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MIZ

Missouri 22 at Army 24

ARMY
2021 · Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl · Dec 22, 2021 · Amon G. Carter Stadium
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Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadMIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreMIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGTDTDTDFGEnd of GameTD-59ARMY 19.4%Keke Chism 6 Yd pass from Brady Cook(Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)AWAY 22 - HOME 21 · Q4 1:11
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:11 · Keke Chism 6 Yd pass from Brady Cook (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 158Pregame prior+0.3Home team on offense−18.6Garbage-time factor−3.0Score differential−5.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−6.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:56: Christian Anderson 22 Yd Run (Cole Talley Kick) — ARMY win probability +8.2 pts (now 65%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q3 6:35: Jakobi Buchanan 10 Yd Run (Cole Talley Kick) — ARMY win probability +18.3 pts (now 62%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:20: Brandon Walters 14 Yd pass from Tyhier Tyler (Cole Talley Kick) — ARMY win probability +25.6 pts (now 79%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:11: Keke Chism 6 Yd pass from Brady Cook (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — MIZ win probability +59.0 pts (now 81%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Cole Talley 41 yd FG GOOD — ARMY win probability +62.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 6 of 9MIZ made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 7:08ARMY 4th & 1 at MIZ 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    65.4%−0.5
    64% to make
    Punt
    64.2%−1.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:22ARMY 4th & 13 at MIZ 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%−0.5
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    62.3%−1.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:55MIZ 4th & 5 at ARMY 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.9%
    92% to make
    Punt
    35.6%−3.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:18ARMY 4th & 2 at MIZ 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    58.6%−0.4
    66% to make
    Punt
    56.2%−2.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:59MIZ 4th & 3 at ARMY 8, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.0%−0.7
    90% to make
    Punt
    34.4%−6.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:52ARMY 4th & 7 at ARMY 28, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%−0.9
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:03MIZ 4th & 3 at ARMY 21, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.2%−0.8
    74% to make
    Punt
    44.0%−8.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:38ARMY 4th & 1 at MIZ 9, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    37.3%−3.8
    89% to make
    Punt
    26.0%−15.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:49MIZ 4th & 1 at ARMY 43, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    40.7%−9.6
    28% to make
    Punt
    42.9%−7.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:08ARMY 4th & 2 at MIZ 48, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    53.7%−3.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:20ARMY 4th & 2 at MIZ 14, down 2
    Close callWent for it · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.3%−0.3
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    53.6%
    84% to make
    Punt
    35.5%−18.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:47ARMY 4th & 3 at MIZ 41, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.1 ptsPunted · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    82.2%−3.6
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.8%−3.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:48MIZ 4th & 18 at MIZ 19, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−1.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:44ARMY 4th & 5 at ARMY 45, up 5
    Close callPunted · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.1%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 2 of 3MIZ made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 11:55MIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:56ARMY Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:35ARMY Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:20ARMY Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.5%−0.7
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.2%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:11MIZ Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    63.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    62.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIZDrive 1TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 2:5933% → 35%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
67.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 5 yds to the Misso 33Similar
Q1 14:26
2ND & 5
OWN 33
-1
67.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 32Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+14
67.0%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dawson Downing for 14 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
66.8%
Dawson Downing run for 12 yds to the Army 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
66.7%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Mookie CooperSimilar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+12
66.6%
Elijah Young run for 12 yds to the Army 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
65.5%
Brady Cook 30 Yd Run (Harrison Mevis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2MISSED FG
15 plays · 49 yds · 7:3366% → 62%
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
65.8%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 6 yds to the Army 31Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
65.7%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Army 33Similar
Q1 10:42
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
