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SJSU

San José State 14 at Colorado State 32

CSU
2021 · Week 6 · Oct 9, 2021 · Canvas Stadium
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Win probability · CSU
modelCSU aheadSJSU aheadconfidence bandkey playCSU scoreSJSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDFGTDFGFGFGTDEnd of GameFG+4.6CSU 94.0%Cayden Camper 53 yd FG GOODAWAY 7 - HOME 26 · Q3 5:13
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:13 · Cayden Camper 53 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 105Home team on offense+23.2Score differential+14.3Pregame prior+3.0Garbage-time factor+9.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.7Blowout margin−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 6:28: Cayden Camper 22 yd FG GOOD — CSU win probability +8.2 pts (now 78%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:22: Nick Nash pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 18 yds for a TD, (Matt Mercurio KICK) — SJSU win probability +12.9 pts (now 36%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Cayden Camper 21 yd FG GOOD — CSU win probability +3.6 pts (now 76%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:55: Todd Centeio pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 60 yds for a TD, (Cayden Camper KICK) — CSU win probability +9.3 pts (now 86%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 5:13: Cayden Camper 53 yd FG GOOD — CSU win probability +4.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 9SJSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 0:20CSU 4th & 10 at SJSU 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−0.5
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    62.3%−3.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:41SJSU 4th & 4 at CSU 49, down 10
    Close callPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.6%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 6:28CSU 4th & 4 at SJSU 4, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.0%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    64.3%−6.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:45SJSU 4th & 2 at SJSU 17, down 13
    Close callPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:10CSU 4th & 1 at CSU 23, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.2%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:13CSU 4th & 4 at SJSU 39, up 6
    Close callWent for it · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.0%−0.6
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    70.6%
    36% to make
    Punt
    69.2%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:53SJSU 4th & 8 at SJSU 40, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:55SJSU 4th & 4 at SJSU 16, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%−0.2
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:13CSU 4th & 14 at SJSU 35, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%−0.8
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.0%
    45% to make
    Punt
    90.4%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:57SJSU 4th & 4 at SJSU 20, down 19
    Close callPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:53CSU 4th & 5 at midfield, up 19
    Close callPunted · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00SJSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 44, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.7%−1.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:55SJSU 4th & 11 at SJSU 47, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:01CSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 20, up 19
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.3%−0.7
    75% to make
    Punt
    95.2%−2.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:16CSU 4th & 6 at SJSU 6, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−0.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:52SJSU 4th & 10 at SJSU 25, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:33CSU 4th & 6 at CSU 20, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2SJSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 12:02CSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:22SJSU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:55CSU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:19SJSU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CSUDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5859% → 61%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
59.1%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 11 yds to the ColSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
59.1%
A'Jon Vivens run for 3 yds to the ColSt 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+21
59.1%
Todd Centeio pass complete to E.J. Scott for 21 yds to the SJSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
59.1%
Todd Centeio pass complete to A'Jon Vivens for 6 yds to the SJSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+3
59.1%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Jordan Kress for 3 yds to the SJSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+10
59.1%
A'Jon Vivens run for 10 yds to the SJSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+20
59.1%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Trey McBride for 20 yds to the SJSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
60.6%
J. Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD, (C. Camper KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 2INT
13 plays · 48 yds · 5:5540% → 39%
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
60.2%
Shamar Garrett run for 5 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+8
60.1%
Tyler Nevens run for 8 yds to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
60.1%
NEVENS, Tyler rush to the right for a loss of 3 yards to the SJS32 (JACKSON, Dequan;CARTER, Cam'Ron). PENALTY SJS Holding on NEVENS, Tyler enforced 10 yards from the SJS35 to the SJS25 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 11:56
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+15
