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FOR

Fordham 7 at Nebraska 52

NEB
2021 · Week 1 · Sep 4, 2021 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadFOR aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreFOR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Antonio Cortez Feria run for 4 yds to the Fordh 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:00: Tim DeMorat pass complete to Fotis Kokosioulis for 31 yds for a TD (Nick Leinenweber KICK) — FOR win probability +1.7 pts (now 6%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q2 0:00: Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK) — NEB win probability +1.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:00: Sevion Morrison run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Culp KICK) — NEB win probability +1.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:00: Adrian Martinez pass complete to Chancellor Brewington for 2 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK) — NEB win probability +1.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:00: Samori Toure run for 8 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK) — NEB win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 3 of 7FOR made the numbers' call on 4 of 9
  1. Q1 0:00NEB 4th & 7 at FOR 35, tied
    Close callPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:00NEB 4th & 2 at FOR 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    97.1%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    97.0%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:00FOR 4th & 3 at FOR 35, down 6
    Close callPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:00NEB 4th & 5 at FOR 35, up 6
    Close callPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:00NEB 4th & 9 at FOR 35, up 1
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.8%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    92.6%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:00FOR 4th & 1 at FOR 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.3%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 0:00FOR 4th & 3 at FOR 35, down 16
    Close callPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:00FOR 4th & 8 at FOR 35, down 16
    Close callWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.1%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:00FOR 4th & 2 at FOR 35, down 23
    Close callPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:00NEB 4th & 5 at FOR 35, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:00FOR 4th & 10 at FOR 35, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:00NEB 4th & 2 at FOR 35, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:00FOR 4th & 6 at FOR 35, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:00FOR 4th & 5 at FOR 35, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:00NEB 4th & 1 at FOR 35, up 37
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    100.0%
    45% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:00FOR 4th & 5 at FOR 35, down 43
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 6 of 6FOR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 0:00NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:00FOR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    7.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:00NEB Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:00NEB Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:00NEB Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:00NEB Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:00NEB Touchdown, up 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1PUNT
19 plays · 0 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
98.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 2 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 35
-10
98.0%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 10 yards to the Fordh 35 Adrian Martinez fumbled, recovered by Neb Adrian MartinezSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 18
OPP 35
+19
97.9%
Adrian Martinez run for 19 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
98.0%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 5 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+8
98.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 8 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
98.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Samori ToureSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+3
98.0%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 3 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 35
0
98.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Wyatt LiewerSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 7
OPP 35
0
97.9%
Daniel Cerni punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 2INT
9 plays · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
97.7%
Zach Davis run for 4 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+11
97.7%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Dequece Carter for 11 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
97.7%
Tim DeMorat pass incomplete to Dequece CarterSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-4
97.7%
Tim DeMorat sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the Fordh 35Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 14
OWN 35
+16
97.8%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Dequece Carter for 16 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
97.7%
Zach Davis run for 2 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+25
97.7%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Dequece Carter for 25 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
97.7%
Trey Wilson III run for 5 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
97.7%
Tim DeMorat pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3TD
13 plays · 35 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
98.0%
Markese Stepp run for 11 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
98.0%
Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+7
98.0%
Adrian Martinez run for 7 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+9
98.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 9 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+16
98.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 16 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
98.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 10 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
98.0%
Markese Stepp run for 3 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
98.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Samori ToureSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+7
98.0%
Markese Stepp run for 7 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
98.0%
Markese Stepp run for 3 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+3
98.0%
Markese Stepp run for 3 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+2
98.0%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 2 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+4
98.2%
Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
98.1%
Zach Davis run for 2 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
98.1%
Tim DeMorat pass incomplete to Fotis KokosioulisSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+5
98.1%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Zach Davis for 5 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 3
OWN 35
0
98.1%
John O'Friel punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
98.3%
Sevion Morrison run for 2 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+4
