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APP

App State 16 at Louisiana 24

UL
2021 · Week 14 · Dec 4, 2021 · Cajun Field
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Win probability · UL
modelUL aheadAPP aheadconfidence bandkey playUL scoreAPP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:24 · Rhys Byrns punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 22Home team on offense+1.8Garbage-time factor+0.8Pregame prior−6.4Score differential+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Blowout margin−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:22: Levi Lewis 56 Yd Run (Nate Snyder Kick) — UL win probability +11.1 pts (now 68%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:38: Camerun Peoples 43 Yd Run (Chandler Staton Kick) — APP win probability +11.0 pts (now 41%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 8:06: Chandler Staton 36 Yd Field Goal — APP win probability +5.7 pts (now 36%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:14: Emani Bailey 35 Yd Run (Nate Snyder Kick) — UL win probability +9.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:06: Thomas Hennigan 24 Yd pass from Chase Brice (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — APP win probability +7.3 pts (now 12%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UL made the numbers' call on 7 of 9APP made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 11:57UL 4th & 3 at APP 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    45.9%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    45.8%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:04APP 4th & 17 at APP 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%−0.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:24UL 4th & 24 at UL 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%−1.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:47APP 4th & 11 at APP 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:54UL 4th & 16 at UL 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.1%−1.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:18APP 4th & 3 at APP 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.1%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:37APP 4th & 11 at UL 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    32.6%−0.6
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:17UL 4th & 11 at UL 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.9%−2.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:28UL 4th & 5 at UL 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.0%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:32APP 4th & 13 at APP 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.0%−2.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:27APP 4th & 6 at UL 35, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    28.2%−0.9
    45% to make
    Punt
    27.1%−1.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:06APP 4th & 1 at UL 19, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.6%−3.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    15.0%−12.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:02UL 4th & 2 at APP 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    73.5%−1.3
    75% to make
    Punt
    65.2%−9.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:36APP 4th & 10 at APP 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−3.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:16UL 4th & 15 at UL 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%−3.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:50APP 4th & 5 at APP 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:18APP 4th & 8 at APP 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:16UL 4th & 4 at UL 29, up 14
    Close callPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%−0.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:06APP 4th & 10 at UL 24, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.0%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    5.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−2.8
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:29UL 4th & 6 at APP 35, up 8
    Close callWent for it · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.1%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    94.4%
    45% to make
    Punt
    93.1%−1.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UL made the numbers' call on 2 of 3APP made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 9:55UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:22UL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:38APP Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:14UL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:06APP Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    9.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    9.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:5842% → 46%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
42.4%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 1 yd to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
42.6%
Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+35
42.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 35 yds to the AppSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
43.2%
Chris Smith run for 7 yds to the AppSt 30Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 3
OPP 30
0
43.5%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 3
OPP 30
0
43.4%
Chris Smith run for no gain to the AppSt 30Similar
Q1 11:57
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+10
43.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 10 yds to the AppSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-10
44.1%
Smith, Chris rush for 1 yard to the APP STATE19, PENALTY ULLAFAYTTE holding (Vallot, Shane) 10 yards to the APP STATE30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 20
OPP 30
+3
44.2%
Montrell Johnson run for 3 yds to the AppSt 27Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 17
OPP 27
+27
46.3%
Michael Jefferson 27 Yd pass from Levi Lewis (Nate Snyder Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · -7 yds · 2:4654% → 52%
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
45.7%
Nate Noel run for 7 yds to the AppSt 27Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 3
OWN 27
-5
46.0%
Brice, Chase pass complete to Sutton, Corey for 40 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE33, PENALTY APP STATE ineligible downfield on pass (Hardy, Anderson) 5 yards to the APP STATE22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-5
