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CSU

Colorado State 17 at Wyoming 31

WYO
2021 · Week 10 · Nov 6, 2021 · War Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadCSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreCSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:37 · Ralph Fawaz punt for 39 yds , Dante Wright returns for 9 yds to the ColSt 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 75Home team on offense+2.8Score differential+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.6Pregame prior−3.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:59: Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK) — WYO win probability +5.6 pts (now 55%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 1:16: John Hoyland 29 yd FG GOOD — WYO win probability +5.0 pts (now 65%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:36: COLORADO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Toby McBride) declined, (John Hoyland KICK) — WYO win probability +12.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:51: Levi Williams pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 15 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK) — WYO win probability +3.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:38: Todd Centeio pass complete to Dante Wright for 11 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Terry KICK) — CSU win probability +2.9 pts (now 5%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 6 of 7CSU made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 13:20CSU 4th & 17 at CSU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:20CSU 4th & 17 at CSU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:11WYO 4th & 1 at CSU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    45.0%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 10:11WYO 4th & 1 at CSU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    45.0%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:26CSU 4th & 6 at CSU 29, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.5%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.7%
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:26CSU 4th & 6 at CSU 29, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.5%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.7%
    average punt
  7. Q1 2:41WYO 4th & 14 at WYO 27, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.2%
    average punt
  8. Q1 0:06CSU 4th & 5 at CSU 46, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:33CSU 4th & 5 at WYO 9, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.8%
    89% to make
    Punt
    42.7%−5.0
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:21CSU 4th & 8 at CSU 41, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.1%
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:37WYO 4th & 6 at WYO 24, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−0.9
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.6%
    average punt
  12. Q2 3:57CSU 4th & 8 at CSU 48, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.5%
    average punt
  13. Q2 1:16WYO 4th & 2 at CSU 12, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.1%−0.6
    86% to make
    Punt
    51.4%−5.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:37WYO 4th & 5 at CSU 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    60.4%−5.9
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:47CSU 4th & 5 at WYO 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    22.7%−11.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:37CSU 4th & 2 at WYO 35, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    12.7%−1.7
    45% to make
    Punt
    11.8%−2.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:15WYO 4th & 12 at WYO 39, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%−1.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:51CSU 4th & 2 at WYO 40, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%
    34% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WYO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2CSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:11CSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    56.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:59WYO Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 7:51WYO Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CSUDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · -7 yds · 1:4055% → 55%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
44.6%
COLORADO ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (David Bailey) to the ColSt 20Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
44.6%
David Bailey run for 1 yd to the ColSt 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+4
44.6%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Gary Williams for 4 yds to the ColSt 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
44.6%
Todd Centeio sacked by Cole Godbout for 0 yards to the ColSt 18Similar
Q1 13:20
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+9
45.2%
Ryan Stonehouse punt for 64 yds , Caleb Cooley returns for 9 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q1 13:20
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+9
45.2%
Ryan Stonehouse punt for 64 yds , Caleb Cooley returns for 9 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2DOWNS
8 plays · 24 yds · 3:0945% → 46%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
45.1%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+5
45.1%
Titus Swen run for 5 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+10
45.0%
Levi Williams pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 10 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
45.2%
Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the Wyom 43Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+3
45.2%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+5
45.1%
Levi Williams pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 5 yds to the ColSt 49Similar
Q1 10:11
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
46.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the ColSt 49Similar
Q1 10:11
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
46.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the ColSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 3TD
9 plays · 51 yds · 4:0055% → 56%
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+14