60.2%
Nick Nash run for 15 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
60.0%
Tyler Nevens run for 4 yds to the SJSt 44Similar
Q1 11:56
3RD & 1
OWN 44
-5
60.0%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, False Start (Kyle Hoppe) to the SJSt 39Similar
Q1 11:56
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+6
60.1%
Nick Nash run for 6 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
60.0%
Tyler Nevens run for 6 yds to the ColSt 49Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+5
61.3%
Nick Nash pass complete to Shamar Garrett for 5 yds to the ColSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+16
61.3%
Nick Nash pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 16 yds to the ColSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-2
60.9%
Kairee Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 30Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 12
OPP 30
0
61.1%
Nick Nash pass intercepted return for no gain to the ColSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 3FG
14 plays · 69 yds · 5:4163% → 66%
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
62.9%
A'Jon Vivens run for 1 yd to the ColSt 22Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+7
62.9%
A'Jon Vivens run for 7 yds to the ColSt 29Similar
Q1 6:01
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+14
62.8%
Todd Centeio pass complete to E.J. Scott for 14 yds to the ColSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
63.6%
Todd Centeio run for 13 yds to the SJSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
63.7%
Jaylen Thomas run for 8 yds to the SJSt 36Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+8
63.7%
Jaylen Thomas run for 8 yds to the SJSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
63.9%
Jaylen Thomas run for 7 yds to the SJSt 21Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+4
63.9%
Todd Centeio pass complete to A'Jon Vivens for 4 yds to the SJSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
63.9%
A'Jon Vivens run for 9 yds to the SJSt 8Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+3
63.9%
A'Jon Vivens run for 3 yds to the SJSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
63.9%
A'Jon Vivens run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 6Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
63.9%
Todd Centeio run for 1 yd to the SJSt 5Similar
Q1 6:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
63.6%
Todd Centeio sacked by Hadari Darden for 0 yards to the SJSt 10Similar
Q1 0:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
65.9%
Cayden Camper 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:1934% → 33%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
66.1%
Nick Nash pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 2 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
66.1%
Tyler Nevens run for 6 yds to the SJSt 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+12
65.8%
Nick Nash pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 12 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
65.4%
Shamar Garrett run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+7
65.6%
Nick Nash pass complete to Charles Ross for 7 yds to the ColSt 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 49
0
65.0%
Nick Nash pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:41
4TH & 4
OPP 49
+3
67.3%
Will Hart punt for 35 yds , Thomas Pannunzio returns for 3 yds to the ColSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:0067% → 68%
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
67.1%
A'Jon Vivens run for 6 yds to the ColSt 23Similar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+9
67.3%
A'Jon Vivens run for 9 yds to the ColSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
67.3%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Gary Williams for 3 yds to the ColSt 35Similar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 7
OWN 35
-10
67.4%
VIVENS, A'Jon rush to the left for a gain of 8 yards to the CSU43 (COBBS, Jordan). PENALTY CSU Holding on MCBRIDE, Trey enforced 10 yards from the CSU35 to the CSU25 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 17
OWN 25
+14
66.9%
Todd Centeio run for 14 yds to the ColSt 39Similar
Q2 12:41
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+2
67.5%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Trey McBride for 2 yds to the ColSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 6FG
8 plays · 18 yds · 3:1670% → 78%
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
70.4%
A'Jon Vivens run for 5 yds to the SJSt 17Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+4
70.4%
A'Jon Vivens run for 4 yds to the SJSt 13Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 1
OPP 13
-5
69.7%
COLORADO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 18Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+9
69.7%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Trey McBride for 9 yds to the SJSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
70.4%
A'Jon Vivens run for 3 yds to the SJSt 6Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
70.4%
Jaylen Thomas run for 3 yds to the SJSt 3Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
69.6%
Jaylen Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 4Similar
Q2 6:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
77.9%
Cayden Camper 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3923% → 23%
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
76.8%
Tyler Nevens run for 8 yds to the SJSt 17Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 2
OWN 17
0
76.1%
Tyler Nevens run for no gain to the SJSt 17Similar
Q2 6:24
3RD & 2
OWN 17
0
76.3%
Nick Nash pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:45
4TH & 2
OWN 17
0
77.5%
Will Hart punt for 69 yds, downed at the ColSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3579% → 79%
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
78.8%
A'Jon Vivens run for 4 yds to the ColSt 18Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+1
