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MTST

Montana State 16 at Wyoming 19

WYO
2021 · Week 1 · Sep 4, 2021 · War Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadMTST aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreMTST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:00 · Sean Chambers run for 1 yd to the Wyom 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 52Pregame prior+23.9Home team on offense−6.2Garbage-time factor−2.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5Score differential−2.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:00: John Hoyland 37 yd FG GOOD — WYO win probability +5.5 pts (now 72%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:00: Ralph Fawaz punt for 47 yds , Willie Patterson returns for 3 yds MONTANA ST Penalty, illegal block (8 Yards) to the Wyom 35 — WYO win probability +19.9 pts (now 74%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 0:00: Blake Glessner 53 yd FG GOOD — WYO win probability +3.7 pts (now 83%) (top driver: MTST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:00: Matthew McKay pass complete to Treyton Pickering for 1 yd for a TD — MTST win probability +63.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MTST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:00: Sean Chambers pass complete to Treyton Welch for 21 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK) — WYO win probability +68.5 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 5 of 8MTST made the numbers' call on 2 of 8
  1. Q1 0:00MTST 4th & 5 at WYO 35, tied
    Close callPunted · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    16.6%−0.2
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:00WYO 4th & 6 at WYO 35, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:00WYO 4th & 3 at WYO 35, down 6
    Close callPunted · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.7%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:00MTST 4th & 2 at WYO 35, up 6
    Close callPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    18.5%−0.5
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:00WYO 4th & 9 at WYO 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%−1.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:00MTST 4th & 6 at WYO 35, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    37.6%−0.7
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%−1.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00WYO 4th & 2 at WYO 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    63.1%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00MTST 4th & 4 at WYO 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    37.5%−1.4
    45% to make
    Punt
    37.1%−1.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00MTST 4th & 9 at WYO 35, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.6%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    29.1%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00WYO 4th & 4 at WYO 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:00WYO 4th & 1 at WYO 35, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.1 ptsPunted · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.8%−3.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:00MTST 4th & 4 at WYO 35, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.3 ptsPunted · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    50.1%−2.5
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    48.2%−4.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:00WYO 4th & 5 at WYO 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.4%−1.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:00MTST 4th & 3 at WYO 35, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.5 ptsPunted · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    25.9%−2.3
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%−3.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:00MTST 4th & 13 at WYO 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%−10.3
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.5%
    45% to make
    Punt
    9.1%−14.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:00WYO 4th & 1 at WYO 35, up 3
    Numbers favored punt by 2.2 ptsWent for it · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.4%−2.2
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    92.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WYO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q4 0:00WYO Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    82.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.8%−2.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MTSTDrive 1PUNT
12 plays · 0 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
84.4%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Lance McCutcheon, broken up by C.J. ColdonSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+13
84.5%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Charles Brown for 13 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
84.4%
Charles Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 35Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 35
+6
84.5%
Matthew McKay run for 6 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 35
0
84.8%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Coy SteelSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 35
+6
85.2%
Bryce Leighton punt for 45 yds , Ayden Eberhardt returns for 6 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
86.1%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Alex BrownSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
86.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
85.8%
Sean Chambers pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 3TD
1 play · 35 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
82.5%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Lance McCutcheon for 15 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
83.9%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 35
-4
83.9%
Isaiah Neyor run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wyom 35Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+5
83.4%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 5 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
83.4%
Ralph Fawaz punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 5FUMBLE
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
82.5%
Willie Patterson run for 4 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+16
82.4%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Isaiah Ifanse for 1 yd to the Wyom 34 for a 1ST down WYOMING Penalty, roughing passer (Azizi Hearn) to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
82.5%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Lance McCutcheonSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
82.5%
Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+12
82.7%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Lance McCutcheon for 12 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
82.5%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Isaiah Ifanse for 3 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+12
82.4%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Willie Patterson for 12 yds Matthew McKay fumbled, recovered by Wyom Chad MumaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
83.9%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Treyton Welch WYOMING Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 35Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+5
83.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
