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WYO

Wyoming 21 at San José State 27

SJSU
2021 · Week 9 · Oct 30, 2021 · CEFCU Stadium
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Win probability · SJSU
modelSJSU aheadWYO aheadconfidence bandkey playSJSU scoreWYO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:14 · Levi Williams pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 108Home team on offense+14.0Garbage-time factor+2.2Pregame prior+1.4Score differential+6.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.2Time remaining+2.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:54: Kairee Robinson run for 9 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK) — SJSU win probability +7.5 pts (now 73%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 8:29: Matt Mercurio 44 yd FG GOOD — SJSU win probability +7.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:11: Titus Swen run for 3 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK) — WYO win probability +16.1 pts (now 34%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:59: Nick Nash pass complete to Charles Ross for 44 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK) — SJSU win probability +9.6 pts (now 87%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:48: Levi Williams pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 12 yds for a TD — WYO win probability +10.7 pts (now 16%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SJSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8WYO made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 12:39SJSU 4th & 12 at SJSU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:18WYO 4th & 3 at WYO 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 40.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:45SJSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:36WYO 4th & 3 at WYO 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:49SJSU 4th & 2 at SJSU 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.2%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:00WYO 4th & 4 at WYO 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:28SJSU 4th & 10 at WYO 19, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.2%
    77% to make
    Punt
    61.6%−4.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:28WYO 4th & 1 at WYO 44, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    30.2%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:44WYO 4th & 4 at WYO 31, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−1.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:29SJSU 4th & 4 at WYO 27, up 9
    Close callKicked a field goal · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.8%−0.6
    62% to make
    Punt
    70.4%−7.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:14WYO 4th & 4 at SJSU 37, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    13.5%−1.5
    40% to make
    Punt
    13.2%−1.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:41SJSU 4th & 11 at WYO 42, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    90.1%−0.8
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:30WYO 4th & 1 at SJSU 25, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    9.3%−0.9
    66% to make
    Punt
    4.1%−6.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:42WYO 4th & 2 at SJSU 15, down 12
    Close callWent for it · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.3%−0.4
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    7.7%
    83% to make
    Punt
    4.2%−3.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:03SJSU 4th & 8 at SJSU 17, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:50SJSU 4th & 4 at SJSU 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:50WYO 4th & 25 at WYO 10, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.3%−<0.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SJSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WYO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 11:10SJSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    64.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:18WYO Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    37.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:11WYO Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    25.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:1556% → 56%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+23
56.3%
Nick Nash pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 23 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
56.3%
Tyler Nevens run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 40Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 12
OWN 40
-5
56.3%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 35Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 17
OWN 35
+2
56.3%
Nick Nash pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 2 yds to the SJSt 37Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 15
OWN 37
+3
56.3%
Nick Nash run for 3 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
Q1 12:39
4TH & 12
OWN 40
0
56.3%
Will Hart punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 32 yds · 4:2144% → 44%
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
56.5%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+5
56.5%
Levi Williams run for 5 yds to the Wyom 17Similar
Q1 12:39
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+5
56.5%
Levi Williams pass complete to Treyton Welch for 5 yds to the Wyom 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
56.4%
Xazavian Valladay run for 4 yds to the Wyom 26Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+3
56.4%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q1 12:39
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+8
56.4%
Xazavian Valladay run for 8 yds to the Wyom 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
56.3%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
56.4%
Titus Swen run for 2 yds to the Wyom 39Similar
Q1 12:39
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+5
56.4%
Levi Williams pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 5 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
Q1 8:18
4TH & 3
OWN 44
+22
56.5%
Ralph Fawaz punt for 51 yds , Shamar Garrett returns for 22 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3357% → 57%
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
56.7%
Nick Nash pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
56.6%
Nick Nash run for no gain to the SJSt 27Similar
Q1 7:02
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+9
56.2%
Nick Nash pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 9 yds to the SJSt 36Similar
Q1 6:45
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
56.5%
Will Hart punt for 52 yds, downed at the Wyom 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 3:0943% → 43%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
56.6%
Titus Swen run for 8 yds to the Wyom 20Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 2
OWN 20
+1
56.5%
Titus Swen run for 1 yd to the Wyom 21Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+3
56.8%
Titus Swen run for 3 yds to the Wyom 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
56.6%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+6
56.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for 6 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+1
56.6%
Levi Williams run for 1 yd to the Wyom 31Similar
Q1 3:36
