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UNLV

UNLV 14 at Air Force 48

AF
2021 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2021 · Falcon Stadium
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Win probability · AF
modelAF aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playAF scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:07 · Evan Silva punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AFA 33 , Jake Spiewak returns for 7 yds to the AFA 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 58Pregame prior+25.3Home team on offense+11.3Score differential+3.9Garbage-time factor+1.9Blowout margin+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:54: Brad Roberts run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dapore KICK) — AF win probability +1.5 pts (now 90%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 7:02: Matthew Dapore 37 yd FG GOOD — AF win probability +1.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:54: Brandon Lewis run for 41 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dapore KICK) — AF win probability +4.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:40: Zachary Larrier run for 12 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dapore KICK) — AF win probability +2.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:37: Charles Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK) — UNLV win probability +0.7 pts (now 1%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AF made the numbers' call on 3 of 5UNLV made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q2 12:50UNLV 4th & 7 at AF 11, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.0%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    11.2%
    87% to make
    Punt
    8.6%−2.6
    average punt
  2. Q2 7:02AF 4th & 3 at UNLV 20, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.2%−0.4
    75% to make
    Punt
    86.4%−3.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 5:07UNLV 4th & 17 at UNLV 30, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−1.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:54AF 4th & 4 at UNLV 49, up 17
    Close callPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:02UNLV 4th & 6 at UNLV 8, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−1.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:27UNLV 4th & 4 at UNLV 31, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 2:04AF 4th & 6 at UNLV 21, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    74% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:31UNLV 4th & 19 at UNLV 16, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00AF 4th & 3 at UNLV 34, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:31AF 4th & 3 at UNLV 16, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AF made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UNLV made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:43AF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:54AF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:54AF Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:40AF Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:09AF Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:37UNLV Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:48AF Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:18UNLV Touchdown, down 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AFDrive 1TD
4 plays · 14 yds · 1:0989% → 89%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
88.6%
Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the UNLV 11Similar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+10
88.6%
Brad Roberts run for 10 yds to the UNLV 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.5%
Brad Roberts run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Dapore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 2FUMBLE
12 plays · 17 yds · 4:3012% → 12%
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.5%
Justin Rogers pass incomplete to Steve JenkinsSimilar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
88.5%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q1 13:43
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+4
88.5%
Justin Rogers pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 4 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q1 12:14
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+5
88.3%
Silva,Evan punt 38 yards to the AF 29 fair catch by Spiewak,Jake at AF 29 PENALTY AF Illegal Substitution (Spiewak,Jake) 5 yards from NLV33 to NLV38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
88.2%
Justin Rogers pass incomplete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr.Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-6
88.2%
Justin Rogers pass complete to Charles Williams for 4 yds to the UNLV 42 UNLV Penalty, Illegal Block (Walker Hardan) to the UNLV 32Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 16
OWN 32
+15
88.3%
Hill,Phillip pass incomplete to Jenkins,Steve PENALTY AF Pass Interference (Taylor,Trey) 15 yards from NLV32 to NLV47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
88.2%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 7
50
+12
88.2%
Charles Williams run for 12 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
87.7%
Justin Rogers pass incomplete to Steve JenkinsSimilar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-16
87.7%
Justin Rogers sacked by Jordan Jackson for a loss of 16 yards to the UNLV 46 Justin Rogers fumbled, recovered by AFA Alec Mock , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 3TD
9 plays · 46 yds · 4:1988% → 90%
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
88.2%
Emmanuel Michel run for 9 yds to the UNLV 37Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+9
88.3%
Emmanuel Michel run for 9 yds to the UNLV 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
88.3%
Warren Bryan run for 8 yds to the UNLV 20Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+5
88.3%
Emmanuel Michel run for 5 yds to the UNLV 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
88.3%
Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the UNLV 11Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+5
88.3%
Warren Bryan run for 5 yds to the UNLV 6Similar
Q1 9:13
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+3
88.2%
Warren Bryan run for 3 yds to the UNLV 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
88.3%
Warren Bryan run for no gain to the UNLV 3Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
