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IDST

Idaho State 10 at Nevada 49

NEV
2021 · Week 2 · Sep 11, 2021 · Mackay Stadium
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Win probability · NEV
modelNEV aheadIDST aheadconfidence bandkey playNEV scoreIDST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Hunter Hays sacked by Christopher Love for a loss of 5 yards to the Nevad 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:17: Oshea Trujillo 1 Yd Run (Kevin Ryan Kick) — IDST win probability +1.3 pts (now 4%) (top driver: IDST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:43: Elijah Cooks 12 Yd pass from Carson Strong (Brandon Talton Kick) — NEV win probability +2.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 9:56: Kevin Ryan 42 Yd Field Goal — IDST win probability +1.6 pts (now 6%) (top driver: IDST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:43: Devonte Lee 2 Yd Run (Brandon Talton Kick) — NEV win probability +3.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:03: Devonte Lee 15 Yd pass from Carson Strong (Brandon Talton Kick) — NEV win probability +1.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEV made the numbers' call on 4 of 4IDST made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 9:15NEV 4th & 2 at IDST 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    97.0%−0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    96.5%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:33IDST 4th & 1 at NEV 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    2.6%−0.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:33IDST 4th & 1 at NEV 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    2.6%−0.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:28IDST 4th & 10 at IDST 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:25NEV 4th & 6 at NEV 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:10NEV 4th & 3 at IDST 6, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.6%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    94.4%−0.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    93.2%−1.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:17IDST 4th & 9 at IDST 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00IDST 4th & 3 at NEV 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    4.2%−0.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    4.1%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:56IDST 4th & 13 at NEV 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−0.4
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−1.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:17NEV 4th & 10 at NEV 48, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:58IDST 4th & 4 at NEV 48, down 11
    Close callPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:08IDST 4th & 5 at IDST 45, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:10IDST 4th & 14 at NEV 17, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEV made the numbers' call on 5 of 5IDST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 4:17IDST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:59NEV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:43NEV Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:43NEV Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:03NEV Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:41NEV Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEVDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:4598% → 97%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.8%
Carson Strong pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 3 yds to the Nevad 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
97.8%
Toa Taua run for 6 yds to the Nevad 34Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
97.8%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Devonte LeeSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
97.8%
Devonte Lee run for no gain to the Nevad 37Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+26
97.8%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 26 yds to the IdaSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
97.8%
Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for 3 yds to the IdaSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+5
97.8%
Devonte Lee run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+10
97.8%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 10 yds to the IdaSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
97.8%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Elijah CooksSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+1
97.8%
Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 18Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+7
97.8%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 7 yds to the IdaSt 11Similar
Q1 9:15
4TH & 2
OPP 11
+5
97.3%
Toa Taua run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 2TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 4:163% → 4%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.1%
Malakai Rango run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 26Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
97.1%
Malakai Rango run for 10 yds to the IdaSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
97.1%
Malakai Rango run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 37Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+11
97.1%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 11 yds to the IdaSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
97.1%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Christian FredricksonSimilar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
97.1%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Raiden Hunter for 4 yds to the Nevad 48Similar
Q1 8:33
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+5
97.1%
Vander Waal,Tyler sacked for loss of 6 yards to the ISU46 (Nichols,Tristan) PENALTY NEV Offside (Grzesiak,Daniel) 5 yards from NEV48 to NEV43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:33
3RD & 1
OPP 43
0
97.1%
Raiden Hunter run for no gain to the Nevad 43Similar
Q1 8:33
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+3
97.1%
Raiden Hunter run for 3 yds to the Nevad 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+39
97.1%
Malakai Rango run for 39 yds to the Nevad 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+3
97.1%
Raiden Hunter run for 3 yds to the Nevad 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+39
97.1%
Malakai Rango run for 39 yds to the Nevad 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.7%
Oshea Trujillo 1 Yd Run (Kevin Ryan Kick)Similar
Q1 4:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
95.7%
PENALTY NEV Offside 2 yards from NEV03 to NEV01. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 3TD
13 plays · 90 yds · 3:1396% → 96%
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+59
96.0%
Toa Taua run for 59 yds to the IdaSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
96.2%
PENALTY NEV False Start (Gardner,Jacob) 5 yards from ISU31 to ISU36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:12
1ST & 15
OPP 36
-10
96.1%
Strong,Carson pass incomplete to Cooks,Elijah PENALTY NEV Holding (Gardner,Jacob) 10 yards from ISU36 to ISU46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:12
1ST & 25
OPP 46
+7
96.1%
Carson Strong pass complete to Devonte Lee for 7 yds to the IdaSt 39Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 18
OPP 39
+11
96.1%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 11 yds to the IdaSt 28Similar
Q1 4:12
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+8
96.2%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 8 yds to the IdaSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+13
96.2%
Carson Strong pass complete to Avery Morrow for 13 yds to the IdaSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+13
96.2%
Carson Strong pass complete to Avery Morrow for 13 yds to the IdaSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
