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UTEP

UTEP 24 at Fresno State 31

FRES
2021 · PUBG Mobile New Mexico Bowl · Dec 18, 2021 · University Stadium (NM)
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Win probability · FRES
modelFRES aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playFRES scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDTDFGSAFETYEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:37 · Joshua Sloan punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Zane Pope at the FrsSt 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 26Pregame prior+29.5Home team on offense−0.5Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Blowout margin+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:52: Jordan Mims run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK) — FRES win probability +9.8 pts (now 73%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. FG · Q2 0:04: Cesar Silva 45 yd FG GOOD — FRES win probability +8.4 pts (now 78%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:17: Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 22 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK) — FRES win probability +12.8 pts (now 88%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:10: Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to Trent Thompson for 51 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK) — UTEP win probability +19.8 pts (now 35%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. SAFETY · Q4 7:05: Gavin Hardison sacked by Arron Mosby for a loss of 10 yards for a SAFETY Gavin Hardison fumbled, recovered by UTEP Elijah Klein , return for 0 yards for a SAFETY — FRES win probability +12.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FRES made the numbers' call on 5 of 7UTEP made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 9:03UTEP 4th & 1 at FRES 1, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    19.4%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    18.7%−1.0
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:26FRES 4th & 16 at FRES 19, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.8%−0.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:37UTEP 4th & 4 at UTEP 33, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:31FRES 4th & 7 at UTEP 25, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.7%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.8%
    66% to make
    Punt
    75.2%−1.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:49UTEP 4th & 9 at FRES 21, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.0%
    74% to make
    Punt
    21.2%−1.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:35FRES 4th & 10 at FRES 23, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.8%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:55FRES 4th & 7 at FRES 6, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:54UTEP 4th & 1 at FRES 1, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    28.0%−1.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    23.4%−6.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:42UTEP 4th & 10 at midfield, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:28UTEP 4th & 7 at FRES 35, down 2
    Close callKicked a field goal · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.2%−0.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    28.3%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:23FRES 4th & 7 at UTEP 35, up 2
    Close callKicked a field goal · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.7%−0.6
    45% to make
    Punt
    71.7%−1.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:07UTEP 4th & 24 at UTEP 36, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%−4.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:04FRES 4th & 3 at UTEP 4, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.9 ptsKicked a field goal · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.9%−2.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    50.9%−21.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:27FRES 4th & 6 at FRES 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:08UTEP 4th & 5 at UTEP 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.0%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FRES made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UTEP made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:44FRES Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    80.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:03UTEP Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:54UTEP Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:52FRES Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:17FRES Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:10UTEP Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FRESDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:1684% → 84%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
83.5%
FRESNO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-12 Yards) to the FrsSt 13Similar
Q1 14:50
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+38
83.5%
Jordan Mims run for 38 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+17
83.4%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 17 yds to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
83.3%
Jordan Mims run for 4 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+20
83.1%
Jake Haener pass complete to Tre Watson for 20 yds to the UTEP 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:48
1ST & 0
OPP 8
+6
83.2%
UTEP Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (6 Yards) to the UTEP 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
83.4%
Jordan Mims run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva PAT MISSED)Similar
Q1 12:44
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-5
83.5%
FRESNO ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:1517% → 18%
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+22
83.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Ronald Awatt for 22 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-4
83.0%
Ronald Awatt run for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 38Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 14
OWN 38
+53
82.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 53 yds to the FrsSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
82.5%
Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 6Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
82.4%
Ronald Awatt run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 2Similar
Q1 9:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
82.4%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 1Similar
Q1 9:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
81.6%
G. Hardison pass,to T. Thompson for 1 yd for a TD, (G. Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:1181% → 80%
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
81.2%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 2 yds to the FrsSt 27Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-8
81.1%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jake Haener for a loss of 8 yards to the FrsSt 19Similar
Q1 7:36
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
80.6%
Jake Haener pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:26
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
80.4%
Carson King punt for 54 yds, downed at the UTEP 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:3219% → 19%
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
80.9%
Deion Hankins run for 6 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 4
OWN 33
0
80.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:43
3RD & 4
OWN 33
0
80.8%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:37
4TH & 4
OWN 33
0
81.0%
Joshua Sloan punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Zane Pope at the FrsSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 5FG
11 plays · 52 yds · 4:5280% → 80%
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
80.4%
Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 26Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 6
OWN 26
0
80.3%
Jake Haener pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:56
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+8
79.9%
Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for 8 yds to the FrsSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
79.9%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 8 yds to the FrsSt 42Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+18
80.4%
Jake Haener pass complete to Raymond Pauwels Jr. for 18 yds to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
80.3%
Jordan Mims run for 5 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+7
80.4%
Jordan Mims run for 7 yds to the UTEP 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
80.3%
Jake Haener pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+2
80.2%
Jake Haener run for 2 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q1 2:07
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+1
79.7%
Jake Haener run for 1 yd to the UTEP 25Similar
Q1 1:31
4TH & 7
OPP 25
+42
80.2%
Cesar Silva 42 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6FG
8 plays · 54 yds · 1:3420% → 23%
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
79.9%
Justin Garrett run for 12 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+41
79.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to James Tupou for 41 yds to the FrsSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
78.0%
Ronald Awatt run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 16Similar
Q2 14:58
2ND & 4
OPP 16
0
78.0%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:58
3RD & 4
OPP 16
-5
78.4%
UTEP Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 21Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 9
OPP 21
0
78.5%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Jacob CowingSimilar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 9
OPP 21
+38
77.2%
Gavin Baechle 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:0378% → 76%
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
77.8%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Keric WheatfallSimilar
Q2 14:28
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
77.6%
Jordan Mims run for no gain to the FrsSt 23Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 10
OWN 23
0
76.6%
Jake Haener pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:35
4TH & 10
OWN 23
0
76.2%
Carson King punt for 40 yds, downed at the UTEP 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8INT
3 plays · 28 yds · 1:1124% → 26%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
75.9%
Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+26
75.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 26 yds to the FrsSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
74.0%
Gavin Hardison pass intercepted Elijah Gates return for no gain to the FrsSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0176% → 75%
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
76.0%
Jordan Mims run for no gain to the FrsSt 3Similar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+3
75.8%
Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 6Similar
Q2 11:07
3RD & 7
OWN 6
0
74.9%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Jalen CropperSimilar
Q2 10:55
4TH & 7
OWN 6
-5
74.6%
Carson King punt for 59 yds , Justin Garrett returns for a loss of 5 yards to the UTEP 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10TD
13 plays · 70 yds · 3:5525% → 38%
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
74.8%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+25
75.1%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 25 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
73.4%
Gavin Hardison run for 10 yds to the FrsSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
72.2%
Reynaldo Flores pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+15
72.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Ronald Awatt for 15 yds to the FrsSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
71.5%
Ronald Awatt run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 13Similar
Q2 8:27
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+11
71.1%
FRESNO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (11 Yards) to the FrsSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
71.0%
Deion Hankins run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 3Similar
Q2 7:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
69.3%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 2Similar
Q2 7:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
69.7%
Ronald Awatt run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 1Similar
Q2 6:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
62.2%
Ronald Awatt run for 1 yd for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 11TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:4863% → 73%
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
62.9%
Jake Haener pass complete to Raymond Pauwels Jr. for 6 yds to the FrsSt 31Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
63.6%
Jordan Mims run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
63.7%
Jordan Mims run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 48Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 2
OWN 48
0
64.0%
Josh Kelly run for no gain to the FrsSt 48Similar
Q2 4:27
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+16
62.6%
Jalen Cropper run for 16 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
62.7%
Jordan Mims run for 6 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+7
64.1%
Jordan Mims run for 7 yds to the UTEP 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+21
63.4%
Jake Haener pass complete to Tre Watson for 21 yds to the UTEP 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
62.8%
Jordan Mims run for 1 yd to the UTEP 1Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
72.7%
Jordan Mims run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:5332% → 31%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
67.6%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
50
0
65.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 10
50
0
65.8%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Jacob CowingSimilar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 10
50
0
66.8%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Jacob CowingSimilar
Q2 0:42
4TH & 10
50
0
68.6%
Joshua Sloan punt for 21 yds, downed at the FrsSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 13FG
9 plays · 43 yds · 0:3168% → 78%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
67.6%
Jake Haener pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+14
67.0%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 14 yds to the FrsSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
69.5%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 11 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+19
70.5%
Jake Haener pass complete to Keric Wheatfall for 19 yds to the UTEP 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
71.6%
Jake Haener sacked by Torey Richardson for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 28Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 11
OPP 28
0
71.5%
Jake Haener pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 11
OPP 28
+45
78.2%
Cesar Silva 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15MISSED FG
11 plays · 40 yds · 4:2725% → 28%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-11
75.0%
UTEP Penalty, Illegal Block (-11 Yards) to the UTEP 14Similar
Q3 14:30
1ST & 21
OWN 14
+7
75.0%
Gavin Hardison run for 7 yds to the UTEP 21Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+9
74.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Ronald Awatt for 9 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q3 13:26
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+15
74.8%
FRESNO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
72.2%
Deion Hankins run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 47Similar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+9
71.1%
Deion Hankins run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
71.0%
Ronald Awatt run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 37Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+2
70.9%
Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 35Similar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 7
OPP 35
0
70.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:28
4TH & 7