46.6%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 17Similar
Q1 8:28
2ND & 13
OWN 17
-9
46.9%
Chase Brice sacked by Zi'Yon Hill for a loss of 9 yards to the AppSt 8Similar
Q1 7:48
3RD & 22
OWN 8
+5
47.7%
Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the AppSt 13Similar
Q1 7:04
4TH & 17
OWN 13
0
48.3%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Eric Garror at the LaLaf 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -14 yds · 1:4049% → 48%
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
48.5%
Levi Lewis sacked by Nick Hampton for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 12
OWN 43
0
48.7%
Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Jalen WilliamsSimilar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 12
OWN 43
-12
48.4%
Levi Lewis sacked by D'Marco Jackson for a loss of 12 yards to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q1 5:24
4TH & 24
OWN 31
0
48.2%
Rhys Byrns punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 3:3751% → 48%
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
48.8%
Camerun Peoples run for 8 yds to the AppSt 33Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
48.5%
Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
49.2%
Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 11 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
49.0%
Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 4
OPP 47
-7
48.9%
Chase Brice sacked by Zi'Yon Hill for a loss of 7 yards to the AppSt 46Similar
Q1 2:08
3RD & 11
OWN 46
0
51.1%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Jalen VirgilSimilar
Q1 1:47
4TH & 11
OWN 46
0
52.0%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 42 yds , Eric Garror returns for no gain to the LaLaf 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 7 yds · 3:5352% → 53%
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
51.7%
Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 14Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+11
52.0%
Chris Smith run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
52.6%
Chris Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-5
52.9%
LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+2
52.8%
Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q2 14:17
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+5
52.8%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q2 14:01
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-5
53.1%
LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 14
OWN 21
-2
53.3%
Levi Lewis sacked by Nick Hampton for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q2 12:54
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
53.1%
Rhys Byrns punt for 46 yds , Malik Williams returns for no gain to the AppSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3646% → 45%
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
53.6%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
54.0%
Daetrich Harrington run for no gain to the AppSt 35Similar
Q2 12:07
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+7
55.1%
Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 7 yds to the AppSt 42Similar
Q2 11:18
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
55.1%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 50 yds, downed at the LaLaf 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 7TD
7 plays · 92 yds · 1:5655% → 68%
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
55.4%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Errol Rogers Jr.Similar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+14
55.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Pearse Migl for 14 yds to the LaLaf 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
55.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 8 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q2 10:32
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+3
57.1%
Levi Lewis run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
56.7%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Jacob BernardSimilar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+11
56.9%
Emani Bailey run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+56
68.0%
Levi Lewis 56 Yd Run (Nate Snyder Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:3835% → 33%
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
64.7%
Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the AppSt 44Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+14
64.4%
Nate Noel run for 14 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
64.5%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Malik WilliamsSimilar
Q2 8:24
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
65.0%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Thomas HenniganSimilar
Q2 8:19
3RD & 10
OPP 42
-1
65.8%
Camerun Peoples run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q2 7:37
4TH & 11
OPP 43
0
67.0%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:2068% → 69%
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
67.9%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren LacySimilar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-1
67.9%
Chris Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+14
68.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 14 yds to the LaLaf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
69.3%
Chris Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 11
OWN 32
0
69.7%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren LacySimilar
Q2 5:35
3RD & 11
OWN 32
0
69.3%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Jalen WilliamsSimilar
Q2 5:17
4TH & 11
OWN 32
0
68.9%
Rhys Byrns punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 10TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:3931% → 41%
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
69.0%
Chase Brice run for 4 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
Q2 4:43
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
69.3%
Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the AppSt 31Similar
Q2 4:01
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
70.1%
Chase Brice run for 10 yds to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+16
70.2%
Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 16 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
70.0%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Corey SuttonSimilar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+43
59.0%
Camerun Peoples 43 Yd Run (Chandler Staton Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:0562% → 61%