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
57.1%
Ralph Fawaz punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Shamar Garrett at the SJSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4757% → 57%
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
56.9%
Tyler Nevens run for 4 yds to the SJSt 34Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+5
57.3%
Shamar Garrett run for 5 yds to the SJSt 39Similar
Q1 3:36
3RD & 1
OWN 39
-1
57.4%
Nick Nash pass complete to Kairee Robinson for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 38Similar
Q1 1:49
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
56.8%
Will Hart punt for 62 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4944% → 43%
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
56.2%
Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 19Similar
Q1 1:49
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+2
56.4%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 21Similar
Q1 0:11
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+5
56.8%
Levi Williams run for 5 yds to the Wyom 26Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+2
57.2%
Ralph Fawaz punt for 50 yds , Shamar Garrett returns for 2 yds to the SJSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 3:5057% → 65%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
57.3%
Nick Nash pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+1
57.1%
Nick Nash pass complete to Shamar Garrett for 1 yd to the SJSt 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+10
56.4%
Nick Nash pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 10 yds to the SJSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+48
57.7%
Nick Nash run for 48 yds to the Wyom 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
59.2%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, False Start (Shamar Garrett) to the Wyom 20Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 20
+18
59.0%
Tyler Nevens run for 18 yds to the Wyom 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
59.2%
Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd to the Wyom 1Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
65.0%
Nick Nash run for 1 yd for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8INT
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:4038% → 39%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
61.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
61.3%
Levi Williams pass intercepted return for no gain to the Wyom 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 9FG
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:0265% → 66%
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
65.2%
Tyler Nevens run for no gain to the Wyom 36Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+17
65.1%
Nick Nash pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 17 yds to the Wyom 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
65.3%
Nick Nash run for no gain to the Wyom 19Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
65.3%
Nick Nash pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 10
OPP 19
0
64.6%
Nick Nash pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:28
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+36
66.4%
Matt Mercurio 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 3:1033% → 39%
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
66.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 37Similar
Q2 8:28
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+6
66.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 6 yds to the Wyom 43Similar
Q2 8:28
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+1
66.0%
Levi Williams run for 1 yd to the Wyom 44Similar
Q2 8:28
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+4
66.8%
Xazavian Valladay run for 4 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
65.7%
Titus Swen run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 46Similar
Q2 8:28
2ND & 12
OWN 46
0
66.5%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:18
3RD & 12
OWN 46
+54
60.6%
Levi Williams pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 54 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 11TD
8 plays · 81 yds · 3:1862% → 73%
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
61.6%
Nick Nash pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+12
61.4%
Tyler Nevens run for 12 yds to the SJSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+18
61.9%
Tyler Nevens run for 18 yds to the SJSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
63.6%
Nick Nash pass complete to Charles Ross for 13 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+22
65.0%
Nick Nash run for 22 yds to the Wyom 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
65.1%
Kairee Robinson run for 7 yds to the Wyom 9Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+9
72.5%
Kairee Robinson run for 9 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1030% → 29%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
69.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-2
70.0%
Levi Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 25Similar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+6
71.3%
Levi Williams run for 6 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+55
71.2%
Ralph Fawaz punt for 55 yds, downed at the SJSU 14 SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jordan Cobbs) to the SJSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 14INT
7 plays · 31 yds · 3:3829% → 29%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
71.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-2
70.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 25Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+12
72.0%
Levi Williams pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 12 yds to the Wyom 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
70.1%
Levi Williams pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 3 yds to the Wyom 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+11
69.5%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 11 yds to the SJSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
68.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the SJSt 44Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 5
OPP 44
0
70.6%
Levi Williams pass intercepted return for no gain to the SJSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 15FG
8 plays · 56 yds · 2:5375% → 84%
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
74.7%
Nick Nash run for 6 yds to the SJSt 23Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+7
74.9%
Tyler Nevens run for 7 yds to the SJSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
74.9%
Nick Nash pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+37
74.6%
Kairee Robinson run for 37 yds to the Wyom 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
77.1%
Nick Nash pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+6
77.0%
Tyler Nevens run for 6 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q3 11:22
3RD & 4
OPP 27
0
76.1%
Nick Nash pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:29
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+44
83.6%
Matt Mercurio 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 16TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 1:1817% → 34%
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
83.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+67
81.8%
