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UNLV

UNLV 30 at Fresno State 38

FRES
2021 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2021 · Valley Children's Stadium
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Win probability · FRES
modelFRES aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playFRES scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of GameFG-20.8FRES 49.5%Daniel Gutierrez 30 yd FG GOODAWAY 30 - HOME 29 · Q4 6:38
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:38 · Daniel Gutierrez 30 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 149Pregame prior+9.0Home team on offense−8.4Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential−4.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 3:47: Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 23 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — FRES win probability +10.1 pts (now 84%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 12:21: Jalen Cropper 25 Yd pass from Jake Haener (Cesar Silva Kick) — FRES win probability +11.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 9:57: Courtney Reese run for 6 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) UNLV Penalty, illegal formation (Doug Brumfield) declined — UNLV win probability +19.6 pts (now 33%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 6:38: Daniel Gutierrez 30 yd FG GOOD — UNLV win probability +20.8 pts (now 51%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:53: Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 26 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — FRES win probability +24.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FRES made the numbers' call on 6 of 8UNLV made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 14:53FRES 4th & 8 at FRES 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:54FRES 4th & 9 at FRES 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00FRES 4th & 1 at UNLV 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    88.4%−0.8
    34% to make
    Punt
    88.5%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:38FRES 4th & 8 at UNLV 8, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.6%
    90% to make
    Punt
    83.3%−2.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:38UNLV 4th & 9 at UNLV 26, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:55FRES 4th & 5 at FRES 33, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.2%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:55UNLV 4th & 15 at FRES 39, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    15.2%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:57FRES 4th & 2 at FRES 35, down 11
    Close callPunted · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.5%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:37UNLV 4th & 11 at UNLV 18, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−1.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:35FRES 4th & 10 at FRES 29, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:00UNLV 4th & 6 at UNLV 34, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−1.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:31UNLV 4th & 11 at FRES 37, up 5
    Close callPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    31.9%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.6%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:47UNLV 4th & 6 at FRES 47, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:38UNLV 4th & 7 at FRES 12, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−6.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.9%
    86% to make
    Punt
    18.2%−17.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:29FRES 4th & 2 at UNLV 13, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.1%−1.7
    85% to make
    Punt
    77.5%−11.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:24UNLV 4th & 14 at UNLV 21, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.1%
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FRES made the numbers' call on 3 of 5UNLV made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:00UNLV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:16UNLV Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:32FRES Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    79.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    79.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:41UNLV Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:35FRES Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:47FRES Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    82.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    82.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:21FRES Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:57UNLV Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    26.9%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    27.1%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:53FRES Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    82.5%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    82.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FRESDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
97.3%
Jake Haener pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+2
97.3%
Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 24Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+9
97.3%
Jake Haener run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
97.3%
Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 35Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
97.3%
Jake Haener pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
97.3%
Jake Haener pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:53
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
97.3%
Carson King punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNLV 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 2TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 2:473% → 4%
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+37
96.9%
Doug Brumfield run for 37 yds to the FrsSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
96.9%
Doug Brumfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+8
96.9%
Charles Williams run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 15Similar
Q1 12:47
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+2
96.9%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
96.9%
Doug Brumfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+3
96.9%
Chad Magyar run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 10Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+10
96.1%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 10 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
96.2%
Jake Haener pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 13 yds to the FrsSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
96.2%
Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 39Similar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
96.2%
Jake Haener pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:54
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
96.2%
Jake Haener pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:54
4TH & 9
OWN 39
+56
96.2%
Carson King punt for 51 yds UNLV Penalty, illegal block (Doug Brumfield) to the UNLV 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 4TD
16 plays · 95 yds · 7:244% → 9%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
95.8%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 9Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+20
95.8%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Zyell Griffin for 20 yds to the UNLV 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
95.8%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 2 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
95.8%
Doug Brumfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+13
95.8%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 13 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
95.7%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 47Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+8
95.7%
Tyleek Collins run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+18
95.7%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Charles Williams for 18 yds to the FrsSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
95.7%
Courtney Reese run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 26Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+5
