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AF

Air Force 24 at Boise State 17

BOIS
2021 · Week 7 · Oct 16, 2021 · Albertsons Stadium
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Win probability · BOIS
modelBOIS aheadAF aheadconfidence bandkey playBOIS scoreAF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:00 · Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 33 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 38Home team on offense−1.2Pregame prior+7.9Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential−1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:53: Haaziq Daniels run for 25 yds for a TD (Anthony Rodriguez KICK) — AF win probability +5.6 pts (now 48%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:04: Andrew Van Buren run for 11 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +8.1 pts (now 64%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:12: Brad Roberts run for 1 yd for a TD (Anthony Rodriguez KICK) — AF win probability +10.9 pts (now 54%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 11:38: Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Andrew Van Buren for 6 yds to the BoiSt 39 — AF win probability +7.8 pts (now 72%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:49: Jonah Dalmas 37 yd FG GOOD — BOIS win probability +6.8 pts (now 16%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BOIS made the numbers' call on 6 of 6AF made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 11:15AF 4th & 1 at BOIS 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    39.2%−0.2
    88% to make
    Punt
    38.6%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:12BOIS 4th & 5 at BOIS 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:00AF 4th & 1 at BOIS 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    40.9%−1.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    40.6%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:38BOIS 4th & 29 at BOIS 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%−3.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:22AF 4th & 14 at AF 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%−1.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.1%
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:34AF 4th & 7 at AF 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−1.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:46BOIS 4th & 8 at BOIS 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−1.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:12AF 4th & 7 at AF 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%−1.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:00BOIS 4th & 2 at AF 2, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    37.9%−3.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    23.7%−17.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:38AF 4th & 5 at BOIS 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.2%
    85% to make
    Punt
    63.8%−9.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:33BOIS 4th & 13 at BOIS 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%−2.8
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:55AF 4th & 19 at AF 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%−4.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:49AF 4th & 4 at BOIS 9, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%
    43% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.6%−0.5
    89% to make
    Punt
    80.0%−7.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:49BOIS 4th & 6 at AF 20, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−1.6
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.6%
    75% to make
    Punt
    5.2%−3.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BOIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 2AF made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:15BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:29AF Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:53AF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:04BOIS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:12AF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BOISDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:4561% → 63%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
60.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 6 yds to the BoiSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
60.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Octavius Evans for 8 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
60.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Andrew Van Buren for 4 yds to the BoiSt 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+2
60.6%
Andrew Van Buren run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+6
60.6%
Hank Bachmeier run for 6 yds to the AFA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
60.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+3
60.6%
Andrew Van Buren run for 3 yds to the AFA 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+39
60.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 39 yds to the AFA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
61.2%
run for 1 yd to the AFA 6Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
61.2%
Andrew Van Buren run for 3 yds to the AFA 3Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
61.1%
BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AFA 8Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
62.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 8 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 2TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:4638% → 41%
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
61.9%
Micah Davis run for 15 yds to the AFA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
61.7%
Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 44Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+3
61.6%
Brandon Lewis run for 3 yds to the AFA 47Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+4
61.6%
Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
61.5%
Micah Davis run for 15 yds to the BoiSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
61.4%
Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 33Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+5
61.4%
Micah Davis run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+9
61.5%
Haaziq Daniels run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
61.4%
Haaziq Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+8
61.4%
Haaziq Daniels run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 11Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+1
61.5%
Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 10Similar
Q1 11:15
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+2
61.7%
Haaziq Daniels run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
61.4%
Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 4Similar
Q1 4:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
59.0%
Brad Roberts run for 4 yds for a TD (Anthony Rodriguez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1761% → 60%
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
60.7%
Andrew Van Buren run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q1 4:29
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
60.5%
Hank Bachmeier run for no gain to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q1 3:12
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
60.0%
Joel Velazquez punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Micah Davis at the AFA 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 4TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 4:1940% → 48%
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
60.4%
Haaziq Daniels run for 4 yds to the AFA 28Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+9
60.2%