89.8%
Brad Roberts run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dapore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 4DOWNS
16 plays · 57 yds · 7:0411% → 11%
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
89.0%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
88.9%
Justin Rogers pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 7 yds to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
88.9%
Justin Rogers pass incomplete to Steve JenkinsSimilar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
88.9%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the UNLV 37Similar
Q1 4:54
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+9
88.9%
Justin Rogers pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr. for 9 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
88.8%
Justin Rogers pass incomplete to Steve JenkinsSimilar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+5
88.8%
Williams,Charles rush for 4 yards gain to the NLV50 (Jackson,Jordan; Bugg III,Tre) PENALTY AF Offside 5 yards from NLV46 to AF 49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+2
88.7%
Chad Magyar run for 2 yds to the UNLV 49Similar
Q1 4:54
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+12
88.8%
Justin Rogers pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr. for 12 yds to the AFA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
88.6%
Courtney Reese run for 3 yds to the AFA 42Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 42
+28
88.7%
Justin Rogers pass complete to Kilinahe Mendiola-Jensen for 28 yds to the AFA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
88.1%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the AFA 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 11
-7
88.1%
Justin Rogers sacked by Camby Goff for a loss of 7 yards to the AFA 18Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 18
+7
88.8%
Justin Rogers run for 7 yds to the AFA 11Similar
Q2 12:50
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+7
88.8%
Evan Silva run for 7 yds to the AFA 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 5FG
10 plays · 62 yds · 5:4890% → 92%
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
89.8%
Brandon Lewis run for 11 yds to the AFA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
89.8%
Zachary Larrier run for 15 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+18
90.2%
Zachary Larrier run for 18 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
90.2%
Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the UNLV 37Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+4
90.2%
Zachary Larrier run for 4 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+6
90.1%
Emmanuel Michel run for 6 yds to the UNLV 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
90.3%
Emmanuel Michel run for 1 yd to the UNLV 26Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+2
90.3%
Zachary Larrier run for 2 yds to the UNLV 24Similar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+4
90.1%
John Lee Eldridge III run for 4 yds to the UNLV 20Similar
Q2 7:02
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+37
92.0%
Matthew Dapore 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 1:559% → 8%
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
91.3%
Charles Williams run for 7 yds to the UNLV 32Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
90.9%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
91.0%
Justin Rogers pass incomplete to Zyell GriffinSimilar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
91.1%
Justin Rogers pass incomplete to Kilinahe Mendiola-JensenSimilar
Q2 7:02
3RD & 10
OWN 37
-7
91.4%
Justin Rogers sacked by Bo Richter for a loss of 7 yards to the UNLV 30Similar
Q2 5:07
4TH & 17
OWN 30
+7
91.7%
Evan Silva punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AFA 33 , Jake Spiewak returns for 7 yds to the AFA 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 3:1393% → 93%
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
92.6%
Brad Roberts run for 6 yds to the AFA 39Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+6
92.8%
Brandon Lewis run for 6 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
92.9%
Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the AFA 44Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+6
92.8%
Zachary Larrier run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:07
3RD & 5
50
+1
92.6%
Zachary Larrier run for 1 yd to the UNLV 49Similar
Q2 1:54
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
92.9%
Carson Bay punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNLV 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:528% → 8%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
92.1%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 8Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 6
OWN 8
0
92.2%
Charles Williams run for no gain to the UNLV 8Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 6
OWN 8
0
91.9%
Justin Rogers pass incomplete to Kilinahe Mendiola-JensenSimilar
Q2 1:02
4TH & 6
OWN 8
0
92.0%
Evan Silva punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jake Spiewak at the UNLV 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 9TD
1 play · 41 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
96.7%
Brandon Lewis run for 41 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dapore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 10END OF HALF
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:545% → 5%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.3%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
95.1%
Charles Williams run for 10 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 11TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:2096% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
96.3%
Brandon Lewis run for 10 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
96.3%
Brad Roberts run for 9 yds to the AFA 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+24
96.5%
Brad Roberts run for 24 yds to the UNLV 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
96.5%
Emmanuel Michel run for 3 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+1
96.5%
John Lee Eldridge III run for 1 yd to the UNLV 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+12
96.4%
Ben Jefferson run for 12 yds to the UNLV 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
96.5%
Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the UNLV 12Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+12
