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AF

Air Force 38 at New Mexico 10

UNM
2021 · Week 5 · Oct 2, 2021 · University Stadium (NM)
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Win probability · UNM
modelUNM aheadAF aheadconfidence bandkey playUNM scoreAF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of GameTD-1.6UNM 0.6%Brad Roberts 1 Yd Run (AnthonyRodriguez Kick)AWAY 38 - HOME 7 · Q4 14:13
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:13 · Brad Roberts 1 Yd Run (Anthony Rodriguez Kick)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 107Home team on offense−48.5Score differential−33.3Pregame prior−6.8Garbage-time factor−16.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−6.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:24: Haaziq Daniels run for 1 yd for a TD, (Anthony Rodriguez KICK) — AF win probability +1.6 pts (now 76%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:34: Dane Kinamon run for 3 yds for a TD, (Anthony Rodriguez KICK) — AF win probability +7.2 pts (now 84%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:03: Brad Roberts 2 Yd Run (Anthony Rodriguez Kick) — AF win probability +3.5 pts (now 93%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:24: DeAndre Hughes run for 53 yds for a TD, (Anthony Rodriguez KICK) — AF win probability +2.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:21: Trae Hall 21 Yd pass from Terry Wilson (Andrew Shelley Kick) — UNM win probability +3.6 pts (now 6%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNM made the numbers' call on 4 of 6AF made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 13:17UNM 4th & 1 at UNM 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:30AF 4th & 3 at UNM 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    74.3%−0.4
    47% to make
    Punt
    74.1%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:56AF 4th & 4 at UNM 13, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 74.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.4%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.3%−0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    71.5%−2.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:56UNM 4th & 6 at UNM 39, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:16AF 4th & 1 at AF 35, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    83.4%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:23UNM 4th & 11 at UNM 24, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−1.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:01AF 4th & 4 at AF 46, up 24
    Close callPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:40UNM 4th & 13 at UNM 9, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−1.5
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.8%
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:13AF 4th & 1 at UNM 1, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    96.8%−0.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    95.3%−2.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:21UNM 4th & 27 at AF 32, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.3%
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:56AF 4th & 4 at UNM 15, up 28
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:02UNM 4th & 9 at AF 16, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1AF made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 8:24AF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:34AF Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:03AF Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:24AF Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:21UNM Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:13AF Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3824% → 25%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
23.7%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Luke Wysong for 7 yds to the NMex 32Similar
Q1 14:26
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
24.0%
Bobby Cole run for 1 yd to the NMex 33Similar
Q1 13:39
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
24.3%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Trae Hall for 1 yd to the NMex 34Similar
Q1 13:17
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
24.5%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 39 ydsSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
24.5%
AIR FORCE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AFA 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 2TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 4:3375% → 76%
Q1 12:57
1ST & 15
OWN 22
+9
24.7%
Micah Davis run for 9 yds to the AFA 31Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+15
24.8%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Ronald Wilson) to the NMex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
24.8%
Brad Roberts run for 9 yds to the NMex 36Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+8
25.0%
Emmanuel Michel run for 8 yds to the NMex 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
25.1%
Emmanuel Michel run for 6 yds to the NMex 22Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+8
25.4%
Emmanuel Michel run for 8 yds to the NMex 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
25.6%
Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the NMex 9Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+6
25.8%
Brad Roberts run for 6 yds to the NMex 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
