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WKU

Western Kentucky 59 at App State 38

APP
2021 · RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl · Dec 18, 2021 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · APP
modelAPP aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playAPP scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:53 · Chase Brice pass incomplete to Christian Wells
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+55.5+27.80−27.8−55.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 143Home team on offense−36.5Score differential−21.3Garbage-time factor−12.4Pregame prior+1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:29: Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 10 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK) — WKU win probability +11.4 pts (now 63%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:49: Noah Whittington run for 86 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK) — WKU win probability +19.0 pts (now 72%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:56: Bailey Zappe pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 2 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK) — WKU win probability +11.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:38: Chase Brice pass complete to Christian Wells for 62 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +17.0 pts (now 23%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:43: Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 37 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK) — WKU win probability +11.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
APP made the numbers' call on 4 of 9WKU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 10:42APP 4th & 1 at WKU 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    48.1%−0.3
    77% to make
    Punt
    47.2%−1.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:23WKU 4th & 23 at WKU 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%−1.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:02WKU 4th & 11 at WKU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.6%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:09APP 4th & 8 at APP 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.7%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:48WKU 4th & 6 at APP 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    45.9%−3.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:55APP 4th & 4 at WKU 11, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.7%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.2%−0.5
    87% to make
    Punt
    41.7%−6.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:05APP 4th & 8 at APP 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.3%−1.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:34APP 4th & 12 at APP 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−1.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:53APP 4th & 17 at WKU 27, down 21
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.5 ptsWent for it · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.7%−1.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    5.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−3.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:00WKU 4th & 5 at APP 20, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.7%
    75% to make
    Punt
    96.1%−1.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:01APP 4th & 5 at WKU 44, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−<0.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:03APP 4th & 6 at WKU 22, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    72% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:12WKU 4th & 3 at WKU 30, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:21APP 4th & 5 at WKU 20, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%
    75% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
APP made the numbers' call on 4 of 5WKU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 13:14WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:25APP Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:11WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:11APP Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:57APP Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 6:54WKU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:29WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 12:49WKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 5:56WKU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 5:38APP Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 2:43WKU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 9:40WKU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 1:55APP Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 1:3443% → 44%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
56.8%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Jerreth SternsSimilar
Q1 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
56.8%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Noah WhittingtonSimilar
Q1 14:37
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+17
56.8%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 17 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+17
56.8%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Daewood Davis for 17 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
56.8%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Mitchell TinsleySimilar
Q1 14:07
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+39
56.7%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Daewood Davis for 39 yds to the AppSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
56.7%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Joey Beljan for no gain to the AppSt 1Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
56.1%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 1 yd for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 2INT
10 plays · 59 yds · 3:4756% → 56%
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
56.3%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Jalen VirgilSimilar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+47
56.2%
Nate Noel run for 47 yds to the WKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
56.4%
Chase Brice pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 6 yds to the WKent 22Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+2
56.3%
Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the WKent 20Similar
Q1 11:22
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+1
56.1%
Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd to the WKent 19Similar
Q1 10:42
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+2
55.8%
Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the WKent 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
56.0%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Thomas HenniganSimilar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+1
56.0%
Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the WKent 16Similar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 9
OPP 16
0
55.7%
