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SJSU

San José State 27 at UNLV 20

UNLV
2021 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2021 · Allegiant Stadium
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Win probability · UNLV
modelUNLV aheadSJSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUNLV scoreSJSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGTDFGTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+2.2UNLV 38.1%M. Mercurio 26 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 7 · Q1 7:29
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:29 · M. Mercurio 26 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 22Pregame prior−14.0Home team on offense+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score differential+0.0Blowout margin+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:51: Charles Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK) — UNLV win probability +9.2 pts (now 65%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:02: Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd for a TD Timeout SAN JOSÉ ST, clock 00:02 (Matt Mercurio KICK) — SJSU win probability +13.4 pts (now 50%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. FG · Q3 8:56: Daniel Gutierrez 30 yd FG GOOD — UNLV win probability +11.7 pts (now 66%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:21: Tyler Nevens run for 10 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK) — SJSU win probability +23.4 pts (now 59%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 9:34: Daniel Gutierrez 40 yd FG MISSED — UNLV win probability +12.9 pts (now 70%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNLV made the numbers' call on 4 of 8SJSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 7:29SJSU 4th & 9 at UNLV 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.6%
    89% to make
    Punt
    57.4%−1.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:47UNLV 4th & 9 at UNLV 42, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:47UNLV 4th & 9 at UNLV 42, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:24SJSU 4th & 1 at UNLV 9, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    57.6%−0.9
    89% to make
    Punt
    55.1%−3.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:24SJSU 4th & 1 at UNLV 9, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    57.6%−0.9
    89% to make
    Punt
    55.1%−3.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:20UNLV 4th & 6 at SJSU 36, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.9%−0.4
    42% to make
    Punt
    44.6%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:52SJSU 4th & 4 at SJSU 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.5%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:58UNLV 4th & 11 at UNLV 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:07SJSU 4th & 9 at UNLV 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.6%
    77% to make
    Punt
    26.8%−4.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:56UNLV 4th & 7 at SJSU 12, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.6%
    86% to make
    Punt
    50.5%−9.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:30SJSU 4th & 1 at UNLV 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    31.7%−5.0
    38% to make
    Punt
    31.7%−5.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:23UNLV 4th & 2 at UNLV 46, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 70.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.3%−1.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:34UNLV 4th & 1 at SJSU 22, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 6.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.7%−6.6
    72% to make
    Punt
    31.2%−25.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:11UNLV 4th & 5 at SJSU 24, up 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.8 ptsWent for it · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.7%−1.8
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    87.5%
    68% to make
    Punt
    69.6%−17.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNLV made the numbers' call on 2 of 2SJSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:47UNLV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:51UNLV Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:02SJSU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:21SJSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNLVDrive 1TD
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:1034% → 36%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+12
34.2%
Charles Williams run for 12 yds to the SJSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
34.2%
PENALTY NLV False Start (Shanks,Tiger) 5 yards from SJS08 to SJS13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+3
34.3%
Cameron Friel run for 3 yds to the SJSt 10Similar
Q1 14:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
34.2%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the SJSt 6Similar
Q1 12:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
36.1%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 6 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 2FG
19 plays · 66 yds · 12:4764% → 59%
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
35.9%
Nick Nash pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 9 yds to the SJSt 34Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
35.7%
Tyler Nevens run for 6 yds to the SJSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
35.7%
Nick Nash run for 11 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
35.6%
Nick Nash pass complete to Charles Ross for 11 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
35.6%
Nick Nash run for 15 yds to the UNLV 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
35.5%
Tyler Nevens run for 6 yds to the UNLV 17Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+3
35.5%
Tyler Nevens run for 3 yds to the UNLV 20Similar
Q1 12:47
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+11
35.6%
Nick Nash pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 11 yds to the UNLV 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
35.5%
Tyler Nevens run for no gain to the UNLV 9Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
35.5%
Nick Nash pass incomplete to Shamar GarrettSimilar
Q1 12:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
35.7%
