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EMU

Eastern Michigan 20 at Liberty 56

LIB
2021 · LendingTree Bowl · Dec 18, 2021 · Hancock Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · LIB
modelLIB aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playLIB scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:40 · Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Bryson Cannon
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 113Home team on offense+30.9Score differential+25.5Pregame prior+10.1Blowout margin+12.8Garbage-time factor+8.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:01: Samson Evans 2 Yd Run (Chad Ryland Kick) — EMU win probability +5.2 pts (now 29%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:07: T.J. Green 34 Yd Run (Jason Stricker PAT failed) — LIB win probability +4.0 pts (now 78%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:22: Johnny Huntley 20 Yd pass from Malik Willis (Brayden Beck Kick) — LIB win probability +7.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:16: Malik Willis 2 Yd Run (Brayden Beck Kick) — LIB win probability +5.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:02: Malik Willis 35 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — LIB win probability +3.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LIB made the numbers' call on 6 of 6EMU made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 7:48EMU 4th & 7 at LIB 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    26.2%−0.9
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:04LIB 4th & 5 at LIB 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:40EMU 4th & 5 at EMU 46, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:54EMU 4th & 4 at EMU 45, down 9
    Close callPunted · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.4%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:44LIB 4th & 7 at EMU 32, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    77.4%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    76.6%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:12EMU 4th & 4 at LIB 39, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    15.0%−0.6
    36% to make
    Punt
    14.8%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:34LIB 4th & 13 at LIB 36, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−0.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:36EMU 4th & 9 at EMU 2, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−1.0
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:40EMU 4th & 2 at EMU 44, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:08LIB 4th & 6 at EMU 25, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%
    66% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:06EMU 4th & 8 at EMU 27, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:11EMU 4th & 1 at LIB 13, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:36LIB 4th & 16 at LIB 8, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:06EMU 4th & 19 at EMU 14, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:15EMU 4th & 1 at LIB 47, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:26EMU 4th & 10 at LIB 25, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:04LIB 4th & 3 at LIB 48, up 36
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LIB made the numbers' call on 7 of 8EMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 3:08LIB Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:27LIB Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    76.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:01EMU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:07LIB Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    77.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:22LIB Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:16LIB Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 11:02LIB Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 2:44LIB Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:58LIB Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 4:29EMU Touchdown, down 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1FG
17 plays · 66 yds · 7:1225% → 27%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
74.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 7 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
74.8%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 4 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
74.7%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Darius Boone Jr. for 5 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+6
74.5%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 6 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
74.4%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 4 yds to the Liber 49Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+5
74.2%
Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the Liber 44Similar
Q1 11:54
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+10
73.9%
Samson Evans run for 10 yds to the Liber 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
73.6%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+6
73.6%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 6 yds to the Liber 28Similar
Q1 10:29
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+16
73.5%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 16 yds to the Liber 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
73.2%
Samson Evans run for 6 yds to the Liber 6Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 4
OPP 6
-1
73.0%
Samson Evans sacked by Ahmad Walker and Kendy Charles for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 7Similar
Q1 8:33
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+3
72.8%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the Liber 4Similar
Q1 7:53
4TH & 2
OPP 4
-5
73.1%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Gunnar Oakes) to the Liber 9Similar
Q1 7:48
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+27
72.7%
Chad Ryland 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:3873% → 72%
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
72.8%
Malik Willis run for 5 yds to the Liber 35Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
73.1%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to DJ StubbsSimilar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
72.6%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ DanielsSimilar
Q1 7:04
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
72.4%
Aidan Alves punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:2428% → 28%
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
72.1%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 3 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+2
72.0%
Bryson Moss run for 2 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q1 5:52
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
71.8%
Ben Bryant run for no gain to the EMich 46Similar
Q1 4:40
4TH & 5
OWN 46
+2
72.0%