99.4%
Zachary Larrier run for 12 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dapore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:131% → 1%
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
99.4%
Justin Rogers sacked by Vince Sanford for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 21Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
99.4%
Justin Rogers pass incomplete to Zyell GriffinSimilar
Q3 10:40
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+10
99.4%
Justin Rogers pass complete to Charles Williams for 10 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q3 9:27
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.4%
Evan Silva punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jake Spiewak at the AFA 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 13TD
3 plays · 68 yds · 1:18100% → 100%
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+64
99.5%
Emmanuel Michel run for 64 yds to the UNLV 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.5%
Emmanuel Michel run for 2 yds to the UNLV 2Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.6%
Emmanuel Michel run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tevye Schuettpelz-Rohl KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 14TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:320% → 1%
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
99.6%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 29 for a 1ST down AIR FORCE Penalty, Personal Foul (Trey Taylor) to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+55
99.6%
Justin Rogers pass complete to Zyell Griffin for 55 yds to the AFA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.9%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 15FG
11 plays · 52 yds · 5:33100% → 100%
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
99.6%
Brad Roberts run for 6 yds to the AFA 33Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+8
99.6%
Brad Roberts run for 8 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+18
99.6%
Zachary Larrier run for 18 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
99.6%
Brad Roberts run for 6 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+10
99.6%
Brad Roberts run for 10 yds to the UNLV 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
99.6%
Emmanuel Michel run for 6 yds to the UNLV 19Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 4
OPP 19
-15
99.6%
Terry,Amari rush for 1 yard gain to the NLV18 (Lewis,Aaron) PENALTY AF Chop Block 15 yards from NLV19 to NLV34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 19
OPP 34
+9
99.6%
Emmanuel Michel run for 9 yds to the UNLV 25Similar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+4
99.6%
Zachary Larrier run for 4 yds to the UNLV 21Similar
Q3 2:04
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+38
99.8%
Matthew Dapore 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:330% → 0%
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Justin Rogers pass complete to Kilinahe Mendiola-Jensen for 2 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q3 2:04
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Justin Rogers pass incomplete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr.Similar
Q3 2:04
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-11
99.8%
Justin Rogers sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the UNLV 16Similar
Q3 0:31
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
99.8%
Evan Silva punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jake Spiewak at the AFA 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 17TD
15 plays · 63 yds · 8:12100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.8%
Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+7
99.8%
Emmanuel Michel run for 7 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
99.8%
Owen Burk run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
50
+7
99.8%
Owen Burk run for 7 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+2
99.8%
Warren Bryan run for 2 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
99.8%
Owen Burk run for 1 yd to the UNLV 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+6
99.8%
Owen Burk run for 6 yds to the UNLV 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+2
99.8%
Owen Burk run for 2 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 34
+11
99.8%
Conner Carey run for 11 yds to the UNLV 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
99.9%
Elijah Robinson run for 3 yds to the UNLV 20Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+2
99.9%
Jensen Jones run for 2 yds to the UNLV 18Similar
Q4 9:31
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+2
99.9%
Elijah Robinson run for 2 yds to the UNLV 16Similar
Q4 9:31
4TH & 3
OPP 16
+8
99.9%
Conner Carey run for 8 yds to the UNLV 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Jensen Jones run for 8 yds for a TD, (Tevye Schuettpelz-Rohl KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 18TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:300% → 0%
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+72
99.9%
Charles Williams run for 72 yds to the AFA 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 19END OF GAME
10 plays · 57 yds · 6:18100% → 100%
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Jet Harris run for 7 yds to the AFA 32Similar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
99.9%
Jet Harris run for 6 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
99.9%
Jet Harris run for 8 yds to the AFA 46Similar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+12
99.9%
Jensen Jones run for 12 yds to the UNLV 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+13
99.9%
CJ McNeal run for 13 yds to the UNLV 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
99.9%
Jensen Jones run for 5 yds to the UNLV 24Similar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+4
99.9%
CJ McNeal run for 4 yds to the UNLV 20Similar
Q4 6:18
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+3
99.9%
Jet Harris run for 3 yds to the UNLV 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-1
100.0%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:54
Brandon Lewis run for 41 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dapore KICK)
+4.7
TD · Q3 10:40
Zachary Larrier run for 12 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dapore KICK)
+2.9
FG · Q2 7:02
Matthew Dapore 37 yd FG GOOD
+1.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com