Nick Nash pass incomplete to Isaiah HamiltonSimilar
Q1 7:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
38.1%
M. Mercurio 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 17
-3
39.9%
Tyler Nevens run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 20Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+11
40.5%
Nick Nash pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 11 yds to the UNLV 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
39.9%
Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
39.9%
pass incomplete to Shamar GarrettSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
40.7%
pass incomplete to Isaiah HamiltonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 17 yds · 7:2938% → 42%
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
38.2%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Kyle Williams for 16 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
38.7%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the UNLV 40Similar
Q1 7:29
2ND & 11
OWN 40
0
38.4%
Cameron Friel pass incomplete to Kaleo BallungaySimilar
Q1 7:29
3RD & 11
OWN 40
+2
38.1%
Cameron Friel run for 2 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q1 5:47
4TH & 9
OWN 42
+7
38.7%
Evan Silva punt for 33 yds , Kenyon Reed returns for 7 yds to the SJSt 32Similar
Q1 5:47
4TH & 9
OWN 42
+7
38.7%
Evan Silva punt for 33 yds , Kenyon Reed returns for 7 yds to the SJSt 32Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
42.1%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Kyle Williams for 16 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
43.0%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 40Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 40
0
42.4%
pass incomplete to Kaleo BallungaySimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 11
OWN 40
+2
41.8%
Cameron Friel run for 2 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 4DOWNS
17 plays · 59 yds · 5:4761% → 58%
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
39.1%
Nick Nash pass complete to Charles Ross for 4 yds to the SJSt 36Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+3
38.9%
Nick Nash run for 3 yds to the SJSt 33Similar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+25
39.6%
Nick Nash pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 25 yds to the UNLV 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+24
38.4%
Nick Nash pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 24 yds to the UNLV 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
38.0%
Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd to the UNLV 19Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 11
OPP 19
0
38.1%
Nick Nash pass incomplete to Charles RossSimilar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 11
OPP 19
+10
38.5%
Nick Nash run for 10 yds to the UNLV 9Similar
Q1 2:24
4TH & 1
OPP 9
0
41.2%
Tyler Nevens run for no gain to the UNLV 9Similar
Q1 2:24
4TH & 1
OPP 9
0
41.2%
Tyler Nevens run for no gain to the UNLV 9Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
42.9%
Nick Nash pass complete to Charles Ross for 4 yds to the SJSt 36Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 36
-3
42.6%
Nick Nash run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 33Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+25
43.7%
Nick Nash pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 25 yds to the UNLV 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+24
41.8%
Nick Nash pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 24 yds to the UNLV 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
41.1%
Tyler Nevens run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 19Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 19
0
41.2%
Nick Nash pass incomplete to Charles Ross, broken up by Jeremiah HoustonSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 11
OPP 19
+10
41.9%
Nick Nash run for 10 yds to the UNLV 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 5FG
15 plays · 55 yds · 5:0441% → 48%
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
41.2%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Jordan Jakes for 8 yds to the UNLV 17Similar
Q1 2:24
2ND & 2
OWN 17
+4
41.2%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 13Similar
Q1 2:24
3RD & 6
OWN 13
+5
40.5%
PENALTY SJS Offside (Wright,Noah) 5 yards from NLV13 to NLV18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:24
3RD & 1
OWN 18
+29
40.6%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Kyle Williams for 29 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
42.2%
Cameron Friel pass incomplete to Kyle WilliamsSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 17
-4
42.5%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 13Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 13
+5
41.7%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, off-side (Noah Wright) to the UNLV 13Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
43.6%
Cameron Friel pass incomplete to Charles WilliamsSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+13
42.6%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 13 yds to the SJSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
43.9%
Cameron Friel run for 4 yds to the SJSt 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+5
43.9%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the SJSt 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 31
0
43.5%
Chad Magyar run for no gain to the SJSt 31Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 31
-5
42.9%
PENALTY NLV Illegal Substitution 5 yards from SJS31 to SJS36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:20
4TH & 6
OPP 36
+53
48.2%
Daniel Gutierrez 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2752% → 50%
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
47.6%
Tyler Nevens run for no gain to the SJSt 30Similar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+6
48.1%
Nick Nash pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 6 yds to the SJSt 36Similar
Q2 12:19
3RD & 4
OWN 36
0
47.6%
Nick Nash pass incomplete to Jermaine BraddockSimilar
Q2 10:52
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
49.6%
Will Hart punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Steve Jenkins at the UNLV 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 2:5449% → 51%
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+20