Xazavian Valladay run for 67 yds to the SJSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
65.7%
Titus Swen run for 3 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 17TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 4:0776% → 87%
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
75.6%
Tyler Nevens run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 22Similar
Q3 7:06
2ND & 11
OWN 22
0
75.3%
Nick Nash pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:06
3RD & 11
OWN 22
+13
74.1%
Nick Nash run for 13 yds to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
75.8%
Shamar Garrett run for 2 yds to the SJSt 37Similar
Q3 7:06
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+10
76.4%
Nick Nash pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 10 yds to the SJSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+17
77.8%
Nick Nash run for 17 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-10
78.1%
NEVENS, Tyler rush up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the WYO32 (HEARN, Azizi). PENALTY SJS Holding on ROBBINS, Trevor enforced 10 yards from the WYO36 to the WYO46 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:06
1ST & 20
OPP 46
0
77.1%
Nick Nash pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:06
2ND & 20
OPP 46
+2
76.9%
Tyler Nevens run for 2 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
Q3 2:59
3RD & 18
OPP 44
+44
86.5%
Nick Nash pass complete to Charles Ross for 44 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 43 yds · 3:3815% → 15%
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
84.7%
Levi Williams run for 8 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q3 2:52
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+7
83.4%
Titus Swen run for 7 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
83.8%
Levi Williams pass complete to Parker Christensen for 2 yds to the Wyom 37Similar
Q3 2:52
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+5
83.4%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the Wyom 42Similar
Q3 2:52
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+15
82.9%
Xazavian Valladay run for 15 yds to the SJSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
82.3%
Isaiah Neyor run for 8 yds to the SJSt 35Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 35
-3
82.0%
Levi Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+1
83.9%
Levi Williams run for 1 yd to the SJSt 37Similar
Q4 14:14
4TH & 4
OPP 37
0
85.1%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:3389% → 90%
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+22
88.5%
Nick Nash pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 22 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
89.1%
Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd to the Wyom 40Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 9
OPP 40
0
89.0%
Nick Nash pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 9
OPP 40
-2
88.5%
Kairee Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 42Similar
Q4 12:41
4TH & 11
OPP 42
0
90.0%
Will Hart punt for 41 yds, downed at the Wyom 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 20DOWNS
15 plays · 84 yds · 6:5911% → 8%
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
88.6%
Levi Williams run for 4 yds to the Wyom 5Similar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+11
88.8%
Xazavian Valladay run for 11 yds to the Wyom 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+11
88.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for 11 yds to the Wyom 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
87.8%
Levi Williams pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 6 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+23
90.0%
Titus Swen run for 23 yds to the SJSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
89.7%
Levi Williams pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 3 yds to the SJSt 41Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+7
89.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for 7 yds to the SJSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
89.1%
Levi Williams run for 4 yds to the SJSt 30Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+5
88.6%
Levi Williams pass complete to Treyton Welch for 5 yds to the SJSt 25Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 1
OPP 25
0
89.3%
Titus Swen run for no gain to the SJSt 25Similar
Q4 10:30
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+2
89.7%
Levi Williams run for 2 yds to the SJSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
88.6%
Levi Williams sacked by Viliami Fehoko for 0 yards to the SJSt 25Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 12
OPP 25
+5
89.0%
Levi Williams run for 5 yds to the SJSt 20Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+5
89.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the SJSt 15Similar
Q4 5:42
4TH & 2
OPP 15
0
92.2%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:3995% → 96%
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
94.5%
Tyler Nevens run for 4 yds to the SJSt 19Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 6
OWN 19
-2
94.5%
Tyler Nevens run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 17Similar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 8
OWN 17
0
96.1%
Nick Nash run for no gain to the SJSt 17Similar
Q4 4:03
4TH & 8
OWN 17
0
95.7%
Will Hart punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Ayden Eberhardt at the SJSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 22TD
5 plays · 49 yds · 1:205% → 16%
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
95.3%
Levi Williams run for 15 yds to the SJSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
94.8%
Levi Williams pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 6 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+16
94.5%
Levi Williams pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 16 yds to the SJSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
83.8%
Levi Williams pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 12 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:5893% → 95%
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
93.3%
Tyler Nevens run for 3 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q4 2:03
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
94.8%
Kairee Robinson run for 1 yd to the SJSt 29Similar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+2
95.5%
Nick Nash run for 2 yds to the SJSt 31Similar
Q4 1:50
4TH & 4
OWN 31
-2
95.0%
Will Hart punt for 42 yds , Ayden Eberhardt returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 24DOWNS
4 plays · -15 yds · 1:008% → 7%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.0%
Levi Williams sacked by Cade Hall for 0 yards to the Wyom 18Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 17
OWN 18
0
92.4%
Levi Williams sacked by Cade Hall for 0 yards to the Wyom 10Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 25
OWN 10
0
92.8%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:50
4TH & 25
OWN 10
0
93.4%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:11
Titus Swen run for 3 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)
-16.1
TD · Q4 2:48
Levi Williams pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 12 yds for a TD
-10.7
TD · Q3 2:59
Nick Nash pass complete to Charles Ross for 44 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)
+9.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com