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UNM

New Mexico 7 at Fresno State 34

FRES
2021 · Week 11 · Nov 13, 2021 · Valley Children's Stadium
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Win probability · FRES
modelFRES aheadUNM aheadconfidence bandkey playFRES scoreUNM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:59 · Aaron Dumas run for 2 yds to the NMex 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 158Pregame prior+3.2Home team on offense+35.5Score differential+31.8Garbage-time factor+10.1Blowout margin+16.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:31: Jake Haener pass complete to Raymond Pauwels Jr. for 23 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK) NEW MEXICO Penalty, ( Yards) declined — FRES win probability +1.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:42: Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for 21 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK) — FRES win probability +3.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 13:22: Cesar Silva 48 yd FG GOOD — FRES win probability +1.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:45: Aaron Dumas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Shelley KICK) — UNM win probability +1.0 pts (now 3%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:40: Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 4 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK) — FRES win probability +2.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FRES made the numbers' call on 5 of 6UNM made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 10:28UNM 4th & 4 at UNM 20, down 7
    Close callPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:31FRES 4th & 7 at UNM 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:50UNM 4th & 21 at FRES 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−0.3
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.5%
    58% to make
    Punt
    7.9%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:25UNM 4th & 19 at UNM 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−0.8
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:49FRES 4th & 2 at UNM 25, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    92.6%−0.4
    66% to make
    Punt
    90.6%−2.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:37UNM 4th & 2 at UNM 34, down 21
    Close callPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:28FRES 4th & 9 at UNM 34, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.2%
    47% to make
    Punt
    96.6%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:22FRES 4th & 4 at UNM 31, up 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.8%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    96.6%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:33UNM 4th & 6 at UNM 24, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:22FRES 4th & 12 at FRES 39, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00UNM 4th & 8 at UNM 21, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:10UNM 4th & 5 at UNM 41, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:41FRES 4th & 24 at FRES 44, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:59UNM 4th & 3 at UNM 38, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FRES made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UNM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:33FRES Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:31FRES Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:42FRES Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:45UNM Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:40FRES Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1INT
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
93.9%
Aaron Dumas run for 6 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 33
-18
93.9%
Isaiah Chavez pass intercepted Cale Sanders Jr. return for 18 yds to the NMex 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 2TD
9 plays · 31 yds · 3:2594% → 93%
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
93.7%
Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for 11 yds to the NMex 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
93.7%
Ronnie Rivers run for 8 yds to the NMex 12Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 2
OPP 12
-8
93.7%
RIVERS, Ronnie rush for 8 yards to the UNM4 (Collier, Tony), PENALTY FS holding (BULL, Dontae) 8 yards to the UNM20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+8
93.7%
Jalen Cropper run for a loss of 4 yards to the NMex 24 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, personal foul (Joey Noble) to the NMex 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
93.7%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 4 yds to the NMex 8Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+4
93.7%
RIVERS, Ronnie rush for 1 yard to the UNM7 (Noble, Joey), PENALTY UNM offside defense 4 yards to the UNM4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 2
OPP 4
-5
93.7%
FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NMex 9Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+5
93.7%
Ronnie Rivers run for 5 yds to the NMex 4Similar
Q1 10:33
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+4
93.3%
Ronnie Rivers run for 4 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
93.2%
Aaron Dumas run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 13Similar
Q1 10:28
2ND & 11
OWN 13
-2
93.2%
Isaiah Chavez run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 11Similar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 13
OWN 11
+9
93.2%
Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Bobby Wooden for 9 yds to the NMex 20 NEW MEXICO Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 10:28
4TH & 4
OWN 20
0