78.8%
Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the ColSt 19Similar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+4
78.4%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Cameron Butler for 4 yds to the ColSt 23Similar
Q2 3:10
4TH & 1
OWN 23
0
78.7%
Ryan Stonehouse punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 9TD
3 plays · 50 yds · 0:0523% → 36%
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
50
+32
76.7%
Nick Nash pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 32 yds to the ColSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
63.8%
Nick Nash pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 18 yds for a TD, (Matt Mercurio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 10FG
12 plays · 72 yds · 2:2269% → 76%
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
69.0%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Trey McBride for 15 yds to the ColSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
70.6%
A'Jon Vivens run for 7 yds to the ColSt 47Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+8
71.0%
A'Jon Vivens run for 8 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
71.1%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
72.4%
Jaylen Thomas run for 5 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+1
72.0%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Trey McBride for 1 yd to the SJSt 39Similar
Q2 0:13
4TH & 4
OPP 39
+22
69.6%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Justice McCoy for 22 yds to the SJSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
72.2%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+15
72.2%
CENTEIO, Todd pass to the left incomplete intended for MCBRIDE, Trey thrown to the SJS2. PENALTY SJS Pass Interference on LENARD, Jay enforced 15 yards to the SJS2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
75.8%
Cayden Camper 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 3:0728% → 25%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.1%
Nick Nash pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
72.3%
Tyler Nevens run for 2 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+11
73.0%
Nick Nash run for 11 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
71.0%
Tyler Nevens run for 6 yds to the SJSt 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+3
70.3%
Kairee Robinson run for 3 yds to the SJSt 47Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 47
0
70.4%
Nick Nash sacked by Manny Jones for 0 yards to the SJSt 45Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 45
-5
72.1%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the SJSt 40Similar
Q3 11:53
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
75.4%
Will Hart punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Thomas Pannunzio at the ColSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 12TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:5876% → 86%
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
75.5%
A'Jon Vivens run for 2 yds to the ColSt 27Similar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+13
75.5%
A'Jon Vivens run for 13 yds to the ColSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
76.9%
A'Jon Vivens run for 4 yds to the ColSt 44Similar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 6
OWN 44
-4
77.0%
A'Jon Vivens run for a loss of 4 yards to the ColSt 40Similar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+60
86.3%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 60 yds for a TD, (Cayden Camper KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:5515% → 13%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
85.1%
Nick Nash run for 2 yds to the SJSt 12Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 8
OWN 12
0
85.4%
Nick Nash pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 8
OWN 12
0
85.6%
QB Keeper NASH, Nick rush to the right for a gain of 13 yards to the SJS25 (HOWELL, Jack), out of bounds. PENALTY SJS Personal Foul on ROSS, Charles enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards from the SJS27 to the SJS13, from the the spot of the ball when the foul occurred, runner is credited with 15 yards on the play [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 6
OWN 14
+2
85.6%
Nick Nash run for 2 yds to the SJSt 16Similar
Q3 7:55
4TH & 4
OWN 16
0
86.6%
Will Hart punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 14FG
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:4290% → 94%
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
50
+2
89.8%
A'Jon Vivens run for 2 yds to the SJSt 48Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+4
89.9%
A'Jon Vivens run for 4 yds to the SJSt 44Similar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+13
89.5%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Trey McBride for 13 yds to the SJSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-15
89.9%
CENTEIO, Todd pass to the right complete for 10 yards to SCOTT, E.J. caught at the SJS33 and advanced to the SJS21 (JENKINS, Tre). PENALTY CSU Personal Foul on CIAFFONI, Mike enforced 15 yards from the SJS25 to the SJS40, from the the spot of the ball when the foul occurred, 6 yards credited to passer and receiver on the play [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 19
OPP 40
+2
89.8%
Jaylen Thomas run for 2 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 17
OPP 38
+3
89.7%
Jaylen Thomas run for 3 yds to the SJSt 35Similar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 14
OPP 35
0
89.3%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:13
4TH & 14
OPP 35
+53
94.0%
Cayden Camper 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 3:168% → 7%
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+6
92.1%
Tyler Nevens run for 6 yds to the SJSt 7Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 4
OWN 7
+3
92.2%
Tyler Nevens run for 3 yds to the SJSt 10Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 1
OWN 10
+4
92.0%
Kairee Robinson run for 4 yds to the SJSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