83.8%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Ayden EberhardtSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+7
83.4%
Sean Chambers run for 7 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 3
OWN 35
0
83.5%
Ralph Fawaz punt for 54 yds , Willie Patterson returns for no gain to the Wyom 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0018% → 17%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
82.5%
Matthew McKay pass complete to R.J. Fitzgerald for 5 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+4
82.4%
Matthew McKay run for 4 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 35
-5
82.6%
MONTANA ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 35Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+4
82.7%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Lance McCutcheon for 4 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 35
0
83.2%
Bryce Leighton punt for 49 yds , Ayden Eberhardt returns for no gain to the Wyom 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 15:0084% → 65%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
83.9%
Sean Chambers run for 13 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
83.9%
Xazavian Valladay run for 7 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+14
84.3%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Parker Christensen for 14 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
83.9%
Isaiah Neyor run for 6 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 35
-2
84.3%
Titus Swen run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 35Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 35
-3
66.4%
Sean Chambers run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 35Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 9
OWN 35
0
65.2%
Ralph Fawaz punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0039% → 36%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
61.5%
Matthew McKay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+2
61.6%
Isaiah Ifanse run for 2 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 35
0
62.2%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Lance McCutcheonSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 35
0
64.0%
Bryce Leighton punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10DOWNS
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0067% → 66%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
67.2%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+4
67.2%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Treyton Welch for 4 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+2
66.5%
Sean Chambers run for 2 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 2
OWN 35
+1
66.2%
Sean Chambers run for 1 yd to the Wyom 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 11DOWNS
8 plays · 0 yds · 0:0039% → 36%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
61.5%
Isaiah Ifanse run for 6 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+2
61.3%
Isaiah Ifanse run for 2 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+3
61.9%
Isaiah Ifanse run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
61.5%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Treyton Pickering for 10 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
61.5%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Derryk Snell for 1 yd to the Wyom 35Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+3
61.6%
Isaiah Ifanse run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+2
62.2%
Matthew McKay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 35
-7
63.8%
Matthew McKay sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the Wyom 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12FG
8 plays · 0 yds · 0:0067% → 75%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
67.2%
Titus Swen run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+2
67.3%
Titus Swen run for 2 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+11
66.5%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 11 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+21
67.2%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 21 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
67.2%
Titus Swen run for 7 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
66.4%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Joshua CobbsSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 7
OWN 35
+37
71.8%
John Hoyland 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 35
-4
74.6%
Sean Chambers sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the Wyom 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 13MISSED FG
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0032% → 28%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+44
68.4%
Isaiah Ifanse run for 29 yds to the Wyom 6 WYOMING Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Wyom 35Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-4
68.4%
Isaiah Ifanse run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wyom 35Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 14
OPP 35
+5
69.4%
Isaiah Ifanse run for 5 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 35
0
69.6%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Jaden Smith, broken up by C.J. ColdonSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 9
OPP 35
+47
71.6%
Blake Glessner 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0073% → 72%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
73.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
73.4%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Isaiah NeyorSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+3
72.6%
Sean Chambers run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 4
OWN 35
0
72.2%
Ralph Fawaz punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
68.4%
Matthew McKay run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0055% → 53%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+18
55.2%
Xazavian Valladay run for 18 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
55.2%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+3
55.2%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+4
54.2%
Sean Chambers run for 4 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
53.3%
Ralph Fawaz punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 0 yds · 0:0055% → 50%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
44.8%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Willie Patterson for 15 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
44.8%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Lance McCutcheon for 10 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
44.8%
Matthew McKay run for 6 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 35
0
44.3%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Lance McCutcheon, broken up by C.J. ColdonSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+7
46.2%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Derryk Snell for 7 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
44.8%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Lance McCutcheonSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+6
44.9%
Cameron Gardner run for 6 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 35
0
46.2%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Cameron GardnerSimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 35
0
49.8%
Bryce Leighton punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 18TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 0:0055% → 74%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
55.2%
Xazavian Valladay run for 9 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 35