25.9%
Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the NMex 1Similar
Q1 8:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
24.3%
Haaziq Daniels run for 1 yd for a TD, (Anthony Rodriguez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3FUMBLE
8 plays · -4 yds · 2:4225% → 26%
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
25.4%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, False Start (Kyle Stapley) to the NMex 40Similar
Q1 8:11
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+5
25.1%
Trae Hall run for 5 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+15
25.3%
Terry Wilson run for 15 yds to the AFA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
25.8%
Bobby Cole run for 4 yds to the AFA 36Similar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 6
OPP 36
-5
26.0%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, False Start (Kyle Stapley) to the AFA 41Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+1
26.0%
Trae Hall run for 1 yd to the AFA 40Similar
Q1 5:54
3RD & 10
OPP 40
-10
26.0%
QB Keeper WILSON JR., Terry rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the AFA38 (BUGG III, Tre). PENALTY UNM Holding on COOK, Austin enforced 10 yards from the AFA40 to the UNM50 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:33
3RD & 20
50
0
25.5%
Trae Hall sacked for 0 yards to the NMex 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 4FG
10 plays · 28 yds · 5:1875% → 75%
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
24.6%
Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the NMex 38Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+5
24.6%
DeAndre Hughes run for 5 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 2
OPP 33
-1
24.7%
Brad Roberts run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 34Similar
Q1 3:30
4TH & 3
OPP 34
+4
25.3%
Micah Davis run for 4 yds to the NMex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
24.7%
DeAndre Hughes run for 2 yds to the NMex 28Similar
Q1 2:18
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+9
24.6%
DeAndre Hughes run for 9 yds to the NMex 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
24.5%
Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the NMex 17Similar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 8
OPP 17
-2
24.6%
Haaziq Daniels run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 19 fumbled, recovered by AFA Haaziq DanielsSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+6
25.0%
Haaziq Daniels run for 6 yds to the NMex 13Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+30
25.0%
Anthony Rodriguez 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5FUMBLE
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
24.5%
Aaron Dumas run for 8 yds to the NMex 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 6TD
9 plays · 33 yds · 4:0376% → 84%
Q2 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
23.8%
Emmanuel Michel run for 3 yds to the NMex 30Similar
Q2 13:59
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+5
23.7%
Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the NMex 25Similar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+7
24.1%
Brad Roberts run for 7 yds to the NMex 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
23.7%
Dane Kinamon run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 20Similar
Q2 12:21
2ND & 12
OPP 20
+5
23.7%
DeAndre Hughes run for 5 yds to the NMex 15Similar
Q2 11:36
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+9
23.8%
Dane Kinamon run for 9 yds to the NMex 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
23.2%
Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the NMex 3Similar
Q2 10:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
16.0%
Dane Kinamon run for 3 yds for a TD, (Anthony Rodriguez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1019% → 18%
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
18.6%
Bobby Cole run for 3 yds to the NMex 38Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
19.0%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+1
18.6%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Trae Hall for 1 yd to the NMex 39Similar
Q2 8:56
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
18.4%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dane Kinamon at the AFA 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 8TD
16 plays · 84 yds · 7:4884% → 93%
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+10
16.2%
Brad Roberts run for 10 yds to the AFA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
16.6%
DeAndre Hughes run for 6 yds to the AFA 32Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 4
OWN 32
-10
16.4%
ROBERTS, Brad rush up the middle for a gain of 7 yards to the AFA39 (MARTIN, Donte). PENALTY AFA Holding enforced 10 yards from the AFA32 to the AFA22. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 14
OWN 22
+9
16.6%
Dane Kinamon run for 9 yds to the AFA 31Similar
Q2 6:43
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+4
15.8%
Emmanuel Michel run for 4 yds to the AFA 35Similar
Q2 6:16
4TH & 1
OWN 35
+2
15.9%
Haaziq Daniels run for 2 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
15.1%
Dane Kinamon run for 2 yds to the AFA 39Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+4
14.7%
Amari Terry run for 4 yds to the AFA 43Similar
Q2 4:29
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+5
14.8%
Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-6
14.1%
Jorden Gidrey run for a loss of 6 yards to the AFA 42 fumbled, recovered by AFA Dane KinamonSimilar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 16
OWN 42
+33
15.8%
Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Brandon Lewis for 33 yds to the NMex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
13.7%
Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the NMex 22Similar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+15
13.3%
Brad Roberts run for 15 yds to the NMex 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
10.2%
Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the NMex 2Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
6.7%
Brad Roberts 2 Yd Run (Anthony Rodriguez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:3511% → 11%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
11.3%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Bobby Cole for 3 yds to the NMex 28Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
11.5%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-10
11.2%
WILSON JR., Terry scrambles to the left for a gain of 12 yards to the UNM40 (TAYLOR, Trey). PENALTY UNM Holding on COOK, Austin enforced 10 yards from the UNM28 to the UNM18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+6
10.6%
Terry Wilson run for 6 yds to the NMex 24Similar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
11.0%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 40 yds, downed at the AFA 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
6.5%
Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the AFA 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:4792% → 94%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
7.7%
Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the AFA 27Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
7.3%
DeAndre Hughes run for 3 yds to the AFA 30Similar
Q3 13:42
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
7.7%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Defensive Holding (Jerrick Reed II) to the AFA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
6.9%
Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the AFA 42Similar
Q3 13:01
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+4
6.6%
Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 46Similar
Q3 12:19
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
6.0%
AIR FORCE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dane Kinamon) declinedSimilar
Q3 12:01
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
6.1%
Charles Bein punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:167% → 7%
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
7.1%
Terry Wilson sacked by Vince Sanford for 0 yards to the NMex 5Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 17
OWN 5
+4
6.9%
Bobby Cole run for 4 yds to the NMex 9Similar
Q3 10:53
3RD & 13
OWN 9
0
6.6%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:40
4TH & 13
OWN 9
0
6.5%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Dane Kinamon at the AFA 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 13TD
3 plays · 53 yds · 1:0095% → 98%
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
5.2%
Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the AFA 48Similar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 9
OWN 48
-1
5.1%
Haaziq Daniels run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 47Similar
Q3 9:24
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+53
2.4%
DeAndre Hughes run for 53 yds for a TD, (Anthony Rodriguez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 14TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:513% → 6%
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
2.6%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:03
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+26
2.5%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Luke Wysong for 26 yds to the NMex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
2.6%
Terry Wilson pass complete to CJay Boone for 15 yds to the AFA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
2.3%
Bobby Cole run for 3 yds to the AFA 36Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+15
2.2%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Mannie Logan-Greene for 15 yds to the AFA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
5.8%
Trae Hall 21 Yd pass from Terry Wilson (Andrew Shelley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 15DOWNS
16 plays · 75 yds · 7:5296% → 99%
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
4.0%
Brad Roberts run for 6 yds to the AFA 31Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
4.0%
Haaziq Daniels sacked by Joey Noble for 0 yards to the AFA 30Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
3.6%
DeAndre Hughes run for 6 yds to the AFA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
3.5%
Brad Roberts run for 17 yds to the NMex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
3.2%
Emmanuel Michel run for 3 yds to the NMex 44Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+5
3.1%
Emmanuel Michel run for 5 yds to the NMex 39Similar
Q3 4:01
3RD & 2
OPP 39
-5
3.0%
AIR FORCE Penalty, False Start (Hawk Wimmer) to the NMex 44Similar
Q3 3:26
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+25
2.8%
Haaziq Daniels run for 25 yds to the NMex 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