91.9%
Nick Nash pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 6 yds to the SJSt 20Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 4
OWN 20
0
91.7%
Kairee Robinson run for no gain to the SJSt 20Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 4
OWN 20
0
92.0%
Nick Nash pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:57
4TH & 4
OWN 20
0
93.4%
Will Hart punt for 35 yds, downed at the ColSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0496% → 96%
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
95.9%
A'Jon Vivens run for no gain to the ColSt 45Similar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+5
95.8%
Todd Centeio run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 1:57
3RD & 5
50
0
95.8%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:53
4TH & 5
50
+30
95.8%
Ryan Stonehouse punt for 45 yds , Shamar Garrett returns for 30 yds to the SJSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 12 yds · 2:586% → 4%
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
93.8%
Nick Nash pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:06
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
94.3%
Nick Nash pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 2 yds to the SJSt 37Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+7
94.3%
Nick Nash run for 7 yds to the SJSt 44Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+4
94.3%
Shamar Garrett run for 4 yds to the SJSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
94.2%
Nick Nash pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-1
95.2%
Nick Nash run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 47Similar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 11
OWN 47
0
95.3%
Nick Nash sacked by Cam'Ron Carter for 0 yards to the SJSt 47Similar
Q4 12:55
4TH & 11
OWN 47
0
96.1%
Will Hart punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 18FG
13 plays · 60 yds · 4:5498% → 99%
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
97.7%
A'Jon Vivens run for 6 yds to the ColSt 26Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+5
97.8%
VIVENS, A'Jon rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the CSU27 (LENARD, Jay;HARMON, Kyle). PENALTY SJS Offsides on FEHOKO, Viliami enforced 5 yards from the CSU26 to the CSU31 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
97.8%
E.J. Scott run for 6 yds to the ColSt 37Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+1
97.8%
A'Jon Vivens run for 1 yd to the ColSt 38Similar
Q4 12:55
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+16
97.8%
Todd Centeio pass complete to E.J. Scott for 16 yds to the SJSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
97.9%
A'Jon Vivens run for no gain to the SJSt 46Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+17
97.9%
Jaylen Thomas run for 17 yds to the SJSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-10
98.0%
COLORADO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Gary Williams) to the SJSt 34Similar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 15
OPP 34
+3
97.9%
Jaylen Thomas run for 3 yds to the SJSt 31Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 12
OPP 31
+2
97.9%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Gary Williams for 2 yds to the SJSt 29Similar
Q4 8:05
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+9
98.6%
Todd Centeio run for 9 yds to the SJSt 20Similar
Q4 8:01
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+38
99.4%
Cayden Camper 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 19FUMBLE
1 play · -15 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Nick Nash sacked for 0 yards to the SJSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 20FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:40100% → 100%
Q4 7:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
99.5%
A'Jon Vivens run for 4 yds to the SJSt 6Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
99.5%
A'Jon Vivens run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 8Similar
Q4 7:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
99.5%
A'Jon Vivens run for 2 yds to the SJSt 6Similar
Q4 6:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
99.8%
Cayden Camper 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 21PUNT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:52
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Will Hart punt for 59 yds, downed at the ColSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:19100% → 100%
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
99.9%
A'Jon Vivens run for no gain to the ColSt 16Similar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+1
99.9%
A'Jon Vivens run for 1 yd to the ColSt 17Similar
Q4 5:52
3RD & 9
OWN 17
+3
99.9%
A'Jon Vivens run for 3 yds to the ColSt 20Similar
Q4 3:33
4TH & 6
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Ryan Stonehouse punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Shamar Garrett at the SJSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 23TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 2:140% → 2%
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
99.8%
Kenyon Sims run for 6 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+5
99.8%
Kenyon Sims run for 5 yds to the SJSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+20
99.8%
Nick Nash pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 20 yds to the ColSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
99.8%
Kairee Robinson run for 3 yds to the ColSt 34Similar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+34
97.9%
Nick Nash pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 34 yds for a TD, (Matt Mercurio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:22
Nick Nash pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 18 yds for a TD, (Matt Mercurio KICK)
-12.9
TD · Q3 9:55
Todd Centeio pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 60 yds for a TD, (Cayden Camper KICK)
+9.3
FG · Q2 6:28
Cayden Camper 22 yd FG GOOD
+8.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com