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WYO

Wyoming 14 at Air Force 24

AF
2021 · Week 6 · Oct 9, 2021 · Falcon Stadium
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Win probability · AF
modelAF aheadWYO aheadconfidence bandkey playAF scoreWYO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG+5.3AF 90.5%Anthony Rodriguez 26 yd FG GOODAWAY 14 - HOME 24 · Q4 7:18
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:18 · Anthony Rodriguez 26 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 131Home team on offense+20.3Pregame prior+1.7Garbage-time factor+12.5Score differential+2.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:43: Dane Kinamon run for 2 yds for a TD, (Anthony Rodriguez KICK) — AF win probability +7.0 pts (now 77%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:39: Sean Chambers run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK) — WYO win probability +7.3 pts (now 32%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:15: Sean Chambers pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 10 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK) — WYO win probability +18.2 pts (now 48%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:12: John Hoyland kickoff for 42 yds , Omar Fattah return for no gain to the AFA 23 — AF win probability +5.6 pts (now 58%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:46: Micah Davis 13 Yd pass from Haaziq Daniels (Anthony Rodriguez Kick) — AF win probability +15.3 pts (now 81%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AF made the numbers' call on 5 of 8WYO made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00AF 4th & 2 at WYO 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    65.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:52AF 4th & 3 at WYO 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    65.5%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    65.5%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:49WYO 4th & 15 at WYO 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:02AF 4th & 1 at WYO 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    69.0%−1.0
    77% to make
    Punt
    66.0%−3.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:37WYO 4th & 10 at WYO 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.3%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:35AF 4th & 2 at AF 46, up 14
    Close callPunted · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.5%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:42WYO 4th & 15 at WYO 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−1.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:38AF 4th & 2 at WYO 46, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    77.0%−2.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.0%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:39WYO 4th & 1 at AF 1, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    18.9%−1.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    15.1%−5.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:07AF 4th & 9 at AF 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.4%−1.0
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:55WYO 4th & 14 at AF 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−1.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    40.8%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:29WYO 4th & 28 at WYO 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−5.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:18AF 4th & 6 at WYO 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.9%
    89% to make
    Punt
    79.5%−8.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:08WYO 4th & 7 at WYO 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:42AF 4th & 3 at AF 20, up 10
    Close callPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.8%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:27WYO 4th & 10 at AF 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.7%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    5.1%−0.6
    66% to make
    Punt
    4.2%−1.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AF made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WYO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:42AF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:43AF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:39WYO Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:15WYO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:46AF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AFDrive 1TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 8:1864% → 67%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
64.2%
Brad Roberts run for 18 yds to the AFA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
64.2%
Haaziq Daniels run for 3 yds to the AFA 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+5
64.2%
Emmanuel Michel run for 5 yds to the Wyom 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 49
0
64.2%
Brad Roberts run for no gain to the Wyom 49Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 49
+5
64.2%
Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
64.2%
Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the Wyom 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+3
64.2%
Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the Wyom 39Similar
Q1 10:52
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+2
64.3%
Micah Davis run for 2 yds to the Wyom 37Similar
Q1 10:52
4TH & 3
OPP 37
+3
64.1%
Micah Davis run for 3 yds to the Wyom 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+21
64.4%
Brad Roberts run for 21 yds to the Wyom 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
64.4%
Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the Wyom 8Similar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+1
64.4%
Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the Wyom 9Similar
Q1 10:52
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+7
64.3%
Micah Davis run for 7 yds to the Wyom 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
64.4%
Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the Wyom 1Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
67.2%
Brad Roberts run for 1 yd for a TD, (Anthony Rodriguez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:5334% → 33%
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
66.3%
PENALTY WYO Delay Of Game 5 yards from WYO25 to WYO20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
66.4%
Sean Chambers run for no gain to the Wyom 20Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
66.5%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Treyton WelchSimilar
Q1 6:42
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
66.8%
Sean Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:49
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
67.2%
Ralph Fawaz punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dane Kinamon at the AFA 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 3FUMBLE
5 plays · 26 yds · 2:2367% → 68%
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
67.3%
Omar Fattah run for 2 yds to the AFA 45Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+7
67.3%
Brad Roberts run for 7 yds to the Wyom 48Similar
Q1 5:49
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+1
67.1%
Haaziq Daniels run for 1 yd to the Wyom 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
67.4%
WYOMING Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Garrett Crall) to the Wyom 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
68.4%
Haaziq Daniels run for no gain to the Wyom 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4FUMBLE
3 plays · 10 yds · 1:3533% → 33%
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
66.8%
Dawaiian McNeely run for 1 yd to the Wyom 30Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+3
67.2%
Titus Swen run for 3 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q1 1:51