65.3%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 5 yds to the Army 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
65.2%
Tyson Riley run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
50
+15
65.2%
Brandon Walters run for 15 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
65.2%
Tyson Riley run for 2 yds to the Misso 33Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 8
OPP 33
-3
65.0%
Tyrell Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 36Similar
Q1 7:52
3RD & 11
OPP 36
+10
64.3%
Cade Barnard run for 10 yds to the Misso 26Similar
Q1 7:08
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+3
63.9%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Misso 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
64.5%
Tyson Riley run for 6 yds to the Misso 17Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 4
OPP 17
-5
64.2%
ARMY Penalty, False Start (Ryan Jackovic) to the Misso 22Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 9
OPP 22
-2
64.1%
Tyrell Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 24Similar
Q1 5:06
3RD & 11
OPP 24
-2
63.2%
Christian Anderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 26Similar
Q1 4:22
4TH & 13
OPP 26
+43
61.9%
Cole Talley 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3FG
9 plays · 69 yds · 3:2739% → 42%
Q1 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+21
61.5%
Elijah Young run for 21 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+16
60.5%
Brady Cook pass complete to Elijah Young for 1 yd to the Army 48 for a 1ST down ARMY Penalty, Roughing Passer (Kwabena Bonsu) to the Army 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
60.1%
Elijah Young run for 7 yds to the Army 30Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+23
59.8%
Brady Cook pass complete to Keke Chism for 23 yds to the Army 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
59.6%
Brady Cook pass complete to Keke Chism for 6 yds to the Army 1Similar
Q1 2:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
59.3%
Brady Cook run for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 4Similar
Q1 1:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-6
58.9%
Brady Cook sacked by Andre Carter II for a loss of 6 yards to the Army 10Similar
Q1 1:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
59.3%
ARMY Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the Army 5Similar
Q1 0:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
58.3%
Harrison Mevis 22 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5958% → 65%
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+42
57.7%
Christian Anderson pass complete to Tyrell Robinson for 42 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
59.5%
Anthony Adkins run for 1 yd to the Misso 32Similar
Q1 0:05
2ND & 9
OPP 32
-1
59.1%
Tyrell Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+8
58.1%
Tyrell Robinson run for 8 yds to the Misso 25Similar
Q2 14:18
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+3
57.2%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Misso 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
65.3%
Christian Anderson 22 Yd Run (Cole Talley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 5FG
18 plays · 67 yds · 7:5738% → 48%
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
62.5%
Dawson Downing run for 3 yds to the Misso 28Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
62.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Elijah Young for 9 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
61.7%
Elijah Young run for 6 yds to the Misso 43Similar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
60.8%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Dawson DowningSimilar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+5
61.0%
Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 5 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
60.6%
Dawson Downing run for 10 yds to the Army 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
60.2%
Dawson Downing run for 4 yds to the Army 38Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 6
OPP 38
-5
59.8%
MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Army 43Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+9
60.0%
Brady Cook run for 9 yds to the Army 34Similar
Q2 10:22
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+4
59.8%
Dawson Downing run for 4 yds to the Army 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
58.8%
Elijah Young run for 5 yds to the Army 25Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+1
58.3%
Elijah Young run for 1 yd to the Army 24Similar
Q2 8:36
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+9
58.8%
Brady Cook run for 9 yds to the Army 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
56.6%
Dawson Downing run for 4 yds to the Army 11Similar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+1
56.3%
Elijah Young run for 1 yd to the Army 10Similar
Q2 6:49
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+2
57.0%
Brady Cook pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 2 yds to the Army 8Similar
Q2 5:59
4TH & 3
OPP 8
+25
52.3%
Harrison Mevis 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:0755% → 52%
Q2 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
55.1%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the Army 29Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
55.1%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Army 31Similar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-3
54.1%
Christian Anderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 28Similar
Q2 3:52
4TH & 7
OWN 28
-2
52.3%
Zach Harding punt for 55 yds , D'ionte Smith returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 7DOWNS
15 plays · 64 yds · 3:4948% → 58%
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
51.8%
Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 9 yds to the Misso 24Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+2
50.3%
Dawson Downing run for 2 yds to the Misso 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
50.8%
Elijah Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 25Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+13
