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WMU

Western Michigan 52 at Nevada 24

NEV
2021 · Quick Lane Bowl · Dec 27, 2021 · Ford Field
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Win probability · NEV
modelNEV aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playNEV scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:50 · Nate Cox pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 28 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 139Home team on offense−54.1Score differential−41.8Pregame prior+2.1Garbage-time factor−19.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−12.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:15: Devonte Lee run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK) — NEV win probability +9.4 pts (now 61%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:48: Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Brett Borske for 20 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK) — WMU win probability +9.1 pts (now 57%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:01: Jaxson Kincaide run for 7 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK) — WMU win probability +14.0 pts (now 79%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:27: Kaleb Eleby run for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK) — WMU win probability +8.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:33: Toa Taua run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK) — NEV win probability +9.9 pts (now 12%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEV made the numbers' call on 5 of 8WMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 4
  1. Q1 10:17NEV 4th & 6 at WMU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    67.2%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:10NEV 4th & 1 at NEV 41, down 4
    Close callPunted · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.5%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:52NEV 4th & 18 at NEV 32, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%−0.8
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:15WMU 4th & 2 at NEV 5, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.2%−0.7
    92% to make
    Punt
    38.1%−4.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:44NEV 4th & 8 at NEV 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%−0.9
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:30WMU 4th & 5 at NEV 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    58.5%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    56.5%−2.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:04NEV 4th & 6 at NEV 22, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−0.9
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:19NEV 4th & 15 at NEV 35, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:03WMU 4th & 1 at WMU 15, up 28
    Close callPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.7%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:50WMU 4th & 1 at WMU 39, up 21
    Close callPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:22NEV 4th & 3 at NEV 19, down 21
    Close callPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:50NEV 4th & 10 at NEV 34, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEV made the numbers' call on 2 of 3WMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 10:04WMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:31WMU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:15NEV Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:48WMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:01WMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:27WMU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:33NEV Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:57WMU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:05NEV Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.3%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 1:36WMU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEVDrive 1FG
11 plays · 67 yds · 4:1369% → 69%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-3
68.6%
Toa Taua run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nevad 15Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 13
OWN 15
+5
68.5%
Nate Cox pass complete to Toa Taua for 5 yds to the Nevad 20Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+8
68.4%
Nate Cox pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 8 yds to the Nevad 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+34
68.4%
Devonte Lee run for 34 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
68.7%
Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the WMich 34Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+15
68.7%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the WMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
68.7%
Devonte Lee run for 2 yds to the WMich 17Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+3
68.7%
Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the WMich 14Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 5
OPP 14
-1
68.5%
Nate Cox sacked by Marshawn Kneeland for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 15Similar
Q1 10:17
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+32
68.7%
Brandon Talton 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:3067% → 67%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
67.3%
Toa Taua run for 9 yds to the Nevad 41Similar
Q1 9:28
2ND & 1
OWN 41
0
67.6%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Toa TauaSimilar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 1
OWN 41
0
67.4%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Jamaal BellSimilar
Q1 9:10
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
67.1%
Julian Diaz punt for 54 yds, downed at the WMich 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 95 yds · 2:0933% → 37%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
66.8%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 2 yds to the WMich 7Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+9
66.6%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 9 yds to the WMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+10
66.4%
Skyy Moore run for 10 yds to the WMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
66.3%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Skyy MooreSimilar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
66.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for no gain to the WMich 26Similar
Q1 6:31
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+74
63.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 74 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:1564% → 63%
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
64.1%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 42Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
64.0%
Nate Cox pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 8
OWN 42
-10
63.3%
Nate Cox sacked by Braden Fiske for a loss of 10 yards to the Nevad 32Similar
Q1 4:52
4TH & 18
OWN 32
0
62.5%
Julian Diaz punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Zonterio Weekley at the WMich 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6FG
10 plays · 72 yds · 5:0038% → 47%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
62.0%
