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UAB

UAB 31 at BYU 28

BYU
2021 · Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl · Dec 18, 2021 · Independence Stadium
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Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playBYU scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG-3.2BYU 53.3%Matt Quinn 38 yd FG GOODAWAY 24 - HOME 21 · Q3 7:27
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:27 · Matt Quinn 38 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 95Pregame prior+6.4Home team on offense−4.8Score differential−2.8Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:19: Samson Nacua run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +10.3 pts (now 67%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:18: Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 23 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +11.1 pts (now 54%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:43: Tyler Allgeier run for 62 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +16.4 pts (now 65%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:33: Tyler Allgeier run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +18.7 pts (now 79%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:17: Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 14 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +42.2 pts (now 67%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BYU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6UAB made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 12:28UAB 4th & 7 at UAB 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:52BYU 4th & 16 at BYU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:50BYU 4th & 7 at UAB 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    60.4%−0.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    60.1%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:37UAB 4th & 14 at UAB 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%−2.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:44BYU 4th & 1 at UAB 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    49.0%−2.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    49.1%−2.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:09BYU 4th & 9 at UAB 39, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.7%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    48.6%
    36% to make
    Punt
    47.0%−1.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:27UAB 4th & 18 at BYU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.9%−3.9
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    30.1%−9.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:38BYU 4th & 1 at UAB 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    50.1%−4.7
    51% to make
    Punt
    48.1%−6.7
    average punt
  9. Q4 7:58UAB 4th & 1 at BYU 20, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    30.1%−3.7
    75% to make
    Punt
    18.1%−15.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:17UAB 4th & 7 at BYU 14, down 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 3.4 ptsWent for it · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.5%−3.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    31.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    17.0%−14.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:50BYU 4th & 4 at BYU 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    29.3%−2.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BYU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UAB made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 6:26UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:02UAB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:48BYU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:19BYU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:18UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:43BYU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:33BYU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:17UAB Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.6%−2.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:0733% → 33%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
67.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 11 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
67.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
-2
66.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to TJ Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 37Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+2
66.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 2 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q1 12:28
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
66.9%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BYU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:3067% → 66%
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
66.9%
Baylor Romney pass incomplete to Gunner RomneySimilar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+1
66.8%
Tyler Allgeier run for 1 yd to the BYU 28Similar
Q1 11:34
3RD & 9
OWN 28
-7
66.6%
Gunner Romney run for a loss of 7 yards to the BYU 21Similar
Q1 10:52
4TH & 16
OWN 21
+4
66.3%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 43 yds , Starling Thomas V returns for 4 yds to the UAB 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3TD
9 plays · 60 yds · 4:0134% → 38%
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
66.2%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+5
66.2%
Dylan Hopkins run for 5 yds to the UAB 47Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+15
65.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 15 yds to the BYU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
65.6%
DeWayne McBride run for 10 yds to the BYU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
65.4%
DeWayne McBride run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 29Similar
Q1 7:36
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+4
65.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 4 yds to the BYU 25Similar
Q1 6:55
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+15
65.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 15 yds to the BYU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
62.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 10 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 4DOWNS
10 plays · 39 yds · 4:2463% → 61%
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+14
63.2%
Tyler Allgeier run for 14 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
63.6%
BYU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BYU 37Similar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+9
62.7%
Baylor Romney pass complete to Puka Nacua for 9 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 6
OWN 46
-6
63.3%
Tyler Allgeier run for a loss of 6 yards to the BYU 40Similar
Q1 3:39
3RD & 12
OWN 40
+21
61.7%
Baylor Romney pass complete to Keanu Hill for 6 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, Personal Foul (Tyler Taylor) to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
