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UNLV

UNLV 31 at New Mexico 17

UNM
2021 · Week 10 · Nov 6, 2021 · University Stadium (NM)
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Win probability · UNM
modelUNM aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playUNM scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:51 · Evan Silva punt for 46 yds , Luke Wysong returns for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 6
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 100Home team on offense−12.6Score differential−3.9Garbage-time factor−4.7Pregame prior+2.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:32: Charles Williams run for 4 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK) — UNLV win probability +4.8 pts (now 43%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:44: Marcus Phillips Jr. 15 Yd pass from Cameron Friel (Daniel Gutierrez Kick) — UNLV win probability +6.7 pts (now 50%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:41: Cameron Friel pass complete to Kyle Williams for 75 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK) — UNLV win probability +5.5 pts (now 49%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 7:12: Daniel Gutierrez 27 yd FG GOOD — UNLV win probability +9.4 pts (now 65%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:34: Charles Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK) — UNLV win probability +15.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNM made the numbers' call on 5 of 7UNLV made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 7:36UNLV 4th & 1 at UNLV 34, down 6
    Close callPunted · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.7%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:53UNM 4th & 1 at UNLV 40, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    59.0%−1.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    59.1%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:13UNLV 4th & 1 at UNLV 49, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.3%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:04UNM 4th & 4 at UNLV 4, down 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.2%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    41.5%−7.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:17UNLV 4th & 5 at UNLV 43, up 4
    Close callPunted · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.2%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:14UNM 4th & 2 at UNM 25, down 4
    Close callPunted · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.1%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:12UNLV 4th & 7 at UNM 9, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.4%
    89% to make
    Punt
    43.3%−12.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:36UNM 4th & 5 at UNM 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%−2.0
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:51UNLV 4th & 10 at UNLV 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%−2.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:03UNM 4th & 12 at UNM 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.9%−4.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:18UNM 4th & 12 at UNM 23, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−0.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:18UNLV 4th & 15 at UNLV 48, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%−1.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:28UNM 4th & 15 at UNM 48, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.1%
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.0%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:26UNLV 4th & 11 at UNM 49, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UNLV made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:07UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    57.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:44UNLV Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 11:34UNLV Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    83.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.4%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1TD
10 plays · 91 yds · 5:5057% → 60%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+21
57.3%
Isaiah Chavez run for 21 yds to the NMex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+26
57.3%
Aaron Dumas run for 26 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
57.3%
Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 4 yds to the UNLV 40Similar
Q1 14:57
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+2
57.3%
Aaron Dumas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 38Similar
Q1 14:57
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+9
57.3%
Isaiah Chavez run for 9 yds to the UNLV 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
57.3%
Aaron Dumas run for 5 yds to the UNLV 24Similar
Q1 14:57
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+2
57.3%
Aaron Dumas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 22Similar
Q1 14:57
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+21
57.3%
Trae Hall run for 21 yds to the UNLV 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
57.3%
Aaron Dumas run for no gain to the UNLV 1Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
60.1%
Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Shelley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3141% → 40%
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
59.1%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
59.0%
Courtney Reese run for 4 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
Q1 9:07
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
58.9%
Cameron Friel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:36
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
59.7%
Evan Silva punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3DOWNS
6 plays · 25 yds · 3:4360% → 61%
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
59.9%
Aaron Dumas run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 34Similar
Q1 7:36
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+17
59.8%
Luke Wysong run for 17 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
60.4%
Aaron Dumas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 47Similar
Q1 7:36
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+3
60.4%
Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Connor Witthoft for 3 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q1 7:36
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+4
60.2%
Aaron Dumas run for 4 yds to the UNLV 40Similar
Q1 3:53
4TH & 1
OPP 40
0
61.4%
Isaiah Chavez run for no gain to the UNLV 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4040% → 40%
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
60.0%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Kyle Williams for 6 yds to the UNLV 46Similar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+3
59.6%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 49Similar
Q1 3:53
3RD & 1
OWN 49
0
59.6%
Cameron Friel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:13
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
60.1%
Evan Silva punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Luke Wysong at the NMex 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5FUMBLE
3 plays · -7 yds · 1:3762% → 61%
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
61.5%
Luke Wysong run for 1 yd to the NMex 12Similar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 9
OWN 12
0
61.4%
Bobby Cole run for no gain to the NMex 12Similar
Q1 0:36
3RD & 9
OWN 12
0