Brad Roberts run for 9 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
60.0%
BOISE ST Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Kekaula Kaniho) to the BoiSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
59.2%
Emmanuel Michel run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 39Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 5
OPP 39
0
59.1%
Haaziq Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:12
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+4
59.3%
Micah Davis run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+2
59.1%
Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
57.9%
Haaziq Daniels run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+1
57.8%
Omar Fattah run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 25Similar
Q2 13:53
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+25
52.2%
Haaziq Daniels run for 25 yds for a TD (Anthony Rodriguez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 5TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:4154% → 64%
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+22
54.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 22 yds to the BoiSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
55.2%
Taequan Tyler run for no gain to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+10
54.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Octavius Evans for 10 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
55.9%
Taequan Tyler run for 2 yds to the AFA 46Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+9
56.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Billy Bowens for 9 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
56.0%
Taequan Tyler run for 14 yds to the AFA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
56.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for no gain to the AFA 23Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
56.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:45
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+12
55.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 12 yds to the AFA 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
63.9%
Andrew Van Buren run for 11 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 6TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:5240% → 54%
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
59.6%
Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the AFA 27Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
59.5%
Haaziq Daniels run for no gain to the AFA 27Similar
Q2 10:04
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+59
60.1%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Brandon Lewis for 59 yds to the BoiSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
56.8%
Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 9Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+3
56.8%
Haaziq Daniels run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 6Similar
Q2 10:04
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+3
57.5%
Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
56.8%
Haaziq Daniels run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 1Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
46.0%
Brad Roberts run for 1 yd for a TD (Anthony Rodriguez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 0 yds · 2:2550% → 47%
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
50.0%
Andrew Van Buren run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 43Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+13
51.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 13 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
52.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-10
51.9%
BACHMEIER, Hank pass to the right incomplete intended for SHAKIR, Khalil thrown to the AFA2. PENALTY BSU Holding on STETZ, Jake enforced 10 yards from the AFA44 to the BSU46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 20
OWN 46
-10
49.8%
BACHMEIER, Hank pass to the right complete for 14 yards to THOMAS, CT caught at the AFA40 and advanced to the AFA40 (MOCK, Alec). PENALTY BSU Holding on OSUJI, Uzo enforced 10 yards from the BSU46 to the BSU36 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 30
OWN 36
0
49.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:03
3RD & 30
OWN 36
+1
48.5%
Andrew Van Buren run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 37Similar
Q2 3:38
4TH & 29
OWN 37
0
46.9%
Joel Velazquez punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Micah Davis at the AFA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 3:1652% → 55%
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
47.6%
Haaziq Daniels run for 9 yds to the AFA 29Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+12
46.2%
Micah Davis run for 12 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
45.3%
Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the AFA 43Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+3
41.2%
Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the AFA 46Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
41.0%
Haaziq Daniels sacked by Scott Matlock for 0 yards to the AFA 43Similar
Q2 0:33
4TH & 8
OWN 43
-6
43.1%
BEIN, Charles punt 46 yards to the BSU11 downed. PENALTY Before the snap, AFA Illegal Formation enforced 6 yards from the AFA43 to the AFA37. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 14
OWN 37
+13
44.6%
Charles Bein punt for 39 yds , Khalil Shakir returns for 13 yds to the BoiSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 9END OF HALF
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:2246% → 44%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
46.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Andrew Van Buren for 4 yds to the BoiSt 41Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 6
OWN 41
-15
47.6%
BACHMEIER, Hank pass up the middle complete for 12 yards to COBBS, Stefan caught at the AFA48 and advanced to the AFA47 (TAYLOR, Trey). PENALTY BSU Pass Interference on SMITH, Riley enforced 15 yards to the BSU26 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 21
OWN 26
+8
44.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 8 yds to the BoiSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2559% → 58%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
40.7%
Haaziq Daniels run for 4 yds to the AFA 43Similar
Q3 14:59
2ND & 6
OWN 43
-1
40.5%
Dane Kinamon run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 42Similar
Q3 14:59
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
41.3%
Haaziq Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:34
4TH & 7
OWN 42
+41
42.1%
Charles Bein punt for 41 yds BOISE ST Penalty, Running Into the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4844% → 41%
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
43.9%
Andrew Van Buren run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 19Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 8
OWN 19
0
43.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:34
3RD & 8
OWN 19
0
42.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:46
4TH & 8
OWN 19
0
41.0%
Joel Velazquez punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Micah Davis at the AFA 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3459% → 58%
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
40.6%
Haaziq Daniels run for 3 yds to the AFA 36Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
39.9%
Haaziq Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
40.9%
Haaziq Daniels run for no gain to the AFA 36Similar
Q3 11:12
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
41.6%
Charles Bein punt for 30 yds, downed at the BoiSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 13DOWNS
14 plays · 63 yds · 6:1243% → 40%
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
42.8%
Khalil Shakir run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 41Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+2