63.1%
Baylor Romney pass incomplete to Gunner RomneySimilar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+2
62.9%
Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds to the UAB 37Similar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+1
62.2%
Baylor Romney run for 1 yd to the UAB 36Similar
Q1 1:50
4TH & 7
OPP 36
+3
61.2%
Baylor Romney pass complete to Tyler Allgeier for 3 yds to the UAB 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5TD
2 plays · 67 yds · 0:3940% → 47%
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
59.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the UAB 36Similar
Q1 1:02
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+64
53.5%
DeWayne McBride run for 64 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 2:4855% → 60%
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+35
54.7%
Tyler Allgeier run for 35 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
54.3%
Tyler Allgeier run for 6 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+18
54.6%
Tyler Allgeier run for 18 yds to the UAB 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
54.2%
Baylor Romney pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+8
54.1%
Tyler Allgeier run for 8 yds to the UAB 5Similar
Q2 13:45
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+4
53.0%
Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the UAB 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 0
OPP 1
0
54.2%
UAB Penalty, Substitution Infraction ( Yards) to the UAB 1Similar
Q2 13:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
52.8%
Tyler Allgeier run for no gain to the UAB 1Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
60.4%
Tyler Allgeier run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:5743% → 42%
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
57.4%
DeWayne McBride run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 22Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-5
57.5%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Tyler Batty for a loss of 5 yards to the UAB 17Similar
Q2 11:11
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+4
57.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Ryan Davis for 4 yds to the UAB 21Similar
Q2 10:37
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+13
57.9%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 42 yds , Hobbs Nyberg returns for 13 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8TD
5 plays · 50 yds · 1:5158% → 67%
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
50
+37
58.2%
Baylor Romney pass complete to Gunner Romney for 37 yds to the UAB 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
58.8%
Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the UAB 10Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 7
OPP 10
-3
58.5%
Tyler Allgeier run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 13Similar
Q2 8:42
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+11
57.1%
Baylor Romney pass complete to Tyler Allgeier for 9 yds to the UAB 4 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, Roughing Passer (2 Yards) to the UAB 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
67.4%
Samson Nacua run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 4:2938% → 54%
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
61.7%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the UAB 23Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+3
61.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 3 yds to the UAB 26Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+14
62.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Ryan Davis for 14 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
59.7%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 15 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
58.6%
DeWayne McBride run for 5 yds to the BYU 40Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+1
58.0%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the BYU 39Similar
Q2 4:34
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+7
58.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 7 yds to the BYU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
57.1%
DeWayne McBride run for 9 yds to the BYU 23Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+23
46.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 23 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10DOWNS
15 plays · 34 yds · 2:3950% → 48%
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-7
49.9%
Miles Davis run for a loss of 7 yards to the BYU 20Similar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 17
OWN 20
+9
48.9%
Baylor Romney pass complete to Masen Wake for 9 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+17
47.9%
Baylor Romney pass complete to Gunner Romney for 17 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
51.0%
Baylor Romney pass complete to Gunner Romney for 1 yd to the BYU 47Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+8
50.8%
Tyler Allgeier run for 8 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 1
OPP 45
-5
51.9%
BYU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 6
50
+5
50.8%
Tyler Allgeier run for 5 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+5
50.6%
Tyler Allgeier run for 5 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
52.0%
Baylor Romney sacked by Fish McWilliams for a loss of 5 yards to the UAB 45Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 15
OPP 45
+6
49.6%
Baylor Romney pass complete to Dallin Holker for 6 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 9
OPP 39
0
50.4%
Baylor Romney pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:09
4TH & 9
OPP 39
0
47.6%
Baylor Romney pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
43.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 12TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:0248% → 65%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
48.1%
Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
48.1%
Baylor Romney pass complete to Samson Nacua for 10 yds to the BYU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+62
64.5%
Tyler Allgeier run for 62 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13FG
13 plays · 54 yds · 5:4641% → 47%
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
59.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
59.1%
DeWayne McBride run for 6 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q3 12:10
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
58.6%
DeWayne McBride run for 4 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+18
58.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 18 yds to the BYU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
56.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 45Similar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 11
OPP 45
0
56.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:58
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+32