61.4%
Isaiah Chavez sacked for 0 yards to the NMex 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 6TD
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 0:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
56.7%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7FUMBLE
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:0859% → 59%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-6
59.2%
Austin Erickson run for a loss of 6 yards to the NMex 25Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 16
OWN 25
+1
58.8%
Isaiah Chavez run for 1 yd to the NMex 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 8TD
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:0843% → 50%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
56.6%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 1 yd to the NMex 25Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 9
OPP 25
0
56.8%
Cameron Friel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 9
OPP 25
+5
57.5%
FRIEL, Cameron sacked for a loss of 7 yards at the UNM32 (COLLIER, Tony). PENALTY UNM Offsides on LEUTELE, Ray enforced 5 yards from the UNM25 to the UNM20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+6
57.2%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 6 yds to the NMex 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
56.6%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 15Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 11
OPP 15
0
56.8%
Cameron Friel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:44
3RD & 11
OPP 15
+15
50.1%
Marcus Phillips Jr. 15 Yd pass from Cameron Friel (Daniel Gutierrez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:5353% → 56%
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
52.9%
Bobby Cole run for no gain to the NMex 25Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+75
56.3%
Bobby Cole run for 75 yds for a TD, (Andrew Shelley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 10TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
50.7%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Kyle Williams for 75 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11FG
10 plays · 71 yds · 5:3752% → 53%
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
52.0%
Aaron Dumas run for no gain to the NMex 25Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
51.9%
CJ Montes run for 5 yds to the NMex 30Similar
Q2 11:41
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+16
51.7%
CJ Montes run for 16 yds to the NMex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
53.5%
CJ Montes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+10
52.7%
CJ Montes run for 10 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+36
54.1%
Aaron Dumas run for 36 yds to the UNLV 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
54.9%
Aaron Dumas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 5Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
54.9%
Bobby Cole run for 1 yd to the UNLV 4Similar
Q2 11:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
53.9%
Andrew Erickson run for no gain to the UNLV 4Similar
Q2 6:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
53.3%
Andrew Shelley 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:3949% → 50%
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-15
51.5%
UNLV Penalty, Personal Foul (Charles Williams) to the UNLV 16Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 17
OWN 16
+15
51.9%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Kue Olotoa for 15 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+7
51.0%
Charles Williams run for 7 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
50.0%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the UNLV 39Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
50.1%
Cameron Friel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+4
50.7%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Marcus Phillips Jr. for 4 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q2 2:17
4TH & 5
OWN 43
+2
49.8%
Evan Silva punt for 42 yds , Luke Wysong returns for 2 yds to the NMex 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:0352% → 50%
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
51.6%
Bobby Cole run for no gain to the NMex 17Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+2
51.0%
CJ Montes run for 2 yds to the NMex 19Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 8
OWN 19
+6
50.3%
CJ Montes run for 6 yds to the NMex 25Similar
Q2 1:14
4TH & 2
OWN 25
0
49.6%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 14END OF HALF
7 plays · 34 yds · 1:1453% → 55%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+13
47.4%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Kyle Williams for 13 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
45.7%
Cameron Friel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
46.0%
Cameron Friel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+12
46.8%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 12 yds to the NMex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
44.5%
Cameron Friel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
44.7%
Cameron Friel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+9
44.7%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Chad Magyar for 9 yds to the NMex 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15INT
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:3751% → 54%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
48.7%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Kyle Williams for no gain to the UNLV 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
48.9%
Charles Williams run for 11 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
47.7%
Cameron Friel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
48.2%
Courtney Reese run for 4 yds to the UNLV 40Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+7
47.4%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Kyle Williams for 7 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
45.7%
Cameron Friel pass intercepted return for no gain to the NMex 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 16FUMBLE
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:5952% → 49%
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
51.7%
CJ Montes sacked by Brennon Scott for 0 yards to the NMex 32Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 18
OWN 32
+7
48.7%
CJ Montes run for 7 yds to the NMex 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17FG
9 plays · 26 yds · 4:1256% → 65%
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
43.9%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the NMex 34Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+1
43.9%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 1 yd to the NMex 33Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+10
45.4%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Kue Olotoa for 10 yds to the NMex 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
43.5%
Charles Williams run for 11 yds to the NMex 12 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, Offsides (Jaden Phillips) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-4
43.4%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the NMex 16Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 14
OPP 16
+5
44.1%
FRIEL, Cameron sacked for a loss of 7 yards at the UNM23 (NOBLE, Joey). PENALTY UNM Offsides on HANNAH, Reco enforced 5 yards from the UNM16 to the UNM11 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+2
43.4%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the NMex 9Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
