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KENT

Kent State 23 at Northern Illinois 41

NIU
2021 · Week 14 · Dec 4, 2021 · Ford Field
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Win probability · NIU
modelNIU aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playNIU scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameTD-0.7NIU 99.3%Collin Schlee 4 Yd Run (Andrew GlassKick)AWAY 17 - HOME 38 · Q4 4:16
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:16 · Collin Schlee 4 Yd Run (Andrew Glass Kick)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 154Home team on offense+31.2Score differential+23.0Pregame prior−0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.8Garbage-time factor+8.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:09: Clint Ratkovich 2 Yd Run (John Richardson Kick) — NIU win probability +4.3 pts (now 49%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:33: Rocky Lombardi 1 Yd Run (John Richardson Kick) — NIU win probability +15.2 pts (now 71%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 11:38: Andrew Glass 41 Yd Field Goal — KENT win probability +5.1 pts (now 26%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:55: CJ Brown 26 Yd Interception Return (John Richardson Kick) — NIU win probability +12.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:27: Nykeim Johnson 17 Yd pass from Dustin Crum (Andrew Glass Kick) — KENT win probability +10.0 pts (now 13%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5KENT made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 11:47NIU 4th & 3 at KENT 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    42.1%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    42.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:43NIU 4th & 6 at KENT 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.0%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.0%
    77% to make
    Punt
    42.3%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:06KENT 4th & 17 at KENT 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%−0.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:59KENT 4th & 13 at NIU 32, down 17
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.7 ptsWent for it · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.0%−1.7
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    26.7%
    51% to make
    Punt
    24.8%−1.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:36NIU 4th & 1 at KENT 35, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    78.8%−1.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    76.2%−3.8
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:38KENT 4th & 8 at NIU 24, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.9%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.7%
    68% to make
    Punt
    10.6%−8.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:04NIU 4th & 5 at KENT 42, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    83.3%−1.7
    30% to make
    Punt
    84.3%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q4 9:43KENT 4th & 6 at KENT 29, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.5%
    average punt
  9. Q4 4:16KENT 4th & 4 at NIU 4, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:01NIU 4th & 3 at KENT 12, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5KENT made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 2:09NIU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:33NIU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:55NIU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:27KENT Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:54NIU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:55NIU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:16KENT Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NIUDrive 1FG
12 plays · 41 yds · 5:1037% → 40%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
37.0%
Jay Ducker run for 1 yd to the NoIll 41Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+12
37.2%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Messiah Travis for 12 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
37.6%
Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the KntSt 45Similar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+6
37.9%
Antario Brown run for 6 yds to the KntSt 39Similar
Q1 12:26
3RD & 2
OPP 39
-1
38.2%
Clint Ratkovich run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 40Similar
Q1 11:47
4TH & 3
OPP 40
+7
38.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Cole Tucker for 7 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
38.9%
Lombardi, Rocky pass incomplete to Rudolph, Trayvon, PENALTY KENTST holding (Hines, Elvis) 10 yards to the KENTST23, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NORTHERNIL.Similar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
39.0%
Jay Ducker run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 24Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 11
OPP 24
0
39.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Tristen TewesSimilar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 11
OPP 24
+5
39.1%
Jay Ducker run for 5 yds to the KntSt 19Similar
Q1 9:43
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+37
39.8%
John Richardson 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 17 yds · 2:3761% → 59%
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.5%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Dante CephasSimilar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
39.6%
Crum, Dustin pass complete to Poke, Ja'Shaun for 75 yards to the NORTHERNIL0, PENALTY KENTST ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the KENTST20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+9
39.9%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 9 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
Q1 9:07
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+6
40.1%
Dustin Crum run for 6 yds to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
