Dont'e Thornton for 5 yds to the Oregn 28Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+5
98.0%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Dont'e Thornton for 5 yds to the Oregn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
98.1%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Kris Hutson for 5 yds to the Oregn 38Similar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+14
98.1%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Dont'e Thornton for 14 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 13TD
10 plays · 81 yds · 3:155% → 12%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+10
95.0%
Travis Dye run for 10 yds to the Oregn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+33
94.9%
Travis Dye run for 33 yds to the Okla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
94.4%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Kris Hutson for 7 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+1
93.5%
Byron Cardwell run for 1 yd to the Okla 30Similar
Q3 13:05
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+4
95.7%
Byron Cardwell run for 4 yds to the Okla 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
95.8%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Seven McGeeSimilar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
98.4%
Byron Cardwell run for no gain to the Okla 26Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+15
98.6%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Isaah Crocker for 15 yds to the Okla 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
87.7%
Travis Dye run for 11 yds for a TD, (K. Hutson Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 2:4793% → 98%
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
93.1%
Mario Williams run for 11 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
93.4%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Michael Woods II for 5 yds to the Okla 40Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+48
93.7%
Eric Gray run for 48 yds to the Oregn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
94.0%
Eric Gray run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 13Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 11
OPP 13
+7
94.3%
Caleb Williams run for 7 yds to the Oregn 6Similar
Q3 8:38
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+6
98.2%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Eric Gray for 6 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 15TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:221% → 8%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
98.7%
Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Oregn 23Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+10
98.8%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Isaah Crocker for 10 yds to the Oregn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
98.8%
Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the Oregn 34Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+66
91.7%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Dont'e Thornton for 66 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:0595% → 99%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
94.5%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 30 yds to the Oregn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
95.0%
Kennedy Brooks run for 1 yd to the Oregn 44Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+23
95.2%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 23 yds to the Oregn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+13
95.3%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Kennedy Brooks for 13 yds to the Oregn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
98.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for 8 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 17TD
12 plays · 76 yds · 3:461% → 6%
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.3%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Spencer WebbSimilar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+13
99.3%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Troy Franklin for 13 yds to the Oregn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
99.3%
Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the Oregn 38Similar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+10
99.3%
Anthony Brown run for 10 yds to the Oregn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.4%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kris HutsonSimilar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+5
99.4%
Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the Okla 47Similar
Q3 2:35
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+8
99.4%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 8 yds to the Okla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
99.5%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Byron Cardwell for 2 yds to the Okla 37Similar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+3
99.5%
Byron Cardwell run for 3 yds to the Okla 34Similar
Q3 1:03
3RD & 5
OPP 34
0
99.5%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Dont'e ThorntonSimilar
Q3 0:56
4TH & 5
OPP 34
+34
94.3%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Kris Hutson for 34 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18FG
16 plays · 53 yds · 6:5496% → 99%
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
96.4%
Kennedy Brooks run for 6 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+15
96.6%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 15 yds to the Oregn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
97.1%
Marcus Major run for 5 yds to the Oregn 39Similar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+9
97.3%
Marcus Major run for 9 yds to the Oregn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
97.6%
Marcus Major run for 2 yds to the Oregn 28Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 8
OPP 28
-10
97.7%
Major, Marcus rush for 8 yards to the OREGON20, PENALTY OKLAHOMA holding 10 yards to the OREGON38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 18
OPP 38
+7
97.7%
Caleb Williams run for 7 yds to the Oregn 31Similar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 11
OPP 31
-5
97.8%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 36Similar
Q4 11:35
3RD & 16
OPP 36
+14
97.8%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Eric Gray for 14 yds to the Oregn 22Similar
Q4 11:00
4TH & 2
OPP 22
+5
97.8%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 5 yds to the Oregn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
98.0%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Marvin Mims for 2 yds to the Oregn 15Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 8
OPP 15
0
98.4%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Michael Woods IISimilar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+3
98.4%
Marcus Major run for 3 yds to the Oregn 12Similar
Q4 8:56
4TH & 5
OPP 12
+29
99.0%
Gabe Brkic 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 19TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:541% → 5%
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.9%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Kris Hutson for 2 yds to the Oregn 27Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
98.9%
Travis Dye run for 15 yds to the Oregn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
98.9%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Okla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
98.9%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 4 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 6
OPP 39
0
98.9%
Travis Dye run for no gain to the Okla 39Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+9
99.1%
Anthony Brown run for 9 yds to the Okla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
95.2%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Troy Franklin for 30 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · -10 yds · 2:5497% → 98%
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
97.2%
Kennedy Brooks run for no gain to the Oregn 44Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+1
97.4%
Caleb Williams run for 1 yd to the Oregn 43 Caleb Williams fumbled, recovered by Okla Caleb WilliamsSimilar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 9
OPP 43
-15
97.6%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the Okla 42Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 24
OWN 42
+9
97.6%
Eric Gray run for 9 yds to the Oregn 49Similar
Q4 3:54
4TH & 15
OPP 49
-5
97.8%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Okla 46Similar
Q4 3:46
4TH & 20
OWN 46
+47
97.8%
Michael Turk punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Seven McGee at the OKLAHOMA 7 OREGON Penalty, Running Into Kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:242% → 2%
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
97.7%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Troy FranklinSimilar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 10
OWN 7
-5
97.7%
Anthony Brown sacked by Marcus Stripling and Reggie Grimes for a loss of 5 yards to the Oregn 2Similar
Q4 3:26
3RD & 15
OWN 2
0
97.9%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Travis DyeSimilar
Q4 3:17
4TH & 15
OWN 2
0
97.9%
Tom Snee punt for 65 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22END OF GAME
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:5598% → 99%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
98.2%
Marcus Major run for 6 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+5
98.4%
Marcus Major run for 5 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
98.6%
Marcus Major run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 4
50
+6
98.8%
Marcus Major run for 6 yds to the Oregn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
98.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 46Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 12
OPP 46
-2
98.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:35
Travis Dye run for 11 yds for a TD, (K. Hutson Run For Two-point Conversion)
-10.9
TD · Q2 4:00
Caleb Williams pass complete to Marvin Mims for 55 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)
+9.5
TD · Q2 10:29
Caleb Williams pass complete to Drake Stoops for 6 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)
+7.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com