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
62.4%
Montrell Johnson run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
62.7%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+3
61.9%
Levi Lewis run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q2 1:28
4TH & 5
OWN 26
0
61.2%
Rhys Byrns punt for 55 yds , Malik Williams returns for no gain to the AppSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 8 yds · 0:5636% → 34%
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
64.1%
Chase Brice run for 11 yds to the AppSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
63.9%
Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 7 yds to the AppSt 37Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 3
OWN 37
-10
62.1%
Brice, Chase rush for 15 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE48, PENALTY APP STATE holding 10 yards to the APP STATE27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 13
OWN 27
0
64.8%
Nate Noel run for no gain to the AppSt 27Similar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 13
OWN 27
0
65.6%
Nate Noel run for no gain to the AppSt 27Similar
Q2 0:32
4TH & 13
OWN 27
+10
66.1%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 37 yds , Eric Garror returns for 10 yds to the LaLaf 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 13END OF HALF
7 plays · 38 yds · 0:3167% → 69%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
66.7%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren LacySimilar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+30
65.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 30 yds to the AppSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
66.6%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Peter LeBlancSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+3
66.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Emani Bailey for 3 yds to the AppSt 21Similar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+5
65.2%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the AppSt 16Similar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+33
68.5%
Nate Snyder 33 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 14FG
18 plays · 57 yds · 6:4934% → 36%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-12
66.2%
Noel, Nate rush for 1 yard to the APP STATE25, PENALTY APP STATE personal foul 12 yards to the APP STATE12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:30
1ST & 22
OWN 12
+27
66.7%
Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 12 yds to the AppSt 24 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the AppSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
65.3%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Malik WilliamsSimilar
Q3 14:01
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+4
65.8%
Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the AppSt 43Similar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+8
68.1%
Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 8 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
67.0%
Nate Noel run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:11
2ND & 11
50
+4
68.2%
Chase Brice run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q3 11:26
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+7
68.5%
Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 7 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
68.2%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Corey SuttonSimilar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
68.3%
Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q3 10:33
3RD & 6
OPP 35
0
68.8%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Corey SuttonSimilar
Q3 10:27
4TH & 6
OPP 35
+7
70.5%
Chase Brice run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
67.7%
Chase Brice run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & 1
OPP 19
0
67.9%
Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q3 8:55
3RD & 1
OPP 19
0
69.7%
Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q3 8:06
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+36
64.0%
Chandler Staton 36 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15DOWNS
13 plays · 61 yds · 4:5771% → 74%
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
70.9%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Hunter BergeronSimilar
Q3 7:54
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+15
70.8%
Emani Bailey run for 15 yds to the LaLaf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
71.5%
Emani Bailey run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
73.7%
Emani Bailey run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 7
OWN 46
0
74.3%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren LacySimilar
Q3 6:18
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+13
72.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Emani Bailey for 13 yds to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
75.1%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren LacySimilar
Q3 5:56
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+13
74.9%
Emani Bailey run for 13 yds to the AppSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
76.0%
Emani Bailey run for 5 yds to the AppSt 23Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+2
76.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 2 yds to the AppSt 21Similar
Q3 3:51
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+1
75.3%
Montrell Johnson run for 1 yd to the AppSt 20Similar
Q3 3:02
4TH & 2
OPP 20
-1
74.1%
Montrell Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2630% → 27%
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
70.0%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Christian WellsSimilar
Q3 2:56
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
70.4%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Daetrich HarringtonSimilar
Q3 2:52
3RD & 10
OWN 21
0
71.9%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:36
4TH & 10
OWN 21
+2
72.9%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 40 yds , Eric Garror returns for 2 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:2078% → 76%
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
77.6%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 1 yd to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q3 2:01
2ND & 9
OWN 42
-6
77.4%
Levi Lewis sacked by Demetrius Taylor for a loss of 6 yards to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q3 1:29
3RD & 15
OWN 36
0
75.1%
Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Peter LeBlancSimilar