Jake Julien punt for 46 yds , Demario Douglas returns for 2 yds to the Liber 10 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Liber 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 4TD
5 plays · 85 yds · 1:3271% → 75%
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
71.4%
Shedro Louis run for 1 yd to the Liber 16Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+12
71.3%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 12 yds to the Liber 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
71.4%
Malik Willis run for 6 yds to the Liber 34Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+12
71.9%
Shedro Louis run for 12 yds to the Liber 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
74.7%
DJ Stubbs 54 Yd pass from Malik Willis (Brayden Beck Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5INT TD
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:4126% → 24%
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
74.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tanner Knue for 11 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-27
76.5%
Skyler Thomas 27 Yd Interception Return (Brayden Beck PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:2623% → 29%
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
76.7%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 8 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q1 1:41
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
76.3%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 3 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
76.6%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 13 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
76.2%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 7 yds to the Liber 44Similar
Q1 0:14
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+5
76.0%
Bryant, Ben pass incomplete to Drummond, Dylan, PENALTY LIBERTY pass interference (Lowe, Duron) 5 yards to the LIBERTY39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN EASTMICH.Similar
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
76.1%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 4 yds to the Liber 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+12
75.6%
Samson Evans run for 12 yds to the Liber 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
75.6%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for no gain to the Liber 23Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+5
75.7%
LIBERTY Penalty, Defensive Offside (Stephen Sings V) to the Liber 18Similar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+15
75.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Thomas Odukoya for 15 yds to the Liber 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
76.0%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the Liber 2Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
70.7%
Samson Evans 2 Yd Run (Chad Ryland Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 7TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 0:5473% → 79%
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
72.7%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 7 yds to the Liber 32Similar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
73.3%
T.J. Green run for 4 yds to the Liber 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
73.0%
Willis, Malik pass incomplete to Douglas, Demario, PENALTY EASTMICH pass interference (Shine, Kempton) 15 yards to the EASTMICH49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LIBERTY.Similar
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
73.9%
Willis, Malik pass incomplete to Daniels, CJ, PENALTY EASTMICH pass interference (Carter Jr., David) 15 yards to the EASTMICH34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LIBERTY.Similar
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
78.0%
T.J. Green 34 Yd Run (Jason Stricker PAT failed)Similar
Q2 12:07
1ST & 0
OPP 3
+2
78.6%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Substitution Infraction (2 Yards) to the EMich 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8FUMBLE
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:1323% → 22%
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
77.3%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 14 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
76.7%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-2
76.9%
Bryson Moss run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 37Similar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 12
OWN 37
+8
77.7%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tanner Knue for 8 yds to the EMich 45Similar
Q2 9:54
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
77.7%
Jake Julien punt for 43 yds , DJ Stubbs returns for no gain to the Liber 12 DJ Stubbs fumbled, forced by Alvinoski LaFleur, recovered by Liber DJ StubbsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 9TD
13 plays · 88 yds · 3:3278% → 88%
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
77.8%
Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 18 yds to the Liber 30 LIBERTY Penalty, Personal Foul (CJ Daniels) to the Liber 15Similar
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
77.8%
Malik Willis run for no gain to the Liber 15Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
77.7%
Willis, Malik pass complete to Frith, Noah for 47 yards to the EASTMICH38, PENALTY LIBERTY illegal touching (Frith, Noah) 0 yards to the LIBERTY15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:02
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+39
77.3%
Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 39 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
79.1%
Malik Willis pass complete to Shedro Louis for 3 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q2 8:24
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+3
79.1%
Shedro Louis run for 3 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q2 7:56
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+5
79.5%
Shedro Louis run for 5 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST down LIBERTY Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct ( Yards) to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
80.1%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Noah FrithSimilar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+3
80.1%
T.J. Green run for 3 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q2 6:50
3RD & 7
OPP 32
0
79.7%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Kevin ShaaSimilar
Q2 6:44
4TH & 7
OPP 32
+12
78.9%
Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 12 yds to the EMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
80.5%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ DanielsSimilar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
87.5%
Johnny Huntley 20 Yd pass from Malik Willis (Brayden Beck Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10DOWNS
11 plays · 38 yds · 4:1016% → 15%