49.3%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Kyle Williams for 20 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
50.8%
Charles Williams run for loss of 1 yd to the UNLV 45Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 11
OWN 45
-10
50.0%
Cameron Friel sacked by E.J. Ane for a loss of 10 yards to the UNLV 35Similar
Q2 10:52
3RD & 21
OWN 35
+10
48.3%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 10 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q2 7:58
4TH & 11
OWN 45
0
51.2%
Evan Silva punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Kenyon Reed at the SJSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 8FUMBLE
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:4447% → 47%
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
52.6%
Nick Nash run for 4 yds to the SJSt 16Similar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+2
53.3%
Nick Nash run for 2 yds to the SJSt 18 Nick Nash fumbled, forced by Tavis Malakius, recovered by UNLV Bryce JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9TD
3 plays · 18 yds · 1:2356% → 65%
Q2 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+11
55.5%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Shelton Zeon III for 11 yds to the SJSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
55.5%
Charles Williams run for 6 yds to the SJSt 1Similar
Q2 5:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
64.7%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 10FG
16 plays · 56 yds · 4:4437% → 36%
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.2%
Nick Nash pass incomplete to Isaiah HamiltonSimilar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
63.4%
Nick Nash pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 16 yds to the SJSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
62.5%
Nick Nash pass incomplete to Skylar Loving-BlackSimilar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
62.8%
Nick Nash pass incomplete to Malikhi MillerSimilar
Q2 5:51
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+11
63.3%
Nick Nash pass complete to Charles Ross for 11 yds to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
61.5%
Shamar Garrett run for 9 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+3
60.7%
Tyler Nevens run for 3 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
61.2%
Nick Nash pass incomplete to Derrick Deese Jr.Similar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+5
61.3%
Nick Nash pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 5 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q2 2:58
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+11
62.4%
Nick Nash pass complete to Charles Ross for 11 yds to the UNLV 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-4
61.6%
Nick Nash sacked by Brennon Scott for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 24Similar
Q2 2:58
2ND & 14
OPP 24
+2
63.7%
Nick Nash run for 2 yds to the UNLV 22Similar
Q2 2:58
3RD & 12
OPP 22
+3
64.5%
Nick Nash run for 3 yds to the UNLV 19Similar
Q2 1:07
4TH & 9
OPP 19
+36
63.7%
Matt Mercurio 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11FUMBLE
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:5165% → 67%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
65.1%
Charles Williams run for 7 yds to the UNLV 32Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
65.5%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
66.6%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 33 Charles Williams fumbled, forced by Cade Hall, recovered by SJSt Jay LenardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 12TD
3 plays · 33 yds · 0:1438% → 50%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+32
61.6%
Nick Nash pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 32 yds to the UNLV 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
49.6%
Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd for a TD Timeout SAN JOSÉ ST, clock 00:02 (Matt Mercurio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
54.5%
run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 14FG
12 plays · 57 yds · 5:5852% → 66%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
52.4%
Cameron Friel run for 4 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+1
53.1%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the UNLV 36Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+5
51.9%
Cameron Friel run for 5 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+19
53.9%
Charles Williams run for 19 yds to the SJSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
55.0%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the SJSt 37Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+5
55.0%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Kyle Williams for 5 yds to the SJSt 32Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+17
54.4%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Kyle Williams for 17 yds to the SJSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
55.6%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the SJSt 12Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 7
OPP 12
0
55.6%
Charles Williams run for no gain to the SJSt 12Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 7
OPP 12
0
54.5%
Cameron Friel pass incomplete to Steve JenkinsSimilar
Q3 8:56
4TH & 7
OPP 12
+30
66.2%
Daniel Gutierrez 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 15DOWNS
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:2637% → 37%
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
62.8%
Nick Nash pass complete to Shamar Garrett for 8 yds to the SJSt 33Similar
Q3 8:56
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+20
60.4%
Nick Nash run for 20 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
59.1%
Nick Nash pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:56
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+9
59.9%
Nick Nash pass complete to Charles Ross for 9 yds to the UNLV 38Similar
Q3 8:56
3RD & 1
OPP 38
0
58.9%
Tyler Nevens run for no gain to the UNLV 38Similar
Q3 6:30
4TH & 1
OPP 38
0
62.7%
Nick Nash pass incomplete to Derrick Deese Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0771% → 70%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
71.1%
Cameron Friel sacked by Viliami Fehoko for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 37Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 11
OWN 37
0