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+8
67.2%
Sean Chambers run for 8 yds to the Wyom 38 Sean Chambers fumbled, forced by Vince Sanford, recovered by AFA Corvan TaylorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 5TD
12 plays · 38 yds · 6:0869% → 77%
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
68.6%
Brad Roberts run for 6 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+2
68.6%
Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+2
68.7%
Haaziq Daniels run for 2 yds to the Wyom 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
69.2%
Haaziq Daniels run for 3 yds to the Wyom 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+5
69.2%
Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the Wyom 20Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+1
68.7%
Haaziq Daniels run for 1 yd to the Wyom 19Similar
Q2 13:02
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+4
68.6%
Micah Davis run for 4 yds to the Wyom 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
69.7%
Emmanuel Michel run for 8 yds to the Wyom 7Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+4
69.7%
Emmanuel Michel run for 4 yds to the Wyom 3 Emmanuel Michel fumbled, forced by Rome Weber, recovered by AFA Omar Fattah for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
69.7%
Omar Fattah run for 1 yd to the Wyom 2Similar
Q2 10:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
76.7%
Dane Kinamon run for 2 yds for a TD, (Anthony Rodriguez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:0627% → 25%
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
73.5%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Parker ChristensenSimilar
Q2 10:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
73.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the Wyom 25Similar
Q2 10:43
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
73.9%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Ayden EberhardtSimilar
Q2 9:37
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
75.1%
Ralph Fawaz punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0277% → 76%
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
77.4%
Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the AFA 41Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+4
77.4%
Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 45Similar
Q2 9:37
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+1
76.8%
Brandon Lewis run for 1 yd to the AFA 46Similar
Q2 7:35
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
76.3%
Charles Bein punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wyom 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:5325% → 23%
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
75.3%
Titus Swen run for 3 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
75.1%
WYOMING Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Sean Chambers) to the Wyom 22Similar
Q2 7:35
3RD & 15
OWN 22
0
76.1%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Isaiah NeyorSimilar
Q2 6:42
4TH & 15
OWN 22
0
76.7%
Ralph Fawaz punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Dane Kinamon at the AFA 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0478% → 78%
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
78.2%
Brandon Lewis run for 3 yds to the AFA 49Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+3
78.0%
Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the Wyom 48Similar
Q2 6:42
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+2
77.5%
Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q2 4:38
4TH & 2
OPP 46
0
78.0%
Charles Bein punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10TD
6 plays · 97 yds · 1:5923% → 32%
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+74
77.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 74 yds to the AFA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+13
73.9%
Titus Swen run for 13 yds to the AFA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
73.9%
Titus Swen run for 4 yds to the AFA 6Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
73.9%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Isaiah NeyorSimilar
Q2 2:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
75.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the AFA 1Similar
Q2 2:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
68.3%
Sean Chambers run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 1:3270% → 71%
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
70.2%
Brad Roberts run for 10 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
70.5%
Dane Kinamon sacked by C.J. Coldon for a loss of 5 yards to the AFA 30Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+2
70.0%
Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the AFA 32Similar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 13
OWN 32
+4
70.1%
Haaziq Daniels run for 4 yds to the AFA 36Similar
Q2 1:07
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
70.8%
Charles Bein punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Ayden Eberhardt at the Wyom 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 0:5226% → 48%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
73.6%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Isaiah NeyorSimilar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+13
74.0%
Sean Chambers run for 13 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
72.5%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 13 yds to the AFA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+37
70.4%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 37 yds to the AFA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
52.3%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 10 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
61.4%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 14PUNT
13 plays · 39 yds · 5:0542% → 41%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
58.2%
Sean Chambers run for 2 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
58.0%
Sean Chambers run for 2 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+12
58.8%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Treyton Welch for 12 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
56.1%
Sean Chambers pass complete to for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
50
+5
54.8%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
55.1%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Isaiah NeyorSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+2
55.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the AFA 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+11
55.6%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Treyton Welch for 11 yds to the AFA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-4
54.3%
Sean Chambers sacked by Demonte Meeks for a loss of 4 yards to the AFA 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 36
0
56.2%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Garrett CrallSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 36
0
57.7%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Keonte GlintonSimilar
Q3 9:55
4TH & 14
OPP 36
0
58.9%
Ralph Fawaz punt for 21 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 15TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 4:0961% → 81%
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
60.5%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Brandon Lewis for 7 yds to the AFA 22Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+15
61.3%
Brad Roberts run for 15 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
62.0%
Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the AFA 40Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+30
63.3%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Brandon Lewis for 30 yds to the Wyom 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