Sean Tyler run for 8 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+11
61.3%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 11 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+16
60.7%
Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 16 yds to the Nevad 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+17
59.9%
Sean Tyler run for 17 yds to the Nevad 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
59.5%
Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 5 yds to the Nevad 20Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+7
58.8%
Kaleb Eleby run for 7 yds to the Nevad 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
58.3%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 6 yds to the Nevad 7Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 7
-6
57.4%
Kaleb Eleby sacked by Kameron Toomer and Lawson Hall for a loss of 6 yards to the Nevad 13Similar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+8
57.3%
Sean Tyler run for 8 yds to the Nevad 5Similar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 2
OPP 5
+22
53.2%
Parker Sampson 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 7TD
11 plays · 57 yds · 2:2555% → 58%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
55.1%
Nate Cox pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 1 yd to the Nevad 44Similar
Q2 13:19
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+11
54.7%
Nate Cox run for 11 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
54.6%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+10
54.4%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the WMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
54.6%
Nate Cox pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+12
52.1%
Nate Cox run for 12 yds to the WMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+20
51.6%
Devonte Lee run for 20 yds to the WMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
60.9%
Devonte Lee run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
58.2%
NEVADA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Nevad 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 2:5243% → 57%
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
56.8%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 4 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+11
55.8%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 11 yds to the Nevad 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
54.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Skyy MooreSimilar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+9
54.7%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 9 yds to the Nevad 39Similar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+7
54.2%
Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 7 yds to the Nevad 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
52.2%
Sean Tyler run for 12 yds to the Nevad 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
43.2%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Brett Borske for 20 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:3644% → 42%
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
44.2%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 27Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
43.7%
Toa Taua run for no gain to the Nevad 27Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
42.4%
Nate Cox pass complete to Jamaal Bell for no gain to the Nevad 27Similar
Q2 5:44
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+30
42.4%
Julian Diaz punt for 45 yds, downed at the NEVADA 28 NEVADA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) to the WMich 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10TD
10 plays · 57 yds · 3:2960% → 79%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+21
40.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 21 yds to the Nevad 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
39.5%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the Nevad 33Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 7
OPP 33
0
38.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Skyy MooreSimilar
Q2 4:10
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+2
38.8%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the Nevad 31Similar
Q2 3:30
4TH & 5
OPP 31
+9
37.5%
Sean Tyler run for 9 yds to the Nevad 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
34.6%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the Nevad 19Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+12
33.8%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 12 yds to the Nevad 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
21.3%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 7 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:4630% → 28%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
29.7%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Toa TauaSimilar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+9
29.0%
Nate Cox run for 9 yds to the Nevad 27Similar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 1
OWN 27
0
29.3%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Tyrese MackSimilar
Q2 1:12
4TH & 1
OWN 27
-5
28.9%
NEVADA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Nevad 22Similar
Q2 1:04
4TH & 6
OWN 22
0
28.4%
Julian Diaz punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Bryce Nunnelly at the WMich 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12INT
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:5681% → 85%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
19.2%
Kaleb Eleby run for 12 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
18.0%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Sean Tyler for 7 yds to the WMich 47Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+2
17.2%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the WMich 49Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+9
17.6%
Kaleb Eleby run for 9 yds to the Nevad 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
15.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Corey CroomsSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-1
15.5%
Kaleb Eleby pass intercepted Berdale Robins return for 1 yd to the Nevad 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 13TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:0381% → 94%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
19.3%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+70
18.6%
Sean Tyler run for 70 yds to the Nevad 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
16.2%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 1 yd to the Nevad 1Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
13.8%
Mareyohn Hrabowski run for no gain to the Nevad 1Similar
Q3 12:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
5.6%
Kaleb Eleby run for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:397% → 5%
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
6.5%
Toa Taua run for 6 yds to the Nevad 30Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 4
OWN 30
-5
5.6%
Nate Cox sacked by Ali Fayad and Ralph Holley for a loss of 5 yards to the Nevad 25Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 9
OWN 25
+15
5.7%
Nate Cox pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 15 yds to the Nevad 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