OPP 35
+52
72.3%
Gavin Baechle 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 16MISSED FG
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:3774% → 74%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
74.2%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 4 yds to the FrsSt 39Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+6
75.7%
Jordan Mims run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
75.8%
Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for 2 yds to the FrsSt 47Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+15
75.9%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 15 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
76.4%
Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
77.0%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Malik SherrodSimilar
Q3 7:29
3RD & 7
OPP 35
0
75.8%
Jake Haener pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:23
4TH & 7
OPP 35
+52
73.7%
Cesar Silva 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 2:1229% → 27%
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
71.3%
FRESNO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
50
-9
68.3%
Gavin Hardison sacked by Levelle Bailey for a loss of 9 yards to the UTEP 41Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 19
OWN 41
-5
71.0%
UTEP Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 36Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 24
OWN 36
-10
71.7%
UTEP Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UTEP 26Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 34
OWN 26
0
72.1%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Tyrin SmithSimilar
Q3 5:37
3RD & 34
OWN 26
+10
72.8%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 10 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q3 5:07
4TH & 24
OWN 36
+3
73.2%
Joshua Sloan punt for 52 yds , Zane Pope returns for 3 yds to the FrsSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 18TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 3:2372% → 88%
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
71.6%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 6 yds to the FrsSt 21Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+7
71.7%
Jordan Mims run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
71.8%
Jake Haener pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+2
71.3%
Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 30Similar
Q3 2:40
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+37
69.7%
Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 37 yds to the UTEP 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
75.6%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for no gain to the UTEP 33Similar
Q3 1:54
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+11
75.5%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 11 yds to the UTEP 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
88.3%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 22 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:5614% → 35%
Q3 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
86.1%
Deion Hankins run for 6 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q3 0:37
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
85.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 9 yds to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
85.1%
Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+6
84.8%
Ronald Awatt run for 6 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+51
65.0%
Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to Trent Thompson for 51 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 20FG
14 plays · 71 yds · 4:5370% → 80%
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
70.4%
Jake Haener pass complete to Raymond Pauwels Jr. for 5 yds to the FrsSt 30Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-3
70.8%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for a loss of 3 yards to the FrsSt 27Similar
Q4 12:46
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+12
69.9%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 12 yds to the FrsSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
73.1%
Jordan Mims run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 38Similar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 11
OWN 38
0
72.3%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Josh KellySimilar
Q4 11:20
3RD & 11
OWN 38
+15
70.4%
Jake Haener pass complete to Keric Wheatfall for 15 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
75.2%
Jordan Mims run for 9 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+3
75.2%
Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+24
76.1%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 24 yds to the UTEP 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
76.1%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Josh KellySimilar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+7
76.1%
Jordan Mims run for 7 yds to the UTEP 4Similar
Q4 9:08
3RD & 3
OPP 4
0
74.4%
Jake Haener pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:04
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+21
80.3%
Cesar Silva 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21SF
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:2525% → 12%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
75.5%
Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the UTEP 9Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 7
OWN 9
-4
75.8%
UTEP Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-4 Yards) to the UTEP 5Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 11
OWN 5
+5
75.7%
Ronald Awatt run for 5 yds to the UTEP 10Similar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 6
OWN 10
0
87.9%
Gavin Hardison sacked by Arron Mosby for a loss of 10 yards for a SAFETY Gavin Hardison fumbled, recovered by UTEP Elijah Klein , return for 0 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1290% → 91%
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
90.1%
Jordan Mims run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 39Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
91.2%
Jake Haener pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:42
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
91.2%
Jake Haener pass complete to Raymond Pauwels Jr. for no gain to the FrsSt 39Similar
Q4 5:27
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
90.5%
Carson King punt for 45 yds , Justin Garrett returns for no gain to the UTEP 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 23FUMBLE
7 plays · 32 yds · 1:1713% → 11%
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
87.0%
Deion Hankins run for 5 yds to the UTEP 21Similar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 5
OWN 21
0
87.5%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:32
3RD & 5
OWN 21
0
90.2%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:08
4TH & 5
OWN 21
+27
92.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 27 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
88.8%
Gavin Hardison run for 10 yds to the FrsSt 42 Gavin Hardison fumbled, recovered by FrsSt Levelle BaileySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 24END OF GAME
6 plays · 29 yds · 3:4695% → 97%
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
95.0%
Jordan Mims run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 49Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+7
95.6%
Jordan Mims run for 7 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
95.9%
Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+13
96.1%
Jordan Mims run for 13 yds to the UTEP 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
97.2%
Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 8
OPP 27
-2
97.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:10
Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to Trent Thompson for 51 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)
-19.8
TD · Q3 1:17
Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 22 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK)
+12.8
SAFETY · Q4 7:05
Gavin Hardison sacked by Arron Mosby for a loss of 10 yards for a SAFETY Gavin Hardison fumbled, recovered by UTEP Elijah Klein , return for 0 yards for a SAFETY
+12.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com