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FRES

Fresno State 17 at Wyoming 0

WYO
2021 · Week 7 · Oct 16, 2021 · War Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadFRES aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreFRES score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:18 · Ralph Fawaz punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 39
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+50.5+25.30−25.3−50.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 57Home team on offense−6.6Score differential−1.6Pregame prior−7.0Garbage-time factor−1.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 9:34: Jake Haener pass incomplete — FRES win probability +4.3 pts (now 65%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 2:28: Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the Wyom 3 — FRES win probability +8.1 pts (now 76%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:52: Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 3 yds for a TD (Cesar Silva KICK) — FRES win probability +12.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  4. INT · Q4 11:20: Sean Chambers pass intercepted return for no gain to the Wyom 27 — WYO win probability +4.1 pts (now 13%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 11:20: Jake Haener pass incomplete — FRES win probability +5.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 7 of 7FRES made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 13:29FRES 4th & 10 at FRES 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:39WYO 4th & 17 at FRES 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−0.7
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    40.9%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:12FRES 4th & 6 at FRES 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:52FRES 4th & 10 at FRES 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:18WYO 4th & 10 at WYO 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−1.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:00FRES 4th & 12 at WYO 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%−1.3
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    60.7%−4.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:18WYO 4th & 7 at FRES 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%−1.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.7%
    42% to make
    Punt
    36.4%−2.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:25WYO 4th & 8 at WYO 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−1.0
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:41FRES 4th & 2 at FRES 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%−0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:16WYO 4th & 18 at WYO 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−4.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:28FRES 4th & 10 at WYO 39, up 7
    Close callPunted · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.4%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    70.1%−0.3
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.3%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:33WYO 4th & 10 at WYO 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:27FRES 4th & 4 at FRES 35, up 14
    Close callPunted · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:25FRES 4th & 7 at WYO 24, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    85.7%−5.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:01WYO 4th & 2 at WYO 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.0%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:03FRES 4th & 1 at WYO 22, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    94.1%−1.0
    72% to make
    Punt
    91.7%−3.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:04FRES 4th & 5 at WYO 31, up 17
    Close callWent for it · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.9%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    98.2%
    54% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FRES made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:57FRES Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 1:52FRES Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FRESDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:3162% → 61%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
38.2%
Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
38.2%
Jalen Cropper run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
38.2%
Jake Haener pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:29
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
38.9%
Carson King punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2FUMBLE
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:4539% → 39%
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
38.8%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 36Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+5
39.1%
Sean Chambers run for 5 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 3TD
10 plays · 41 yds · 5:4761% → 63%
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
38.8%
Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the Wyom 39Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+7
38.8%
Ronnie Rivers run for 7 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q1 12:44
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+7
38.8%
run for 7 yds to the Wyom 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
38.7%
run for 2 yds to the Wyom 23Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+2
38.7%
Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the Wyom 21Similar
Q1 12:44
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+11
38.8%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 11 yds to the Wyom 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
38.7%
Jordan Mims run for no gain to the Wyom 10Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
38.7%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 4 yds to the Wyom 6Similar
Q1 12:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
38.8%
WYOMING Penalty, Targeting on WEBER, Rome enforced half the distance from the goal (Rome Weber) to the Wyom 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
36.9%
Jake Haener pass complete to Juan Rodriguez for 2 yds for a TD (Cesar Silva KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4PUNT
13 plays · 34 yds · 6:1838% → 36%
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
38.0%
Sean Chambers run for 8 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
38.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the Wyom 34Similar
Q1 6:57
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
38.2%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 4 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
38.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for 4 yds to the Wyom 42Similar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+14
38.7%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 14 yds to the FrsSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
38.9%
Sean Chambers run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 40Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 6
OPP 40
-5
38.8%
WYOMING Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 45Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+11
38.5%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 11 yds to the FrsSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
39.3%
Sean Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-1
39.2%
Titus Swen run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 35Similar
Q1 2:54
3RD & 11
OPP 35
0
38.3%
Sean Chambers sacked by Kevin Atkins and Levelle Bailey for 0 yards to the FrsSt 41Similar
Q1 0:39
4TH & 17
OPP 41
0
36.3%
Ralph Fawaz punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:2763% → 63%