Q3 1:16
4TH & 15
OWN 36
0
76.2%
Rhys Byrns punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Malik Williams at the AppSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2627% → 24%
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
72.6%
Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the AppSt 26Similar
Q3 0:59
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+1
72.3%
Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the AppSt 27Similar
Q3 0:07
3RD & 5
OWN 27
0
74.2%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 5
OWN 27
-2
75.8%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 43 yds , Eric Garror returns for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 2:3681% → 93%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
80.7%
Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
81.0%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Dontae FlemingSimilar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 8
OWN 30
-5
80.0%
LOUISIANA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 13
OWN 25
+16
79.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 16 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+23
83.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 23 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
84.0%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Michael JeffersonSimilar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+1
84.0%
Emani Bailey run for 1 yd to the AppSt 35Similar
Q4 12:14
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+35
93.3%
Emani Bailey 35 Yd Run (Nate Snyder Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:4810% → 9%
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
89.8%
Chase Brice pass complete to Christian Wells for 10 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
89.3%
Chase Brice pass complete to Mike Evans for 3 yds to the AppSt 37Similar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 7
OWN 37
-1
89.2%
Nate Noel run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 36Similar
Q4 10:32
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
90.6%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Malik WilliamsSimilar
Q4 10:18
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
91.4%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Eric Garror at the LaLaf 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:0294% → 95%
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-4
93.7%
Montrell Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 14
OWN 19
+5
94.2%
Lewis, Levi pass incomplete to Stephens Jr., John, PENALTY APP STATE offside 5 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+5
94.4%
Montrell Johnson run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q4 8:51
3RD & 4
OWN 29
0
94.8%
Levi Lewis run for no gain to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q4 8:16
4TH & 4
OWN 29
0
94.5%
Rhys Byrns punt for 54 yds, downed at the AppSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 22TD
13 plays · 83 yds · 3:108% → 12%
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
92.0%
Daetrich Harrington run for 6 yds to the AppSt 23Similar
Q4 7:44
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+9
91.5%
Daetrich Harrington run for 9 yds to the AppSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+18
91.8%
Chase Brice run for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
50
0
91.9%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Daetrich HarringtonSimilar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 10
50
0
91.9%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Dashaun DavisSimilar
Q4 6:46
3RD & 10
50
+14
94.9%
Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 14 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
95.1%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+12
95.1%
Chase Brice run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
94.7%
Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for no gain to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q4 5:27
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
95.0%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Malik WilliamsSimilar
Q4 5:21
3RD & 10
OPP 24
0
95.5%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Thomas HenniganSimilar
Q4 5:06
4TH & 10
OPP 24
+24
88.2%
Thomas Hennigan 24 Yd pass from Chase Brice (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 23DOWNS
15 plays · 40 yds · 4:3794% → 97%
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.6%
Emani Bailey run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q4 4:29
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+13
93.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Emani Bailey for 13 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
94.5%
Emani Bailey run for 12 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
95.3%
Levi Lewis run for 3 yds to the AppSt 46Similar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 7
OPP 46
-1
96.0%
Emani Bailey run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 47Similar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+8
96.2%
Emani Bailey run for 8 yds to the AppSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
96.1%
Montrell Johnson run for 1 yd to the AppSt 38Similar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+1
96.2%
Montrell Johnson run for 1 yd to the AppSt 37Similar
Q4 1:19
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+2
97.2%
Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the AppSt 35Similar
Q4 0:29
4TH & 6
OPP 35
0
97.1%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Errol Rogers Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 24FUMBLE
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:065% → 6%
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
95.0%
Brice, Chase pass incomplete, PENALTY ULLAFAYTTE unsportsmanlike conduct 15 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN APP STATE.Similar
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
50
-6
93.8%
Chase Brice sacked by Chauncey Manac for a loss of 6 yards to the AppSt 44 Chase Brice fumbled, forced by Chauncey Manac, recovered by LaLaf Chauncey Manac , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 25END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
97.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:22
Levi Lewis 56 Yd Run (Nate Snyder Kick)
+11.1
TD · Q2 2:38
Camerun Peoples 43 Yd Run (Chandler Staton Kick)
-11
TD · Q4 12:14
Emani Bailey 35 Yd Run (Nate Snyder Kick)
+9.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com