Chase Brice pass intercepted Michael Pitts return for no gain to the WKent 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 2:3945% → 46%
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
54.8%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 8 yds to the WKent 23Similar
Q1 8:54
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+5
54.4%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 5 yds to the WKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
54.3%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 27Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 11
OWN 27
-3
54.1%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Joey Beljan for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 24Similar
Q1 6:47
3RD & 14
OWN 24
-9
54.1%
Bailey Zappe sacked by Nick Hampton for a loss of 9 yards to the WKent 15Similar
Q1 6:23
4TH & 23
OWN 15
+14
54.2%
John Haggerty III punt for 62 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for 14 yds to the AppSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 2:3554% → 58%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
54.0%
Daetrich Harrington run for 2 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
54.1%
Chase Brice pass complete to Cooper Hodges for no gain to the AppSt 39Similar
Q1 5:04
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+16
53.4%
Chase Brice pass complete to Christan Horn for 16 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
54.5%
Daetrich Harrington run for 7 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+2
54.4%
Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q1 3:25
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+36
58.4%
Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 36 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
52.2%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 75 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 1:4653% → 58%
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
52.7%
Chase Brice pass complete to Christian Wells for 7 yds to the AppSt 31Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+3
52.8%
Daetrich Harrington run for 3 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
52.2%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Christan HornSimilar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+6
52.0%
Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the AppSt 40Similar
Q1 1:11
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+60
58.1%
Chase Brice pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 60 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 2:0243% → 42%
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
56.6%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 4 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q1 0:32
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
56.3%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Malachi Corley for no gain to the WKent 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-5
56.9%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Mitchell Tinsley) to the WKent 24Similar
Q2 14:43
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
57.3%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Adam Cofield for no gain to the WKent 24Similar
Q2 14:02
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+14
57.8%
John Haggerty III punt for 58 yds , Malik Williams returns for 14 yds to the AppSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:3158% → 57%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
57.9%
Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the AppSt 34Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
57.9%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Malik WilliamsSimilar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 8
OWN 34
0
57.3%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Thomas HenniganSimilar
Q2 13:09
4TH & 8
OWN 34
0
56.5%
Clayton Howell punt for 36 yds, downed at the WKent 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9FG
8 plays · 64 yds · 1:1444% → 46%
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
56.4%
Zappe, Bailey pass incomplete to Sterns, Jerreth, PENALTY APP STATE holding (Smith, Kaiden) 10 yards to the WESTERNKY40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTERNKY.Similar
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
55.5%
Noah Whittington run for 15 yds to the AppSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
54.8%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 6 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+33
54.5%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 33 yds to the AppSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
54.0%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Jerreth SternsSimilar
Q2 11:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
54.0%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Mitchell TinsleySimilar
Q2 11:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
54.7%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Jerreth SternsSimilar
Q2 11:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
53.9%
Brayden Narveson 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 10TD
6 plays · 61 yds · 2:3556% → 63%
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
55.7%
Daetrich Harrington run for 3 yds to the AppSt 42Similar
Q2 10:59
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+3
56.7%
Daetrich Harrington run for 3 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
Q2 10:13
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+10
56.1%
Chase Brice pass complete to Henry Pearson for 10 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
56.8%
Daetrich Harrington run for 12 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
62.9%
Chase Brice pass complete to Dashaun Davis for 33 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:5840% → 50%
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
60.1%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 6 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
59.3%
Noah Whittington run for 6 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+40
60.0%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 40 yds to the AppSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
57.3%
Noah Whittington run for 8 yds to the AppSt 15Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 2
OPP 15
+12
57.3%
Kye Robichaux run for 12 yds to the AppSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
57.3%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Mitchell TinsleySimilar
Q2 7:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
57.3%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 5Similar
Q2 6:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
50.3%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Joey Beljan for 5 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 12FG
10 plays · 64 yds · 3:4053% → 59%
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+45
52.7%
Camerun Peoples run for 45 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
56.5%
Chase Brice run for 6 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 4
OPP 24
0
56.5%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Malik WilliamsSimilar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+7