39.9%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 14 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
39.6%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Dante CephasSimilar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-2
39.8%
Marquez Cooper run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 47Similar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 12
OWN 47
-5
40.4%
Dustin Crum sacked by Lance Deveaux Jr. and Devonte O'Malley for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 42Similar
Q1 7:06
4TH & 17
OWN 42
0
41.3%
Josh Smith punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 3TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 4:5741% → 49%
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
40.6%
Jay Ducker run for 1 yd to the NoIll 23Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+7
40.8%
Jay Ducker run for 7 yds to the NoIll 30Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+23
41.0%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Cole Tucker for 23 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
42.6%
Rocky Lombardi pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+4
42.5%
Jay Ducker run for 4 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
Q1 4:26
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+15
42.8%
Lombardi, Rocky pass incomplete to Rudolph, Trayvon, PENALTY KENTST pass interference (Hines, Elvis) 15 yards to the KENTST28, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NORTHERNIL.Similar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
43.3%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q1 4:14
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+13
43.4%
Jay Ducker run for 13 yds to the KntSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
43.7%
Clint Ratkovich run for 4 yds to the KntSt 11Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+9
44.1%
Jay Ducker run for 9 yds to the KntSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
48.5%
Clint Ratkovich 2 Yd Run (John Richardson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 4INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:4453% → 53%
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
47.2%
Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the KntSt 25Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
47.5%
Dustin Crum run for 11 yds to the KntSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
47.3%
Dustin Crum pass intercepted Dillon Thomas return for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 5TD
15 plays · 81 yds · 7:5248% → 71%
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
48.0%
Antario Brown run for 5 yds to the NoIll 24Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+4
48.5%
Mason Blakemore run for 4 yds to the NoIll 28Similar
Q1 0:07
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+3
48.8%
Rocky Lombardi run for 3 yds to the NoIll 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
49.3%
Antario Brown run for 4 yds to the NoIll 35Similar
Q2 14:26
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+6
50.1%
Antario Brown run for 6 yds to the NoIll 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
51.2%
Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
Q2 13:07
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+10
51.7%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 10 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
52.4%
Antario Brown run for 6 yds to the KntSt 41Similar
Q2 12:18
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+8
52.8%
Antario Brown run for 8 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+12
53.4%
Jay Ducker run for 12 yds to the KntSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+10
53.7%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Mohamed Toure for 10 yds to the KntSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
54.6%
Jay Ducker run for 8 yds to the KntSt 3Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 2
OPP 3
+2
55.2%
Clint Ratkovich run for 2 yds to the KntSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
55.8%
Clint Ratkovich run for no gain to the KntSt 1Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
71.0%
Rocky Lombardi 1 Yd Run (John Richardson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 6DOWNS
9 plays · 43 yds · 3:2833% → 29%
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
67.2%
Xavier Williams run for 24 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
65.3%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Keshunn Abram for 4 yds to the NoIll 47Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+3
65.2%
Xavier Williams run for 3 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q2 7:19
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+15
65.9%
Xavier Williams run for 15 yds to the NoIll 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
64.8%
Dustin Crum run for 5 yds to the NoIll 24Similar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 5
OPP 24
-3
65.4%
Xavier Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 27Similar
Q2 5:52
3RD & 8
OPP 27
-5
67.5%
Dustin Crum sacked by Jaden Dolphin and Nick Rattin for a loss of 5 yards to the NoIll 32Similar
Q2 4:59
4TH & 13
OPP 32
0
70.7%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Nykeim JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 7INT
16 plays · 50 yds · 4:4574% → 78%
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
73.6%
Jay Ducker run for 4 yds to the NoIll 36Similar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+5
74.6%
Antario Brown run for 5 yds to the NoIll 41Similar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+2
75.2%
Rocky Lombardi run for 2 yds to the NoIll 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
76.6%
Antario Brown run for 8 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
Q2 2:36
2ND & 2
OPP 49
0
77.1%
Jay Ducker run for no gain to the KntSt 49Similar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+5
