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UNM

New Mexico 14 at Wyoming 3

WYO
2021 · Week 8 · Oct 23, 2021 · War Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadUNM aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreUNM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:57 · Aaron Rodriguez punt for 46 yds , Ayden Eberhardt returns for no gain to the Wyom 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 100Pregame prior+11.4Home team on offense−19.9Score differential−9.2Garbage-time factor−8.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:29: Aaron Dumas run for 2 yds for a TD (Andrew Shelley KICK) — UNM win probability +15.7 pts (now 42%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  2. PUNT · Q3 1:22: Ralph Fawaz punt for 50 yds , Luke Wysong returns for 15 yds to the NMex 34 — UNM win probability +5.7 pts (now 66%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:31: Sean Chambers pass incomplete — UNM win probability +9.7 pts (now 81%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:31: Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Zarak Scruggs Jr. for 3 yds to the NMex 47 — UNM win probability +5.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:45: Timeout WYOMING, clock 02:45 — UNM win probability +11.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 7 of 8UNM made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 11:24UNM 4th & 6 at UNM 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:50UNM 4th & 1 at UNM 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.4%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:22UNM 4th & 3 at WYO 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    14.7%−0.4
    28% to make
    Punt
    14.8%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:00WYO 4th & 5 at UNM 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.7%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:46UNM 4th & 3 at UNM 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:30WYO 4th & 9 at UNM 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.2%
    88% to make
    Punt
    66.5%−5.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:27WYO 4th & 7 at WYO 28, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%−1.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:57UNM 4th & 4 at UNM 46, up 11
    Close callPunted · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.1%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:41WYO 4th & 9 at WYO 9, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.2%−1.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:05UNM 4th & 2 at WYO 34, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    51.1%−3.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    49.8%−4.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:26UNM 4th & 1 at WYO 19, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    55.6%−3.7
    77% to make
    Punt
    44.5%−14.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:22WYO 4th & 13 at WYO 31, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%−3.8
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:57UNM 4th & 10 at UNM 34, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−3.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:15UNM 4th & 5 at WYO 13, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.7%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    63.5%−9.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:15WYO 4th & 4 at WYO 49, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    26.4%−0.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:31WYO 4th & 8 at UNM 44, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.1%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    16.8%−1.3
    27% to make
    Punt
    17.9%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:01UNM 4th & 3 at WYO 39, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    87.0%−1.3
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.0%−1.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:36WYO 4th & 12 at UNM 38, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.7%
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    6.9%−0.8
    38% to make
    Punt
    7.1%−0.6
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:58UNM 4th & 8 at WYO 44, up 11
    Close callPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    94.8%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 1:22UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:29UNM Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 3:3610% → 11%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
89.7%
Isaiah Chavez run for 3 yds to the NMex 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
89.7%
Luke Wysong run for 9 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
89.7%
Aaron Dumas run for 2 yds to the NMex 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
89.7%
Isaiah Chavez run for no gain to the NMex 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 39
-3
89.7%
Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Luke Wysong for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 36Similar
Q1 11:32
4TH & 11
OWN 36
+5
88.8%
RODRIGUEZ, Aaron punt 64 yards to the WYO0, Touchback. PENALTY WYO Offsides enforced 5 yards from the UNM36 to the UNM41. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 11:24
4TH & 6
OWN 41
+1
88.7%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 46 yds , Ayden Eberhardt returns for 1 yd to the Wyom 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2INT
11 plays · 45 yds · 4:3489% → 88%
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
88.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for 6 yds to the Wyom 20Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+2
88.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 22Similar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+4
88.7%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 4 yds to the Wyom 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
88.7%
Sean Chambers run for 9 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+6
88.8%
Sean Chambers run for 6 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
88.8%
Sean Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-1
88.8%
Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 40Similar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 11
OWN 40
+15
88.7%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Personal Foul (Tony Collier) to the NMex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
88.9%
Sean Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+1
88.9%
Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the NMex 41Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 9
OPP 41
0
87.5%
Sean Chambers pass intercepted return for no gain to the NMex 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 5:2813% → 18%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+16
87.1%
Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Zarak Scruggs Jr. for 16 yds to the NMex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
86.9%
Isaiah Chavez run for 1 yd to the NMex 40Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+5
87.0%
Isaiah Chavez run for 5 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+3
86.9%
Isaiah Chavez run for 3 yds to the NMex 48Similar
Q1 6:50
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+2
87.0%
Aaron Dumas run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
50
-3
86.8%
Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Zarak Scruggs Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 47Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 13
OWN 47
+6
87.0%
Luke Wysong run for 6 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+4
86.8%
Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Luke Wysong for 4 yds to the Wyom 43Similar
Q1 1:22
4TH & 3
OPP 43
+43
81.7%
Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 43 yds for a TD (Andrew Shelley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 3:2282% → 80%
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
82.2%
Titus Swen run for 11 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
82.4%
Titus Swen run for 3 yds to the Wyom 39Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+5
81.8%
Titus Swen run for 5 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+4
81.9%
Titus Swen run for 4 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
82.1%
Sean Chambers run for 4 yds to the NMex 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+1
82.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the NMex 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 47
0
82.1%
Sean Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:00
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
80.0%
Ralph Fawaz punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Luke Wysong at the NMex 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 4:1420% → 23%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
79.6%
Aaron Dumas run for 5 yds to the NMex 17Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+4
79.5%
Aaron Dumas run for 4 yds to the NMex 21Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+3
79.5%
Luke Wysong run for 3 yds to the NMex 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
79.4%
Aaron Dumas run for 3 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q2 9:29
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+3
76.1%
Aaron Dumas run for 3 yds to the NMex 30Similar
Q2 9:29
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+1
76.7%
Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Zarak Scruggs Jr. for 1 yd to the NMex 31Similar
Q2 8:46
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
76.7%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 41 yds, downed at the Wyom 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6FG
10 plays · 62 yds · 4:1677% → 78%
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
76.8%
Xazavian Valladay run for 6 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+7
77.4%
Levi Williams pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 7 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
77.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+5
77.9%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the NMex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+38
78.2%
Levi Williams pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 38 yds to the NMex 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
79.1%
Levi Williams run for 2 yds to the NMex 9Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 8
OPP 9
-5
79.1%
WYOMING Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NMex 14Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 13
OPP 14
+4
79.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 4 yds to the NMex 10Similar
Q2 8:46
3RD & 9
OPP 10
0
78.3%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:30
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+27
77.5%
John Hoyland 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:0124% → 42%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
75.8%
Bobby Cole run for 2 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
75.7%
Luke Wysong run for 8 yds to the NMex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+34
75.4%
Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Kyle Jarvis for 34 yds to the Wyom 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
73.9%
Isaiah Chavez run for 7 yds to the Wyom 24Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 3
OPP 24
-1
73.8%
Isaiah Chavez run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 25Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+5
74.1%
Isaiah Chavez run for 5 yds to the Wyom 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+12
73.8%
WYOMING Penalty, Roughing the Passer on JONES, Victor enforced half the distance from the goal (12 Yards) to the Wyom 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
73.8%
WYOMING Penalty, Offsides ( Yards) to the Wyom 2Similar
Q2 0:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
58.0%
Aaron Dumas run for 2 yds for a TD (Andrew Shelley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8END OF HALF
1 play · -7 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
61.3%
WYOMING Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3360% → 56%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
59.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+4
59.5%
Titus Swen run for 4 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
58.6%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:27
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+3
55.6%
Ralph Fawaz punt for 35 yds , Luke Wysong returns for 3 yds to the NMex 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:3044% → 47%
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
55.9%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NMex 38Similar
Q3 13:27
1ST & 12
OWN 38
+2
56.4%
Bobby Cole run for 2 yds to the NMex 40Similar
Q3 13:27
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
56.3%
Trae Hall run for 5 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q3 13:27
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+1
56.3%
Isaiah Chavez run for 1 yd to the NMex 46Similar
Q3 10:57
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
52.8%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Ayden Eberhardt at the Wyom 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:1651% → 49%
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
51.3%
Levi Williams pass complete to Jackson Marcotte for 6 yds to the Wyom 14Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 4
OWN 14
+3
51.8%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 17Similar
Q3 10:57
3RD & 1
OWN 17
-6
50.6%
SWEN, Titus rush to the left for a gain of 6 yards to the WYO23 (COLLIER, Tony). PENALTY WYO Holding enforced half the distance from the goal, 9 yards from the WYO17 to the WYO8. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:57
3RD & 9
OWN 9
0
49.9%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:41
4TH & 9
OWN 9
0
47.1%
Ralph Fawaz punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Luke Wysong at the Wyom 42Similar
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-10
48.6%
DUMAS, Aaron rush up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the WYO38 (GANDY, Esaias;GIBBS, Easton). PENALTY UNM Holding enforced 10 yards from the WYO42 to the UNM48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 12DOWNS
10 plays · 23 yds · 5:1551% → 60%
Q3 9:41
1ST & 20
OWN 48
-5
49.1%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, False Start (Tony Collier) to the NMex 43Similar
Q3 9:41
1ST & 25
OWN 43
-1
49.4%
Isaiah Chavez run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 42Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 26
OWN 42
+5
49.6%
Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Trae Hall for 5 yds to the NMex 47Similar
Q3 7:05
3RD & 21
OWN 47
+19
43.6%