45.3%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Trey McBride for 14 yds to the Wyom 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
45.3%
David Bailey run for 1 yd to the Wyom 36Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+11
45.3%
Evan Olaes run for 11 yds to the Wyom 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
45.1%
David Bailey run for 1 yd to the Wyom 24Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+4
45.1%
Evan Olaes run for 4 yds to the Wyom 20Similar
Q1 10:11
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+10
45.3%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Trey McBride for 10 yds to the Wyom 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
45.1%
David Bailey run for 5 yds to the Wyom 5Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
45.1%
David Bailey run for 1 yd to the Wyom 4Similar
Q1 6:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
44.1%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Dante Wright for 4 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Terry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:3145% → 47%
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
44.6%
COLORADO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Logan Stewart) to the ColSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
47.2%
Levi Williams run for 43 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1454% → 53%
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
46.5%
David Bailey run for 3 yds to the ColSt 28Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
46.4%
David Bailey run for 1 yd to the ColSt 29Similar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
46.7%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:26
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
47.4%
Ryan Stonehouse punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Caleb Cooley at the Wyom 31Similar
Q1 4:26
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
47.4%
Ryan Stonehouse punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Caleb Cooley at the Wyom 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:4546% → 46%
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
46.3%
Titus Swen run for no gain to the Wyom 31Similar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+1
46.2%
Levi Williams pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 1 yd to the Wyom 32Similar
Q1 4:26
3RD & 9
OWN 32
0
45.7%
Levi Williams sacked by Mohamed Kamara for 0 yards to the Wyom 27Similar
Q1 2:41
4TH & 14
OWN 27
+6
45.5%
Ralph Fawaz punt for 61 yds , Dante Wright returns for 6 yds to the ColSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 2:3553% → 53%
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
47.1%
Todd Centeio run for 12 yds to the ColSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
46.9%
David Bailey run for 3 yds to the ColSt 33Similar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+8
46.7%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Dante Wright for 8 yds to the ColSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
46.1%
Todd Centeio run for no gain to the ColSt 41Similar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
46.4%
Todd Centeio run for 5 yds to the ColSt 46Similar
Q1 2:41
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
46.1%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:06
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
46.8%
Ryan Stonehouse punt for 51 yds, downed at the Wyom 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8TD
4 plays · 97 yds · 1:0147% → 55%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
46.8%
Titus Swen run for 1 yd to the Wyom 4Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+87
46.8%
Titus Swen run for 87 yds to the ColSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
49.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 4 yds to the ColSt 5Similar
Q2 13:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
55.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 9FG
9 plays · 48 yds · 2:1949% → 49%
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
51.5%
David Bailey run for 4 yds to the ColSt 47Similar
Q2 13:52
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+4
50.9%
David Bailey run for 4 yds to the Wyom 49Similar
Q2 13:52
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+5
50.9%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Trey McBride for 5 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+30
50.7%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Trey McBride for 30 yds to the Wyom 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
49.8%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:52
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+5
49.8%
David Bailey run for 5 yds to the Wyom 9Similar
Q2 13:52
3RD & 5
OPP 9
0
50.6%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:33
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+27
50.6%
Cayden Camper 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10FUMBLE
9 plays · 36 yds · 3:2553% → 57%
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
52.8%
Titus Swen run for 1 yd to the Wyom 26Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
52.6%
Levi Williams run for 2 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q2 11:33
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+16
52.1%
Levi Williams pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 16 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
54.0%
Tyrese Grant run for no gain to the Wyom 44Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+8
53.5%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 8 yds to the ColSt 48Similar
Q2 11:33
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+6
54.1%
Levi Williams run for 6 yds to the ColSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
54.5%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+3
57.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the ColSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4744% → 42%
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
55.9%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
56.2%
David Bailey run for 2 yds to the ColSt 41Similar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 8
OWN 41
0
56.6%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:21
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
58.4%
Ryan Stonehouse punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:4456% → 55%