69.9%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Charles Williams for no gain to the UNLV 37Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+9
68.7%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Jordan Jakes for 9 yds to the UNLV 46Similar
Q3 4:23
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
70.4%
Evan Silva punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 17TD
11 plays · 88 yds · 5:0233% → 59%
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
67.0%
Tyler Nevens run for 4 yds to the SJSt 16Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+10
67.1%
Nick Nash run for 10 yds to the SJSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
66.6%
Nick Nash pass incomplete to Kairee RobinsonSimilar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+17
67.0%
Nick Nash pass complete to Charles Ross for 17 yds to the SJSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
64.8%
Tyler Nevens run for 2 yds to the SJSt 45Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
63.7%
Nick Nash pass incomplete, broken up by Bryce JacksonSimilar
Q3 4:23
3RD & 3
50
+20
63.4%
Nick Nash run for 20 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
60.9%
Nick Nash run for 7 yds to the UNLV 23Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+4
64.9%
Tyler Nevens run for 4 yds to the UNLV 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
64.9%
Nick Nash pass complete to Shamar Garrett for 9 yds to the UNLV 10Similar
Q4 14:21
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+10
41.4%
Tyler Nevens run for 10 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 18FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 4:4752% → 70%
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
52.3%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Kyle Williams for 17 yds to the UNLV 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
55.7%
Charles Williams run for 6 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q4 14:21
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+7
56.8%
Charles Williams run for 7 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
57.6%
Cameron Friel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:21
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+9
57.3%
Charles Williams run for 9 yds to the SJSt 36Similar
Q4 14:21
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+5
56.9%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the SJSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
58.9%
Cameron Friel run for 3 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q4 14:21
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+4
58.9%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the SJSt 24Similar
Q4 14:21
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+2
57.0%
Cameron Friel run for 2 yds to the SJSt 22Similar
Q4 9:34
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+40
69.8%
Daniel Gutierrez 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 78 yds · 2:2036% → 45%
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
63.8%
Nick Nash run for 9 yds to the SJSt 31Similar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 1
OWN 31
0
60.1%
Nick Nash run for no gain to the SJSt 31Similar
Q4 9:34
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+54
62.7%
Isaiah Holiness run for 54 yds to the UNLV 15 Isaiah Holiness fumbled, forced by Jacoby Windmon, recovered by SJSt Jermaine Braddock for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
55.6%
Nick Nash run for no gain to the UNLV 15Similar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+15
55.5%
Nick Nash run for 15 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 20END OF GAME
23 plays · 72 yds · 7:0669% → 96%
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
68.6%
Charles Williams run for no gain to the UNLV 9Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+1
68.3%
Cameron Friel run for 1 yd to the UNLV 10Similar
Q4 7:06
3RD & 9
OWN 10
+13
67.1%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Kyle Williams for 13 yds to the UNLV 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
69.7%
Cameron Friel sacked by Viliami Fehoko for a loss of 5 yards to the UNLV 18Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 15
OWN 18
0
68.8%
Cameron Friel pass incomplete to Jordan JakesSimilar
Q4 7:06
3RD & 15
OWN 18
+22
67.1%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 22 yds to the UNLV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
72.3%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 37Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+2
69.7%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 2 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+12
83.9%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Shelton Zeon III for 12 yds to the SJSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
87.2%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the SJSt 46Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 7
OPP 46
0
87.5%
Cameron Friel pass incomplete to Marcus Phillips Jr.Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+17
86.7%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 17 yds to the SJSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-3
91.5%
Cameron Friel sacked by Jordan Cobbs for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 32Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 13
OPP 32
0
91.8%
Cameron Friel pass incomplete to Marcus Phillips Jr.Similar
Q4 1:11
3RD & 13
OPP 32
+8
90.1%
Cameron Friel run for 8 yds to the SJSt 24Similar
Q4 1:11
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+5
90.1%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Shelton Zeon III for 5 yds to the SJSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
92.1%
Cameron Friel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+8
92.1%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Shelton Zeon III for 8 yds to the SJSt 11Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 11
-8
96.3%
Cameron Friel sacked by Kyle Harmon for a loss of 8 yards to the SJSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-96.3
TD · Q4 14:21
Tyler Nevens run for 10 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)
-23.4
TD · Q2 0:02
Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd for a TD Timeout SAN JOSÉ ST, clock 00:02 (Matt Mercurio KICK)
-13.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com