95.6%
PENALTY NEV Delay Of Game (Strong,Carson) 5 yards from ISU07 to ISU12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
96.3%
Elijah Cooks 12 Yd pass from Carson Strong (Brandon Talton Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:214% → 4%
Q1 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
95.9%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Shane Dailey Jr.Similar
Q1 0:49
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
95.9%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Shane Dailey Jr.Similar
Q1 0:49
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
96.1%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Xavier GuillorySimilar
Q1 0:28
4TH & 10
OWN 33
0
96.1%
Kevin Ryan punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 3:0396% → 95%
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
96.0%
Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the Nevad 24Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+8
95.9%
Carson Strong pass complete to Devonte Lee for 8 yds to the Nevad 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
95.9%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 9 yds to the Nevad 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 41
0
96.1%
Avery Morrow run for no gain to the Nevad 41Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
96.1%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo DoubsSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-5
96.0%
PENALTY NEV False Start (Cooks,Elijah) 5 yards from NEV43 to NEV38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 38
0
95.9%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Tory HortonSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 38
+9
95.8%
Carson Strong pass complete to Avery Morrow for 9 yds to the Nevad 47Similar
Q2 12:25
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
95.4%
Carson Strong punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 6FUMBLE
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:505% → 5%
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-3
95.4%
Tyler Vander Waal sacked by Daniel Grzesiak for a loss of 3 yards to the IdaSt 21Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 13
OWN 21
+8
95.4%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Shane Dailey Jr. for 8 yds to the IdaSt 29Similar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+17
95.4%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Shane Dailey Jr. for 17 yds to the IdaSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
95.1%
Tyler Vander Waal run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 48Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 8
OWN 48
-5
95.1%
Vander Waal,Tyler pass complete to Scott,Jared for 0 yards to the ISU48 (Robins,Berdale), out of bounds PENALTY ISU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Perko,John) 5 yards from ISU48 to ISU43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 13
OWN 43
0
94.8%
Tyler Vander Waal sacked by Lawson Hall for 0 yards to the IdaSt 43 Tyler Vander Waal fumbled, recovered by Nevad Jordan Lee , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 7DOWNS
9 plays · 37 yds · 3:2595% → 95%
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
95.4%
Toa Taua run for 6 yds to the IdaSt 37Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+7
95.4%
Devonte Lee run for 7 yds to the IdaSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
95.4%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 9 yds to the IdaSt 21Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+8
95.4%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 8 yds to the IdaSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
95.4%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 2 yds to the IdaSt 11Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+5
95.4%
Toa Taua run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 6Similar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 3
OPP 6
0
95.3%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Melquan StovallSimilar
Q2 6:10
4TH & 3
OPP 6
0
94.6%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo DoubsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:535% → 6%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
94.6%
Tyler Vander Waal run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 7Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+3
94.6%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Jared Scott for 3 yds to the IdaSt 10Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 6
OWN 10
+7
94.8%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Mike Davis for 7 yds to the IdaSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
94.5%
Raiden Hunter run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 18Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+15
94.5%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 15 yds to the IdaSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 9
OWN 18
0
94.8%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Xavier GuillorySimilar
Q2 3:17
4TH & 9
OWN 18
0
94.3%
Kevin Ryan punt for 61 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 9TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 2:3494% → 97%
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
93.9%
Carson Strong pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 8 yds to the Nevad 30Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+21
94.2%
Devonte Lee run for 21 yds to the IdaSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
94.4%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 9 yds to the IdaSt 40Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+7
94.4%
Carson Strong pass complete to Avery Morrow for 7 yds to the IdaSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+13
94.5%
Carson Strong pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 13 yds to the IdaSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
94.4%
PENALTY NEV False Start (Orsini,Tyler) 5 yards from ISU20 to ISU25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 15
OPP 25
+13
94.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 13 yds to the IdaSt 12Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+12
96.5%
Elijah Cooks 12 Yd pass from Carson Strong (Brandon Talton Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.9%
Raiden Hunter run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 11FG
13 plays · 50 yds · 5:044% → 6%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.8%
Tyler Vander Waal run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
95.6%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Tanner ConnerSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+14
95.8%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Tanner Conner for 14 yds to the IdaSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+18
95.5%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 18 yds to the Nevad 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
95.3%
Malakai Rango run for 1 yd to the Nevad 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+6
95.3%
Malakai Rango run for 6 yds to the Nevad 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 32
0
95.2%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Xavier GuillorySimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 32
+10
95.5%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Tanner Conner for 10 yds to the Nevad 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-10
94.9%
Tyler Vander Waal sacked by Tristan Nichols for a loss of 10 yards to the Nevad 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 20
OPP 32
-1
95.3%
Hunter Hays sacked by Tristan Nichols for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 21
OPP 33
+8
95.6%
Raiden Hunter run for 8 yds to the Nevad 25Similar
Q3 9:56
4TH & 13
OPP 25
+42
94.0%
Kevin Ryan 42 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:3995% → 94%
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