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
84.3%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 3 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
84.3%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 5 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q2 5:11
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
84.4%
Samson Evans run for 6 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
84.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tanner Knue for 1 yd to the EMich 40Similar
Q2 4:14
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+15
84.7%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tanner Knue for 15 yds to the Liber 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
83.9%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 7 yds to the Liber 38Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 3
OPP 38
0
83.9%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Dylan SummersSimilar
Q2 3:13
3RD & 3
OPP 38
-10
84.1%
Bryant, Ben rush for 4 yards to the LIBERTY34, PENALTY EASTMICH holding 10 yards to the LIBERTY48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:51
3RD & 13
OPP 48
+9
85.7%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 9 yds to the Liber 39Similar
Q2 2:12
4TH & 4
OPP 39
+2
84.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 2 yds to the Liber 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 11TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 1:5689% → 95%
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
88.6%
Shedro Louis run for 8 yds to the Liber 45Similar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+42
89.1%
Malik Willis pass complete to Trevor Hobbs for 42 yds to the EMich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
89.7%
Shedro Louis run for 4 yds to the EMich 9Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+1
89.7%
Shedro Louis run for 1 yd to the EMich 8Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+6
89.7%
Malik Willis pass complete to Shedro Louis for 4 yds to the EMich 4 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Roughing Passer (Turan Rush) to the EMich 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
94.9%
Malik Willis 2 Yd Run (Brayden Beck Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
93.0%
Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the EMich 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:2694% → 94%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
94.1%
Malik Willis run for 9 yds to the Liber 34Similar
Q3 14:39
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
94.3%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to DJ StubbsSimilar
Q3 14:34
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
94.3%
Green, T.J. rush for 2 yards to the LIBERTY36, PENALTY EASTMICH offside 5 yards to the LIBERTY39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LIBERTY.Similar
Q3 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
94.5%
Malik Willis pass complete to T.J. Green for 2 yds to the Liber 41Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+2
94.7%
T.J. Green run for 2 yds to the Liber 43Similar
Q3 13:16
3RD & 6
OWN 43
-7
94.8%
Malik Willis sacked by Turan Rush for a loss of 7 yards to the Liber 36Similar
Q3 12:34
4TH & 13
OWN 36
0
94.4%
Aidan Alves punt for 63 yds, downed at the EMich 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:585% → 5%
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
94.6%
Ben Bryant run for 1 yd to the EMich 2Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 9
OWN 2
0
95.0%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q3 11:50
3RD & 9
OWN 2
0
95.1%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q3 11:36
4TH & 9
OWN 2
-3
95.2%
Jake Julien punt for 47 yds , Demario Douglas returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Liber 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 15TD
2 plays · 52 yds · 0:3495% → 99%
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+17
95.4%
Shedro Louis run for 17 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
98.9%
Malik Willis 35 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16DOWNS
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:221% → 1%
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.0%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 11 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.0%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 2 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q3 10:09
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+4
99.1%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 4 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q3 9:26
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+2
99.1%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q3 8:40
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
99.2%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Bryson CannonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 17FG
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:3299% → 99%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
99.3%
Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 15 yds to the EMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
99.4%
T.J. Green run for 3 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 7
OPP 26
0
99.5%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Johnny HuntleySimilar
Q3 7:52
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+1
99.5%
T.J. Green run for 1 yd to the EMich 25Similar
Q3 7:08
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+43
99.4%
Brayden Beck 43 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:021% → 1%
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.5%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 2 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q3 6:29
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.4%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:19
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.4%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Samson EvansSimilar
Q3 6:06
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.4%
Jake Julien punt for 46 yds, fair catch by DJ Stubbs at the Liber 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 19TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 3:22100% → 100%
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
99.5%
Malik Willis run for 8 yds to the Liber 35Similar
Q3 5:39
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+7
99.5%
Shedro Louis run for 7 yds to the Liber 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
99.6%
Shedro Louis run for 7 yds to the Liber 49Similar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+7
99.6%
Shedro Louis run for 7 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.6%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Noah FrithSimilar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+34
99.6%