2.6%
Brad Roberts run for 6 yds to the NMex 13Similar
Q3 2:16
2ND & 4
OPP 13
0
2.5%
DeAndre Hughes run for no gain to the NMex 13Similar
Q3 1:39
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+10
2.5%
Brad Roberts run for 10 yds to the NMex 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
2.4%
Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the NMex 1Similar
Q3 0:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
2.3%
Brad Roberts run for no gain to the NMex 1Similar
Q3 0:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
2.3%
AIR FORCE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NMex 6Similar
Q4 14:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
2.2%
Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the NMex 1Similar
Q4 14:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.6%
Brad Roberts 1 Yd Run (Anthony Rodriguez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 16FG
9 plays · 59 yds · 3:411% → 0%
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
0.5%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+8
0.5%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Mannie Logan-Greene for 8 yds to the NMex 17Similar
Q4 13:18
3RD & 2
OWN 17
+5
0.4%
Aaron Dumas run for 5 yds to the NMex 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
0.4%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Austin Erickson for 11 yds to the NMex 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
0.4%
WILSON JR., Terry pass to the right complete for 37 yards to WYSONG, Luke caught at the AFA30 and advanced to the AFA30 (GOODWIN, Jayden), 1ST DOWN. PENALTY AFA Unsportsmanlike Conduct on TAYLOR, Corvan enforced 15 yards from the end of the play at the AFA30 to the AFA15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
0.5%
Terry Wilson sacked by Vince Sanford for 0 yards to the AFA 27Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 22
OPP 27
0
0.4%
Terry Wilson sacked by Jordan Jackson and Vince Sanford for 0 yards to the AFA 40Similar
Q4 10:54
3RD & 35
OPP 40
+8
0.4%
Terry Wilson run for 8 yds to the AFA 32Similar
Q4 10:21
4TH & 27
OPP 32
+49
0.3%
Andrew Shelley 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 17MISSED FG
8 plays · 60 yds · 4:10100% → 100%
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+43
0.4%
Omar Fattah run for 43 yds to the NMex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
0.3%
Omar Fattah run for 8 yds to the NMex 24Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+3
0.3%
Omar Fattah run for 3 yds to the NMex 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
0.3%
Omar Fattah run for no gain to the NMex 21Similar
Q4 7:13
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+3
0.2%
Omar Fattah run for 3 yds to the NMex 18Similar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+3
0.2%
Omar Fattah run for 3 yds to the NMex 15Similar
Q4 5:56
4TH & 4
OPP 15
+33
0.2%
Anthony Rodriguez 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18DOWNS
13 plays · 55 yds · 3:460% → 0%
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
0.2%
AIR FORCE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the NMex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
0.2%
WILSON JR., Terry pass to the right complete for 11 yards to ERICKSON, Andrew caught at the UNM40 and advanced to the UNM46 (GOODWIN, Jayden). PENALTY UNM Holding on BUFORD, Jack enforced 10 yards from the UNM35 to the UNM25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+3
0.1%
Chad Alexander run for 3 yds to the NMex 28Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 17
OWN 28
+26
0.1%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 26 yds to the AFA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
0.1%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Chad Alexander for 7 yds to the AFA 39Similar
Q4 3:53
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+1
0.1%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Chad Alexander for 1 yd to the AFA 38Similar
Q4 3:32
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+2
0.1%
Aaron Dumas run for 2 yds to the AFA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+14
0.1%
Terry Wilson run for 14 yds to the AFA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
0.1%
Chad Alexander run for 6 yds to the AFA 16Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 4
OPP 16
0
0.1%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:28
3RD & 4
OPP 16
0
0.1%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:20
4TH & 4
OPP 16
-5
0.1%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, False Start (Jack Buford) to the AFA 21Similar
Q4 2:02
4TH & 9
OPP 16
0
0.1%
Terry Wilson pass intercepted return for no gain to the AFA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 19Uncategorized
3 plays · 9 yds · 1:42100% → 100%
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.1%
Elijah Robinson run for 4 yds to the AFA 29Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
0.1%
Zachary Larrier run for 4 yds to the AFA 33Similar
Q4 0:38
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
0.1%
Elijah Robinson run for 3 yds to the AFA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:34
Dane Kinamon run for 3 yds for a TD, (Anthony Rodriguez KICK)
-7.2
TD · Q3 7:21
Trae Hall 21 Yd pass from Terry Wilson (Andrew Shelley Kick)
+3.6
TD · Q2 1:03
Brad Roberts 2 Yd Run (Anthony Rodriguez Kick)
-3.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com