93.3%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 43 yds , Zane Pope returns for no gain to the FrsSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
93.0%
FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 32Similar
Q1 8:31
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+12
93.0%
Ronnie Rivers run for 12 yds to the FrsSt 44Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+5
93.1%
HAENER, Jake pass incomplete, PENALTY UNM offside defense (Moon, Cody) 5 yards to the FS49, 1ST DOWN FS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
93.1%
FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 44Similar
Q1 8:31
1ST & 15
OWN 44
+11
93.0%
Ronnie Rivers run for 11 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 4
OPP 45
-3
93.1%
Ronnie Rivers run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 48Similar
Q1 8:31
3RD & 7
OPP 48
0
93.0%
Jake Haener pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:31
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
92.9%
Carson King punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Luke Wysong at the NMex 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5MISSED FG
8 plays · 61 yds · 4:047% → 8%
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
92.7%
Isaiah Chavez run for 6 yds to the NMex 16Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+3
92.7%
Aaron Dumas run for 3 yds to the NMex 19Similar
Q1 5:26
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+63
92.5%
Aaron Dumas run for 63 yds to the FrsSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
92.0%
Luke Wysong run for a loss of 5 yards to the FrsSt 23Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 15
OPP 23
0
92.1%
Aaron Dumas run for no gain to the FrsSt 23Similar
Q1 5:26
3RD & 15
OPP 23
-6
92.3%
Bobby Cole run for a loss of 6 yards to the FrsSt 29Similar
Q1 2:50
4TH & 21
OPP 29
+46
92.1%
Andrew Shelley 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 6TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 4:1992% → 94%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
92.2%
Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 30Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+6
92.2%
Ronnie Rivers run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 36Similar
Q1 2:50
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+10
92.2%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 10 yds to the FrsSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
92.5%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 9 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+8
92.5%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 8 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
92.5%
Jordan Mims run for 5 yds to the NMex 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+14
92.1%
Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for 14 yds to the NMex 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
92.1%
Jordan Mims run for no gain to the NMex 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-5
92.1%
FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NMex 23Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 15
OPP 23
+23
93.9%
Jake Haener pass complete to Raymond Pauwels Jr. for 23 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK) NEW MEXICO Penalty, ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
93.2%
Bobby Wooden run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 26Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 15
OWN 26
+1
93.3%
Isaiah Chavez run for 1 yd to the NMex 27Similar
Q2 13:25
3RD & 14
OWN 27
0
93.4%
Isaiah Chavez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:25
4TH & 14
OWN 27
-5
93.4%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, false start (Syaire Riley) to the NMex 22Similar
Q2 13:25
4TH & 19
OWN 22
0
93.4%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Zane Pope at the FrsSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 8TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 5:0094% → 97%
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
93.8%
Jake Haener pass complete to Ty Jones for 8 yds to the FrsSt 44Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 2
OWN 44
0
94.0%
Ronnie Rivers run for no gain to the FrsSt 44Similar
Q2 11:42
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+3
93.8%
Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+20
94.0%
Jake Haener pass complete to Keric Wheatfall for 20 yds to the NMex 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
94.0%
Jake Haener pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 5 yds to the NMex 28Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+3
93.6%
Keric Wheatfall run for 3 yds to the NMex 25Similar
Q2 8:49
3RD & 2
OPP 25
0
93.5%
Ronnie Rivers run for no gain to the NMex 25Similar
Q2 8:49
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+4
93.2%
Ronnie Rivers run for 4 yds to the NMex 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
97.1%
Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for 21 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
96.2%
Aaron Dumas run for 3 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+1
96.0%
Isaiah Chavez run for 1 yd to the NMex 30Similar
Q2 6:37
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+4
96.2%
Aaron Dumas run for 4 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q2 6:37
4TH & 2
OWN 34
0
96.1%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Zane Pope at the FrsSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 10FG
13 plays · 38 yds · 3:5397% → 97%
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
97.2%
HAENER, Jake pass incomplete to WHEATFALL, K, PENALTY UNM pass interference (Reed II, Jerric) 15 yards to the FS43, 1ST DOWN FS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
97.3%