93.9%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 21Similar
Q1 3:59
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+10
93.9%
Brumfield, Doug pass complete to Collins, Tyleek for 1 yard to the FS20 (HOUSTON, Justin), PENALTY FS roughing passer (JONES, Kwami) 10 yards to the FS11, 1ST DOWN UNLV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
93.9%
Chad Magyar run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 4Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+2
93.9%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 2Similar
Q1 3:59
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+1
93.9%
Doug Brumfield run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.2%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 5FG
12 plays · 67 yds · 4:3291% → 90%
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
91.4%
Ronnie Rivers run for 14 yds to the FrsSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
91.7%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 12 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
91.8%
Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the UNLV 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 48
-7
91.0%
Jake Haener sacked by Adam Plant Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the FrsSt 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 45
+15
90.7%
Jake Haener pass complete to Keric Wheatfall for 15 yds to the UNLV 40Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+2
91.0%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 2 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+28
91.1%
Josh Kelly run for 28 yds to the UNLV 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
91.2%
Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the UNLV 7Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
91.2%
Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for 3 yds to the UNLV 4Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-4
91.0%
Jalen Cropper run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 8Similar
Q2 11:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
89.6%
Cesar Silva 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
89.0%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the UNLV 26Similar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
89.1%
Doug Brumfield run for no gain to the UNLV 26Similar
Q2 11:38
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
89.2%
Doug Brumfield pass incomplete to Tyleek CollinsSimilar
Q2 11:38
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
89.4%
Evan Silva punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
87.9%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 5 yds to the FrsSt 33Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 5
OWN 33
0
88.0%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Ronnie RiversSimilar
Q2 9:55
3RD & 5
OWN 33
0
87.8%
Jake Haener pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:55
4TH & 5
OWN 33
0
87.6%
Carson King punt for 44 yds, downed at the UNLV 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 38 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
86.9%
Charles Williams run for 15 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+28
86.3%
Charles Williams run for 28 yds to the FrsSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
86.2%
Doug Brumfield run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 33Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 9
OPP 33
-1
86.2%
Tyleek Collins run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 34Similar
Q2 8:55
3RD & 10
OPP 34
0
86.4%
Doug Brumfield pass incomplete to Steve JenkinsSimilar
Q2 8:55
4TH & 10
OPP 34
-5
86.8%
UNLV Penalty, delay of game (Nohl Williams) to the FrsSt 39Similar
Q2 8:55
4TH & 15
OPP 39
0
87.0%
Evan Silva punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FrsSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
82.8%
Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 8Similar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+19
82.8%
Jake Haener pass complete to Keric Wheatfall for 19 yds to the FrsSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
83.2%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Jalen CropperSimilar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+6
83.0%
Ronnie Rivers run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 33Similar
Q2 5:57
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+2
83.1%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 2 yds to the FrsSt 35Similar
Q2 5:57
4TH & 2
OWN 35
0
83.0%
Carson King punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Tyleek Collins at the UNLV 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:4320% → 22%
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
80.0%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the UNLV 24Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+1
79.9%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 1 yd to the UNLV 25Similar
Q2 3:20
3RD & 4
OWN 25
-7
80.2%
Cameron Friel sacked by Kevin Atkins and David Perales for a loss of 7 yards to the UNLV 18Similar
Q2 1:37
4TH & 11
OWN 18
+14
78.2%
Evan Silva punt for 42 yds , Ronnie Rivers returns for 14 yds to the UNLV 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 11TD
7 plays · 46 yds · 1:0379% → 85%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+16
78.5%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Jalen Cropper for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, Defensive pass interference (16 Yards) to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
79.5%
Jake Haener pass complete to Erik Brooks for 6 yds to the UNLV 24Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+6
79.5%
Jake Haener run for 6 yds to the UNLV 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
79.4%
FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 23Similar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+5
79.3%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 5 yds to the UNLV 18Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+18
84.6%
Jake Haener pass complete to Erik Brooks for 18 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
81.6%
UNLV Penalty, delay of game (Doug Brumfield) to the UNLV 14Similar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 15
OWN 14
+1
81.8%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the UNLV 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
73.3%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 80 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0073% → 72%
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-4
73.4%
Ronnie Rivers run for a loss of 4 yards to the FrsSt 25Similar
Q3 14:35
2ND & 14
OWN 25
+4
72.8%
Jake Haener run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 29Similar
Q3 14:35
3RD & 10
OWN 29
0
72.2%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Jalen Cropper, broken up by Tyson PlayerSimilar
Q3 14:35
4TH & 10
OWN 29
0
72.2%
Carson King punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNLV 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
69.1%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
68.9%
Doug Brumfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
69.6%
Doug Brumfield pass incomplete, broken up by Arron MosbySimilar
Q3 13:00
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
70.1%
Evan Silva punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 16TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 4:2369% → 77%
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
68.8%
Jake Haener pass complete to Ty Jones for 9 yds to the FrsSt 41Similar
Q3 11:58
2ND & 1
OWN 41
0
69.8%
Ronnie Rivers run for no gain to the FrsSt 41Similar
Q3 11:58
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+15
69.3%
Ronnie Rivers run for 15 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
70.4%
Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for no gain to the UNLV 44Similar
Q3 11:58
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+14
70.2%
Jake Haener pass complete to Keric Wheatfall for 14 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+23
71.6%
Jake Haener pass complete to Tre Watson for 23 yds to the UNLV 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
71.5%
Jalen Cropper run for 3 yds to the UNLV 4Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