55.2%
Chase Brice run for 7 yds to the WKent 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-1
55.7%
Jalen Virgil run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 18Similar
Q2 4:05
2ND & 11
OPP 18
+2
55.6%
Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the WKent 16Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 9
OPP 16
+5
54.2%
Malik Williams run for 5 yds to the WKent 11Similar
Q2 2:55
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+28
58.9%
Chandler Staton 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 2:1246% → 63%
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
54.1%
Noah Whittington run for 12 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
53.1%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 9 yds to the WKent 43Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 1
OWN 43
-2
50.8%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Noah Whittington for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 41Similar
Q2 1:33
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+4
51.5%
Bailey Zappe run for 4 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+43
51.2%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 43 yds to the AppSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
48.4%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Malachi Corley for 1 yd to the AppSt 11Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+1
48.8%
Adam Cofield run for 1 yd to the AppSt 10Similar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+10
37.4%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 10 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 2 yds · 0:1842% → 41%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
42.3%
Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 2 yds to the AppSt 27Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-6
42.5%
Chase Brice sacked by Brodric Martin for a loss of 6 yards to the AppSt 21Similar
Q2 0:13
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+11
40.9%
Daetrich Harrington run for 11 yds to the AppSt 32Similar
Q2 0:11
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-5
42.3%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (Caleb Spurlin) to the AppSt 27Similar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
40.8%
Clayton Howell punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jerreth Sterns at the WKent 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
38.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 16FUMBLE
5 plays · 55 yds · 1:3743% → 47%
Q3 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
43.1%
Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 4 yds to the AppSt 35Similar
Q3 13:51
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+7
43.7%
Camerun Peoples run for 7 yds to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+25
44.5%
Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 25 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+19
47.0%
Camerun Peoples run for 19 yds to the WKent 14 Camerun Peoples fumbled, forced by A.J. Brathwaite Jr., recovered by WKent JaQues EvansSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17TD
1 play · 86 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+86
27.9%
Noah Whittington run for 86 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:5729% → 26%
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-4
28.6%
Daetrich Harrington run for a loss of 4 yards to the AppSt 20Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 14
OWN 20
+9
27.7%
Daetrich Harrington run for 9 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 5
OWN 29
-7
27.0%
Chase Brice sacked by Brodric Martin for a loss of 7 yards to the AppSt 22Similar
Q3 10:34
4TH & 12
OWN 22
+50
26.1%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 50 yds , Jerreth Sterns returns for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19TD
13 plays · 73 yds · 4:2975% → 94%
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
25.0%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 8 yds to the WKent 35Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 2
OWN 35
0
22.7%
Kye Robichaux run for no gain to the WKent 35Similar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+9
22.8%
Kye Robichaux run for 9 yds to the WKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+33
20.8%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Kye Robichaux for 33 yds to the AppSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
19.7%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 3 yds to the AppSt 20Similar
Q3 7:47
2ND & 7
OPP 20
0
19.4%
Bailey Zappe pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+5
19.4%
Zappe, Bailey pass sacked for loss of 10 yards to the APP STATE30 (Ross, Nick), PENALTY APP STATE offside (Roof, T.D.) 5 yards to the APP STATE15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:12
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+3
19.4%
Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the AppSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
17.7%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Jerreth SternsSimilar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+10
17.6%
Zappe, Bailey pass incomplete to Sterns, Jerreth, PENALTY APP STATE pass interference (Cone, Madison) 10 yards to the APP STATE2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTERNKY.Similar
Q3 6:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
17.3%
Bailey Zappe pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
17.4%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Joey Beljan for no gain to the AppSt 2Similar
Q3 5:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
5.7%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 2 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 20TD
2 plays · 62 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+62
23.2%
Chase Brice pass complete to Christian Wells for 62 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:3681% → 96%
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
18.7%
Kye Robichaux run for 10 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
17.9%
Kye Robichaux run for 4 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+12
16.6%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 12 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
15.9%
Bailey Zappe pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+12
15.8%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 12 yds to the AppSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
4.4%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 37 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 22DOWNS
9 plays · 48 yds · 2:407% → 5%
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+40
6.6%
Chase Brice pass complete to Henry Pearson for 40 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
7.3%
Chase Brice pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 9 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q3 1:28
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+6
7.0%
Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the WKent 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
6.8%
Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 7 yds to the WKent 13Similar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+1
6.7%
Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd to the WKent 12Similar
Q3 0:18
3RD & 2
OPP 12
-5
6.4%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (Mike Evans) to the WKent 17Similar
Q3 0:01
3RD & 7
OPP 17
-10
6.3%
Chase Brice sacked by DeAngelo Malone for a loss of 10 yards to the WKent 27 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Chase Brice) to the WKent 27Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 17
OPP 27
0
5.4%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Christian WellsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 23MISSED FG
10 plays · 53 yds · 4:3296% → 98%
Q4 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
3.6%
Noah Whittington run for no gain to the WKent 27Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+23
3.4%
Noah Whittington run for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
50
0
3.1%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Jerreth SternsSimilar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 10
50
+6
3.0%
Kye Robichaux run for 6 yds to the AppSt 44Similar
Q4 12:49
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+4
3.0%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 4 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
2.7%
Kye Robichaux run for 15 yds to the AppSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
2.4%
Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the AppSt 22Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+2
2.2%
Jakairi Moses run for 2 yds to the AppSt 20Similar
Q4 10:06
3RD & 5
OPP 20
0
2.1%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Josh SternsSimilar
Q4 10:00
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+37
2.3%
Brayden Narveson 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Steven Jones Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 24FUMBLE
1 play · -15 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
2.9%
Chase Brice sacked by Marcus Bragg for a loss of 15 yards to the AppSt 2 Chase Brice fumbled, forced by Marcus Bragg, recovered by WKent Darius Shipp , return for 0 yards , return for 3 yds to the AppSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 25TD
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0598% → 100%
Q4 9:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
1.9%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Jerreth SternsSimilar
Q4 9:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
0.4%
Kye Robichaux run for 2 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 26DOWNS
14 plays · 55 yds · 3:180% → 0%
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
0.4%
Daetrich Harrington run for 5 yds to the AppSt 28Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+8
0.3%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to Christian Wells for 8 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
0.3%
Daetrich Harrington run for 15 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
0.3%
Jacob Huesman pass incomplete to Christian WellsSimilar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
0.3%
Daetrich Harrington run for 5 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
0.3%
Jacob Huesman pass incomplete to Christian WellsSimilar
Q4 8:01
4TH & 5
OPP 44
+5
0.3%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to Daetrich Harrington for 5 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
0.3%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to Christian Wells for 9 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+4
0.3%
Camerun Peoples run for 4 yds to the WKent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
0.3%
Jacob Huesman pass incomplete to Christan HornSimilar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+4
0.3%
Camerun Peoples run for 4 yds to the WKent 22Similar
Q4 6:08
3RD & 6
OPP 22
0
0.2%
Jacob Huesman pass incomplete to Dashaun DavisSimilar
Q4 6:03
4TH & 6
OPP 22
0
0.2%
Jacob Huesman pass incomplete to Dashaun DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:38100% → 100%
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
0.3%
Jakairi Moses run for 7 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 3
OWN 30
0
0.3%
Jakairi Moses run for no gain to the WKent 30Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 3
OWN 30
0
0.2%
Jakairi Moses run for no gain to the WKent 30Similar
Q4 4:12
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
0.2%
John Haggerty III punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 28TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 2:110% → 1%
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
0.1%
Anderson Castle run for 11 yds to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
0.1%
Anderson Castle run for 7 yds to the AppSt 49Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+10
0.1%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 10 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
0.1%
Castle, Anderson rush for 2 yards to the WESTERNKY39, PENALTY WESTERNKY substitution infraction 5 yards to the WESTERNKY36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN APP STATE.Similar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
0.1%
Anderson Castle run for 3 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+10
0.1%
Anderson Castle run for 10 yds to the WKent 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
0.1%
Anderson Castle run for 14 yds to the WKent 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
1.2%
Anderson Castle run for 9 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 29FUMBLE
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:37100% → 100%
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.4%
Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the WKent 28Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-3
0.4%
Drew Zaubi run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 25 Drew Zaubi fumbled, recovered by AppSt KeSean BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 30INT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:441% → 1%
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
1.1%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 9 yds to the WKent 16Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 1
OPP 16
-4
1.2%
Jacob Huesman run for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 20Similar
Q4 0:32
3RD & 5
OPP 20
0
1.0%
Jacob Huesman pass incomplete to Dashaun DavisSimilar
Q4 0:21
4TH & 5
OPP 20
-10
0.9%
Jacob Huesman pass intercepted Miguel Edwards return for 10 yds to the WKent 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 31Uncategorized
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
0.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:49
Noah Whittington run for 86 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)
-19
TD · Q3 5:38
Chase Brice pass complete to Christian Wells for 62 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)
+17
TD · Q3 5:56
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 2 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)
-11.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com