Jalen Cropper run for 8 yds to the NMex 49Similar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+1
97.3%
Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the NMex 48Similar
Q2 4:21
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+2
97.2%
Jake Haener run for 2 yds to the NMex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
97.3%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Zane PopeSimilar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+7
97.3%
Jake Haener run for 7 yds to the NMex 39Similar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+4
97.4%
Jake Haener run for 4 yds to the NMex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-11
97.5%
Jake Haener sacked by Ben Gansallo for a loss of 11 yards to the NMex 46Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 21
OPP 46
0
97.5%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Zane PopeSimilar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 21
OPP 46
0
97.3%
HAENER, Jake pass incomplete to KELLY, Josh, PENALTY UNM offside defense off-setting, PENALTY FS personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 21
OPP 46
+12
97.3%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 12 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 9
OPP 34
+51
97.4%
Cesar Silva 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.7%
Isaiah Chavez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.7%
Aaron Dumas run for 4 yds to the NMex 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 12FG
8 plays · 44 yds · 1:3897% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.3%
Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
97.3%
HAENER, Jake pass incomplete, PENALTY UNM offside defense declined, PENALTY UNM pass interference (Collier, Tony) 15 yards to the FS42, 1ST DOWN FS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+21
97.4%
Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for 21 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
97.5%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Keric Wheatfall, broken up by Tony CollierSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+6
97.4%
Jordan Mims run for 6 yds to the NMex 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 31
0
97.4%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Jalen Cropper, broken up by Jerrick Reed IISimilar
Q3 13:22
4TH & 4
OPP 31
+48
99.3%
Cesar Silva 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 13TD
12 plays · 74 yds · 5:291% → 3%
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
98.7%
Aaron Dumas run for 8 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+6
98.5%
Aaron Dumas run for 6 yds to the NMex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
98.6%
Isaiah Chavez run for 6 yds to the NMex 46Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+1
98.5%
Aaron Dumas run for 1 yd to the NMex 47Similar
Q3 13:14
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+4
98.4%
Aaron Dumas run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
98.5%
Peyton Dixon run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 46Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+4
98.4%
Peyton Dixon run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 42Similar
Q3 13:14
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+1
98.3%
Isaiah Chavez run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 41Similar
Q3 13:14
4TH & 2
OPP 41
+15
98.4%
Chavez, Isaiah pass intercepted by BLAND, DaRon at the FS33, BLAND, DaRon return to the FS38 (Dumas, Aaron), PENALTY FS personal foul (BOEHM, Ryan) 15 yards to the FS26, 1ST DOWN UNM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+25
98.3%
Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 25 yds to the FrsSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.2%
Aaron Dumas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Shelley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 14TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5998% → 100%
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-13
97.7%
Jake Haener sacked by Syaire Riley for a loss of 13 yards to the FrsSt 12Similar
Q3 7:39
2ND & 23
OWN 12
+5
97.7%
Jake Haener run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 17Similar
Q3 7:39
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+78
97.7%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 78 yds to the NMex 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
97.8%
Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the NMex 4Similar
Q3 7:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
97.8%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Josh KellySimilar
Q3 4:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.7%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 4 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK)Similar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 0
OWN 0
0
99.7%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct ( Yards) to the FrsSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.7%
Isaiah Chavez run for 1 yd to the NMex 21Similar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+3
99.7%
Aaron Dumas run for 3 yds to the NMex 24Similar
Q3 4:33
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
99.8%
Aaron Dumas run for no gain to the NMex 24Similar
Q3 4:33
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
99.8%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Zane Pope at the FrsSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
99.8%
Jake Haener sacked by Justin Harris for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 39Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 12
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Jake Haener pass complete to Raymond Pauwels Jr. for no gain to the FrsSt 39Similar
Q3 2:22
3RD & 12
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Jordan MimsSimilar