5.7%
Devonte Lee run for 2 yds to the Nevad 42Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 8
OWN 42
-7
5.0%
Devonte Lee run for a loss of 7 yards to the Nevad 35Similar
Q3 9:29
3RD & 15
OWN 35
0
4.7%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Jamaal BellSimilar
Q3 9:19
4TH & 15
OWN 35
0
4.6%
Julian Diaz punt for 59 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4796% → 97%
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
4.4%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 9 yds to the WMich 15Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 1
OWN 15
0
3.5%
Jaxson Kincaide run for no gain to the WMich 15Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 1
OWN 15
0
3.3%
Mareyohn Hrabowski run for no gain to the WMich 15Similar
Q3 7:03
4TH & 1
OWN 15
-2
3.4%
Nick Mihalic punt for 53 yds , Bentlee Sanders returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 16TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 4:524% → 12%
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-9
3.9%
Nate Cox sacked by Corvin Moment for a loss of 9 yards to the Nevad 21Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 19
OWN 21
0
3.5%
Nate Cox run for no gain to the Nevad 21Similar
Q3 5:39
3RD & 19
OWN 21
+15
3.4%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Nevad 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
3.1%
Nate Cox sacked by Ali Fayad for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 35Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+18
2.8%
Nate Cox pass complete to Toa Taua for 18 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
2.4%
Nate Cox pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 5 yds to the WMich 42Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+7
2.1%
Nate Cox run for 7 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+33
2.2%
Devonte Lee run for 33 yds to the WMich 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
1.8%
Nate Cox run for 1 yd to the WMich 1Similar
Q3 1:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
11.7%
Toa Taua run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1497% → 97%
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
3.5%
Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the WMich 35Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+4
3.4%
Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q3 0:20
3RD & 1
OWN 39
0
3.1%
Sean Tyler run for no gain to the WMich 39Similar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
3.3%
Nick Mihalic punt for 49 yds , Bentlee Sanders returns for no gain to the Nevad 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:585% → 4%
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-4
5.3%
Nate Cox run for a loss of 4 yards to the Nevad 8Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 14
OWN 8
0
4.5%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Jamaal BellSimilar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 14
OWN 8
+11
4.2%
Nate Cox pass complete to Tyrese Mack for 11 yds to the Nevad 19Similar
Q4 13:22
4TH & 3
OWN 19
0
4.1%
Julian Diaz punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19TD
9 plays · 61 yds · 3:5398% → 100%
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
2.4%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+12
2.4%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 12 yds to the Nevad 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
2.3%
Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Skyy MooreSimilar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+2
2.2%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 2 yds to the Nevad 43Similar
Q4 11:11
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+25
1.9%
Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Bryce Nunnelly for 25 yds to the Nevad 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
1.7%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 5 yds to the Nevad 13Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+4
1.5%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 4 yds to the Nevad 9Similar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+2
1.5%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 2 yds to the Nevad 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
0.3%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 7 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 20TD
10 plays · 66 yds · 3:390% → 2%
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
0.3%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Toa TauaSimilar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+2
0.3%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 36Similar
Q4 7:40
3RD & 8
OWN 36
-2
0.3%
Nate Cox sacked by Ryan Selig for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 34Similar
Q4 6:50
4TH & 10
OWN 34
+28
0.2%
Nate Cox pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 28 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
0.2%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (8 Yards) to the WMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
0.3%
Nate Cox pass complete to Reagan Roberson for 5 yds to the WMich 25Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 5
OPP 25
0
0.2%
Nate Cox pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+7
0.2%
Nate Cox pass complete to Carson Walters for 7 yds to the WMich 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
1.8%
Nate Cox pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 18 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21TD
10 plays · 48 yds · 2:4999% → 100%
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
0.7%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 6 yds to the Nevad 42Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+10
0.7%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 10 yds to the Nevad 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
0.6%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 5 yds to the Nevad 27Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+13
0.5%
Trae Allen run for 13 yds to the Nevad 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
0.5%
Trae Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 15Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+13
0.4%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 13 yds to the Nevad 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
0.4%
Trae Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 3Similar
Q4 1:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.1%
Trae Allen run for 3 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 22INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.1%
Nate Cox pass intercepted Dorian Jackson return for no gain to the WMich 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:44100% → 100%
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 38Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 38
-3
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:01
Jaxson Kincaide run for 7 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)
-14
TD · Q3 1:33
Toa Taua run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK)
+9.9
TD · Q2 11:15
Devonte Lee run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK)
+9.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com