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
55.5%
Levi Williams run for 1 yd to the Wyom 21Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-1
55.9%
Titus Swen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 20Similar
Q2 6:15
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+4
55.1%
Levi Williams run for 4 yds to the Wyom 24Similar
Q2 5:37
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+9
54.8%
Ralph Fawaz punt for 39 yds , Dante Wright returns for 9 yds to the ColSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:4042% → 41%
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
57.6%
David Bailey run for 7 yds to the ColSt 43Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+3
56.3%
David Bailey run for 3 yds to the ColSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
56.3%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
56.9%
David Bailey run for 2 yds to the ColSt 48Similar
Q2 5:37
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
56.8%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:57
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
59.5%
Ryan Stonehouse punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 14FG
8 plays · 68 yds · 2:4157% → 65%
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
57.0%
Titus Swen run for 5 yds to the Wyom 25Similar
Q2 3:57
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+3
57.3%
Titus Swen run for 3 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q2 3:57
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+52
56.6%
Levi Williams run for 52 yds to the ColSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
60.4%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 7 yds to the ColSt 13Similar
Q2 3:57
2ND & 3
OPP 13
0
60.4%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+1
60.1%
Levi Williams run for 1 yd to the ColSt 12Similar
Q2 1:16
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+29
65.1%
John Hoyland 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 15Uncategorized
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:1139% → 41%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
61.4%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Dante Wright for 5 yds to the ColSt 22Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 5
OWN 22
0
61.2%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 5
OWN 22
+7
62.1%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Trey McBride for 7 yds to the ColSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
61.2%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 9 yds to the ColSt 38Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 38
-15
59.0%
CENTEIO, Todd sacked for a loss of 5 yards at the CSU33 (GODBOUT, Cole). PENALTY CSU Personal Foul enforced 15 yards from the CSU38 to the CSU23 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 16MISSED FG
11 plays · 48 yds · 4:2364% → 67%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
64.4%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
64.3%
Levi Williams pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 9 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
65.2%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
64.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for 9 yds to the Wyom 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+5
65.5%
QB Keeper WILLIAMS, Levi rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the WYO48 (PATCHAN, Scott;PHILLIPS, Devin). PENALTY Before the snap, CSU Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the WYO45 to the WYO50 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+4
66.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for 4 yds to the ColSt 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+14
66.6%
Levi Williams run for 14 yds to the ColSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
66.9%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
66.9%
Levi Williams run for no gain to the ColSt 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+5
65.8%
Levi Williams pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 5 yds to the ColSt 27Similar
Q3 10:37
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+44
67.4%
John Hoyland 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 17MISSED FG
9 plays · 67 yds · 3:5035% → 34%
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
65.4%
David Bailey run for 15 yds to the ColSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
64.1%
David Bailey run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 2
50
+8
61.8%
David Bailey run for 8 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+14
62.4%
David Bailey run for 14 yds to the Wyom 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+17
60.3%
Jaylen Thomas run for 17 yds to the Wyom 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
60.2%
Jaylen Thomas run for 3 yds to the Wyom 8Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+1
60.2%
Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the Wyom 7Similar
Q3 10:37
3RD & 6
OPP 7
+1
62.1%
Todd Centeio run for 1 yd to the Wyom 6Similar
Q3 6:47
4TH & 5
OPP 6
+24
65.8%
Cayden Camper 24 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 18TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 5:1172% → 88%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
72.4%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 23Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+9
72.3%
Titus Swen run for 9 yds to the Wyom 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
72.7%
Levi Williams pass complete to Treyton Welch for 6 yds to the Wyom 38Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+2
74.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 40Similar
Q3 6:47
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+3
73.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
74.5%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 9 yds to the ColSt 48Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+6
75.2%
Titus Swen run for 6 yds to the ColSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
75.2%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+15
75.0%
VALLADAY, Xazavian rush to the left for a loss of 4 yards to the CSU46 (CARTER, Cam'Ron). PENALTY CSU Face mask enforced 15 yards from the CSU42 to the CSU27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
75.5%
Titus Swen run for 2 yds to the ColSt 25Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 8
OPP 25
0