0
57.5%
Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+4
56.0%
Titus Swen run for 4 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
55.2%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 4 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+9
56.8%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Titus Swen for 9 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
55.2%
Sean Chambers sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 35Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+7
54.4%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 7 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
54.2%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Alex BrownSimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 5
OWN 35
+3
74.1%
Ralph Fawaz punt for 47 yds , Willie Patterson returns for 3 yds MONTANA ST Penalty, illegal block (8 Yards) to the Wyom 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0030% → 26%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
70.2%
Isaiah Ifanse run for 2 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+5
70.2%
Isaiah Ifanse run for 5 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 35
0
71.3%
Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+8
73.8%
Bryce Leighton punt for 45 yds , Ayden Eberhardt returns for 8 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 20TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 15:0076% → 92%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
75.9%
Xazavian Valladay run for 6 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+3
77.0%
Trey Smith run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+1
76.1%
Trey Smith run for 1 yd to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+22
75.9%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 22 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
75.9%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Xazavian ValladaySimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
91.3%
Sean Chambers run for 1 yd to the Wyom 35Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+5
91.2%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Xazavian Valladay for a 1ST down MONTANA ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference (5 Yards) to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 5
OWN 35
+3
91.9%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+2
91.8%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds for a TDSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
91.5%
Ryan Marquez pass incomplete to Treyton WelchSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 21FG
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:0028% → 17%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
71.8%
Isaiah Ifanse run for 1 yd to the Wyom 35Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+21
71.9%
Isaiah Ifanse run for 21 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+21
71.8%
Isaiah Ifanse run for 21 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
71.8%
Isaiah Ifanse run for 2 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 35
-5
71.9%
Matthew McKay run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 35Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 13
OPP 35
0
79.0%
Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Lance McCutcheonSimilar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 13
OPP 35
+53
82.7%
Blake Glessner 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 22FG
13 plays · 0 yds · 0:0092% → 88%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
91.5%
Sean Chambers run for 10 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
91.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+3
91.4%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+7
91.4%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Alex Brown for 7 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
91.5%
Trey Smith run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+5
91.4%
Sean Chambers run for 5 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+1
91.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the Wyom 35Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 1
OWN 35
+3
90.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+31
91.5%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 31 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 9
OWN 35
0
91.5%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Treyton Welch, broken up by Eric ZambranoSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+1
91.4%
Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the Wyom 35Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
91.3%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Parker Christensen, broken up by Troy AndersenSimilar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 8
OWN 35
+25
87.9%
John Hoyland 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 23TD
6 plays · 35 yds · 0:0029% → 94%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+20
70.9%
Isaiah Ifanse run for 5 yds to the Wyom 30 for a 1ST down WYOMING Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+20
70.9%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Treyton Pickering for 20 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
70.9%
Matthew McKay run for 4 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+30
68.8%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Lance McCutcheon for 30 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 1
OPP 35
+1
5.6%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Treyton Pickering for 1 yd for a TDSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
5.7%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 24TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 0:0020% → 90%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
19.8%
Sean Chambers run for 8 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+24
21.6%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 24 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
19.8%
Sean Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
19.6%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 7 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+9
20.0%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Parker Christensen for 9 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
19.8%
Sean Chambers run for 6 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 35
0
21.5%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Isaiah NeyorSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+21
90.0%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Treyton Welch for 21 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 25Uncategorized
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
70.9%
MONTANA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 35Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 15
OPP 35
-1
72.9%
Matthew McKay sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 35Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 16
OPP 35
+12
74.3%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Coy Steel for 12 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+20
72.0%
Matthew McKay pass complete to Isaiah Ifanse for 20 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:00
Sean Chambers pass complete to Treyton Welch for 21 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)
+68.5
TD · Q4 0:00
Matthew McKay pass complete to Treyton Pickering for 1 yd for a TD
-63.2
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+28
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com