Q3 2:22
4TH & 12
OWN 39
0
99.7%
Carson King punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Luke Wysong at the NMex 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:430% → 0%
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
99.9%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NMex 14Similar
Q3 0:43
1ST & 15
OWN 14
-7
99.9%
Chavez, Isaiah rush for 5 yards to the UNM19 (BRIDGES, Devo), PENALTY UNM holding 7 yards to the UNM7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:43
1ST & 22
OWN 7
+4
99.9%
Aaron Dumas run for 4 yds to the NMex 11Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 11
+3
99.9%
Aaron Dumas run for 3 yds to the NMex 14Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 14
+7
99.9%
Aaron Dumas run for 7 yds to the NMex 21Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 21
+10
99.9%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 49 yds , Zane Pope returns for 10 yds to the FrsSt 31 FRESNO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the FrsSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 18FUMBLE
8 plays · 34 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
99.8%
Ronnie Rivers run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 38Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+8
99.8%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 8 yds to the FrsSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
99.8%
Ronnie Rivers run for 5 yds to the NMex 49Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+4
99.8%
Ronnie Rivers run for 4 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q4 12:59
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+2
99.8%
Jake Haener run for 2 yds to the NMex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
99.8%
Jake Haener pass complete to Raymond Pauwels Jr. for 8 yds to the NMex 35Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 2
OPP 35
0
99.8%
Ronnie Rivers run for no gain to the NMex 35Similar
Q4 12:59
3RD & 2
OPP 35
0
99.8%
Ronnie Rivers run for no gain to the NMex 36 Ronnie Rivers fumbled, forced by Syaire Riley, recovered by NMex Ronald WilsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Isaiah Chavez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.9%
Peyton Dixon run for 4 yds to the NMex 40Similar
Q4 10:10
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+1
99.9%
Aaron Dumas run for 1 yd to the NMex 41Similar
Q4 10:10
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Zane Pope at the FrsSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 20PUNT
14 plays · 25 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
99.9%
Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for 7 yds to the FrsSt 26Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+2
99.9%
Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for 2 yds to the FrsSt 28Similar
Q4 8:41
3RD & 1
OWN 28
-5
99.9%
FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (Bula Schmidt) to the FrsSt 23Similar
Q4 8:41
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+11
99.9%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 11 yds to the FrsSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
99.9%
Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 8 yds to the FrsSt 42Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+1
99.9%
Jordan Mims run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 43Similar
Q4 8:41
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+5
99.9%
Jordan Mims run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
99.9%
Jake Haener pass complete to Juan Rodriguez for 5 yds to the NMex 47Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+5
99.9%
Jordan Mims run for 5 yds to the NMex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
99.9%
Jordan Mims run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 44Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 12
OPP 44
-13
99.9%
Jake Haener pass complete to Juan Rodriguez for 3 yds to the FrsSt 41 FRESNO ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-16 Yards) to the FrsSt 43Similar
Q4 8:41
3RD & 25
OWN 43
-5
99.9%
FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (Matt Smith) to the FrsSt 38Similar
Q4 8:41
3RD & 30
OWN 38
+6
99.8%
Jordan Mims run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 44Similar
Q4 8:41
4TH & 24
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Carson King punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Luke Wysong at the NMex 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 21DOWNS
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
99.9%
Peyton Dixon run for 7 yds to the NMex 14Similar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 3
OWN 14
0
99.9%
Isaiah Chavez pass incomplete to Kyle JarvisSimilar
Q4 2:59
3RD & 3
OWN 14
+6
99.9%
Aaron Dumas run for 6 yds to the NMex 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
99.9%
Aaron Dumas run for 11 yds to the NMex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
99.9%
Aaron Dumas run for 4 yds to the NMex 35Similar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Andrew Erickson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:59
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+3
99.9%
Peyton Dixon run for 3 yds to the NMex 38Similar
Q4 2:59
4TH & 3
OWN 38
+2
99.9%
Aaron Dumas run for 2 yds to the NMex 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
100.0%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:42
Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for 21 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK)
+3.9
TD · Q3 4:40
Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 4 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK)
+2
FG · Q3 13:22
Cesar Silva 48 yd FG GOOD
+1.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com