77.7%
Clint Ratkovich run for 5 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
78.9%
Antario Brown run for 7 yds to the KntSt 37Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 3
OPP 37
0
79.6%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Mason BlakemoreSimilar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+2
77.1%
Rocky Lombardi run for 2 yds to the KntSt 35Similar
Q2 0:36
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+2
78.5%
Rocky Lombardi run for 2 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
81.6%
Lombardi, Rocky pass incomplete to Rudolph, Trayvon, PENALTY KENTST pass interference (Bolden, Nico) 15 yards to the KENTST18, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NORTHERNIL.Similar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
78.9%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
78.1%
Rocky Lombardi pass intercepted Nico Bolden return for no gain to the KntSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 8END OF HALF
2 plays · 28 yds · 0:1125% → 26%
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+24
75.4%
Dustin Crum run for 24 yds to the KntSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
74.1%
Dustin Crum run for 4 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9FG
11 plays · 56 yds · 3:1724% → 26%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+26
76.3%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 26 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
75.8%
Ja'Shaun Poke run for 1 yd to the KntSt 47Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+12
76.5%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Keshunn Abram for 12 yds to the NoIll 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
75.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 7 yds to the NoIll 34Similar
Q3 13:39
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+8
74.0%
Marquez Cooper run for 8 yds to the NoIll 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
74.4%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Keshunn AbramSimilar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-5
76.2%
KENT ST Penalty, False Start (Bill Kuduk) to the NoIll 31Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 15
OPP 31
-1
77.4%
Dustin Crum sacked by CJ Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 32Similar
Q3 12:26
3RD & 16
OPP 32
+8
79.7%
Dustin Crum run for 8 yds to the NoIll 24Similar
Q3 11:38
4TH & 8
OPP 24
+41
74.5%
Andrew Glass 41 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10PUNT
17 plays · 23 yds · 7:2978% → 83%
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
77.5%
Jay Ducker run for 6 yds to the NoIll 26Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+6
78.0%
Jay Ducker run for 6 yds to the NoIll 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
78.6%
Jay Ducker run for 10 yds to the NoIll 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
80.6%
Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NoIll 43Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 9
OWN 43
0
80.9%
Antario Brown run for no gain to the NoIll 43Similar
Q3 8:41
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+10
80.9%
Antario Brown run for 10 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
82.3%
Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the KntSt 45Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+3
83.8%
Jay Ducker run for 3 yds to the KntSt 42Similar
Q3 6:40
3RD & 5
OPP 42
0
83.8%
Rocky Lombardi run for no gain to the KntSt 42Similar
Q3 6:04
4TH & 5
OPP 42
+8
81.0%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 8 yds to the KntSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-10
83.3%
Ducker, Jay rush for 9 yards to the KENTST25, PENALTY NORTHERNIL holding (Buss, Evan) 10 yards to the KENTST44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 20
OPP 44
-15
83.9%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete NORTHERNIL Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the NoIll 41Similar
Q3 4:54
2ND & 35
OWN 41
0
83.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Cole TuckerSimilar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 35
OWN 41
+2
82.5%
Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
Q3 4:04
4TH & 33
OWN 43
0
82.5%
Matt Ference punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-26
94.6%
CJ Brown 26 Yd Interception Return (John Richardson Kick)Similar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-5
94.8%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 12TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:285% → 13%
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
94.6%
Marquez Cooper run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 23Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+7
94.8%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Keshunn Abram for 7 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q3 3:08
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+16
94.7%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 16 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
94.8%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:39
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+11
94.8%
Dustin Crum run for 11 yds to the NoIll 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
95.2%
Dustin Crum run for 13 yds to the NoIll 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
94.8%
Crum, Dustin pass incomplete to Cephas, Dante, PENALTY NORTHERNIL pass interference (Byrd, Javaughn) 15 yards to the NORTHERNIL15, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KENTST.Similar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-6
94.8%
Marquez Cooper run for a loss of 6 yards to the NoIll 21Similar
Q3 1:13
2ND & 16
OPP 21
+4
95.5%
Dustin Crum run for 4 yds to the NoIll 17Similar
Q3 0:27
3RD & 12
OPP 17
+17
86.8%
Nykeim Johnson 17 Yd pass from Dustin Crum (Andrew Glass Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 13TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:3391% → 99%