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
37.0%
Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 10Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+11
36.9%
Ronnie Rivers run for 11 yds to the FrsSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
36.6%
Ronnie Rivers run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 25
0
36.2%
Jake Haener pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
36.8%
Jake Haener pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:12
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
37.4%
Carson King punt for 71 yds, downed at the Wyom 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6INT
10 plays · 71 yds · 4:3836% → 39%
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+7
36.3%
Sean Chambers run for 7 yds to the Wyom 11Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 3
OWN 11
-2
36.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 9Similar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 5
OWN 9
+16
35.6%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Parker Christensen for 16 yds to the Wyom 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
36.6%
Titus Swen run for 3 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+32
36.8%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Treyton Welch for 32 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
38.6%
Sean Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+2
38.6%
Titus Swen run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 38Similar
Q2 10:12
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+13
38.4%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 13 yds to the FrsSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
39.2%
Sean Chambers pass intercepted return for no gain to the FrsSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:4265% → 65%
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
34.9%
Jake Haener pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+9
35.4%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 9 yds to the FrsSt 38Similar
Q2 9:34
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+2
34.1%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 2 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
33.8%
Jake Haener pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 1 yd to the FrsSt 41Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-10
34.1%
FRESNO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the FrsSt 31Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 19
OWN 31
+9
35.8%
Jordan Mims run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 40Similar
Q2 9:34
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
34.7%
Jake Haener pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:52
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
34.6%
Carson King punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ayden Eberhardt at the Wyom 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:3435% → 33%
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
34.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the Wyom 20Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
34.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the Wyom 20Similar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
33.8%
Sean Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:18
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
33.3%
Ralph Fawaz punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 9MISSED FG
10 plays · 38 yds · 3:1868% → 69%
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+26
31.8%
Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 26 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
30.9%
Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the Wyom 34Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+5
30.5%
Jordan Mims run for 5 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+8
30.7%
Jake Haener run for 8 yds to the Wyom 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
30.2%
Jake Haener pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
29.1%
Jake Haener pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:47
3RD & 10
OPP 21
-2
29.7%
Jake Haener pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 23Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 12
OPP 23
+40
30.9%
Cesar Silva 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10MISSED FG
10 plays · 41 yds · 1:4234% → 35%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+20
33.8%
Sean Chambers run for 20 yds to the Wyom 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
35.4%
Xazavian Valladay run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 48Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 1
OPP 48
0
36.8%
Sean Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+2
36.3%
Sean Chambers run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
36.8%
Sean Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+7
36.3%
CHAMBERS, Sean pass up the middle incomplete intended for VALLADAY, Xazavian thrown to the FSU39. PENALTY FSU Pass Interference enforced at the spot of the foul for 7 yards to the FSU39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
36.8%
Sean Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+3
36.6%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 3 yds to the FrsSt 36Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 7
OPP 36
0
36.5%
Sean Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:18
4TH & 7
OPP 36
+53
34.8%
John Hoyland 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:3534% → 33%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
33.8%
Xazavian Valladay run for 19 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
35.9%
Sean Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+2
35.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 46
0
34.2%
Sean Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:25
4TH & 8
OWN 46
+6
33.2%
Ralph Fawaz punt for 47 yds , Ronnie Rivers returns for 6 yds to the FrsSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:4468% → 66%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
32.1%
Jake Haener pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+8
32.3%
Jake Haener run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 21Similar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 2
OWN 21
0
32.3%
Jake Haener pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:41
4TH & 2
OWN 21
0
33.6%
Carson King punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Ayden Eberhardt at the Wyom 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 3:2534% → 31%
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
34.0%
Titus Swen run for 9 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+5
36.1%
Sean Chambers run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-6
36.6%
Isaiah Neyor run for a loss of 6 yards to the Wyom 45Similar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 16
OWN 45
0
33.8%
Sean Chambers sacked by Leonard Payne Jr. and David Perales for 0 yards to the Wyom 44Similar
Q3 12:41
3RD & 17
OWN 44
0
32.7%
Sean Chambers sacked by Leonard Payne Jr. for 0 yards to the Wyom 43Similar
Q3 9:16
4TH & 18
OWN 43
0
31.1%
Ralph Fawaz punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 48 yds · 4:4869% → 72%
Q3 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
31.5%
run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 21Similar
Q3 9:16
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+7
30.3%
Jordan Mims run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
30.7%
Jordan Mims run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 33Similar
Q3 9:16
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+5
29.8%
Jake Haener pass complete to Ty Jones for 5 yds to the FrsSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+23
29.3%
Jordan Mims run for 23 yds to the Wyom 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