44.8%
Cameron Friel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:12
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+27
35.4%
Daniel Gutierrez 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:3639% → 36%
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
38.6%
CJ Montes pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 6 yds to the NMex 18Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+8
38.9%
Aaron Dumas run for 8 yds to the NMex 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
39.3%
Aaron Dumas run for 1 yd to the NMex 27Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+3
38.9%
Aaron Dumas run for 3 yds to the NMex 30Similar
Q3 7:12
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+1
38.2%
Aaron Dumas run for 1 yd to the NMex 31Similar
Q3 4:36
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
35.6%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Steve Jenkins at the UNLV 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:4566% → 67%
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
34.2%
Charles Williams run for no gain to the UNLV 22Similar
Q3 4:36
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+14
34.5%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Kyle Williams for 14 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-6
32.5%
Cameron Friel run for a loss of 6 yards to the UNLV 30Similar
Q3 4:36
2ND & 16
OWN 30
+6
34.5%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Charles Williams for 6 yds to the UNLV 36Similar
Q3 4:36
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
34.1%
Cameron Friel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:51
4TH & 10
OWN 36
-5
33.5%
Evan Silva punt for 46 yds , Luke Wysong returns for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:4836% → 29%
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
35.5%
CJ Montes pass complete to Luke Wysong for 1 yd to the NMex 8Similar
Q3 1:51
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+10
35.5%
Luke Wysong run for 10 yds to the NMex 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
32.9%
CJ Montes sacked by Jacoby Windmon for 0 yards to the NMex 16Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 16
0
32.6%
CJ Montes run for no gain to the NMex 16Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 16
0
31.1%
CJ Montes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:03
4TH & 12
OWN 16
+20
29.2%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 49 yds , Steve Jenkins returns for 20 yds to the NMex 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21TD
6 plays · 45 yds · 2:2976% → 91%
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
24.2%
Charles Williams run for 14 yds to the NMex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
23.6%
Courtney Reese run for 6 yds to the NMex 25Similar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+2
23.1%
Chad Magyar run for 2 yds to the NMex 23Similar
Q4 12:03
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+22
23.9%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Kyle Williams for 22 yds to the NMex 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
9.0%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:1619% → 15%
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
18.5%
Luke Wysong run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 23Similar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
18.2%
CJ Montes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:34
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
17.4%
CJ Montes run for no gain to the NMex 23Similar
Q4 10:18
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
14.6%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 45 yds , Steve Jenkins returns for no gain to the UNLV 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 23PUNT
11 plays · 16 yds · 5:0091% → 96%
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
8.9%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the UNLV 33Similar
Q4 10:18
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+1
8.9%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Marcus Phillips Jr. for 1 yd to the UNLV 34Similar
Q4 10:18
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+8
9.2%
Charles Williams run for 8 yds to the UNLV 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
8.2%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 46Similar
Q4 10:18
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+7
8.1%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Zyell Griffin for 7 yds to the NMex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
4.0%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 48Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 11
OPP 48
-7
4.1%
Courtney Reese run for a loss of 7 yards to the UNLV 45Similar
Q4 5:24
3RD & 18
OWN 45
+3
3.9%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Courtney Reese for 3 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q4 5:18
4TH & 15
OWN 48
0
4.0%
Evan Silva punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Luke Wysong at the NMex 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 24PUNT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
7.2%
CJ Montes pass complete to Zarak Scruggs Jr. for 3 yds to the NMex 19Similar
Q4 5:18
2ND & 7
OWN 19
0
7.1%
CJ Montes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:18
3RD & 7
OWN 19
0
7.0%
CJ Montes sacked by Kyle Beaudry and Jalen Dixon for 0 yards to the NMex 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 25DOWNS
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:316% → 4%
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
5.7%
CJ Montes sacked by Brennon Scott for 0 yards to the UNLV 48Similar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 11
OPP 48
0
5.5%
CJ Montes sacked by Adam Plant Jr. and Eliel Ehimare for 0 yards to the NMex 46Similar
Q4 3:59
3RD & 17
OWN 46
+2
4.9%
CJ Montes pass complete to Bobby Cole for 2 yds to the NMex 48Similar
Q4 2:28
4TH & 15
OWN 48
0
4.4%
CJ Montes pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:0298% → 99%
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
2.0%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 12
50
+1
1.5%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the NMex 49Similar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 11
OPP 49
0
1.3%
Charles Williams run for no gain to the NMex 49Similar
Q4 1:26
4TH & 11
OPP 49
0
1.3%
Evan Silva punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 27END OF 4TH QUARTER
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
2.3%
CJ Montes pass complete to Elijah Queen for 13 yds to the NMex 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
2.5%
CJ Montes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+1
2.4%
CJ Montes pass complete to Bobby Cole for 1 yd to the NMex 34Similar
Q4 1:26
3RD & 9
OWN 34
+14
2.3%
CJ Montes run for 14 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
2.6%
CJ Montes sacked by Waisale Muavesi for 0 yards to the NMex 43Similar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 15
OWN 43
+2
2.5%
CJ Montes pass complete to Bobby Cole for 2 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q4 1:26
3RD & 13
OWN 45
0
2.4%
CJ Montes sacked for 0 yards to the NMex 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:34
Charles Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)
-15
FG · Q3 7:12
Daniel Gutierrez 27 yd FG GOOD
-9.4
TD · Q2 12:44
Marcus Phillips Jr. 15 Yd pass from Cameron Friel (Daniel Gutierrez Kick)
-6.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com