65.6%
Brad Roberts run for no gain to the Wyom 30Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+14
65.5%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Brandon Lewis for 14 yds to the Wyom 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
65.6%
Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the Wyom 13Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+13
80.8%
Micah Davis 13 Yd pass from Haaziq Daniels (Anthony Rodriguez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 16PUNT
14 plays · 19 yds · 6:1726% → 20%
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
74.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
73.2%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 9 yds to the Wyom 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
72.4%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 8 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+3
70.6%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Titus Swen for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
50
+2
70.7%
Titus Swen run for 2 yds to the Wyom 48Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 12
OWN 48
+2
72.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:46
3RD & 10
50
+12
72.9%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 12 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
70.7%
Sean Chambers run for 2 yds to the AFA 36Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+5
70.8%
PENALTY WYO False Start (Velazquez,Alonzo) 5 yards from AF 36 to AF 41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 41
+5
75.5%
run for 5 yds to the AFA 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 18
OPP 46
+10
77.3%
Chambers,Sean rush for 19 yards gain to the AF 27 (Mack II,Michael) PENALTY WYO Holding (Harris,Logan) 10 yards from AF 46 to WYO44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 28
OWN 44
0
78.1%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Alex BrownSimilar
Q4 14:29
4TH & 28
OWN 44
0
79.6%
Ralph Fawaz punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AFA 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 17FG
15 plays · 67 yds · 7:1184% → 91%
Q4 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
83.9%
Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 28Similar
Q4 14:29
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+1
84.0%
Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the AFA 29Similar
Q4 14:29
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+7
83.1%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Brandon Lewis for 7 yds to the AFA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
84.7%
Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete to Adam KarasSimilar
Q4 14:29
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+20
84.2%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Micah Davis for 20 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:29
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
85.9%
Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the Wyom 42Similar
Q4 14:29
2ND & 8
OPP 42
0
85.8%
Brad Roberts run for no gain to the Wyom 42Similar
Q4 14:29
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+19
84.9%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Brandon Lewis for 19 yds to the Wyom 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:29
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
86.1%
Emmanuel Michel run for 1 yd to the Wyom 22Similar
Q4 14:29
2ND & 9
OPP 22
0
86.1%
Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete to Micah DavisSimilar
Q4 14:29
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+9
85.1%
Haaziq Daniels run for 9 yds to the Wyom 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:29
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
86.1%
Emmanuel Michel run for 3 yds to the Wyom 10Similar
Q4 14:29
2ND & 7
OPP 10
0
86.1%
Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete to Micah DavisSimilar
Q4 14:29
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+1
85.2%
Micah Davis run for 1 yd to the Wyom 9Similar
Q4 7:18
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+26
90.5%
Anthony Rodriguez 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:049% → 7%
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
90.7%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Isaiah NeyorSimilar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+3
90.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 22Similar
Q4 7:12
3RD & 7
OWN 22
0
91.2%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Alex BrownSimilar
Q4 6:08
4TH & 7
OWN 22
0
92.7%
Ralph Fawaz punt for 76 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 3:2691% → 95%
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
91.1%
Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the AFA 5Similar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+4
91.0%
Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 9Similar
Q4 6:08
3RD & 3
OWN 9
+4
90.6%
Micah Davis run for 4 yds to the AFA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
91.1%
Brad Roberts run for no gain to the AFA 13Similar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 10
OWN 13
-5
91.0%
PENALTY AF False Start (Spiewak,Jake) 5 yards from AF 13 to AF 08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 15
OWN 8
+7
91.0%
Jorden Gidrey run for 7 yds to the AFA 15Similar
Q4 6:08
3RD & 8
OWN 15
+5
90.6%
Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the AFA 20Similar
Q4 2:42
4TH & 3
OWN 20
+6
94.5%
Charles Bein punt for 49 yds , Ayden Eberhardt returns for 6 yds to the Wyom 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 20FUMBLE
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:155% → 5%
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+19
94.8%
Sean Chambers run for 19 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
94.1%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Parker ChristensenSimilar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+19
94.1%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Alex Brown for 19 yds to the AFA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
93.3%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Isaiah NeyorSimilar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
93.5%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Alex BrownSimilar
Q4 2:42
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
94.1%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Ayden EberhardtSimilar
Q4 1:27
4TH & 10
OPP 25
-20
95.0%
Sean Chambers sacked by Vince Sanford for a loss of 20 yards to the AFA 48 Sean Chambers fumbled, recovered by AFA Vince Sanford , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 1 yds · 1:2097% → 97%
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-3
96.5%
run for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 45Similar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 13
OWN 45
-1
96.3%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 44Similar
Q4 1:23
3RD & 14
OWN 44
-5
96.2%
PENALTY WYO Offside (Bertagnole,Jordan) 5 yards from AF 44 to AF 49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:54
3RD & 9
OWN 49
0
96.8%
Haaziq Daniels run for no gain to the AFA 49Similar
Q4 0:07
4TH & 9
OWN 49
0
97.2%
AIR FORCE Penalty, Encroachment ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · -12 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-12
96.4%
Sean Chambers sacked by Jordan Jackson for a loss of 12 yards to the Wyom 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:15
Sean Chambers pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 10 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)
-18.2
TD · Q3 5:46
Micah Davis 13 Yd pass from Haaziq Daniels (Anthony Rodriguez Kick)
+15.3
TD · Q2 2:39
Sean Chambers run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)
-7.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com