Isaiah Chavez run for 19 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q3 7:05
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+6
45.2%
Aaron Dumas run for 6 yds to the Wyom 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
41.5%
Luke Wysong run for 8 yds to the Wyom 20Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+1
41.5%
Aaron Dumas run for 1 yd to the Wyom 19Similar
Q3 7:05
3RD & 1
OPP 19
0
42.3%
Aaron Dumas run for no gain to the Wyom 19Similar
Q3 4:26
4TH & 1
OPP 19
0
40.3%
Isaiah Chavez run for no gain to the Wyom 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 3:0442% → 34%
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
41.5%
Levi Williams run for 9 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q3 4:26
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+6
42.9%
Levi Williams run for 6 yds to the Wyom 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
42.3%
Levi Williams run for 2 yds to the Wyom 36Similar
Q3 4:26
2ND & 8
OWN 36
-10
42.7%
WYOMING Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Wyom 27Similar
Q3 4:26
2ND & 17
OWN 27
0
41.1%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:26
3RD & 17
OWN 27
+4
39.8%
Levi Williams run for 4 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q3 1:22
4TH & 13
OWN 31
+15
34.1%
Ralph Fawaz punt for 50 yds , Luke Wysong returns for 15 yds to the NMex 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:2565% → 70%
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
35.0%
Bobby Cole run for 1 yd to the NMex 35Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+1
30.7%
Bobby Cole run for 1 yd to the NMex 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+3
30.5%
Bobby Cole run for 3 yds to the NMex 39Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 39
-5
31.6%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, False Start (Tony Collier) to the NMex 34Similar
Q4 13:57
4TH & 10
OWN 34
0
30.5%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 46 yds , Ayden Eberhardt returns for no gain to the Wyom 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15FUMBLE
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
29.9%
Isaiah Neyor run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 18 fumbled, recovered by NMex Cody MoonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 16MISSED FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3774% → 75%
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
26.2%
Luke Wysong run for 4 yds to the Wyom 14Similar
Q4 13:52
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+1
26.2%
Isaiah Chavez run for 1 yd to the Wyom 13Similar
Q4 13:52
3RD & 5
OPP 13
0
26.5%
Isaiah Chavez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:15
4TH & 5
OPP 13
+30
25.4%
Andrew Shelley 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17DOWNS
10 plays · 36 yds · 3:4426% → 20%
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
26.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for 8 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+15
27.4%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 15 yds to the Wyom 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
28.5%
Sean Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+1
28.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the Wyom 44Similar
Q4 12:15
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+5
27.0%
Sean Chambers run for 5 yds to the Wyom 49Similar
Q4 12:15
4TH & 4
OWN 49
+5
26.9%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 5 yds to the NMex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
30.5%
Sean Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+2
29.7%
Sean Chambers run for 2 yds to the NMex 44Similar
Q4 12:15
3RD & 8
OPP 44
0
29.2%
Sean Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:31
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
19.5%
Sean Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 3:3086% → 91%
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
13.8%
Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Zarak Scruggs Jr. for 3 yds to the NMex 47Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+6
13.9%
Aaron Dumas run for 6 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q4 8:31
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+1
14.0%
Aaron Dumas run for 1 yd to the Wyom 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
13.7%
Bobby Wooden run for 2 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+2
13.7%
Isaiah Chavez run for 2 yds to the Wyom 42Similar
Q4 5:08
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+3
9.1%
Isaiah Chavez run for 3 yds to the Wyom 39Similar
Q4 5:01
4TH & 3
OPP 39
0
9.4%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19DOWNS
12 plays · 26 yds · 2:2511% → 5%
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
10.5%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 4 yds to the Wyom 24Similar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
11.0%
Sean Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:01
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+10
10.0%
Sean Chambers run for 10 yds to the Wyom 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
11.1%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Parker Christensen for 5 yds to the Wyom 39Similar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+13
12.5%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Parker Christensen for 13 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
13.4%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 6 yds to the NMex 42Similar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+6
14.3%
Sean Chambers run for 6 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
13.7%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Rome Weber for 6 yds to the NMex 30Similar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 4
OPP 30
0
16.4%
Sean Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 4
OPP 30
0
7.2%
Sean Chambers sacked by Joey Noble and Cody Moon for 0 yards to the NMex 38Similar
Q4 2:36
4TH & 12
OPP 38
0
5.2%
Sean Chambers sacked for 0 yards to the Wyom 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:3495% → 97%
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
4.7%
Bobby Cole run for 1 yd to the Wyom 45Similar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
4.7%
Luke Wysong run for no gain to the Wyom 45Similar
Q4 1:04
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+1
2.5%
Isaiah Chavez run for 1 yd to the Wyom 44Similar
Q4 0:58
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
2.6%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 21END OF GAME
5 plays · 38 yds · 0:583% → 3%
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
2.8%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Treyton Welch for 6 yds to the Wyom 26Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+6
2.9%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Parker Christensen for 6 yds to the Wyom 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+26
2.9%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 26 yds to the NMex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
3.5%
Sean Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
3.3%
Sean Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:29
Aaron Dumas run for 2 yds for a TD (Andrew Shelley KICK)
-15.7
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:45
Timeout WYOMING, clock 02:45
-11.2
KEY PLAY · Q4 8:31
Sean Chambers pass incomplete
-9.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com