50.8%
Brady Cook pass complete to JJ Hester for 13 yds to the Misso 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
48.4%
Brady Cook pass complete to JJ Hester for 9 yds to the Misso 47Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+3
47.2%
Elijah Young run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
50
+22
46.8%
Brady Cook pass complete to Keke Chism for 22 yds to the Army 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
45.6%
MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Army 33Similar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 15
OPP 33
-10
46.0%
Cook, Brady pass complete to Downing, Dawson for 19 yards to the ARMY14, PENALTY MISSOURI holding 10 yards to the ARMY43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 25
OPP 43
+10
47.3%
Brady Cook run for 10 yds to the Army 33Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 15
OPP 33
-5
46.9%
Brady Cook sacked by Arik Smith for a loss of 5 yards to the Army 38Similar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 20
OPP 38
+17
47.9%
Brady Cook run for 17 yds to the Army 21Similar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+39
41.9%
Harrison Mevis 39 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 9TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 8:2546% → 62%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
46.1%
Christian Anderson run for 2 yds to the Army 27Similar
Q3 14:26
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
46.0%
Christian Anderson pass complete to Brandon Walters for 9 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
46.2%
Tyrell Robinson run for 4 yds to the Army 40Similar
Q3 13:19
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+4
46.8%
Tyson Riley run for 4 yds to the Army 44Similar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+3
46.2%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Army 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
46.2%
Cade Barnard run for 6 yds to the Misso 47Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+5
46.8%
Cade Barnard run for 5 yds to the Misso 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
46.4%
Christian Anderson pass incomplete to RJ RosalesSimilar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+9
45.9%
Christian Anderson pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 9 yds to the Misso 33Similar
Q3 10:17
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+2
44.5%
Christian Anderson run for 2 yds to the Misso 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+13
45.6%
Christian Anderson run for 13 yds to the Misso 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
45.2%
Christian Anderson run for 2 yds to the Misso 16Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+6
44.9%
Anthony Adkins run for 6 yds to the Misso 10Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+1
42.4%
Anthony Adkins run for 1 yd to the Misso 9Similar
Q3 7:38
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+2
40.3%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Misso 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
43.4%
Christian Anderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 10Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
61.7%
Jakobi Buchanan 10 Yd Run (Cole Talley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 10DOWNS
11 plays · 36 yds · 4:4246% → 50%
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
53.8%
Dawson Downing run for 3 yds to the Misso 23Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+11
52.7%
Dawson Downing run for 11 yds to the Misso 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
51.6%
Elijah Young run for 6 yds to the Misso 40Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 4
OWN 40
0
49.1%
Dawson Downing run for no gain to the Misso 40Similar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+8
49.4%
Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 8 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
48.2%
Elijah Young run for 4 yds to the Army 48Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 6
OPP 48
-2
47.5%
Barrett Banister run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:31
3RD & 8
50
+7
48.0%
Brady Cook pass complete to Keke Chism for 7 yds to the Army 43Similar
Q3 1:49
4TH & 1
OPP 43
-1
50.1%
Dawson Downing run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 11TD
15 plays · 56 yds · 6:2959% → 79%
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
59.3%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the Army 48Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+2
59.8%
Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:33
3RD & 4
50
+2
59.2%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Misso 48Similar
Q3 0:08
4TH & 2
OPP 48
+4
57.4%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the Misso 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
60.3%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Misso 42Similar
Q4 14:21
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+7
60.1%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 7 yds to the Misso 35Similar
Q4 13:57
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+2
60.0%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
62.4%
Cade Barnard run for 3 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+8
61.5%
Tyson Riley run for 8 yds to the Misso 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
61.4%
MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Misso 17Similar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 5
OPP 17
+1
61.4%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd to the Misso 16Similar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+2
61.3%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Misso 14Similar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 2
OPP 14
0
58.6%
Jakobi Buchanan run for no gain to the Misso 14Similar
Q4 10:20
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+14
79.3%
Brandon Walters 14 Yd pass from Tyhier Tyler (Cole Talley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 12FUMBLE
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:1724% → 26%
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