75.5%
Titus Swen run for no gain to the ColSt 25Similar
Q3 1:36
3RD & 8
OPP 25
0
88.0%
COLORADO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Toby McBride) declined, (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 19DOWNS
8 plays · 41 yds · 1:5316% → 14%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
84.4%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Dante Wright for 2 yds to the ColSt 33Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+9
84.5%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Trey McBride for 9 yds to the ColSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
83.9%
CENTEIO, Todd pass to the right incomplete intended for MCBRIDE, Trey thrown to the WYO41. PENALTY WYO Pass Interference enforced 15 yards to the WYO43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
82.9%
Todd Centeio run for 5 yds to the Wyom 38Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 5
OPP 38
-10
82.5%
THOMAS, Jaylen rush to the right for a gain of 5 yards to the WYO33 (ROBINSON, Caleb). PENALTY CSU Holding enforced 10 yards from the WYO38 to the WYO48 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 15
OPP 48
+10
86.5%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Dante Wright for 10 yds to the Wyom 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+3
85.2%
Todd Centeio run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q4 14:37
4TH & 2
OPP 35
0
86.0%
Todd Centeio pass intercepted return for no gain to the Wyom 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 2:2290% → 91%
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
90.1%
Titus Swen run for 13 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
90.7%
Titus Swen run for 1 yd to the Wyom 42Similar
Q4 14:37
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+1
90.5%
Titus Swen run for 1 yd to the Wyom 43Similar
Q4 14:37
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
90.1%
Levi Williams sacked by Anthony Koclanakis for 0 yards to the Wyom 39Similar
Q4 12:15
4TH & 12
OWN 39
0
91.1%
Ralph Fawaz punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 21INT
5 plays · 22 yds · 1:1210% → 11%
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
89.7%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+11
89.7%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Cameron Butler for 11 yds to the ColSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
89.5%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+11
89.5%
Todd Centeio run for 11 yds to the ColSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
89.1%
Todd Centeio pass intercepted return for no gain to the ColSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 22TD
9 plays · 37 yds · 3:1293% → 99%
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
93.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 9 yds to the ColSt 28Similar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+2
93.1%
Levi Williams run for 2 yds to the ColSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
93.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 4 yds to the ColSt 22Similar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+10
93.1%
Titus Swen run for 10 yds to the ColSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
95.7%
Titus Swen run for 2 yds to the ColSt 10Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
95.7%
Isaiah Neyor run for 10 yds WYOMING Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the ColSt 15Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 13
OPP 15
0
95.6%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:51
3RD & 13
OPP 15
+15
98.7%
Levi Williams pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 15 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 23TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:131% → 5%
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.7%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Trey McBride for 7 yds to the ColSt 32Similar
Q4 7:51
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
98.6%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Trey McBride for 7 yds to the ColSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
98.6%
Todd Centeio run for 8 yds to the ColSt 47Similar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+5
98.5%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 5 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
98.5%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
98.5%
Todd Centeio sacked by Cole Godbout and Jordan Bertagnole for 0 yards to the ColSt 49Similar
Q4 7:51
3RD & 13
OWN 49
+11
98.7%
Todd Centeio run for 11 yds to the Wyom 40Similar
Q4 7:51
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+20
98.6%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 20 yds to the Wyom 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
98.3%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Trey McBride for 9 yds to the Wyom 11Similar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 1
OPP 11
0
98.3%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:38
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+11
95.3%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Dante Wright for 11 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Terry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 24END OF GAME
10 plays · 26 yds · 0:4999% → 99%
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
98.8%
Titus Swen run for 7 yds to the ColSt 39Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+4
98.8%
Xazavian Valladay run for 4 yds to the ColSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
99.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the ColSt 33Similar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+6
99.1%
Titus Swen run for 6 yds to the ColSt 27Similar
Q4 2:39
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+6
99.1%
Titus Swen run for 6 yds to the ColSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
99.1%
Titus Swen run for 2 yds to the ColSt 19Similar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+1
99.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the ColSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:36
COLORADO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Toby McBride) declined, (John Hoyland KICK)
+12.5
TD · Q2 13:59
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)
+5.6
FG · Q2 1:16
John Hoyland 29 yd FG GOOD
+5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com