Q3 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
91.4%
Jay Ducker run for 3 yds to the NoIll 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
91.8%
Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the NoIll 30Similar
Q4 14:24
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-10
92.0%
Lombardi, Rocky rush for 8 yards to the NORTHERNIL38, PENALTY NORTHERNIL holding (Soraghan, Liam) 10 yards to the NORTHERNIL20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:49
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+32
93.7%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 32 yds to the KntSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
95.6%
Jay Ducker run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 49Similar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+37
95.7%
Jay Ducker run for 24 yds to the KntSt 25 for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Nico Bolden) to the KntSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
96.2%
Antario Brown run for 7 yds to the KntSt 5Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 3
OPP 5
0
96.2%
Clint Ratkovich run for no gain to the KntSt 5Similar
Q4 10:54
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+5
99.3%
Rocky Lombardi 5 Yd Run (John Richardson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 14DOWNS
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:051% → 1%
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.6%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 5 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
98.5%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Dante CephasSimilar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-1
98.6%
Dustin Crum run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 29Similar
Q4 9:43
4TH & 6
OWN 29
-8
98.7%
Dustin Crum sacked by Cade Haberman and Nick Rattin for a loss of 8 yards to the KntSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 15TD
5 plays · 21 yds · 2:4899% → 100%
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
99.4%
Jay Ducker run for 4 yds to the KntSt 17Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+3
99.4%
Jay Ducker run for 3 yds to the KntSt 14Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+7
99.5%
Clint Ratkovich run for 7 yds to the KntSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
99.5%
Clint Ratkovich run for 5 yds to the KntSt 2Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Rocky Lombardi 2 Yd Run (John Richardson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 16TD
12 plays · 78 yds · 2:330% → 1%
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Kris LeachSimilar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+11
100.0%
Xavier Williams run for 11 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
99.9%
Xavier Williams run for 13 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Dante CephasSimilar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+26
100.0%
Xavier Williams run for 26 yds to the NoIll 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+18
99.9%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Raymond James for 18 yds to the NoIll 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
99.9%
Xavier Williams run for 4 yds to the NoIll 6Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
99.9%
Dustin Crum run for 2 yds to the NoIll 4Similar
Q4 4:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.9%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for no gain to the NoIll 4Similar
Q4 4:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.3%
Collin Schlee 4 Yd Run (Andrew Glass Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 17FG
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:10100% → 100%
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+10
99.8%
Jay Ducker run for 10 yds to the KntSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
99.8%
Jay Ducker run for no gain to the KntSt 19Similar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+3
99.8%
Jay Ducker run for 3 yds to the KntSt 16Similar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+4
99.9%
Jay Ducker run for 4 yds to the KntSt 12Similar
Q4 2:01
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+30
99.9%
John Richardson 30 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 18END OF GAME
11 plays · 92 yds · 1:540% → 1%
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
99.8%
Bryan Bradford run for 2 yds to the KntSt 10Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+19
99.8%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Dante Cephas for 19 yds to the KntSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
99.8%
Bryan Bradford run for 7 yds to the KntSt 36Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+11
99.8%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Dante Cephas for 11 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+18
99.8%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Dante Cephas for 18 yds to the NoIll 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+13
99.8%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Keshunn Abram for 13 yds to the NoIll 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
99.8%
Collin Schlee run for 7 yds to the NoIll 15Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+11
99.7%
Collin Schlee run for 11 yds to the NoIll 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-3
99.7%
Luke Floriea run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 7Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.2%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Luke Floriea for 7 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:33
Rocky Lombardi 1 Yd Run (John Richardson Kick)
+15.2
TD · Q3 3:55
CJ Brown 26 Yd Interception Return (John Richardson Kick)
+12
TD · Q3 0:27
Nykeim Johnson 17 Yd pass from Dustin Crum (Andrew Glass Kick)
-10
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com