45.4%
Andrew Van Buren run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 43Similar
Q3 11:12
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+4
44.8%
Andrew Van Buren run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
45.4%
BACHMEIER, Hank pass up the middle complete for 43 yards to SHAKIR, Khalil caught at the AFA39 and advanced to the AFA10 (MEEKS, Demonte). PENALTY BSU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on FARRAR, Will enforced 5 yards from the BSU47 to the BSU42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 15
OWN 42
-5
43.1%
BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 37Similar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 20
OWN 37
+6
42.3%
Andrew Van Buren run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 43Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 14
OWN 43
+11
42.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Tyneil Hopper for 11 yds to the AFA 46Similar
Q3 11:12
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+5
45.8%
Andrew Van Buren run for 5 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+28
46.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 28 yds to the AFA 13 for a 1ST down AIR FORCE Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Camby Goff) to the AFA 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
47.8%
Andrew Van Buren run for 1 yd to the AFA 5Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
47.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
42.4%
Andrew Van Buren run for 3 yds to the AFA 2Similar
Q3 5:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
39.7%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Alec Mock for 0 yards to the AFA 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 14MISSED FG
15 plays · 84 yds · 8:2265% → 76%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
35.1%
Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 7Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+20
35.6%
Brad Roberts run for 20 yds to the AFA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
33.4%
Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the AFA 30Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+3
32.9%
Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the AFA 33Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+7
33.2%
Haaziq Daniels run for 7 yds to the AFA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+21
31.4%
Brad Roberts run for 21 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
30.8%
Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+6
29.9%
Omar Fattah run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
25.3%
Omar Fattah run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 21
0
25.3%
Haaziq Daniels run for no gain to the BoiSt 21Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+3
26.0%
Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
25.3%
Haaziq Daniels run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 16Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+3
25.3%
Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 13Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 13
0
26.0%
Haaziq Daniels run for no gain to the BoiSt 13Similar
Q4 11:38
4TH & 5
OPP 13
+30
24.5%
McKenly O'Neal 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:0529% → 25%
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
29.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+22
29.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 22 yds to the BoiSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
33.1%
Hank Bachmeier run for 9 yds to the AFA 49Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 1
OPP 49
0
35.4%
Hank Bachmeier sacked for 0 yards to the BoiSt 33Similar
Q4 11:38
3RD & 19
OWN 33
+6
27.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Andrew Van Buren for 6 yds to the BoiSt 39Similar
Q4 9:33
4TH & 13
OWN 39
0
24.7%
Joel Velazquez punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Micah Davis at the AFA 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 4:3878% → 84%
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
22.1%
Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the AFA 28Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+12
21.0%
Micah Davis run for 12 yds to the AFA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
19.0%
Brad Roberts run for 8 yds to the AFA 48Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+6
18.4%
Brad Roberts run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-15
18.1%
ROBERTS, Brad rush up the middle for a gain of 6 yards to the BSU40 (OBICHERE, Divine;NOA, Ezekiel). PENALTY AFA Unnecessary Roughness on SMALLEY, Everett enforced 15 yards from the BSU46 to the AFA39. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 25
OWN 39
+3
20.6%
Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the AFA 42Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 22
OWN 42
0
21.0%
Haaziq Daniels sacked by Scott Matlock for 0 yards to the AFA 37Similar
Q4 9:33
3RD & 27
OWN 37
+8
22.5%
Brad Roberts run for 8 yds to the AFA 45Similar
Q4 4:55
4TH & 19
OWN 45
0
15.8%
Charles Bein punt for 36 yds , returns for no gain to the BoiSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 17FG
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:0689% → 94%
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
11.2%
Omar Fattah run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 13Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+2
10.8%
Haaziq Daniels run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 11Similar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+2
11.3%
Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 9Similar
Q4 2:49
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+28
6.2%
Matthew Dapore 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 18FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 2:007% → 16%
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
6.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to CT Thomas for 8 yds to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+15
7.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Octavius Evans for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
50
+8
7.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Octavius Evans for 8 yds to the AFA 42Similar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 2
OPP 42
0
8.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:49
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+4
8.6%
Andrew Van Buren run for 4 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
8.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to CT Thomas for 7 yds to the AFA 31Similar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+7
10.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Octavius Evans for 7 yds to the AFA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
10.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Octavius Evans for 4 yds to the AFA 20Similar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 6
OPP 20
0
10.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:49
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
8.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:49
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+37
15.8%
Jonah Dalmas 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 19INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
15.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass intercepted Tre Bugg Iii return for no gain to the AFA 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-15.8
TD · Q2 6:12
Brad Roberts run for 1 yd for a TD (Anthony Rodriguez KICK)
-10.9
TD · Q2 10:04
Andrew Van Buren run for 11 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)
+8.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com