94.7%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for no gain to the Nevad 48Similar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
94.6%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo DoubsSimilar
Q3 9:56
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
94.2%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Justin LockhartSimilar
Q3 9:17
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
93.9%
Julian Diaz punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 4:196% → 7%
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+13
93.7%
Malakai Rango run for 13 yds to the IdaSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
93.5%
Hunter Hays run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 39Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+4
93.1%
Hunter Hays pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 4 yds to the IdaSt 43Similar
Q3 9:17
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+3
93.2%
Malakai Rango run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
93.1%
Hunter Hays run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 49Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+6
92.9%
Hunter Hays pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 6 yds to the Nevad 45Similar
Q3 9:17
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+3
92.8%
Malakai Rango run for 3 yds to the Nevad 48Similar
Q3 4:58
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
92.9%
Kevin Ryan punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 14TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:1594% → 98%
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
94.0%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 18Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+17
93.9%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 17 yds to the Nevad 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
94.1%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 9 yds to the Nevad 44Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+2
94.5%
Devonte Lee run for 2 yds to the Nevad 42Similar
Q3 4:58
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+17
94.1%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 17 yds to the IdaSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+39
94.5%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 39 yds to the IdaSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
94.5%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Elijah CooksSimilar
Q3 1:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.9%
Devonte Lee 2 Yd Run (Brandon Talton Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:353% → 2%
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.3%
Hunter Hays pass complete to Shane Dailey Jr. for 6 yds to the IdaSt 31Similar
Q3 1:43
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
97.2%
Hunter Hays pass incomplete to Shane Dailey Jr.Similar
Q3 1:43
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
97.2%
Hunter Hays pass complete to Christian Fredrickson for 9 yds to the IdaSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
97.2%
Hunter Hays pass incomplete to Shane Dailey Jr.Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
97.4%
Raiden Hunter run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 44Similar
Q4 14:08
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
97.6%
Kevin Ryan punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Romeo Doubs at the Nevad 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 16TD
7 plays · 90 yds · 3:0598% → 100%
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
98.3%
Carson Strong run for 4 yds to the Nevad 14Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+36
98.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Tory Horton for 36 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
50
+7
98.4%
Carson Strong pass complete to Tory Horton for 7 yds to the IdaSt 43Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+7
98.4%
Carson Strong pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 7 yds to the IdaSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
98.4%
Carson Strong pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 10 yds to the IdaSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
98.4%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 11 yds to the IdaSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
99.7%
Devonte Lee 15 Yd pass from Carson Strong (Brandon Talton Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 17FUMBLE RETURN TD
5 plays · -13 yds · 1:221% → 0%
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.5%
Hunter Hays sacked by Christopher Love for a loss of 3 yards to the IdaSt 22Similar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+1
99.5%
Malakai Rango run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 23Similar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+12
99.9%
Dom Peterson 12 Yd Fumble Return (Brandon Talton Kick)Similar
Q4 9:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
99.9%
PENALTY NEV False Start 5 yards from ISU03 to ISU08. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 18FG
8 plays · 58 yds · 3:310% → 0%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+39
99.9%
Benjamin Omayebu run for 39 yds to the Nevad 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
99.9%
Raiden Hunter run for 1 yd to the Nevad 35Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+22
99.9%
Hunter Hays pass complete to Mike Davis for 10 yds to the Nevad 25 for a 1ST down NEVADA Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Breylon Garcia) to the Nevad 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
99.9%
Hunter Hays run for 3 yds to the Nevad 10Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+2
99.9%
Soujah Gasu run for 2 yds to the Nevad 8Similar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 5
OPP 8
-9
99.9%
Hunter Hays sacked by Tyson Williams for a loss of 9 yards to the Nevad 17Similar
Q4 6:10
4TH & 14
OPP 17
+34
99.9%
Kevin Ryan 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 19TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:25100% → 100%
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+20
99.9%
Toa Taua run for 20 yds to the Nevad 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.9%
Nate Cox pass complete to Avery Morrow for 5 yds to the Nevad 45Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+12
99.9%
Nate Cox pass complete to Tory Horton for 12 yds to the IdaSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
99.9%
Harry Ballard 43 Yd pass from Nate Cox (Brandon Talton Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 20END OF GAME
10 plays · 27 yds · 4:450% → 0%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Hunter Hays run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 28Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Hunter Hays pass incomplete to Benjamin OmayebuSimilar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
100.0%
Soujah Gasu run for 8 yds to the IdaSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
100.0%
Soujah Gasu run for 6 yds to the IdaSt 42Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+5
99.9%
Hunter Hays run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 37Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+14
100.0%
Soujah Gasu run for 14 yds to the Nevad 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
99.9%
Soujah Gasu run for 5 yds to the Nevad 44Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+1
99.9%
Soujah Gasu run for 1 yd to the Nevad 43Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 43
-5
100.0%
Hunter Hays sacked by Christopher Love for a loss of 5 yards to the Nevad 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:43
Devonte Lee 2 Yd Run (Brandon Talton Kick)
+3.5
TD · Q2 0:43
Elijah Cooks 12 Yd pass from Carson Strong (Brandon Talton Kick)
+2.2
FG · Q3 9:56
Kevin Ryan 42 Yd Field Goal
-1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com