77.0%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 4 yds for a TD, (Evan Silva KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 49 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
70.9%
Charles Williams run for no gain to the UNLV 14Similar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+50
71.2%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Charles Williams for 50 yds to the FrsSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
67.9%
Chad Magyar run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 34Similar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 8
OPP 34
-3
66.8%
Cameron Friel sacked by Kevin Atkins for a loss of 3 yards to the FrsSt 37 UNLV Penalty, Offensive holding (Nohl Williams) declinedSimilar
Q3 7:31
3RD & 11
OPP 37
0
68.6%
Cameron Friel pass incomplete to Steve Jenkins, broken up by Levelle BaileySimilar
Q3 7:31
4TH & 11
OPP 37
0
71.2%
Evan Silva punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 18TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:1969% → 84%
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+55
69.1%
Jake Haener pass complete to Keric Wheatfall for 55 yds to the UNLV 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
74.3%
Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the UNLV 23Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
74.3%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Raymond Pauwels Jr.Similar
Q3 3:47
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+23
84.4%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 23 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:0019% → 20%
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
81.2%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+22
81.0%
Charles Williams run for 22 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-2
78.2%
Cameron Friel sacked by Ryan Boehm and Levelle Bailey for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 47Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 12
OWN 47
-5
79.5%
UNLV Penalty, false start (Nohl Williams) to the UNLV 42Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 17
OWN 42
+11
80.7%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Jordan Jakes for 11 yds to the FrsSt 47Similar
Q3 3:47
3RD & 6
OPP 47
0
78.5%
Cameron Friel pass incomplete to Steve Jenkins, broken up by Emari PaitSimilar
Q3 3:47
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
80.3%
Evan Silva punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 20TD
7 plays · 85 yds · 3:1579% → 93%
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+19
79.0%
Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for 19 yds to the FrsSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
79.7%
Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for 6 yds to the FrsSt 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+7
81.3%
Jake Haener pass complete to Erik Brooks for 7 yds to the FrsSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
81.7%
Jake Haener pass complete to Keric Wheatfall for 12 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
82.3%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 1 yd to the UNLV 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+15
82.1%
Jake Haener pass complete to Raymond Pauwels Jr. for 15 yds to the UNLV 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
93.2%
Jalen Cropper 25 Yd pass from Jake Haener (Cesar Silva Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:2410% → 33%
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.5%
Cameron Friel pass incomplete to Tyleek Collins, broken up by LJ EarlySimilar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
90.6%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr. for 6 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q4 12:21
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+20
90.3%
Cameron Friel run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 36 for a 1ST down FRESNO ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Tyson Maeva) to the FrsSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+44
88.2%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 44 yds to the FrsSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
86.7%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 6Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
67.1%
Courtney Reese run for 6 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) UNLV Penalty, illegal formation (Doug Brumfield) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 22INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
77.2%
Jake Haener pass intercepted Phillip Hill return for 16 yds to the FrsSt 43 FRESNO ST Penalty, personal foul (Dontae Bull) to the FrsSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 23FG
6 plays · 32 yds · 2:5830% → 51%
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
69.7%
Cameron Friel run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 43Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+28
69.9%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Charles Williams for 28 yds to the FrsSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
67.4%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 14Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 9
OPP 14
0
67.4%
Cameron Friel pass incomplete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr., broken up by Evan WilliamsSimilar
Q4 9:36
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+2
70.3%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 2 yds to the FrsSt 12Similar
Q4 6:38
4TH & 7
OPP 12
+30
49.5%
Daniel Gutierrez 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 24TD
5 plays · 61 yds · 1:3761% → 91%
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+23
60.7%
Jake Haener pass complete to Ty Jones for 23 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
64.6%
Jake Haener pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 9 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+3
66.8%
Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the UNLV 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
91.4%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 26 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 25FUMBLE
3 plays · -10 yds · 0:0017% → 15%
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
83.5%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 30Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 11
OWN 30
-5
84.9%
Cameron Friel sacked by Arron Mosby for a loss of 5 yards to the UNLV 21 Cameron Friel fumbled, recovered by FrsSt Kwami Jones , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 26FG
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3092% → 96%
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
91.5%
Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the UNLV 20Similar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+5
91.5%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 5 yds to the UNLV 15Similar
Q4 3:59
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+2
90.9%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 2 yds to the UNLV 13Similar
Q4 2:29
4TH & 2
OPP 13
+31
96.3%
Cesar Silva 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 27DOWNS
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:056% → 5%
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
94.3%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 4 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-8
93.7%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Courtney Reese for a loss of 8 yards to the UNLV 21Similar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
94.9%
Cameron Friel pass incomplete, broken up by Arron MosbySimilar
Q4 1:24
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
95.5%
Cameron Friel pass incomplete to Steve Jenkins, broken up by Bralyn LuxSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-2
97.7%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 23Similar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 12
OPP 23
-2
97.6%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:53
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 26 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+24.6
FG · Q4 6:38
Daniel Gutierrez 30 yd FG GOOD
-20.8
TD · Q4 9:57
Courtney Reese run for 6 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) UNLV Penalty, illegal formation (Doug Brumfield) declined
-19.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com