T.J. Green run for 34 yds to the EMich 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
99.6%
T.J. Green run for 7 yds to the EMich 3Similar
Q3 2:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.6%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ DanielsSimilar
Q3 2:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.7%
Demario Douglas 3 Yd pass from Malik Willis (Brayden Beck Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20DOWNS
13 plays · 61 yds · 3:330% → 0%
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q3 2:03
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+19
99.8%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 19 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.8%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+15
99.8%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Summers for 15 yds to the Liber 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
99.8%
DJ Smith run for 4 yds to the Liber 35Similar
Q3 0:42
2ND & 6
OPP 35
-8
99.8%
Ben Bryant sacked by Ahmad Walker and Storey Jackson for a loss of 8 yards to the Liber 43Similar
Q3 0:21
3RD & 14
OPP 43
+21
99.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Zach Westmoreland for 21 yds to the Liber 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
99.8%
DJ Smith run for 8 yds to the Liber 14Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 14
0
99.8%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+1
99.8%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 1 yd to the Liber 13Similar
Q4 14:11
4TH & 1
OPP 13
-1
99.8%
Darius Boone Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:35100% → 100%
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
99.8%
Troy Henderson run for 2 yds to the Liber 16Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 8
OWN 16
0
99.8%
Malik Willis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:28
3RD & 8
OWN 16
-8
99.8%
Willis, Malik rush for 15 yards to the LIBERTY31, PENALTY LIBERTY holding (Bounds, Damian) 8 yards to the LIBERTY8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:58
3RD & 16
OWN 8
0
99.9%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Kevin ShaaSimilar
Q4 12:36
4TH & 16
OWN 8
+5
99.9%
Aidan Alves punt for 59 yds , Hassan Beydoun returns for 5 yds to the EMich 13 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Personal Foul (Peyton Price) to the EMich 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:300% → 0%
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Bryson CannonSimilar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+1
99.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Dylan Summers for 1 yd to the EMich 24Similar
Q4 11:54
3RD & 9
OWN 24
-10
99.9%
Ben Bryant sacked by Christopher Boti and Khristian Zachary for a loss of 10 yards to the EMich 14Similar
Q4 11:06
4TH & 19
OWN 14
0
99.9%
Jake Julien punt for 50 yds, fair catch by DJ Stubbs at the Liber 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 23TD
1 play · 64 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
99.9%
Kevin Shaa 64 Yd pass from Johnathan Bennett (Brayden Beck Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 24FG
14 plays · 58 yds · 5:180% → 0%
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+12
99.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 12 yds to the EMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
99.9%
Hutchinson, Preston pass incomplete to Summers, Dylan, PENALTY LIBERTY personal foul (Jackson, Storey) 15 yards to the EASTMICH44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN EASTMICH. Storey Jackson ejected for Targeting. Similar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
99.9%
Preston Hutchinson run for 9 yds to the Liber 47Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 1
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Preston Hutchinson run for no gain to the Liber 47Similar
Q4 8:56
3RD & 1
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Samson Evans run for no gain to the Liber 47Similar
Q4 8:15
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+5
100.0%
Preston Hutchinson run for 5 yds to the Liber 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-6
100.0%
Preston Hutchinson sacked by TreShaun Clark for a loss of 6 yards to the Liber 48Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 16
OPP 48
+5
100.0%
Preston Hutchinson run for 5 yds to the Liber 43Similar
Q4 6:13
3RD & 11
OPP 43
+18
100.0%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 18 yds to the Liber 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
100.0%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q4 5:43
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
100.0%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q4 5:38
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
100.0%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q4 5:26
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+43
100.0%
Chad Ryland 43 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 25INT TD
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:57100% → 100%
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Troy Henderson run for no gain to the Liber 25Similar
Q4 4:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-34
99.9%
Jeff Hubbard 34 Yd Interception Return (Chad Ryland Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 26DOWNS
7 plays · 13 yds · 3:20100% → 100%
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
99.9%
Troy Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 28Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+13
99.9%
Troy Henderson run for 13 yds to the Liber 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
100.0%
Kaidon Salter run for 6 yds to the Liber 47Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+1
100.0%
Troy Henderson run for 1 yd to the Liber 48Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 3
OWN 48
0
100.0%
Kaidon Salter run for no gain to the Liber 48Similar
Q4 1:04
4TH & 3
OWN 48
-6
100.0%
Kaidon Salter sacked by Michael Smith Jr. and Jose Ramirez for a loss of 6 yards to the Liber 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 27END OF GAME
4 plays · 38 yds · 0:540% → 0%
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+14
100.0%
Bryson Moss run for 14 yds to the Liber 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
100.0%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 15 yds to the Liber 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
100.0%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 5 yds to the Liber 8Similar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+4
100.0%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 4 yds to the Liber 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:22
Johnny Huntley 20 Yd pass from Malik Willis (Brayden Beck Kick)
+7
TD · Q2 13:01
Samson Evans 2 Yd Run (Chad Ryland Kick)
-5.2
TD · Q2 0:16
Malik Willis 2 Yd Run (Brayden Beck Kick)
+5.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com