28.4%
FRESNO ST Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the Wyom 44Similar
Q3 9:16
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+7
28.8%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 7 yds to the Wyom 37Similar
Q3 9:16
2ND & 8
OPP 37
-10
28.4%
HAENER, Jake pass to the left incomplete thrown to the WYO15. PENALTY FSU Holding enforced 10 yards from the WYO37 to the WYO47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:16
2ND & 18
OPP 47
+12
29.4%
Jake Haener pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 12 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q3 9:16
3RD & 6
OPP 35
0
28.8%
Jake Haener sacked by Solomon Byrd for 0 yards to the Wyom 39Similar
Q3 4:28
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
27.9%
Carson King punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Ayden Eberhardt at the Wyom 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 16INT
4 plays · 22 yds · 2:0031% → 32%
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
31.4%
Ayden Eberhardt run for 6 yds to the Wyom 19Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 4
OWN 19
-2
31.7%
Titus Swen run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 17Similar
Q3 4:28
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+18
30.3%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 18 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
32.1%
Sean Chambers pass intercepted return for no gain to the Wyom 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 17TD
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:3676% → 88%
Q3 2:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
24.0%
Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the Wyom 3Similar
Q3 2:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
24.0%
Jake Haener pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
11.7%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 3 yds for a TD (Cesar Silva KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:1915% → 14%
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
14.7%
Sean Chambers run for 4 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
15.0%
Titus Swen run for 5 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
14.9%
Sean Chambers run for 4 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
15.4%
Sean Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
14.8%
Sean Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
14.4%
Sean Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:33
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
13.8%
Ralph Fawaz punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:0688% → 91%
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
12.4%
Jake Haener pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:33
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+4
12.5%
Ronnie Rivers run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 22Similar
Q4 14:33
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+7
12.7%
Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 7 yds to the FrsSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
12.2%
Ronnie Rivers run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 35Similar
Q4 14:33
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+2
12.1%
Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 37Similar
Q4 14:33
3RD & 2
OWN 37
-2
12.1%
Jalen Cropper run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 35Similar
Q4 11:27
4TH & 4
OWN 35
0
8.9%
Carson King punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 20INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
12.9%
Sean Chambers pass intercepted return for no gain to the Wyom 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 21FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5593% → 94%
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
7.2%
Jake Haener pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+3
7.3%
Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the Wyom 24Similar
Q4 11:20
3RD & 7
OPP 24
0
7.6%
Jake Haener pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:25
4TH & 7
OPP 24
+41
6.4%
Cesar Silva 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 22DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:176% → 6%
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
5.9%
Levi Williams run for 7 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q4 10:18
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+1
6.2%
Ayden Eberhardt run for 1 yd to the Wyom 31Similar
Q4 9:05
3RD & 2
OWN 31
0
5.8%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:01
4TH & 2
OWN 31
0
5.6%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5896% → 98%
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
3.7%
Ronnie Rivers run for 7 yds to the Wyom 24Similar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+1
3.7%
Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the Wyom 23Similar
Q4 7:11
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+1
2.1%
Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the Wyom 22Similar
Q4 7:03
4TH & 1
OPP 22
0
2.2%
Ronnie Rivers run for no gain to the Wyom 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 24INT
7 plays · 67 yds · 1:295% → 6%
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
5.0%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
4.9%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:03
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+32
4.9%
Levi Williams pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 32 yds to the FrsSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
5.7%
Levi Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+20
5.6%
Titus Swen run for 20 yds to the FrsSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
6.5%
WILLIAMS, Levi pass to the left incomplete intended for NEYOR, Isaiah thrown to the FSU0. PENALTY FSU Pass Interference enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the FSU11 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
5.5%
Levi Williams pass intercepted return for no gain to the FrsSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 25DOWNS
14 plays · 52 yds · 5:3098% → 99%
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
1.9%
Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 22Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+4
1.9%
Ronnie Rivers run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 26Similar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 3
OWN 26
-5
1.6%
FRESNO ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (Jake Haener) to the FrsSt 21Similar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 8
OWN 21
+8
2.0%
Jake Haener pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 8 yds to the FrsSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
2.0%
Jordan Mims run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 37Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+4
1.8%
Jordan Mims run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
1.8%
Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 43Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+15
1.8%
WYOMING Penalty, Personal Foul (Esaias Gandy) to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 12
OPP 38
+3
0.9%
Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q4 0:56
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+4
0.9%
Jordan Mims run for 4 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q4 0:04
4TH & 5
OPP 31
+2
1.0%
Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:52
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 3 yds for a TD (Cesar Silva KICK)
-12.3
KEY PLAY · Q3 2:28
Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the Wyom 3
-8.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 11:20
Jake Haener pass incomplete
-5.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com