98.3%
Sevion Morrison run for 4 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 35
-1
98.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Sevion Morrison for a loss of 1 yard to the Fordh 35Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 35
0
98.2%
Daniel Cerni punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 6TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 15:002% → 6%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
98.1%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Garrett Cody for 11 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
98.1%
Zach Davis run for 5 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+4
98.1%
Tim DeMorat run for 4 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+2
98.1%
Zach Davis run for 2 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
98.1%
Zach Davis run for 2 yds to the Fordh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
98.1%
Zach Davis run for 2 yds to the Fordh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+22
95.6%
Zach Davis run for 22 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
95.6%
Tim DeMorat pass incomplete to Jack LynchSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+31
94.0%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Fotis Kokosioulis for 31 yds for a TD (Nick Leinenweber KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8FG
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+21
95.1%
Samori Toure run for 21 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
95.1%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 4 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+32
95.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Omar Manning for 32 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
95.1%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 2 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+1
95.1%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 1 yd to the Fordh 35Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 35
-2
94.8%
Adrian Martinez sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the Fordh 35Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 9
OPP 35
+39
94.5%
Connor Culp 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 9MISSED FG
9 plays · 0 yds · 0:006% → 5%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+30
94.4%
Trey Wilson III run for 30 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
94.4%
Trey Wilson III run for 2 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+7
94.4%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Dequece Carter for 7 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 35
0
94.2%
Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 1
OWN 35
+1
94.6%
Trey Wilson III run for 1 yd to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
94.4%
Tim DeMorat pass incomplete to Hamze El-ZayatSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
94.5%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to MJ Wright for 6 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 35
0
94.4%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Hamze El-ZayatSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 4
OWN 35
+39
94.7%
Nick Leinenweber 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10TD
9 plays · 35 yds · 0:0095% → 97%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+31
95.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 31 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
95.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Levi Falck for 8 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+1
95.4%
Markese Stepp run for 1 yd to the Fordh 35Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+8
95.1%
Markese Stepp run for 8 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+14
95.4%
Markese Stepp run for 14 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 7
OPP 35
+4
95.4%
Markese Stepp run for 4 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 35
-5
95.4%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (Omar Manning) to the Fordh 35Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+4
95.4%
Markese Stepp run for 4 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+4
96.8%
Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 11INT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
96.3%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for 17 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
96.3%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for 19 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
96.3%
Trey Wilson III run for 1 yd to the Fordh 35Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 35
0
96.3%
Tim DeMorat pass incomplete to Fotis KokosioulisSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 35
0
96.5%
Tim DeMorat pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12TD
9 plays · 35 yds · 0:0097% → 98%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+30
97.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 30 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
97.0%
Sevion Morrison run for 3 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
97.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Zavier BettsSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+23
96.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 23 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
97.0%
Samori Toure run for 6 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+9
97.0%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 9 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
97.0%
Sevion Morrison run for 3 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+8
97.0%
Adrian Martinez run for 8 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 1
OPP 35
+1
98.1%
Sevion Morrison run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Culp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
96.8%
Fotis Kokosioulis run for 6 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 35
-1
96.8%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Fotis Kokosioulis for a loss of 1 yard to the Fordh 35Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 35
-5
96.9%
FORDHAM Penalty, false start (Lucas Portes) to the Fordh 35Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+7
97.1%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Trey Wilson III for 7 yds to the Fordh 42 FORDHAM Penalty, Offensive holding (Phil Saleh) to the Fordh 35Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 3
OWN 35
+1
96.9%
John O'Friel punt for 34 yds , Cam Taylor-Britt returns for 1 yd to the Fordh 35 Cam Taylor-Britt fumbled, recovered by Fordh Tom Callahan , return for no gain to the Fordh 35 Fotis Kokosioulis run for 2 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 14INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
96.8%
Tim DeMorat pass incomplete to MJ WrightSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
96.9%
Tim DeMorat pass incomplete to Dequece CarterSimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
97.1%
Tim DeMorat pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15TD
9 plays · 35 yds · 0:0098% → 99%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+19
97.9%
Markese Stepp run for 19 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+19
97.9%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Omar Manning for 19 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
97.9%
Markese Stepp run for 4 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+8
97.9%
Markese Stepp run for 8 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