75.9%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Tauskie DoveSimilar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+3
76.6%
Elijah Young run for 3 yds to the Misso 19Similar
Q4 9:29
3RD & 7
OWN 19
+10
77.8%
Cook, Brady pass incomplete to Hester, JJ, PENALTY ARMY holding 10 yards to the MISSOURI29, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MISSOURI.Similar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
75.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dawson Downing for 5 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+4
74.0%
Brady Cook pass complete to Elijah Young for 4 yds to the Misso 38Similar
Q4 8:27
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+9
74.4%
Dawson Downing run for 9 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
73.9%
Dawson Downing run for 4 yds to the Misso 48 Dawson Downing fumbled, forced by Marquel Broughton, recovered by Army Andre Carter II , return for 3 yds to the Misso 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:0986% → 87%
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
86.1%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd to the Misso 47Similar
Q4 7:19
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+4
87.4%
Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds to the Misso 43Similar
Q4 6:41
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+2
87.0%
Tyson Riley run for 2 yds to the Misso 41Similar
Q4 5:47
4TH & 3
OPP 41
0
86.6%
Zach Harding punt for 39 yds, downed at the Misso 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:5918% → 15%
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+10
81.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 10 yds to the Misso 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
81.5%
Brady Cook pass complete to Elijah Young for 7 yds to the Misso 19Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 3
OWN 19
+8
80.7%
Brady Cook pass complete to JJ Hester for 8 yds to the Misso 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
80.5%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Kibet ChepyatorSimilar
Q4 4:41
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
81.8%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Tauskie DoveSimilar
Q4 4:35
3RD & 10
OWN 27
-8
82.9%
Brady Cook sacked by Arik Smith for a loss of 8 yards to the Misso 19Similar
Q4 3:48
4TH & 18
OWN 19
0
85.4%
Grant McKinniss punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tyrell Robinson at the Army 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:0490% → 91%
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
89.5%
Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the Army 42Similar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+3
89.5%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Army 45Similar
Q4 3:38
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
90.6%
Tyrell Robinson run for no gain to the Army 45Similar
Q4 2:44
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
91.2%
Zach Harding punt for 38 yds, fair catch by D'ionte Smith at the Misso 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 16TD
11 plays · 83 yds · 1:339% → 81%
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+12
91.0%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dawson Downing for 12 yds to the Misso 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
90.8%
Brady Cook pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 12 yds to the Misso 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+17
90.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 17 yds to the Army 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
88.4%
Elijah Young run for 7 yds to the Army 35Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+8
78.6%
Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 8 yds to the Army 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
79.8%
Dawson Downing run for 4 yds to the Army 23Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+6
78.7%
Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 6 yds to the Army 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
79.4%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Tauskie DoveSimilar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+11
79.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Elijah Young for 11 yds to the Army 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
78.4%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Barrett BanisterSimilar
Q4 1:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
19.4%
Keke Chism 6 Yd pass from Brady Cook (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 17END OF 4TH QUARTER
12 plays · 51 yds · 1:1146% → 96%
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
45.6%
Jabari Laws run for 13 yds to the Army 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
45.8%
Jabari Laws pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 10 yds to the Army 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
48.6%
Jabari Laws pass incomplete to Brandon WaltersSimilar
Q4 0:43
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+15
47.8%
Laws, Jabari pass incomplete to Alston, Isaiah, PENALTY MISSOURI face mask 15 yards to the MISSOURI37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARMY.Similar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
49.6%
Jabari Laws run for 2 yds to the Misso 35Similar
Q4 0:34
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
54.4%
Jabari Laws pass incomplete to Isaiah AlstonSimilar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+11
50.3%
Jabari Laws pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 11 yds to the Misso 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
56.3%
Jabari Laws run for no gain to the Misso 24Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+41
95.8%
Cole Talley 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Cole Talley 41 yd FG GOOD
+62.5
TD · Q4 1:11
Keke Chism 6 Yd pass from Brady Cook (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-59
TD · Q4 10:20
Brandon Walters 14 Yd pass from Tyhier Tyler (Cole Talley Kick)
+25.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com