58.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Ryan Davis for 32 yds to the BYU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
54.4%
DeWayne McBride run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 14Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 11
OPP 14
-2
54.3%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Tyler Batty for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 16Similar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 13
OPP 16
-5
56.4%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Tyler Batty and Fisher Jackson for a loss of 5 yards to the BYU 21Similar
Q3 7:27
4TH & 18
OPP 21
+38
53.3%
Matt Quinn 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 14DOWNS
8 plays · 40 yds · 2:3755% → 57%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
55.2%
Baylor Romney pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:06
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+11
54.4%
Baylor Romney pass complete to Dallin Holker for 11 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+20
56.2%
Puka Nacua run for 20 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
58.9%
Baylor Romney pass incomplete to Puka NacuaSimilar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+6
58.7%
Tyler Allgeier run for 6 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q3 5:15
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+3
59.0%
Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q3 4:38
4TH & 1
OPP 32
0
56.7%
Masen Wake run for no gain to the UAB 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15INT
5 plays · 11 yds · 2:0151% → 54%
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
48.6%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+5
48.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 5 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+4
46.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 4 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
45.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:26
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-8
46.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass intercepted Hayden Livingston return for 8 yds to the BYU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 16TD
8 plays · 52 yds · 2:3257% → 79%
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
56.8%
Tyler Allgeier run for 5 yds to the UAB 47Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+3
57.5%
Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the UAB 44Similar
Q3 0:55
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+2
56.8%
Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
57.1%
Baylor Romney pass complete to Samson Nacua for 9 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q3 0:15
2ND & 1
OPP 33
0
60.0%
Baylor Romney pass incomplete to Puka NacuaSimilar
Q3 0:05
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+3
57.0%
Baylor Romney run for 3 yds to the UAB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+29
59.9%
Baylor Romney pass complete to Masen Wake for 29 yds to the UAB 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
78.6%
Tyler Allgeier run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 7:5727% → 67%
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
72.7%
DeWayne McBride run for 7 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+10
70.2%
DeWayne McBride run for 10 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
70.5%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the UAB 44Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+7
70.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 7 yds to the BYU 49Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+6
69.1%
DeWayne McBride run for 6 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
68.5%
DeWayne McBride run for 9 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+5
66.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 5 yds to the BYU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
65.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 6 yds to the BYU 23Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+3
65.8%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the BYU 20Similar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 1
OPP 20
0
68.0%
DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the BYU 20Similar
Q4 7:58
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+3
70.1%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the BYU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
66.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the BYU 16Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+2
72.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to TJ Jones for 2 yds to the BYU 14Similar
Q4 6:30
3RD & 7
OPP 14
0
74.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:17
4TH & 7
OPP 14
+14
32.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 14 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18FUMBLE
6 plays · 45 yds · 2:1944% → 46%
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
44.2%
Tyler Allgeier run for 6 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+2
44.7%
Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds to the BYU 35Similar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 2
OWN 35
-2
42.9%
Tyler Allgeier run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 33Similar
Q4 3:50
4TH & 4
OWN 33
+17
39.9%
Baylor Romney pass complete to Masen Wake for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
50
+22
45.6%
Baylor Romney pass complete to Samson Nacua for 22 yds Samson Nacua fumbled, recovered by UAB Mac McWilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19END OF GAME
12 plays · 58 yds · 3:0873% → 96%
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
26.7%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 6 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+16
24.8%
DeWayne McBride run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
50
+15
19.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 15 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
12.3%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+9
9.8%
DeWayne McBride run for 9 yds to the BYU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
9.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the BYU 21Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+6
9.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 6 yds to the BYU 15Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+2
7.2%
Dylan Hopkins run for 2 yds to the BYU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
4.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:17
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 14 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)
-42.2
TD · Q4 14:33
Tyler Allgeier run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)
+18.7
TD · Q3 13:43
Tyler Allgeier run for 62 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)
+16.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com