97.9%
Markese Stepp run for 4 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+4
97.9%
Markese Stepp run for 4 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+5
97.9%
Markese Stepp run for 5 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 1
OPP 35
-1
97.9%
Markese Stepp run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fordh 35Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+2
99.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Chancellor Brewington for 2 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.3%
Trey Wilson III run for 3 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+5
99.3%
Trey Wilson III run for 5 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 35
0
99.3%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Trey Wilson IIISimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 2
OWN 35
0
99.3%
John O'Friel punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17TD
9 plays · 35 yds · 0:0099% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
99.4%
Sevion Morrison run for 2 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+26
99.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 26 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.4%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Sevion Morrison, broken up by Jesse BrambleSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
99.4%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Samori ToureSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+5
99.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 5 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 35
+25
99.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 25 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
99.4%
Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+1
99.4%
Sevion Morrison run for 1 yd to the Fordh 35Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+8
99.9%
Samori Toure run for 8 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Tim DeMorat pass incomplete to MJ WrightSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Tim DeMorat pass incomplete to Dequece CarterSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Fotis KokosioulisSimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
John O'Friel punt for 33 yds , Brody Belt returns for no gain to the Fordh 35 Brody Belt fumbled, recovered by FordhSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19TD
10 plays · 35 yds · 15:00100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
99.9%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Omar Manning for 3 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+5
99.9%
Rahmir Johnson run for 5 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Logan Smothers pass incomplete to Brody BeltSimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+3
99.9%
Rahmir Johnson run for 3 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
99.9%
Rahmir Johnson run for 5 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+9
99.9%
Rahmir Johnson run for 9 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
99.9%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Alante Brown for 11 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
99.9%
Logan Smothers run for 7 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+9
100.0%
Sevion Morrison run for 9 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 6
OPP 35
+6
100.0%
Sevion Morrison run for 6 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
100.0%
Trey Wilson III run for 3 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+1
100.0%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for 1 yd to the Fordh 35Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
100.0%
John O'Friel punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21FUMBLE
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-3
100.0%
Rahmir Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Fordh 35Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 35
+8
100.0%
Logan Smothers run for 8 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+30
100.0%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Zavier Betts for 30 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
100.0%
Logan Smothers run for 15 yds to the Fordh 35 Logan Smothers fumbled, recovered by Fordh Jesse Bramble , return for no gain to the Fordh 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
100.0%
Trey Wilson III run for 7 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 35
-10
100.0%
FORDHAM Penalty, Offensive holding (Phil Saleh) to the Fordh 35Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 13
OWN 35
-2
100.0%
Trey Wilson III run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fordh 35Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 15
OWN 35
+10
100.0%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Dequece Carter for 10 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
100.0%
John O'Friel punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 23TD
16 plays · 35 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
100.0%
Marvin Scott III run for 3 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+6
100.0%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Chancellor Brewington for 6 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+4
100.0%
Marvin Scott III run for 4 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
100.0%
Logan Smothers run for 6 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+5
100.0%
Marvin Scott III run for 5 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
100.0%
Logan Smothers pass incomplete to Zavier BettsSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+8
100.0%
Jaquez Yant run for 8 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+6
100.0%
Jaquez Yant run for 6 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
100.0%
Jaquez Yant run for 3 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
100.0%
Logan Smothers pass incomplete to Alante BrownSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+6
100.0%
Jaquez Yant run for 6 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+2
100.0%
Jaquez Yant run for 2 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
100.0%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (Brant Banks) to the Fordh 35Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 15
OPP 35
+2
100.0%
Marvin Scott III run for 2 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 35
+10
100.0%
Marvin Scott III run for 10 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+6
100.0%
Marvin Scott III run for 6 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 24DOWNS
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+21
100.0%
Trey Wilson III run for 21 yds to the Fordh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
100.0%
Trey Wilson III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fordh 35Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+5
100.0%
Tim DeMorat run for 5 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+1
100.0%
Antonio Cortez Feria run for 1 yd to the Fordh 35Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 5
OWN 35
+4
100.0%
Antonio Cortez Feria run for 4 yds to the Fordh 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:00
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Fotis Kokosioulis for 31 yds for a TD (Nick Leinenweber KICK)
-1.7
TD · Q2 0:00
Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK)
+1.4
TD · Q3 0:00
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Chancellor Brewington for 2 yds for a TD (Connor Culp KICK)
+1.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com